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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: Rookie Camp Finalized, Projected Lines, Quick Hits
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MBFlyerfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Be nice from now on, NJ
Joined: 03.17.2006

Sep 12 @ 2:50 PM ET
Common guys, it's this clown:


- Tomahawk



Suck it!
xShoot4WarAmpsx
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Hamilton, ON
Joined: 06.25.2010

Sep 12 @ 2:53 PM ET
I am concerned with these pairings. Frankly MacDonald did not fair to well on the top pair with the Isles, of course he is one player on two different teams so maybe he will be better but to make things worse you have him paired with Coburn who is too inconsistent. Some times he plays really well and other times you get what you saw VS Rangers in playoffs. I still do not understand some of the plays Coburn made. Coburn rounds his own net with a man on and tries to pass the puck with one hand on his stick and turns it over, Really? The other one was directing MacDonald and as he was doing that Carcillo just skated by for a tap in goal.

Streit and Grossman I am ok with but my concern is with Grossman and his puck handling. He is great at playing defence but the second he has the puck, you start to cringe. As for MDZ and Schenn, the concern is what player is going to show up. Is MDZ that was coveted by the league going to show or that disaster of a player that played last season and with Schenn it would be Playoff Schenn or Struggled until MacDonald Came Schenn. I'd be More comfortable with:

Streit-Coburn
AMac - Schenn
MDZ - Grossman


Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Sep 12 @ 2:54 PM ET
Here's the clip for lazy ppl:
https://nbcprohockeytalk....m/2014/09/leiwekefull.mp3

Really interesting what he says about ExtraSkater... said it was a site 'that every GM used', but they wanted to monopolize it, so they hired the guy.

Also confirms what some of us were talking about yesterday: Leafs weren't doing much of anything in analytics before this summer at all.
xShoot4WarAmpsx
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Hamilton, ON
Joined: 06.25.2010

Sep 12 @ 2:55 PM ET
If Giroux can do 85+ points, Schenn 55+, Voracek 65+, Simmonds 60+, Read 45+, Couturier 45+, Lecavalier 40+, Umberger 35+, Raffl or Akeson 30+ then the offense will be there. The problem I see is having this forward mix be effective in other ways especially team defense and physicality.
- NickTheKid87


I think a healthy Vinny can hit 25 goals and 50 points. Umberger I think will be the same as last season, hopefully he can chip in 18-20 goals.
NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Sep 12 @ 2:56 PM ET
I am concerned with these pairings. Frankly MacDonald did not fair to well on the top pair with the Isles, of course he is one player on two different teams so maybe he will be better but to make things worse you have him paired with Coburn who is too inconsistent. Some times he plays really well and other times you get what you saw VS Rangers in playoffs. I still do not understand some of the plays Coburn made. Coburn rounds his own net with a man on and tries to pass the puck with one hand on his stick and turns it over, Really? The other one was directing MacDonald and as he was doing that Carcillo just skated by for a tap in goal.

Streit and Grossman I am ok with but my concern is with Grossman and his puck handling. He is great at playing defence but the second he has the puck, you start to cringe. As for MDZ and Schenn, the concern is what player is going to show up. Is MDZ that was coveted by the league going to show or that disaster of a player that played last season and with Schenn it would be Playoff Schenn or Struggled until MacDonald Came Schenn. I'd be More comfortable with:

Streit-Coburn
AMac - Schenn
MDZ - Grossman

- xShoot4WarAmpsx


No matter how you list them, MacDonald is going to get a lot of minutes against good competition because they don't have many other options. Ideally, he'd be on the 2nd pair complementing another player but the Flyers are in a situation far from ideal.
NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Sep 12 @ 2:57 PM ET
I think a healthy Vinny can hit 25 goals and 50 points. Umberger I think will be the same as last season, hopefully he can chip in 18-20 goals.
- xShoot4WarAmpsx


I agree. I could see Vinny playing 65 games and scoring 25 goals and 25 assists. If he plays like he did last year, maybe he'll retire and we'll be off the hook.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Sep 12 @ 2:59 PM ET
Here's the clip for lazy ppl:
https://nbcprohockeytalk....m/2014/09/leiwekefull.mp3

Really interesting what he says about ExtraSkater... said it was a site 'that every GM used', but they wanted to monopolize it, so they hired the guy.

Also confirms what some of us were talking about yesterday: Leafs weren't doing much of anything in analytics before this summer at all.

- Tomahawk


But NHL teams use so much more advanced stats than a random schmuck could hunt down on the internet
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Sep 12 @ 2:59 PM ET
Here's the clip for lazy ppl:
https://nbcprohockeytalk....m/2014/09/leiwekefull.mp3

Really interesting what he says about ExtraSkater... said it was a site 'that every GM used', but they wanted to monopolize it, so they hired the guy.

Also confirms what some of us were talking about yesterday: Leafs weren't doing much of anything in analytics before this summer at all.

