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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: New Philosophy for Development Camp, Quick Hits
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Just5
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 05.22.2008

Jul 8 @ 11:52 PM ET
He wasn't signed as a deadline player to put the team over the top. And you don't know that they could've been had for the same price on UFA day, or that they wouldn't have signed with somebody else instead.
- MJL



God bless you
aflyerpower8
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: AL
Joined: 06.03.2014

Jul 8 @ 11:54 PM ET
I think the commentary on the pictures says otherwise. Not every stat, some are good, some are bad. Corsi improves over standard +/- as there is more of a sample size. But it has the same fatal flaw of false data. Corsi is a lot more reliable and relevant as a team stat. In which the false data issue is removed.
- MJL


But the commentary on the pictures says Amac is doing it wrong which is not what you are taking from it.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 8 @ 11:57 PM ET
But the commentary on the pictures says Amac is doing it wrong which is not what you are taking from it.
- aflyerpower8


That's not the commentary I was referring to. You state that your eye test says the same thing as the stats say. Well I disagree with your opinion on MacDonald's positioning on those play. I think there is some confirmation bias going on there r. And I also think that there needs to be some leeway given for both going to a new team, where there is undoubtedly some differences in how they play, as well as adjusting to new teammates. Not to mention a small sample of games, when comparing him to other defenseman on the team.
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Jul 9 @ 12:05 AM ET
okay injured was harsh. i dont actually want him to be hurt. but i really think fans that just label him as garbage should have to watch the flyers without his services for a nice stretch. it will be pretty horrific. no he isnt weber, but he is expected to do a hell of a lot for the team. he at least breaks even his fair share.

I would gladly take him on virtually any team i would hypothetically be in charge of, but given the roster makeup for the pens, he isnt so much of a fit for need that i would be willing to part with Maatta for him.

Not wanting to part part with what I consider to be a very valuable piece for something else does not necessarily dictate that the item for sale is garbage.

I would not give you a 20 dollar bill for a 10 dollar bill, but that doesnt mean the ten dollar bill suddenly becomes worthless.

- stayinthefnnet

how can you praise coburn so much and call him a 10 dollar bill? by your standards coburn is a workhorse on defense? what is matta? just some young player so to say coburn is a 10 dollar bill and matta is a 20 is wrong coburn is a 10 and matta is gold
we know the value of coburn but matta's value is to be determined gold might be cheaper in the future or it might be more expensive (relative to the dollar)
aflyerpower8
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: AL
Joined: 06.03.2014

Jul 9 @ 12:06 AM ET
That's not the commentary I was referring to. You state that your eye test says the same thing as the stats say. Well I disagree with your opinion on MacDonald's positioning on those play. I think there is some confirmation bias going on there r. And I also think that there needs to be some leeway given for both going to a new team, where there is undoubtedly some differences in how they play, as well as adjusting to new teammates. Not to mention a small sample of games, when comparing him to other defenseman on the team.
- MJL


The stats hold on the Islanders with him too, but if he passes your eye test in games while focusing on his gap, then I don't think I can convince you of my opinion. All that said, I hope he does well.
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Jul 9 @ 12:19 AM ET
Randy Jones
- Jsaquella


Just5
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 05.22.2008

Jul 9 @ 12:23 AM ET
a 2nd, 3rd and 4th round picks out the window to sign Streit and Macdonald to market value deals (at best).

Here's to hoping that Hexy puts an end to the trading for rights of players. Don't know if that's a tried and true formula for success, can't remember teams like the kings and hawks doing it that way
aflyerpower8
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: AL
Joined: 06.03.2014

Jul 9 @ 12:34 AM ET
a 2nd, 3rd and 4th round picks out the window to sign Streit and Macdonald to market value deals (at best).

Here's to hoping that Hexy puts an end to the trading for rights of players. Don't know if that's a tried and true formula for success, can't remember teams like the kings and hawks doing it that way

- Just5


Hear, hear!
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Jul 9 @ 12:36 AM ET
a 2nd, 3rd and 4th round picks out the window to sign Streit and Macdonald to market value deals (at best).

Here's to hoping that Hexy puts an end to the trading for rights of players. Don't know if that's a tried and true formula for success, can't remember teams like the kings and hawks doing it that way

- Just5

holmgren
SuperSchennBros
Location: Not protected by the Mods...I mean Mob. Take your best shot!
Joined: 09.01.2012

Jul 9 @ 1:33 AM ET
I just want Leafs fans to realize they follow the World's most overrated and stupidly run team in the world.
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Jul 9 @ 1:34 AM ET
I just want Leafs fans to realize they follow the World's most overrated and stupidly run team in the world.
- SuperSchennBros

don't worry their fans are clueless they think bozak is a legit #1 center
wilsonecho91
Season Ticket Holder
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: A dream to some...a nightmare to others, AK
Joined: 11.13.2007

Jul 9 @ 2:06 AM ET
This may as well have been written here. http://www.csnphilly.com/...er-if-they-cant-trade-him

Unreal

johndewar
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: South Jersey, NJ
Joined: 01.16.2009

Jul 9 @ 6:20 AM ET
This may as well have been written here. http://www.csnphilly.com/...er-if-they-cant-trade-him

Unreal


- wilsonecho91


If the Flyers intend to keep BSchenn at 2C, it might be the only real, viable scenario.

