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Saturday pix - 12 system plays!!

May 8, 2021, 1:26 AM ET [6 Comments]
Puck Pix
NHL odds analysis • RSSArchiveCONTACT
2 nights ago - 1-0 +1.00 Units
YTD - 206-182-5 +31.84 Units

Massive card with 14 games today!! We have 6 rematches from last night too. TB/Florida, Carolina/Nashville and STL/Vegas highlight the card. We have a ton of system plays, more than any night ever this season! Take a look at our gamenotes below.

**I have started to research teams that come off at least a 5 game road trip and how they fare in their first game back home.** Its 11-8 to date.

Scenario #1 – Teams that are rested, either sitting at home or on the road while their opponent plays the night before. 26-12 over the last month of tracking it! The under is 22-15-1 in these spots. Florida fits the system tonight with TB having played last night against Dallas.

Scenario #2 – Teams that are playing each other in back to back games, in which the home team loses the first game, the record of the home team in the second game is 81-53.

Scenario #3 – Teams playing back to back road games on consecutive nights tend to go under the total in the 2nd game. So far that trend is 40-33-2 when teams play on the road back to back nights. 6 games fit the system tonight, see below in my plays!

Scenario #4 - One last angle I am tracking that is slightly profitable and similar to Scenario #1, is when any team loses the first game of a back to back against the same team, regardless if it’s on the road or at home, those teams are 95-69 in that situation.

Quick stat updates -
First period totals going over were 8-5 last 2 nights and are 400-421 on the season.
Road teams were 8-5 last 2 nights and are 384-427 on the season.
Game totals going over the total were 8-5 last 2 nights and are 383-392-34 on the season.

Gamenotes for today/tonight -

NYR/Boston - 3PM - NYR have lost 5 straight. Bruins have won 5 of 7 head to head and 6 of 7 have gone under the total.

Buffalo/Pitt - 3PM - Pens have won 6 of 7 head to head and 4 of 7 have gone under.

Detroit/Columbus - Wings have won 4 of 7 and 6 of 7 have gone under. Last night first game that went over.

Habs/Leafs - Leafs have won 6 of 9 head to head and 5 of 9 have gone under the total this season.

NJ/NYI - NJ 2 big wins over NYI and Boston last 2 games. NYI has won 5 of 7 head to head and 6 of 7 have gone under the total this season.

Flyers/Caps - Caps have won 5 of 7 head to head and 5 of 7 have gone under the total this season.

TB/Florida - Play Scenario #1. They have split the 6 games head to head but 5 of 6 have gone over the total this season.

Sens/Jets - Sens are 8-2-1 in their last 11 games! Sens have won 3 of the last 5 head to head but Jets have won 6 of 9.

Ducks/Wild - Wild have won 5 of 6 head to head and 5 of 6 have gone under the total this season.

Canes/Preds - Carolina has won all 6 meetings this season.

Canucks/Oilers - Oilers have won 5 of 8 head to head and 5 of 8 have gone over the total this season.

STL/Vegas - Vegas has won 4 of 6 head to head with 4 of 6 going over the total this season.

Avs/Kings - Colorado has won 3 of 4 head to head this season.

Yotes/Sharks - Teams have split the 6 meetings this season with 5 of 6 going over the total this season.

System plays all for 1 Unit each -

Florida - ML(even)
Edmonton - ML(-241)
NYI - ML(-237)
Caps - ML(-184)
LA - ML(+235)
SJ - ML(-108)
Flyers/Caps u6.5(even)
Detroit/CLB u6(-102)
Ducks/Wild u5.5(+102)
STL/Vegas u5.5(+108)
Avs/LA u6(-121)
AZ/SJ u5.5(-103)

GL Tonight!
Puckpix
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