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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: New Philosophy for Development Camp, Quick Hits
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MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 8 @ 11:28 PM ET
If a player brings down the numbers of his defense partners which Amac did in every pairing, I think that is telling. He passed my initial eye test, but when I specifically looked at things like gap control and neutral zone play he failed my eye test as well.
- aflyerpower8


That would be true if the two defenseman were on the only players on the ice, but that is not the case.

I'll ask a simple question. If MacDonald was paired with either Doughty or Voynov, and played on the LA Kings, what do you think would happen with his Corsi numbers?
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Jul 8 @ 11:29 PM ET
Randy Jones
- Jsaquella

stayinthefnnet
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 01.12.2012

Jul 8 @ 11:31 PM ET
If a player brings down the numbers of his defense partners which Amac did in every pairing, I think that is telling. He passed my initial eye test, but when I specifically looked at things like gap control and neutral zone play he failed my eye test as well.
- aflyerpower8

yeah. that is a stat taht i will put a little weight in if it holds true.

although maybe my bias towards thinking luke schenn is overrated is shining through here, but i thought he played his best hockey with amac
aflyerpower8
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: AL
Joined: 06.03.2014

Jul 8 @ 11:32 PM ET
That is not the case, he has to be back far to be able to angle the player to the outside on that play. There is a lot of ice there, with no back pressure. One step up in the wring direction, and he's easily beaten to the outside.

You're ignoring what even the author states which was that MacDonald was knocked down earlier on the play. Again, where is the back pressure and the 5 man unit. Gap control is a team responsibility.

- MJL


I don't want him to step up, I want him to go back closer to his man. If he steps up Nash beats him, but if he was closer to Nash he can back skate at Nash's speed. Also, Nash did not have the puck initially, so it makes the pass harder if he is on him. Yes, he fell down, but by picture 2 he is already backskating to maintain a rather large cushion.
stayinthefnnet
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 01.12.2012

Jul 8 @ 11:32 PM ET
Likely the biggest understatement of the day made on the interwebs. You win.


- wolfhounds


hell yeah.

ill make a fine troll just yet. you wait and see.
aflyerpower8
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: AL
Joined: 06.03.2014

Jul 8 @ 11:32 PM ET
That would be true if the two defenseman were on the only players on the ice, but that is not the case.

I'll ask a simple question. If MacDonald was paired with either Doughty or Voynov, and played on the LA Kings, what do you think would happen with his Corsi numbers?

- MJL


His would be higher, Doughty's would be lower.
wolfhounds
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 06.02.2009

Jul 8 @ 11:34 PM ET
hell yeah.

ill make a fine troll just yet. you wait and see.

- stayinthefnnet


Having goals in life is important.

Also, Coburn sucks, we should just give him to the Pens... Addition by way of subtraction and all that jazzy stuff.
aflyerpower8
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: AL
Joined: 06.03.2014

Jul 8 @ 11:35 PM ET
No Lecavalier interest over there, even for Mike Green?
- SuperSchennBros


Apparently they don't want to move Green. I have not heard anything about them wanting Vinny.

Edit: With your repost, it looks like I replied before you asked the question.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 8 @ 11:36 PM ET
I don't want him to step up, I want him to go back closer to his man. If he steps up Nash beats him, but if he was closer to Nash he can back skate at Nash's speed. Also, Nash did not have the puck initially, so it makes the pass harder if he is on him. Yes, he fell down, but by picture 2 he is already backskating to maintain a rather large cushion.
- aflyerpower8


The pass to Nash is not the only play. If he steps up, there is also a play to put the puck in the corner, or towards the net for Nash to skate into. MacDonald was properly positioned on that rush to keep the angle on Nash, who was purposely skating wide to create space in an effort to get wide. If MacDonald takes a step up there, he's dead meat. That's how fast a defenseman can get beat in the NHL. One wrong stride or hesitation.
And the pictures don't tell how fast he was backskating. When he fell down, he's certainly not going to skate forward on the play, then he would have to execute an inside or outside turn, that in itself could cause him to get beat to the inside or outside pretty easily.
stayinthefnnet
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 01.12.2012

Jul 8 @ 11:36 PM ET
Having goals in life is important.

Also, Coburn sucks, we should just give him to the Pens... Addition by way of subtraction and all that jazzy stuff.

- wolfhounds


nah he totally blows. they just got rid of engelland. dont need another paperweight.
wolfhounds
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 06.02.2009

Jul 8 @ 11:37 PM ET
nah he totally blows. they just got rid of engelland. dont need another paperweight.
- stayinthefnnet


It's true. He should take up curling.

But seriously, he'd probably suck at that, too.

F'n big nose.
stayinthefnnet
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 01.12.2012

Jul 8 @ 11:38 PM ET
It's true. He should take up curling.

But seriously, he'd probably suck at that, too.

F'n big nose.

- wolfhounds


nope. far too of an aggressive game for him. he has no snarl
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Jul 8 @ 11:38 PM ET
Having goals in life is important.

Also, Coburn sucks, we should just give him to the Pens... Addition by way of subtraction and all that jazzy stuff.