Let's be honest: The Flyers and Vinny don't have a lot of choices here.

Look at the upside: What's Vinny gonna do? Fall down more than Scott Hartnell? Taker dumber penalties?

I've defended Scott Hartnell a lot for what he's contributed, but the only thing I think Vinny isn't capable of bringing that Hartnell brings (or, used to bring) is the sandpaper factor. Whether or not Vinny commits to playing wing is another issue entirely, but I really don't think Vinny has a lot of choices at this point.

funmaster18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: All I need are some tasty waves, a cool buzz and I'm fine.
Joined: 03.15.2009

Jul 9 @ 6:47 AM ET
Karma

http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=456771
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Jul 9 @ 7:31 AM ET
Karma

http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=456771

- funmaster18

MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 9 @ 7:42 AM ET
The stats hold on the Islanders with him too, but if he passes your eye test in games while focusing on his gap, then I don't think I can convince you of my opinion. All that said, I hope he does well.
- aflyerpower8


So you don't think being over extended and overplayed with the Islanders had anything to do with it? A fundamental of Corsi is that sometimes good players on bad teams have bad Corsi numbers.
When I see a picture where from the top of the circle in the opposition's end, all the way through the neutral zone, and into the Flyers defensive zone, there is not a single Flyers forward in the picture. Yea, my eye test there doesn't blame the defenseman for gap control.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 9 @ 7:44 AM ET
If the Flyers intend to keep BSchenn at 2C, it might be the only real, viable scenario.

Let's be honest: The Flyers and Vinny don't have a lot of choices here.

Look at the upside: What's Vinny gonna do? Fall down more than Scott Hartnell? Taker dumber penalties?

I've defended Scott Hartnell a lot for what he's contributed, but the only thing I think Vinny isn't capable of bringing that Hartnell brings (or, used to bring) is the sandpaper factor. Whether or not Vinny commits to playing wing is another issue entirely, but I really don't think Vinny has a lot of choices at this point.

- johndewar


Playing Lecavalier at LW again, is not really a viable scenario. It's a mistake.
MBFlyerfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Be nice from now on, NJ
Joined: 03.17.2006

Jul 9 @ 8:07 AM ET
Playing Lecavalier at LW again, is not really a viable scenario. It's a mistake.
- MJL



Schenn G Simmer
Umberger VLC Voracek
Akeson Couturier Read
Bella Laughton Raffle

Git er done
aflyerpower8
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: AL
Joined: 06.03.2014

Jul 9 @ 8:23 AM ET
So you don't think being over extended and overplayed with the Islanders had anything to do with it? A fundamental of Corsi is that sometimes good players on bad teams have bad Corsi numbers.
When I see a picture where from the top of the circle in the opposition's end, all the way through the neutral zone, and into the Flyers defensive zone, there is not a single Flyers forward in the picture. Yea, my eye test there doesn't blame the defenseman for gap control.

- MJL


So, because no forward is in the picture, Amac does not have to maintain a proper gap. And advanced stats are useless for determining anything on an individual basis. Got it!
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jul 9 @ 9:07 AM ET
This may as well have been written here. http://www.csnphilly.com/...er-if-they-cant-trade-him

Unreal


- wilsonecho91


If he can't be traded and they have no choice to but keep him, playing RW with Giroux may well end up being the best possible spot. However, we've seen him struggle badly at LW.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jul 9 @ 9:09 AM ET
So, because no forward is in the picture, Amac does not have to maintain a proper gap. And advanced stats are useless for determining anything on an individual basis. Got it!
- aflyerpower8


Yep, the eye test rules, especially when you are seeing less than 1/3rd of the ice surface.

You might as well try to turn goat piss into gasoline rather than argue with that guy. His opinions are facts to him.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jul 9 @ 9:11 AM ET

- Tomahawk


I forgot, Andrew MacDoanld was the only decent defenseman on the UFA market.

Silly me.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 9 @ 10:46 AM ET
So, because no forward is in the picture, Amac does not have to maintain a proper gap. And advanced stats are useless for determining anything on an individual basis. Got it!
- aflyerpower8



It's impossible to maintain a proper gap, with no forwards in the picture from the offensive zone top of the circle, all the way through the neutral zone, and into the defensive zone without back pressure from the forwards. The defense has no choice but to back up in that situation. This is what I'm talking about. It's fundamentals of Hockey. And any eyetest given has to take those fundamentals into consideration. As Bill Clement said, gap control is everybody's responsibility.

And as far as advnaced stats are concerned. That's not what I said. I said Corsi is unreliable for rating players on an individual situation. And we can discuss that further if you like.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 9 @ 10:48 AM ET
Yep, the eye test rules, especially when you are seeing less than 1/3rd of the ice surface.

You might as well try to turn goat piss into gasoline rather than argue with that guy. His opinions are facts to him.

- Jsaquella



There were 3 pictures. One in the offensive zone, one in the neutral zone, and one at the blueline. There wasn't a forward in any of the pictures in support of the defenseman. So stating that the pictures only showed 1/3rd of the ice surface, is flat out wrong.
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