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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: Analytics, Alderson, Markov and More
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PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Jul 30 @ 6:10 PM ET
Lend me your subscription
- ob18


Lend me all of yours to your secret black book/CHL streaming
Crimsoninja
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Dude, I am so sorry about whatever made you like this. Take it easy.
Joined: 07.06.2007

Jul 30 @ 6:12 PM ET
1. Toews
2. Crosby
3. Doughty
4. Getzlaf
5. MacKinnon
6. Weber
7. Kopitar
8. Tavares
9. Price
10. Rask
11. Stamkos
12. Subban
13. Malkin

Honorable mentions: Lundqvist, Pietrangelo, Datsyuk, Kane, OEL

Edirt: Leight as (frank)

- PhillySportsGuy

ob18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: That matters less than you hope it does
Joined: 07.20.2007

Jul 30 @ 6:12 PM ET
Led me all of yours to your secret black book/CHL streaming
- PhillySportsGuy


Nope.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Jul 30 @ 6:14 PM ET

- Crimsoninja


I guess you can make a case for each of those guys being on the list. I'm just surprised no one pick Giroux at all
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Jul 30 @ 6:14 PM ET
Sounds like the 2004 team against Tampa.
- SuperSchennBros


Very similar actually. key dmen, Jim Watson and Eric Desjardins, were out with injuries. That team was deep at forward and had an amazing season but their D was a mess. Due to injuries to Watson and Bob Dailey, they were forced to rely way too much on journeyman like Bathe, Barnes and Busniuk, and while he was very talented, Behn Wilson was extremely inconsistent and prone to terrible giveaways.
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Jul 30 @ 6:14 PM ET
1. Toews
2. Crosby
3. Doughty
4. Getzlaf
5. MacKinnon
6. Weber
7. Kopitar
8. Tavares
9. Price
10. Rask
11. Stamkos
12. Subban
13. Malkin

Honorable mentions: Lundqvist, Pietrangelo, Datsyuk, Kane, OEL

Edirt: Leight as (frank)

- PhillySportsGuy


Good to know that they actually look further than the past year's stats, lol.

Getzlaf at 4 and Malkin at 13? Price over Rask and Hanky? Youch. And yeah, no love for the Orange Jesus.
SuperSchennBros
Location: Not protected by the Mods...I mean Mob. Take your best shot!
Joined: 09.01.2012

Jul 30 @ 6:19 PM ET
1. Crosby
2. Ovechkin
3. Stamkos
4. Malkin
5. Giroux
6. Weber
7. Chara
8. Tavares
9. Doughty
10. Lundqvist
11. Toews
12. P. Kane
13. Kopitar
14. Price
15. Keith

I placed the Black Hawks players late because they're world class players but have each other.
aflyerpower8
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: AL
Joined: 06.03.2014

Jul 30 @ 6:22 PM ET
1. Toews
2. Crosby
3. Doughty
4. Getzlaf
5. MacKinnon
6. Weber
7. Kopitar
8. Tavares
9. Price
10. Rask
11. Stamkos
12. Subban
13. Malkin

Honorable mentions: Lundqvist, Pietrangelo, Datsyuk, Kane, OEL

Edirt: Leight as (frank)

- PhillySportsGuy


The MacKinnon hype is way over the top.
SuperSchennBros
Location: Not protected by the Mods...I mean Mob. Take your best shot!
Joined: 09.01.2012

Jul 30 @ 6:25 PM ET
The MacKinnon hype is way over the top.
- aflyerpower8

After one season, I agree.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Jul 30 @ 6:29 PM ET
Good to know that they actually look further than the past year's stats, lol.

Getzlaf at 4 and Malkin at 13? Price over Rask and Hanky? Youch. And yeah, no love for the Orange Jesus.

- Tomahawk


Yeah. I thought Getzlaf was really high considering he's 29.

I just don't understand how they left off Giroux.
hammarby31
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: it's been 84 years, AZ
Joined: 01.02.2007

Jul 30 @ 6:33 PM ET
In Jay Greenberg's book, Clarke said that they were just out of gas by that point. A lot of key players were playing injured, the D was being held together by glue and the Isles were just deeper, and healthier. He thought that even had they won game 6, it would have took a miracle for them to win game 7, even though the game was at the Spectrum. They were just that spent.
- BiggE


they looked tired in the minutes before the goal. i still think if they had won game 6, they would have taken it at home.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jul 30 @ 6:33 PM ET
Agreed!

I know we're all living off the high of Giroux coming in third in point production for the second time in three seasons but we should also consider Stamkos was hurt and I believe Malkin missed sometime. I'm actually very interested in seeing a season where all the top young stars have a clear healthy season and seeing how Giroux holds up then.

