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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: Remembering Gene Hart, Quick Hits
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BulliesPhan87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the lone wolf of hockeybuzz
Joined: 07.31.2009

Jul 24 @ 5:41 PM ET
I find that he's trying to catch up on the game frequently because he's been bloviating about some minor uninteresting fact about a 4th line player. When he's actually calling the game, he's really good.

I feel like I remember a few people in here pining for Gary Thorne recently. I hated that guy. I feel like he deliberately botched very easy to pronounce foreign names. Lazy.

- ThirdEye

I didn't really catch the Thorne era, so I'm indifferent. He reminds me of the NHL games, which I haven't been a big fan of since NHL96.
Tomahawk
Ottawa Senators
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Jul 24 @ 5:42 PM ET
ANALOGY (and/or simile) ALERT
- Giroux_Is_God


At least it's not a Stral man.
BulliesPhan87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the lone wolf of hockeybuzz
Joined: 07.31.2009

Jul 24 @ 5:44 PM ET
At least it's not a Stral man.
- Tomahawk

Quit Jokin(en) around

edit: i'm sorry this is a bad post
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jul 24 @ 5:44 PM ET
I didn't really catch the Thorne era, so I'm indifferent. He reminds me of the NHL games, which I haven't been a big fan of since NHL96.
- BulliesPhan87


There's merit to the name thing...he'd miss a lot of easy names. I didn;t really like him that much, until Versus got the games and I was subjected to Joe Benninnatti...then I missed Thorne
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 24 @ 5:45 PM ET
Basically that entire false positive/negative narrative was constructed by Staples because he's hawking his own set of "advanced" stats and he's admitted in the past that he digs into Corsi as means to draw attention to his own stuff.

And, as you've mentioned, and as Dellow showed, Neilson numbers are much more problematic... like a sludgy pot of subjectivity.

- Tomahawk


No I think the issue of false data was brought up long before he was trying to hawk his own advanced stats. The issue is real. And I think each individual team can take steps using the principles of Corsi, to make it more reliable for looking at individual players. But I don't see how it could be done for the entire league to a point where it would be comparable or accurate between teams. But it can probably be done to some degree internally with each individual team. And I believe that is what they're trying to do. Both numbers are problematic. Just a different set of problems.
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Jul 24 @ 5:47 PM ET
Can I say its garbage?


- flyer_nutter

Do you have an extra seat on this boat? I'm tired of seeing this sheeit
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Jul 24 @ 5:48 PM ET
At least it's not a Stral man.
- Tomahawk

Stralman argument in 3....2....
Tomahawk
Ottawa Senators
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Jul 24 @ 5:52 PM ET
The issue is real.
- MJL


It exists, but it doesn't spoil the data on the individual level like you're fond of insisting.

If the data was so poor, why has it been proven to be so darned predictive?
flyer_nutter
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Unleash the Peanuts, MB
Joined: 10.16.2008

Jul 24 @ 5:53 PM ET
You know.

One time I was engaging in intercourse and accidently went into the wrong insertion area.

This feels exactly the same.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 24 @ 5:55 PM ET
It exists, but it doesn't spoil the data on the individual level like you're fond of insisting.

If the data was so poor, why has it been proven to be so darned predictive?

- Tomahawk


It does spoil the data for sure. And it's not that predictive. Even on the team level. Maybe again, the best stat found so far for predicting an outcome. But not not to the point of being reliable.

I want to ask you an honest question, and I hope I get an honest answer. If Corsi or Fenwick didn't exist. Would you rely on +/- to rate a player?
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Jul 24 @ 5:55 PM ET
You know.

One time I was engaging in intercourse and accidently went into the wrong insertion area.

This feels exactly the same.

- flyer_nutter


I can only imagine OBs reaction when he sees this
flyer_nutter
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Unleash the Peanuts, MB
Joined: 10.16.2008

Jul 24 @ 5:56 PM ET
I can only imagine OBs reaction when he sees this
- PhillySportsGuy




Its only a bit of fun. I bring a brand of lunacy when I can.
mayorofangrytown
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Downingtown, PA
Joined: 08.16.2006

Jul 24 @ 5:59 PM ET
Do you have an extra seat on this boat? I'm tired of seeing this sheeit
- Giroux_Is_God

I think the truth is that these advanced stats are fine for arguments but you couldn't pull me into one. Think about it this way: There are 82 games per team per yr, 750+ players each participating in an average of let's say an average of 15 minutes a game. He'll be involved in loosely an statistical occurrence every 3 seconds. What average person can wade through that much information and stand on a soap box and make a salient argument.

