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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Flyers Gameday: 10/14/14 vs. ANA
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NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Oct 14 @ 10:42 AM ET
I think this is a case of the possession stats not really telling the story. Either it's short-term bad luck, or the shots the opposition are getting are high-percentage shots because he can't limit them well.
- jmatchett383


The sample-size is much too low for these numbers to be all that meaningful yet anyway.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Oct 14 @ 10:42 AM ET
MDZ has flaws. No one would deny that. I just don't understand why his flaws are worse than ALL of the other defenseman's.
- PhillySportsGuy


Because, as a defenseman, you should be able to play defense. He's a winger in disguise.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Oct 14 @ 10:42 AM ET
I think this is a case of the possession stats not really telling the story. Either it's short-term bad luck, or the shots the opposition are getting are high-percentage shots because he can't limit them well.
- jmatchett383


We need a larger sample size. It shows that MDZ is pushing the play more than any other defenseman though.

The save% while he's on the ice is way too low to be sustainable. Once it evens out a bit, we'll get a better idea.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Oct 14 @ 10:42 AM ET
The Flyers are doing with MacDonald the exact same thing the Islanders did with him.
- PhillySportsGuy


Yes, they are. And Berube admitted that after the Montreal game, that 28 minutes is way too much.
MBFlyerfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Be nice from now on, NJ
Joined: 03.17.2006

Oct 14 @ 10:43 AM ET
B Schenn hasn't been any better at Center then he has at Wing. He has struggled, and has had success at both positions. B Schenn has to take some responsibility for his own play. Not saying that he hasn't, but he needs to be better.
- MJL


I agree, and the numbers bear it out.
Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

Oct 14 @ 10:43 AM ET
Whether Schenn is a better LW or C is irrelevant to a certain extent. Like you said earlier, if he can't play LW, he'll have no place here with Giroux, Couturier and Lecavalier in the NHL and Laughton in the pipeline. Because of that, they might as well give him as many games at LW as possible and hope he can figure it out. Otherwise he doesn't fit the roster.
- NickTheKid87


And I'm not even including Bellemare who's already gone up to 2C/3C.
AllInForFlyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Call Me Sweetcheeks
Joined: 03.18.2013

Oct 14 @ 10:43 AM ET
The Flyers are doing with MacDonald the exact same thing the Islanders did with him.
- PhillySportsGuy


Again: Baffling. Timonen's loss was significant on many levels, but that may be the biggest

MacDonald hasn't been the problem, and I think Coburn playing well could help, but no, playing MacDonald a ton of minutes just isn't the optimal path
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Oct 14 @ 10:44 AM ET
We need a larger sample size. It shows that MDZ is pushing the play more than any other defenseman though.

The save% while he's on the ice is way too low to be sustainable. Once it evens out a bit, we'll get a better idea.

- PhillySportsGuy


Yes, he's pushing the play and they're getting possession. That's all for naught when you turn it over and 5 seconds later it's in your net because of an odd-man rush or a high-percentage chance because you're either caught up the ice or your positioning is deficient.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Oct 14 @ 10:44 AM ET
Because, as a defenseman, you should be able to play defense. He's a winger in disguise.
- jmatchett383


I just don't understand why the coaches are so quick to dismiss Grossmann's flaws like turnovers or getting beat wide, but if MDZ doesn't box someone out, the world is ending.

In my eyes, no one on this team is playing well defensively, but at least MDZ is contributing offensively.
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Oct 14 @ 10:44 AM ET
Read has been LW and Umberger has been RW on that line.

Also, is Raffl-G-Simmonds going to be a 60% CF line like Girafflcek was last year? Taking out only elite, puck-possession winger away from the 1st line is a dangerous move.

- Feanor


Yeah, probably.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Oct 14 @ 10:44 AM ET
I think this is a case of the possession stats not really telling the story. Either it's short-term bad luck, or the shots the opposition are getting are high-percentage shots because he can't limit them well.
- jmatchett383


Most likely. But what it really is, is a case of using possession stats to say what you (not you personally) want them to say.
Marc D
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: best smile, 14 without fake tees
Joined: 03.28.2008

Oct 14 @ 10:45 AM ET
The Flyers are doing with MacDonald the exact same thing the Islanders did with him.
- PhillySportsGuy

Not by choice though

When Amac and Schultz are the guys the coach is forced to use 28 min and 23+ min it's a pig without a head with lipstick

Or something like that

MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Oct 14 @ 10:45 AM ET
I just don't understand why the coaches are so quick to dismiss Grossmann's flaws like turnovers or getting beat wide, but if MDZ doesn't box someone out, the world is ending.

In my eyes, no one on this team is playing well defensively, but at least MDZ is contributing offensively.