- Tomahawk


But NHL teams use so much more advanced stats than a random schmuck could hunt down on the internet
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Sep 12 @ 3:00 PM ET
Those top lines are fantastic, but I question where the offense is coming from on that third line. Akeson is a heck of a playmaker and should be given a chance but I doubt Vinny or Umberger are going to help him out much although they provide leadership and solid defensive play. Raffl, Rinaldo and Bellemore could be a heck of a fourth line.
- Slipperypickle



This is the stuff that puzzles me. Akeson, who's played all of what, 8 NHL games is a heck of a playmaker! But there is doubts that proven NHL players such as Umberger and 400+ goal scorer Lecavalier are going to help him out much?
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Sep 12 @ 3:00 PM ET



- MBFlyerfan




xShoot4WarAmpsx
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Hamilton, ON
Joined: 06.25.2010

Sep 12 @ 3:01 PM ET
I agree. I could see Vinny playing 65 games and scoring 25 goals and 25 assists. If he plays like he did last year, maybe he'll retire and we'll be off the hook.
- NickTheKid87


Doubt it. Vinny will wait out the contract to continue getting paid.
Giroux_Is_God
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CLASS DISMISSED
Joined: 12.15.2011

Sep 12 @ 3:01 PM ET
But NHL teams use so much more advanced stats than a random schmuck could hunt down on the internet
- Jsaquella

Do you smell smoke??

Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Sep 12 @ 3:02 PM ET
No matter how you list them, MacDonald is going to get a lot of minutes against good competition because they don't have many other options. Ideally, he'd be on the 2nd pair complementing another player but the Flyers are in a situation far from ideal.
- NickTheKid87


It's scary, but even Coburn needs somebody to carry him through his ups and downs.

Whatever the pairs end up being, there's nobody around to cover for a weak sister anymore. Schenn, MDZ, AMac... they've got to pull their weight consistently.
NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Sep 12 @ 3:02 PM ET
Doubt it. Vinny will wait out the contract to continue getting paid.
- xShoot4WarAmpsx


I could see that happening. Or I could see him retiring if he plays 50 games a scores 15 points. He don't seem like he's just in it for the money. Either way, Tampa will still be paying him his buyout money.
NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Sep 12 @ 3:04 PM ET
It's scary, but even Coburn needs somebody to carry him through his ups and downs.

Whatever the pairs end up being, there's nobody around to cover for a weak sister anymore. Schenn, MDZ, AMac... they've got to hold their weight consistently.

- Tomahawk


It's really been that way the last few years once Pronger got hurt and Timonen got older. Before, Timonen could adequately complement Coburn but now Coburn's gotta be that guy for AMac or Streit or whoever. So far he's done an ok job but ok isn't what you want out of your top pair.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Sep 12 @ 3:06 PM ET
But NHL teams use so much more advanced stats than a random schmuck could hunt down on the internet
- Jsaquella


They dont use different stats, they use different and better data to compile the numbers for their own players.
jak521
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Buckle Up.
Joined: 02.19.2008

Sep 12 @ 3:09 PM ET
But NHL teams use so much more advanced stats than a random schmuck could hunt down on the internet
- Jsaquella

Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Sep 12 @ 3:10 PM ET
They dont use different stats, they use different and better data to compile the numbers for their own players.
- MJL


So they were going on ExtraSkater to... uh... plug their own data in ?

(and if you're the Leafs, it's data you weren't even collecting)
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Sep 12 @ 3:14 PM ET
It's really been that way the last few years once Pronger got hurt and Timonen got older. Before, Timonen could adequately complement Coburn but now Coburn's gotta be that guy for AMac or Streit or whoever. So far he's done an ok job but ok isn't what you want out of your top pair.
- NickTheKid87


Kimmo basically made Schenn in that lockout year... and got Coburn's game back on track this past season.

I'm really scared of life post-#44.
NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Sep 12 @ 3:16 PM ET
Kimmo basically made Schenn in that lockout year... and got Coburn's game back on track this past season.

I'm really scared of life post-#44.

- Tomahawk


He was a legit #1 pairing dman. Even when he started to fall off he stay ahead of the pack. Last year he was still a solid 2nd pairing guy.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Sep 12 @ 3:17 PM ET
So they were going on ExtraSkater to... uh... plug their own data in ?

(and if you're the Leafs, it's data you weren't even collecting)

- Tomahawk



I don't doubt that NHL execs look at analytic websites. Why not? Doesn't equate to how much value or how much they actually used the numbers from those websites and involved them in their decision making. I also doubt that Liewski has the inside knowledge of what every NHL GM used or did. I think it's quite clear that teams are pretty secretive in what and how they use analytics, and are unwilling to talk about it.

And neither you, nor I know what the Leafs were doing.
-davies-
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: A medical emergency involving you.
Joined: 08.05.2013

Sep 12 @ 3:18 PM ET
Kimmo basically made Schenn in that lockout year... and got Coburn's game back on track this past season.

I'm really scared of life post-#44.

- Tomahawk



terrifying. i'm having a hard time coming to grips with it... no pronger no timonen...
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Sep 12 @ 3:28 PM ET
And neither you, nor I know what the Leafs were doing.
- MJL


Their Pres + CEO: “very little analytical information”
BulliesPhan87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the lone wolf of hockeybuzz
Joined: 07.31.2009

Sep 12 @ 3:32 PM ET
I believe
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Sep 12 @ 3:33 PM ET
Their Pres + CEO: “very little analytical information”
- Tomahawk



Lots of voices coming from the Leafs. Presidents and CEO's tend to be more on the business side, rather then the player personell department. Nonis, who is in the hockey operations department said they did use analytics. To what extent, we don't know. But I think it's clear they're expanding in that area with recent hires.

http://prohockeytalk.nbcs...eafs-were-anti-analytics/
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