Each team is doing it for their individual players and adjusting the statistics via video views but think of the number of people you would need to do it for a whole league. And let me tell you that those teams aren't sharing so it doesn't exist.
mayorofangrytown
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Downingtown, PA
Joined: 08.16.2006

Jul 24 @ 6:01 PM ET
You know.

One time I was engaging in intercourse and accidently went into the wrong insertion area.

This feels exactly the same.

- flyer_nutter

Pud stub.

is that a thing?
Tomahawk
Ottawa Senators
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Jul 24 @ 6:02 PM ET
I want to ask you an honest question, and I hope I get an honest answer. If Corsi or Fenwick didn't exist. Would you rely on +/- to rate a player?
- MJL


No... but it's not because of "false data" concerns... it's because the sample size of goals scored is too small to tell us anything definitive.
feelingkettle
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "No sir, I don't like it" Phil, PA
Joined: 11.13.2006

Jul 24 @ 6:03 PM ET
You know.

One time I was engaging in intercourse and accidently went into the wrong insertion area.

This feels exactly the same.

- flyer_nutter

+1 zone entry
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 24 @ 6:03 PM ET
I think the truth is that these advanced stats are fine for arguments but you couldn't pull me into one. Think about it this way: There are 82 games per team per yr, 750+ players each participating in an average of let's say an average of 15 minutes a game. He'll be involved in loosely an statistical occurrence every 3 seconds. What average person can wade through that much information and stand on a soap box and make a salient argument.

Each team is doing it for their individual players and adjusting the statistics via video views but think of the number of people you would need to do it for a whole league. And let me tell you that those teams aren't sharing so it doesn't exist.

- mayorofangrytown


Amen! It's all subjective. And you can use them to say whatever you want about a player. And that's the issue.
tangent_man
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: South Jersey
Joined: 11.28.2007

Jul 24 @ 6:08 PM ET
isn't that a simile?
- wilsonecho91



MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 24 @ 6:11 PM ET
No... but it's not because of "false data" concerns... it's because the sample size of goals scored is too small to tell us anything definitive.
- Tomahawk


Definitely sample size is a big issue! And one of the main problems that Corsi tries to correct. You may not be concerned about the false data issue, but it does exist with +/-. But that is neither here nor there. But here is my point. You wouldn't rely on standard +/- stats for looking at a player, because of the flaws in the stat. But if Corsi or Fenwick didn't exist. +/- would then take the mantle of the best stat we got. And when it was first developed, it became gospel among fans and around the League. It was the new thing that wasn't going away, and the Hockey world is on board! Sound familiar? Well why the double standard? Just as the flaws in +/- can't be ignored, neither can the flaws in Corsi and Fenwick be ignored. And certainly can't be ignored just because it's the best thing we got right now, and the Hockey world is on board. It's no different. And somewhere down the road, something else is going to come along that improves upon Corsi, and that will be the new thing that the Hockey World is on board with now. While Corsi gets dumped off the train, because of it's inherent flaws. And as MOAT theorizes, and I agree with him. NHL teams internally are already trying to improve upon it, to get a more accurate view of players.

Can't ignore the flaws of Corsi because "it's the best stat we got" anymore then you could with +/-.
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Jul 24 @ 6:12 PM ET
The struggle is real.
- MJL

Fixed
flyer_nutter
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Unleash the Peanuts, MB
Joined: 10.16.2008

Jul 24 @ 6:13 PM ET
Fixed
- Giroux_Is_God


When they say no.

It means yes.
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Jul 24 @ 6:13 PM ET

- tangent_man

I feel shame.
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Jul 24 @ 6:13 PM ET
When they say no.

It means yes.

- flyer_nutter

No means yes

Woof means woof
-davies-
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: A medical emergency involving you.
Joined: 08.05.2013

Jul 24 @ 6:13 PM ET
+1 zone entry
- feelingkettle


lol
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Jul 24 @ 6:14 PM ET
+1 zone entry
- feelingkettle


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