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Tuesday night pix - 4 system plays!!!!

April 20, 2021, 12:56 PM ET [0 Comments]
Puck Pix
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Last night 3-1 +2.00 Units
YTD 182-161-4 +29.33 Units

We have a nice 8 game card for a Tuesday night with a couple of huge match ups that have big time playoff implications. NYR/NYI and Carolina/TB are easily the marquee match ups for tonight and to a lesser extent Leafs/Canucks as Toronto tries to snap a 4 game losing streak while Vancouver tries to get back into the playoff mix.

The Rangers look to knock off the Isles who are one of the best home teams in the NHL as they chase down the Boston Bruins for the final playoff spot in the East Division.

TB knocked off the Canes last night and only one point separate the two for the Central Division lead.

Dallas faces another must win as they host Detroit. The Stars trail Nashville by three points but have 3 games in hand.

**I have started to research teams that come off at least a 5 game road trip and how they fare in their first game back home.** Its 10-8 to date.

Scenario #1 – Teams that are rested, either sitting at home or on the road while their opponent plays the night before. 22-10 over the last month of tracking it! The under is 18-13-1 in these spots.

Scenario #2 – Teams that are playing each other in back to back games, in which the home team loses the first game, the record of the home team in the second game is 75-49.

Scenario #3 – Teams playing back to back road games on consecutive nights tend to go under the total in the 2nd game. So far that trend is 36-26-2 when teams play on the road back to back nights. CLB/Florida, Carolina/TB and Detroit/Dallas fit the system tonight.

Scenario #4 - One last angle I am tracking that is slightly profitable and similar to Scenario #1, is when any team loses the first game of a back to back against the same team, regardless if it’s on the road or at home, those teams are 95-69 in that situation.

Quick stat updates -
First period totals going over were 3-5 last night and are 330-362 on the season.
Road teams were 2-5 last night and are 326-357 on the season.
Game totals going over the total were 3-2-2 last night and are 317-336-29 on the season.

Gamenotes for tonight –

Bruins/Sabres – Buffalo is 5-5 in their last 10 games, 4 of those 5 games were 1 goal losses. Bruins have won all 3 head to head with all 3 going under the total this season.

NYR/NYI – Isles have won 3 of 5 head to head with all 5 going under the total this season.

Carolina/TB – TB has won 4 of 7 head to head and 5 of 7 have gone under the total this season.

CLB/Florida – Jackets are 1-9 in their last 10, while Florida has won 6 of 7 head to head and 5 of 7 have gone under the total this season.

Detroit/Dallas – Wings are terrible on the road while the Stars are much better on home ice. These 2 play each other the next 2 in Detroit after tonight. Stars have won 4 of 5 head to head this season.

NJ/Pitt – NJ is 1-9 in their last 10, Pitt is super on home ice! Pens have won 3 of 5 head to head and 3 of 5 have gone under the total this season.

Leafs/Canucks – Leafs have lost 4 in a row after winning 6 in a row. I truly cant believe the Canucks will have much left in the tank after Sunday’s nights win! Leafs have won all 3 at home, while the Canucks have won all 3 at home, while 5 of 6 have gone under the total this season.

Ducks/Kings – LA has been off for 6 days! The Ducks have 2 of 3 head to head this season with 2 of 3 going under the total.

All system plays for 1 Unit each tonight –

Carolina/TB u5.5(+102)
CLB/Florida u5.5(even)
Detroit/Dallas u5.5(-112)
Leafs – ML(-307)

Good luck tonight!

Puckpix
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