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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Flyers 2014 First-Day Live Draft Blog
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MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jun 27 @ 2:16 PM ET
My feeling is you can always make numbers look like more then they are or read differently.
- J35Bacher



Absolutely. It's called confirmation bias.
the deaninator
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Purgatory, DE
Joined: 08.06.2006

Jun 27 @ 2:17 PM ET
I know it's not NHL-related, but I know there's some Pink Floyd fans on here. There's a test press of their soundtrack for "More" up on eBay. $5000, but it's probably the only time you'll ever have a chance.
- jmatchett383


i just checked it out. i know how the conversation would go back home if i explained what that was, and how much i paid for it though.

oh to be a part of the other half...
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Jun 27 @ 2:18 PM ET
Coburn got traded.

Edit: To the Flyers in 2007.

- jmatchett383

(frank)ing ahole
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Jun 27 @ 2:19 PM ET
how is the kesler deal brutal? bonino had nearly 50 points last season then sbisa 1st and a 3rd swap?
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jun 27 @ 2:19 PM ET
Absolutely. It's called confirmation bias.
- MJL


For the time period spanning Octover 7 through October 10th of this past season, Braydon Coburn was a point-per-game player. Extrapolated over a full season, that's pretty impressive.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Jun 27 @ 2:19 PM ET
You know that doesn't even look the same right?
- mayorofangrytown


Sub in ghost for hagg
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jun 27 @ 2:19 PM ET
MacDonald and Campbell both played first pairing on bad teams and MacDonald had better teammates. So please, fill in the rest of this sentence: MacDonald had much worse Corsi numbers than Campbell because...
- Feanor



You can put anything in there you want. That's the problem with Corsi. You can make a case to make it say whatever you want it to say.

The fundamental fact of Corsi is that is flawed. Because of the high percentage of false data. Unless you beleive that every shott attempted for or against, is the result of a players play on the ice, and he is responsible for every shot attempted for or against, while a player is on the ice.

WOWY's regardless of what base stat you want to use it with, has it's own flaws.
Streit2ThePoint
Seattle Kraken
Location: it's disgusting how good you are at hockeybuzz.
Joined: 09.20.2013

Jun 27 @ 2:20 PM ET
how is the kesler deal brutal? bonino had nearly 50 points last season then sbisa 1st and a 3rd swap?
- 2Real


I like the trade.
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Jun 27 @ 2:21 PM ET
Absolutely. It's called confirmation bias.
- MJL



Ignoring/dismissing the numbers (or any kind of info, for that matter) because they might undermine your assumption is actually the very definition of CB... which you tend to do more than anybody.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jun 27 @ 2:21 PM ET
how is the kesler deal brutal? bonino had nearly 50 points last season then sbisa 1st and a 3rd swap?
- 2Real


There's no "big" name, but it's a solid haul.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Jun 27 @ 2:21 PM ET
how is the kesler deal brutal? bonino had nearly 50 points last season then sbisa 1st and a 3rd swap?
- 2Real


Nucks were in a tough spot. Great get for the ducks. They have the sens first so it's no big deal for them
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Jun 27 @ 2:22 PM ET
how is the kesler deal brutal? bonino had nearly 50 points last season then sbisa 1st and a 3rd swap?
- 2Real



Bonino is like the Kip Miller of that line... he's not going to put up 50 w/o Getz/Perry.

Sbisa is a mess.
five4fighting10
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Cherry Hill, NJ
Joined: 02.22.2008

Jun 27 @ 2:22 PM ET
how is the kesler deal brutal? bonino had nearly 50 points last season then sbisa 1st and a 3rd swap?
- 2Real

I think it's a fair deal for both sides. I get that Anaheim didn't have to give up any top prospect, but I also don't think Kesler is a great player. Personally, I would have been pumped getting either Bonino or Sbisa straight up for Vinny. And honestly, if I was another team's GM, I would prefer getting Vinny for 1 of those pieces than Kesler for all 3. But maybe that's just me.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Jun 27 @ 2:22 PM ET
There's no "big" name, but it's a solid haul.
- jmatchett383


