The flip side of that 300 percent gain is that 41 points for an OHL defenseman still typically translates to being strictly a defensive defenseman at the pro level. He'd have to get considerably better from where he is NOW to get on track to be a significant point contributing D at the NHL level. His shot is not very accurate and his release is not particularly fast.
A more realistic NHL hope for Nurse is that he becomes a shutdown D with good mobility. Any offense beyond 15-20 points would be a bonus.
- bmeltzer
Well, 41 pts in his second year OHL is on par (more or less) with the second yr Jr. production of several of the top say, 25 point producing D men this season...guys like Suter, Franson, Weber, Phaneuf, Byfuglien, Campbell, Green, Bouwmeester, Beauchemin...they all had similar numbers to Nurse in their second year in Jr. While that doesn't guarantee anything, I think it contradicts your idea that his numbers translate into a strictly defensive defenseman at the pro level. Furthermore, Nurse scored 12 goals in a secondary offensive role, so his shot can't be all that bad...observer Ben Kerr notes: "Nurse’s offensive game has really blossomed this season.
He showed off his big time point shot and one timer, scoring 12 goals in 69 games. Nurse became really effective at keeping his shot low, getting it through and on net, and generating opportunities for rebounds and tip-ins in front of the net. He also effectively utilizes a good wrist shot and release when he doesn’t have time to load up the slapshot. In my own viewing of his highlight reel, he seemed to get off some good, low, accurate shots (but then again, they don't show the misses in a highlight reel, lol).
Personally, I think next year he takes on more responsibility, pushes his offensive game further and breaks the 50+ point mark.
It's all moot for the Flyers anyway, as this kid will most likely go top 10.