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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: Penalties, Development Camp, and More
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PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Jul 11 @ 5:48 PM ET
Don't know where your getting that from, or where that was said.
- MJL


What do you view Amac as? 2/3? 3? 3/4? 4? 4/5?
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Jul 11 @ 5:52 PM ET
One of the truths about Corsi is that sometimes good players on bad teams have bad numbers.
- MJL


You act as if we don't take everything into account and just blindly look at Corsi.
flyer_nutter
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Unleash the Peanuts, MB
Joined: 10.16.2008

Jul 11 @ 5:52 PM ET
For better or worse, this Evander Kane thing will become a distraction. I'd look to trade him at some time in the next year.

Tell him the harder he plays, better chance he has at moving out sooner. (better deals)

I just hope Flyers stay away myself.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 11 @ 5:52 PM ET
What do you view Amac as? 2/3? 3? 3/4? 4? 4/5?
- PhillySportsGuy


I view him as what he is. Which is a solid 2nd pair all around puck moving defenseman, that makes the Flyers a better team.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 11 @ 5:54 PM ET
You act as if we don't take everything into account and just blindly look at Corsi.
- PhillySportsGuy


I think that's your hang up, not mine. Not sure what's bringing this on, but if you want to have a discussion on Corsi, or Andrew MacDonald, that's fine.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Jul 11 @ 5:55 PM ET
I view him as what he is. Which is a solid 2nd pair all around puck moving defenseman, that makes the Flyers a better team.
- MJL


Ok. So you view him as a 3/4 and I view him as a 4/5. OMG! We're so far apart! I'm so anti-Amac!
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 11 @ 5:56 PM ET
For better or worse, this Evander Kane thing will become a distraction. I'd look to trade him at some time in the next year.

Tell him the harder he plays, better chance he has at moving out sooner. (better deals)

I just hope Flyers stay away myself.

- flyer_nutter


Tough situation. Obviously a very talented player. If you can live through and get past the growing pains and maturity issues, could have a really good player on your hands.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 11 @ 5:57 PM ET
Ok. So you view him as a 3/4 and I view him as a 4/5. OMG! We're so far apart! I'm so anti-Amac!
- PhillySportsGuy



The first thing that needs to be cleared up is when did I say that your "so anti-Amac"? Please show me where I did, and then maybe we can dispense with that and have a conversation.
aflyerpower8
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: AL
Joined: 06.03.2014

Jul 11 @ 6:03 PM ET
One of the truths about Corsi is that sometimes good players on bad teams have bad numbers.
- MJL


If you took the number out of context, yes. There are ways to contextualize the Corsi numbers by:

1. Checking the relative Corsi numbers (comparing him to his teammates)
2. Checking the Corsi numbers of defense partners who play with him versus their numbers when paired with other players
PhillaBully
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 07.20.2010

Jul 11 @ 6:05 PM ET
Ok. So you view him as a 3/4 and I view him as a 4/5. OMG! We're so far apart! I'm so anti-Amac!
- PhillySportsGuy

Settle on 4 you Nancys and be done with it
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Jul 11 @ 6:06 PM ET
The first thing that needs to be cleared up is when did I say that your "so anti-Amac"? Please show me where I did, and then maybe we can dispense with that and have a conversation.
- MJL


I just don't understand this huge Amac debate. You'd think people were so far apart on him when they're not. People ether view him as a 3/4 or 4/5. I just don't understand why something like this is worth the debate.

You make comments like this

The sad part is that someone with that level of incompetence can actually write a blog that will be actually read.

You discount advanced stats then insult people who, YOU BELIVE, rely entirely on advanced stats.
ob18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: That matters less than you hope it does
Joined: 07.20.2007

Jul 11 @ 6:07 PM ET
Settle on 4 you Nancys and be done with it
- PhillaBully


Go with 3.75 since nobody is sure
flyer_nutter
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Unleash the Peanuts, MB
Joined: 10.16.2008

Jul 11 @ 6:10 PM ET
Tough situation. Obviously a very talented player. If you can live through and get past the growing pains and maturity issues, could have a really good player on your hands.
- MJL


I just think the price will be way too high.

I'd take a gamble and hope he evolves like Carter has in LA for example. The Jets essentially have him as their arguably best offensive talent. He wont be cheap.

Defensive game questions, and it would be cool to have players come in who have that element to their game already, not those you have to teach it to.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Jul 11 @ 6:10 PM ET
Go with 3.75 since nobody is sure
- ob18


I'm not debating what Amac is. We each have our opinion. It just bothers me that he makes condescending comments as if anyone who looks at advanced stats is "incompetent" and that we rely entirely on Corsi in and of itself. He acts like I haven't watched a game and just look at spreadsheets.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 11 @ 6:11 PM ET
If you took the number out of context, yes. There are ways to contextualize the Corsi numbers by:

1. Checking the relative Corsi numbers (comparing him to his teammates)
2. Checking the Corsi numbers of defense partners who play with him versus their numbers when paired with other players

- aflyerpower8


The same problems occur in using relative corsi. And there are problems when using WOWY with Corsi also.

No matter what, you cannot get away from the false data with corsi. Regardless of who is playing with who, there is going to be a large percentage of false dats. It's why Coris is not a reliable measure of a player.