Sometimes the variety pack is better than the big box
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Jun 27 @ 2:22 PM ET
Ignoring/dismissing the numbers (or any kind of info, for that matter) because they might undermine your assumption is actually the very definition of CB... which you tend to do more than anybody.
- Tomahawk

Oh I'm so tuning into this channel
SuperSchennBros
Location: Not protected by the Mods...I mean Mob. Take your best shot!
Joined: 09.01.2012

Jun 27 @ 2:23 PM ET
You can put anything in there you want. That's the problem with Corsi. You can make a case to make it say whatever you want it to say.

The fundamental fact of Corsi is that is flawed. Because of the high percentage of false data. Unless you beleive that every shott attempted for or against, is the result of a players play on the ice, and he is responsible for every shot attempted for or against, while a player is on the ice.

WOWY's regardless of what base stat you want to use it with, has it's own flaws.

- MJL

Agreed. A lot of players, especially defenseman simply throw the puck on net. Fowards throw the puck on net for a lot of different reasons. Get a faceoff, get a rebound or because they think they have a decent scoring chance. No all shots tell the whole story.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jun 27 @ 2:23 PM ET
Ignoring/dismissing the numbers (or any kind of info, for that matter) because they might undermine your assumption is actually the very definition of CB... which you tend to do more than anybody.
- Tomahawk



I don't ignore or dismiss them. I just understand what it's capable of showing. That's what you've got wrong.
FlyersSteve118
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Delco, PA
Joined: 10.02.2013

Jun 27 @ 2:25 PM ET
I don't ignore or dismiss them. I just understand what they're capable of showing. That's what you've got wrong.
- MJL


Most of your arguments can be broken down to a basic "because I say so". They are just worded with a lot of useless vocab.
-davies-
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: A medical emergency involving you.
Joined: 08.05.2013

Jun 27 @ 2:26 PM ET
Really it's left empty in your honor since you can't be here tonight.
- ob18



*seinfeld pez dispenser pic here *
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Jun 27 @ 2:27 PM ET
Sometimes the variety pack is better than the big box
- PhillySportsGuy

Costco

Your argument is invalid
wolfhounds
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 06.02.2009

Jun 27 @ 2:28 PM ET


J35Bacher
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 04.03.2014

Jun 27 @ 2:28 PM ET
Ignoring/dismissing the numbers (or any kind of info, for that matter) because they might undermine your assumption is actually the very definition of CB... which you tend to do more than anybody.
- Tomahawk



I agree with MJL. It's not dismissing all numbers but you can always make numbers read like you want them too. It's like plus/minus. A guy can get a minus and the goalie gives up a week goal that had nothing to do with the play. It's just how you want to make the numbers look.
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Jun 27 @ 2:28 PM ET
I think it's a fair deal for both sides. I get that Anaheim didn't have to give up any top prospect, but I also don't think Kesler is a great player. Personally, I would have been pumped getting either Bonino or Sbisa straight up for Vinny. And honestly, if I was another team's GM, I would prefer getting Vinny for 1 of those pieces than Kesler for all 3. But maybe that's just me.
- five4fighting10

Kesler's production has been going down YOY and he's getting to be banged up, so I think the Canucks made out well.
tangent_man
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: South Jersey
Joined: 11.28.2007

Jun 27 @ 2:28 PM ET
Bonino is like the Kip Miller of that line... he's not going to put up 50 w/o Getz/Perry.

Sbisa is a mess.

- Tomahawk


Read through that real fast and thought, "What does Kip Winger have to do with hockey?"

Gonna be a looong day.
five4fighting10
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Cherry Hill, NJ
Joined: 02.22.2008

Jun 27 @ 2:29 PM ET
Kesler's production has been going down YOY and he's getting to be banged up, so I think the Canucks made out well.
- 2Real

Absolutely agree.
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