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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: Safe Picks vs. Highest Upside
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BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Jun 29 @ 4:39 PM ET
See, that...if you're the Flyers and you walk yourself into 5, then you're looking at either a sliding Jonathan Drouin or Alexander Barkov.

You have won at life, then. Drouin needs to get a little bigger, develop some, but that is the type of winger you put with a Couturier or Schenn/Simmonds, and YOU ARE ROLLING.

If it's Barkov, then you can flash your brass set, move Couturier for the haul that Elliotte Friedman says is out there waiting for Holmgren to move him, drop Barkov in that spot, and YOU WIN AGAIN.

The fifth slot was always the key in this draft, if you're the Flyers. Doesn't mean they'll get there, but it was always the key.

- AllInForFlyers


Absolutely, if Carolina is really willing to move that pick for a package starting with Coburn, you have to make that deal.
JAKEw1234
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: 2Spookyville, PA
Joined: 03.09.2013

Jun 29 @ 4:39 PM ET
Then they get a shot at Barkov, who I'd rather have than Nichushkin anyhow
- Jsaquella

Id actually rather have Nichushkin. He's got the 3 "S"s. Speed, Size, and Skill. I really like how to rushes the net and personally think he'll become an elite talent in this league, as his physical style is even better suited for the smaller NA rinks than the international ones.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 29 @ 4:40 PM ET
Both steals is what I meant
- Winning


In that case, I agree.
dilbert719
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 11.30.2006

Jun 29 @ 4:40 PM ET
IF (big IF) they pick up the 5th and keep the 11th, they're guaranteed a shot at one of Drouin, Barkov, Jones, or Nichuskinskyov. I'd take whichever one of them, then use the 11 to draft the best dman/forward (opposite of what you took at 5) and call it a day.
- jmatchett383


I dunno. Playing along with the "Never gonna happen, but wouldn't it be cool if" game, if we end up with 5 and 11, and somehow the top 4 are MacKinnon/Drouin/Niche/Barkov, and we get Jones at 5, I might still take Ristolainen or Pulock at 11, rather than whatever forward's left. We really need that top guy back there, and better to have two lottery tickets than one.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 29 @ 4:41 PM ET
Id actually rather have Nichushkin. He's got the 3 "S"s. Speed, Size, and Skill. I really like how to rushes the net and personally think he'll become an elite talent in this league, as his physical style is even better suited for the smaller NA rinks than the international ones.
- JAKEw1234


Then you know very little about Barkov, because he has the same attributes, although he's a little smaller.
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Jun 29 @ 4:41 PM ET
Ek reporting Tim Thomas heading to Columbus (e4). I don't get that one at all.
phatpat44
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: NS
Joined: 04.18.2010

Jun 29 @ 4:41 PM ET
See, that...if you're the Flyers and you walk yourself into 5, then you're looking at either a sliding Jonathan Drouin or Alexander Barkov.

You have won at life, then. Drouin needs to get a little bigger, develop some, but that is the type of winger you put with a Couturier or Schenn/Simmonds, and YOU ARE ROLLING.

If it's Barkov, then you can flash your brass set, move Couturier for the haul that Elliotte Friedman says is out there waiting for Holmgren to move him, drop Barkov in that spot, and YOU WIN AGAIN.

The fifth slot was always the key in this draft, if you're the Flyers. Doesn't mean they'll get there, but it was always the key.

- AllInForFlyers



Ya, i had season tix to the mooseheads this year. If my team picked Droin, i would really hope he gets sent back (not just so I can watch him for another year.) I think he needs at least another year to add some size to his frame, and learn to skete with his head up a little more. Ahl would probably be perfect for him, but too bad that isn't alowed
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Jun 29 @ 4:42 PM ET
Then you know very little about Barkov, because he has the same attributes, although he's a little smaller.
- Jsaquella


Barkov would be awesome, at 17 he was successfully playing against grown men. The kid has it all, I just don't see him making it past Tampa at #3.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 29 @ 4:43 PM ET
Ek reporting Tim Thomas heading to Columbus (e4). I don't get that one at all.
- BiggE


They're having a rough time getting Bobrovsky re-signed. Like he wants serious money
mayorofangrytown
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Downingtown, PA
Joined: 08.16.2006