- PhillySportsGuy


Because Grossmann is a proven defensive defenseman who has earned the trust of the coaching staff with his play over the years.
AllInForFlyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Call Me Sweetcheeks
Joined: 03.18.2013

Oct 14 @ 10:46 AM ET
I just don't understand why the coaches are so quick to dismiss Grossmann's flaws like turnovers or getting beat wide, but if MDZ doesn't box someone out, the world is ending.

In my eyes, no one on this team is playing well defensively, but at least MDZ is contributing offensively.

- PhillySportsGuy


Exactly. It's just like loving forwards who never score because they try hard
NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Oct 14 @ 10:46 AM ET
And I'm not even including Bellemare who's already gone up to 2C/3C.
- Feanor


Yup. Schenn could be a nice replacement for Hartnell up front if he can figure out how to play LW. I could see him being a 25 goal scorer with a couple 30 goal seasons if he gets his act together.
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Oct 14 @ 10:46 AM ET
Keep telling myself what?
- MJL


You seem to be suggesting that because the 11-12 Devils, a team whose forwards all bought into their system, got to the finals with a mediocre group of dmen, that the Flyers will succeed with a D that is just as bad when Coburn is healthy and worse when he is not.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Oct 14 @ 10:47 AM ET
I just don't understand why the coaches are so quick to dismiss Grossmann's flaws like turnovers or getting beat wide, but if MDZ doesn't box someone out, the world is ending.

In my eyes, no one on this team is playing well defensively, but at least MDZ is contributing offensively.

- PhillySportsGuy


Define "contributing offensively." Do you mean carrying the puck up the ice and abandoning his defensive assignments? Because if so, that's spot on.

Again, as a defenseman, your #1 priority should be defending. If you have physical limits, that's one thing. But if you're more worried about the offensive side than the defensive side, that's discouraging to me.

Heck, even Mike Green and Erik Karlsson are average defenders. MDZ is like a rover out there.
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Oct 14 @ 10:47 AM ET
The Flyers are doing with MacDonald the exact same thing the Islanders did with him.
- PhillySportsGuy


And it sure worked out splendidly for the Isles!
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Oct 14 @ 10:48 AM ET
I think this is a case of the possession stats not really telling the story. Either it's short-term bad luck, or the shots the opposition are getting are high-percentage shots because he can't limit them well.
- jmatchett383



Grossmann/Streit have allowed just as many 10-bell looks on net... yet their SV% isn't in the doldrums. That stuff just evens out over the course of 82-games -- the very worst on-ice SV% for any dman last season over 800mins played was 89%. Anything below that is bizarre, yet people are essentially writing off MDZ based on all those goals against right now.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Oct 14 @ 10:49 AM ET
Grossmann/Streit have allowed just as many 10-bell looks on net... yet their SV% isn't in the doldrums. That stuff just evens out over the course of 82-games -- the very worst on-ice SV% for any dman last season over 800mins played was 89%. Anything below that is bizarre, yet people are essentially writing off MDZ based on all those goals against right now.
- Tomahawk


I'm not writing him off. I'm hoping he succeeds. But so far, he's given me 0% reason to believe he will. The dude cannot play defense. He flat out cannot. I would rather have Hal Gill out there, and I HATE Hal Gill.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Oct 14 @ 10:49 AM ET
Not by choice though

When Amac and Schultz are the guys the coach is forced to use 28 min and 23+ min it's a pig without a head with lipstick

Or something like that


- Marc D


That's Berube's fault though. His insistence on not breaking up the other pairs has forced him to play Schultz so many minutes.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Oct 14 @ 10:50 AM ET
That's Berube's fault though. His insistence on not breaking up the other pairs has forced him to play Schultz so many minutes.
- PhillySportsGuy


Yes, that's the solution. Change up one deficient pairing to replace it with another deficient pairing.

Where's the parade starting?
keatondixon
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: My comments express my views and Eklund's views ...everything I say Eklund agrees with 100%
Joined: 12.11.2008

Oct 14 @ 10:51 AM ET
McDavid please..
AllInForFlyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Call Me Sweetcheeks
Joined: 03.18.2013

Oct 14 @ 10:52 AM ET
Grossmann/Streit have allowed just as many 10-bell looks on net... yet their SV% isn't in the doldrums. That stuff just evens out over the course of 82-games -- the very worst on-ice SV% for any dman last season over 800mins played was 89%. Anything below that is bizarre, yet people are essentially writing off MDZ based on all those goals against right now.
- Tomahawk


.778 is not sustainable. It simply isn't. And Jaromir Jagr walking around Nicklas Grossman, who then has to take a penalty, is no better than Michael Del Zotto losing coverage on a man in the corner

It's the same thing. One guy gets a pass, one guy doesn't
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Oct 14 @ 10:52 AM ET
I'm not writing him off. I'm hoping he succeeds. But so far, he's given me 0% reason to believe he will. The dude cannot play defense. He flat out cannot. I would rather have Hal Gill out there, and I HATE Hal Gill.
- jmatchett383


Jeez, you're going to hate Ghost.
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