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Tuesday night pix - 5 system plays!

May 4, 2021, 12:34 AM ET [5 Comments]
Puck Pix
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TD 202-177-5 +31.83 Units

We only have 5 games tonight after a massive card last night. All 5 games are rematches from last night. We had a couple of upsets last night so I expect teams like Pittsburgh and NYI to rebound but they are both heavy favourites so I will be going with all 5 system plays on the totals.

**I have started to research teams that come off at least a 5 game road trip and how they fare in their first game back home.** Its 11-8 to date.

Scenario #1 – Teams that are rested, either sitting at home or on the road while their opponent plays the night before. 25-12 over the last month of tracking it! The under is 22-14-1 in these spots.

Scenario #2 – Teams that are playing each other in back to back games, in which the home team loses the first game, the record of the home team in the second game is 81-53.

Scenario #3 – Teams playing back to back road games on consecutive nights tend to go under the total in the 2nd game. So far that trend is 39-29-2 when teams play on the road back to back nights. NYI/Buff, Edm/Van, Chi/Car, Bos/NJ and Pens/Flyers fit the system tonight.

Scenario #4 - One last angle I am tracking that is slightly profitable and similar to Scenario #1, is when any team loses the first game of a back to back against the same team, regardless if it’s on the road or at home, those teams are 95-69 in that situation.

Quick stat updates -
First period totals going over were 8-6 last night and are 388-405 on the season.
Road teams were 6-8 last night and are 369-415 on the season.
Game totals going over the total were 9-5 last night and are 367-382-33 on the season.

Gamenotes for tonight -

NYI/Buffalo - Sabres won their first time this year vs NYI last night. NYI has won 6 of 7 head to head and 4 of 7 have gone over the total.

Bruins/Devils - 6 of 7 have gone under the total this season, with NJ winning 4 of 7 head to head.

Pitt/Philly - Flyers have won 5 of 7 head to head and 6 of 7 have gone over the total this season.

Hawks/Canes - Chicago has now lost 5 straight. Carolina has won 4 of 6 head to head and 5 of 6 have gone over the total this season.

Oilers/Canucks - Oilers have won 4 of 6 head to head and 4 of 6 have gone over the total this season.

System plays all for 1 Unit each -

Bruins/Devils u5.5(even)
Pitt/Philly u6.5(-119)
Chi/Car u6(even)
NYI/Buff u5.5(-125)
Edm/Van u6(-111)

GL Tonight!
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