- wolfhounds

sure coburn for matta
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 8 @ 11:39 PM ET
His would be higher, Doughty's would be lower.
- aflyerpower8


His would definitely be higher. Doubt very seriously that Doughty's would be lower. The reason that it would change at all is because Corsi is a poor statistic for looking at individual players due to false data. And MacDonald, just as any player would, would benefit from playing with a top partner such as Doughty, and with a strong possession team such as LA.
Players Corsi numbers are affected by who they play with. And the data used to compile a players Corsi stats is a team number, not an individual number.
aflyerpower8
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: AL
Joined: 06.03.2014

Jul 8 @ 11:39 PM ET
The pass to Nash is not the only play. If he steps up, there is also a play to put the puck in the corner, or towards the net for Nash to skate into. MacDonald was properly positioned on that rush to keep the angle on Nash, who was purposely skating wide to create space in an effort to get wide. If MacDonald takes a step up there, he's dead meat. That's how fast a defenseman can get beat in the NHL. One wrong stride or hesitation.
And the pictures don't tell how fast he was backskating. When he fell down, he's certainly not going to skate forward on the play, then he would have to execute an inside or outside turn, that in itself could cause him to get beat to the inside or outside pretty easily.

- MJL


No steps up. Just watch any other Flyers defenseman's gap throughout the game and no one plays with as much of a cushion as Amac. That includes Grossmann and Schenn who are not fleet of foot.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 8 @ 11:42 PM ET
No steps up. Just watch any other Flyers defenseman's gap throughout the game and no one plays with as much of a cushion as Amac. That includes Grossmann and Schenn who are not fleet of foot.
- aflyerpower8


I disagree with that. Also those players have been with the team longer, and are more comfortable with how the team plays. It's not uncommon for there to be an adjustment period for a player with a new team. And there is a much larger sample size. This upcoming season, he'll have a full training camp, and should be more acclimated.
aflyerpower8
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: AL
Joined: 06.03.2014

Jul 8 @ 11:42 PM ET
His would definitely be higher. Doubt very seriously that Doughty's would be lower. The reason that it would change at all is because Corsi is a poor statistic for looking at individual players due to false data. And MacDonald, just as any player would, would benefit from playing with a top partner such as Doughty, and with a strong possession team such as LA.
Players Corsi numbers are affected by who they play with. And the data used to compile a players Corsi stats is a team number, not an individual number.

- MJL


The Corsi stats I'm looking at are relative numbers compared to others on the same team.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 8 @ 11:43 PM ET
The Corsi stats I'm looking at are relative numbers compared to others on the same team.
- aflyerpower8


The same false data issue applies. All players are not playing in the same situations, and with the same teammates. It's a bad stat for looking at individual players.
stayinthefnnet
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 01.12.2012

Jul 8 @ 11:44 PM ET
sure coburn for matta
- 2Real

youve done nothing but tell me how much he sucks. now you want me to part with one of the more promising young defenders in the league for him?

2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Jul 8 @ 11:45 PM ET
youve done nothing but tell me how much he sucks. now you want me to part with one of the more promising young defenders in the league for him?
- stayinthefnnet

and you've done nothing but defend him and say how you wish he gets injured and you won't take him ?
Just5
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 05.22.2008

Jul 8 @ 11:45 PM ET
AMac- the contract is a bit overvalued. But my major issue with it was the assets we had to give up to get him at the deadline. He was not going to put the team over the top to compete for a Cup. Trading a 2nd and a 3rd to sign him to an inflated deal just doesn't sit well.

I think Hexy will pick and choose spots like that more carefully, instead of giving up the middle rounds of our future drafts for Dmen like Streit, Macdonald, who can be had at the same price on UFA day.
aflyerpower8
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: AL
Joined: 06.03.2014

Jul 8 @ 11:46 PM ET
The same false data issue applies. All players are not playing in the same situations, and with the same teammates. It's a bad stat for looking at individual players.
- MJL


In that case, every stat is biased/inadmissible. I take what I see from the stats (Corsi, QoC) and see if it plays itself out on the ice, and for Amac they do.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 8 @ 11:47 PM ET
AMac- the contract is a bit overvalued. But my major issue with it was the assets we had to give up to get him at the deadline. He was not going to put the team over the top to compete for a Cup. Trading a 2nd and a 3rd to sign him to an inflated deal just doesn't sit well.

I think Hexy will pick and choose spots like that more carefully, instead of giving up the middle rounds of our future drafts for Dmen like Streit, Macdonald, who can be had at the same price on UFA day.

- Just5


He wasn't signed as a deadline player to put the team over the top. And you don't know that they could've been had for the same price on UFA day, or that they wouldn't have signed with somebody else instead.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 8 @ 11:49 PM ET
In that case, every stat is biased/inadmissible. I take what I see from the stats (Corsi, QoC) and see if it plays itself out on the ice, and for Amac they do.
- aflyerpower8


I think the commentary on the pictures says otherwise. Not every stat, some are good, some are bad. Corsi improves over standard +/- as there is more of a sample size. But it has the same fatal flaw of false data. Corsi is a lot more reliable and relevant as a team stat. In which the false data issue is removed.
stayinthefnnet
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 01.12.2012

Jul 8 @ 11:50 PM ET
and you've done nothing but defend him and say how you wish he gets injured and you won't take him ?
- 2Real


okay injured was harsh. i dont actually want him to be hurt. but i really think fans that just label him as garbage should have to watch the flyers without his services for a nice stretch. it will be pretty horrific. no he isnt weber, but he is expected to do a hell of a lot for the team. he at least breaks even his fair share.

I would gladly take him on virtually any team i would hypothetically be in charge of, but given the roster makeup for the pens, he isnt so much of a fit for need that i would be willing to part with Maatta for him.

Not wanting to part part with what I consider to be a very valuable piece for something else does not necessarily dictate that the item for sale is garbage.

I would not give you a 20 dollar bill for a 10 dollar bill, but that doesnt mean the ten dollar bill suddenly becomes worthless.
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