In terms of looking at wowy's in conjunction with corsi, there are two issues. One when looking at a defenseman playing with another defenseman, other then his usual defense partner, the sample size is a lot smaller. The other issue is that inevitably when a regular defense tandem is split up, one player is put into a different role and situation, and with different players. Completely spoiling the data.
As an example, let's say Mark Striet's Corsi numbers are better when not playing with Nik Grossmann, then when he is playing with Grossmann. Does that mean that Grossmann is bringing Streit's Corsi numbers down? Or is it because when he's moved away from Grossmann, he's now playing with Giroux and Voracek, in offensive situations, which elevates his Corsi numbers due to playing with better players, and in better situations? You use Corsi close to eliminate score effects, but the same issues are still there. It just isn't a reliable stat for measuring individual players.
eayost
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Into the Void, PA
Joined: 04.14.2010

Jul 11 @ 6:12 PM ET
I still imagine MacD got a little bit more money in exchange for no NMC involvement in the contract. It's a tad tricky to compare contracts to guys who got those clauses and compare the money directly
flyer_nutter
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Unleash the Peanuts, MB
Joined: 10.16.2008

Jul 11 @ 6:12 PM ET
I'm not debating what Amac is. We each have our opinion. It just bothers me that he makes condescending comments as if anyone who looks at advanced stats is "incompetent" and that we rely entirely on Corsi in and of itself. He acts like I haven't watched a game and just look at spreadsheets.
- PhillySportsGuy


Let it go.

Its one dude on a message board. Laugh, throw back a BS comment of your own and talk about what you want with others.
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Jul 11 @ 6:12 PM ET
For better or worse, this Evander Kane thing will become a distraction. I'd look to trade him at some time in the next year.

Tell him the harder he plays, better chance he has at moving out sooner. (better deals)

I just hope Flyers stay away myself.

- flyer_nutter

Yes
ob18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: That matters less than you hope it does
Joined: 07.20.2007

Jul 11 @ 6:12 PM ET
I'm not debating what Amac is. We each have our opinion. It just bothers me that he makes condescending comments as if anyone who looks at advanced stats is "incompetent" and that we rely entirely on Corsi in and of itself. He acts like I haven't watched a game and just look at spreadsheets.
- PhillySportsGuy


Well aren't we all GM's who know everything about players & how to build a championship caliber team?
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Jul 11 @ 6:14 PM ET
I just think the price will be way too high.

I'd take a gamble and hope he evolves like Carter has in LA for example. The Jets essentially have him as their arguably best offensive talent. He wont be cheap.

Defensive game questions, and it would be cool to have players come in who have that element to their game already, not those you have to teach it to.

- flyer_nutter

Yes
ravishingone
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: United States, PA
Joined: 06.30.2007

Jul 11 @ 6:14 PM ET
Go with 3.75 since nobody is sure
- ob18


Not to worry, Hagg will be promoted to the NHL around Christmas sparking endless debate how the organization is rushing another prospect, good times ahead.

ob18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: That matters less than you hope it does
Joined: 07.20.2007

Jul 11 @ 6:15 PM ET
Not to worry, Hagg will be promoted to the NHL around Christmas sparking endless debate how the organization is rushing another prospect, good times ahead.


- ravishingone


Don't see that on happening.
SuperSchennBros
Location: Not protected by the Mods...I mean Mob. Take your best shot!
Joined: 09.01.2012

Jul 11 @ 6:15 PM ET
I just think the price will be way too high.

I'd take a gamble and hope he evolves like Carter has in LA for example. The Jets essentially have him as their arguably best offensive talent. He wont be cheap.

Defensive game questions, and it would be cool to have players come in who have that element to their game already, not those you have to teach it to.

- flyer_nutter


The Jets seem to warn "Fair Value" for Kane. What's fair value exactly? At 22 years of age, anyone who trades for him is only trading for potential. He very much looks like he could be a future star in this league and he has had flashes of greatness but the attitude really stinks and players like him sometimes get their way and fall apart. It seems like the most focused bunch goes on to simply play hockey and become stars. I'd be willing to take Kane, especially right now but make no mistake, the Flyers would have traded him yesterday if they were having the sae problems with one of our own.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Jul 11 @ 6:15 PM ET
The same problems occur in using relative corsi. And there are problems when using WOWY with Corsi also.

No matter what, you cannot get away from the false data with corsi. Regardless of who is playing with who, there is going to be a large percentage of false dats. It's why Coris is not a reliable measure of a player.

In terms of looking at wowy's in conjunction with corsi, there are two issues. One when looking at a defenseman playing with another defenseman, other then his usual defense partner, the sample size is a lot smaller. The other issue is that inevitably when a regular defense tandem is split up, one player is put into a different role and situation, and with different players. Completely spoiling the data.
As an example, let's say Mark Striet's Corsi numbers are better when not playing with Nik Grossmann, then when he is playing with Grossmann. Does that mean that Grossmann is bringing Streit's Corsi numbers down? Or is it because when he's moved away from Grossmann, he's now playing with Giroux and Voracek, in offensive situations, which elevates his Corsi numbers due to playing with better players, and in better situations? You use Corsi close to eliminate score effects, but the same issues are still there. It just isn't a reliable stat for measuring individual players.

- MJL


What if EVERY Islander defenseman had worse corsi numbers when paired with Amac?
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Jul 11 @ 6:15 PM ET
Well aren't we all GM's who know everything about players & how to build a championship caliber team?
- ob18

No
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