Jun 29 @ 4:44 PM ET
In that case, I agree.
- Jsaquella

Awwwww... look at you being all agreeable
Marc D
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: best smile, 14 without fake tees
Joined: 03.28.2008

Jun 29 @ 4:44 PM ET
the #5 is for Coburn +11th probably + more

it is not for Coburn alone

and I'm sure there are teams in the 6-10 spot who may offer a defenseman + their pick to move into #5
Winning
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Put in Matt Read
Joined: 03.29.2011

Jun 29 @ 4:45 PM ET

fecondo
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Wading in the velvet sea, PA
Joined: 03.16.2008

Jun 29 @ 4:45 PM ET
I dunno. Playing along with the "Never gonna happen, but wouldn't it be cool if" game, if we end up with 5 and 11, and somehow the top 4 are MacKinnon/Drouin/Niche/Barkov, and we get Jones at 5, I might still take Ristolainen or Pulock at 11, rather than whatever forward's left. We really need that top guy back there, and better to have two lottery tickets than one.
- dilbert719

I wouldn't say "never gonna happen" weirder things have happened at the draft. Here's my reasoning behind Jones falling to 5:
Col-MacK (imo the best player in the draft)
Fla- Drouin (having him and huberdeau on the top line would be an awesome pairing)
Tb- Nichushkin (apparently they're quite high on him)
Nash- Barkov (big young scoring center they need)

Boom. Jones at 5
Marc D
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: best smile, 14 without fake tees
Joined: 03.28.2008

Jun 29 @ 4:45 PM ET
They're having a rough time getting Bobrovsky re-signed. Like he wants serious money
- Jsaquella

vezina=crazy money
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 29 @ 4:46 PM ET
Awwwww... look at you being all agreeable
- mayorofangrytown


I'm done with work and out of the heat...in ten minutes or so, I go on my beer run and prepare for the draft
phatpat44
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: NS
Joined: 04.18.2010

Jun 29 @ 4:46 PM ET
They're having a rough time getting Bobrovsky re-signed. Like he wants serious money
- Jsaquella


Apparently he was offered 30 mil over 3 years in russia
moylander
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Chicago, IL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Jun 29 @ 4:46 PM ET
I'm done with work and out of the heat...in ten minutes or so, I go on my beer run and prepare for the draft
- Jsaquella

Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 29 @ 4:47 PM ET
Apparently he was offered 30 mil over 3 years in russia
- phatpat44


That's the rumor...Word is he prefers the NHL, but wants to be paid like the best goalie in the NHL.
Winning
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Put in Matt Read
Joined: 03.29.2011

Jun 29 @ 4:49 PM ET
That's the rumor...Word is he prefers the NHL, but wants to be paid like the best goalie in the NHL.
- Jsaquella

I have bad news for the team that signs him to a huge deal.
Your going to have a bad time
griouxmvp2012
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: NJ
Joined: 06.27.2011

Jun 29 @ 4:49 PM ET
So is the coburn trade dead lol what happened sounded like it was going down
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 29 @ 4:51 PM ET
So is the coburn trade dead lol what happened sounded like it was going down
- griouxmvp2012


Probably offering him around, using the Oilers runmor as an inflator
Crimsoninja
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Dude, I am so sorry about whatever made you like this. Take it easy.
Joined: 07.06.2007

Jun 29 @ 4:52 PM ET


- Winning

bryz told him not to sign if drafted here
AllInForFlyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Call Me Sweetcheeks
Joined: 03.18.2013

Jun 29 @ 4:53 PM ET
Probably offering him around, using the Oilers runmor as an inflator
- Jsaquella


Yep. To me, if this one goes down first, because Coburn isn't a superstar, this is the one that gets the ball rolling -- teams are going to be look at whatever the return might be to set value on some of their moves.

That's the thing about this league that is irritating -- you have a ton of GMs who are afraid to "go first."
Winning
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Put in Matt Read
Joined: 03.29.2011

Jun 29 @ 4:53 PM ET
bryz told him not to sign if drafted here
- Crimsoninja

Winning
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Put in Matt Read
Joined: 03.29.2011

Jun 29 @ 4:53 PM ET
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