- SuperSchennBros


Since the 2010 Olympics, here's an in depth list of all Canadian born NHLers who have scored more points than Claude Giroux:

I'd say he holds up pretty well.
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Jul 30 @ 6:35 PM ET
I just don't understand how they left off Giroux.
- PhillySportsGuy


Too short, too French, too fond of fondling?
SuperSchennBros
Location: Not protected by the Mods...I mean Mob. Take your best shot!
Joined: 09.01.2012

Jul 30 @ 6:39 PM ET
Since the 2010 Olympics, here's an in depth list of all Canadian born NHLers who have scored more points than Claude Giroux:

I'd say he holds up pretty well.

- Jsaquella

I'm not saying Giroux doesn't hold up well. He's within the top five on my list I just posted moments ago.
fls13
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 03.24.2009

Jul 30 @ 6:41 PM ET
I'm pretty sure they only count entries where a serious attempt at offense is made... there probably are times when that one guy sweeping shallow into the zone somehow ends up w/ the puck on a dump-in and it becomes an offensive foray, but short of that, I think the data is pretty much supposed to be line-dump free.





- Tomahawk


Ha! Would have helped if I had read the lead in more carefully and not jumped straight to the stats. Over time, you can see some value there. Still, dumps are better than neutral zone turnovers, a forecheck involving putting a hit on the opponent can have a nice effect and you can always get that neutral zone turnover yourself after a dump in. As a coach what I'd like to see is a grade on those individual decisions regarding when to carry and when to dump. Forcing a carry in that just isn't there does more harm than good. Same with dillying on the perimeter rather than making a play at the end.
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Jul 30 @ 6:46 PM ET
After one season, I agree.
- SuperSchennBros

Indeed.

Don't get me wrong- this kid could be special. But man....people need to chill. Come talk to me after the next 2 seasons before we crown him as one of the best players to build a franchise around.
aflyerpower8
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: AL
Joined: 06.03.2014

Jul 30 @ 6:48 PM ET
Indeed.

Don't get me wrong- this kid could be special. But man....people need to chill. Come talk to me after the next 2 seasons before we crown him as one of the best players to build a franchise around.

- Giroux_Is_God


I can only imagine what is going to happen when McDavid gets here.
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Jul 30 @ 6:52 PM ET
Still, dumps are better than neutral zone turnovers...
- fls13


For sure, if dumping is the best read/option, by all means do it, even if it means you're more likely to not end up w/ a shot/chance on net (and the other team will likely take the puck).

I think the debate is more centered over the instances where coaches are instructing their lesser players/lower lines to default to dumping in because they feel the that those guys carrying it in might not yield the same risk/reward... the stats seem to be challenging that assumption.
SuperSchennBros
Location: Not protected by the Mods...I mean Mob. Take your best shot!
Joined: 09.01.2012

Jul 30 @ 6:52 PM ET
Indeed.

Don't get me wrong- this kid could be special. But man....people need to chill. Come talk to me after the next 2 seasons before we crown him as one of the best players to build a franchise around.

- Giroux_Is_God

I really hope that Nathan MacKinnon becomes a top five or top ten player because the league needs more.
mayorofangrytown
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Downingtown, PA
Joined: 08.16.2006

Jul 30 @ 6:57 PM ET
I really hope that Nathan MacKinnon becomes a top five or top ten player because the league needs more.
- SuperSchennBros

They can only have 5 or 10.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jul 30 @ 6:58 PM ET
They can only have 5 or 10.
- mayorofangrytown

SuperSchennBros
Location: Not protected by the Mods...I mean Mob. Take your best shot!
Joined: 09.01.2012

Jul 30 @ 6:58 PM ET
They can only have 5 or 10.
- mayorofangrytown

Players get edged out of the top 10 all the time.
vejim
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: FL
Joined: 07.08.2007

Jul 30 @ 7:00 PM ET
1. Crosby
2. Ovechkin
3. Stamkos
4. Malkin
5. Giroux
6. Weber
7. Chara
8. Tavares
9. Doughty
10. Lundqvist
11. Toews
12. P. Kane
13. Kopitar
14. Price
15. Keith

I placed the Black Hawks players late because they're world class players but have each other.

- SuperSchennBros

what about the Schenn Bros?
mayorofangrytown
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Downingtown, PA
Joined: 08.16.2006

Jul 30 @ 7:02 PM ET
Players get edged out of the top 10 all the time.
- SuperSchennBros

But you can still only have 10 top 10 players. It's like a rule or something.
aflyerpower8
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: AL
Joined: 06.03.2014

Jul 30 @ 7:05 PM ET
But you can still only have 10 top 10 players. It's like a rule or something.
- mayorofangrytown


I don't follow. Most top tens I have read have 12-17 players.
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