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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Wrapup: Flyers Play Well Enough to Lose to Canes, 3-1
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arichardson22
Season Ticket Holder
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philly, PA
Joined: 06.10.2013

Feb 24 @ 11:34 AM ET
I know I'm in favor of Hextall's approach. I hope Toronto throws gigantic wads of cash at Stamkos, and a huge term too.

In fact, for me that is going to be one of the interesting little dramas of the off-season. Does Stamkos go for the money? Does Toronto stick with the sensible rebuild or do they commit an exorbitant sum of money for the shiny new toy?

Also, if this year's NHL draft is as thin as some are saying (USA Today had a column the other day on the subject) I wouldnt mind Hextall adding picks from the subsequent draft.

- Doc_Sarcasm


That USA today article made it seems it's horrendous after mid 20s. Id like to think this increases the chances of finding a "steal" I guess you could say. It's odd tho, could have sworn I read an article stating this draft class is deeper than originally expected
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Feb 24 @ 11:36 AM ET
I know I'm in favor of Hextall's approach. I hope Toronto throws gigantic wads of cash at Stamkos, and a huge term too.

In fact, for me that is going to be one of the interesting little dramas of the off-season. Does Stamkos go for the money? Does Toronto stick with the sensible rebuild or do they commit an exorbitant sum of money for the shiny new toy?

Also, if this year's NHL draft is as thin as some are saying (USA Today had a column the other day on the subject) I wouldnt mind Hextall adding picks from the subsequent draft.

- Doc_Sarcasm


How many teams are even going to have the cap space to sign Stamkos?
ravishingone
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: United States, PA
Joined: 06.30.2007

Feb 24 @ 11:37 AM ET
I know I'm in favor of Hextall's approach. I hope Toronto throws gigantic wads of cash at Stamkos, and a huge term too.

In fact, for me that is going to be one of the interesting little dramas of the off-season. Does Stamkos go for the money? Does Toronto stick with the sensible rebuild or do they commit an exorbitant sum of money for the shiny new toy?

Also, if this year's NHL draft is as thin as some are saying (USA Today had a column the other day on the subject) I wouldnt mind Hextall adding picks from the subsequent draft.

- Doc_Sarcasm


Trader Hexy, I have full confidence getting maximum trade value. He already has the 3rd rounder in the Rinaldo pick in '17 and a good chance the Yotes picks gets pushed to '17. Wouldn't be shocked to see a Kimmo type trade by Monday. High draft pick this year, pick in '17 based upon advancement of trading club in playoffs.


jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Feb 24 @ 11:40 AM ET
How many teams are even going to have the cap space to sign Stamkos?
- PhillySportsGuy


Depends on how much he wants.
J35Bacher
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 04.03.2014

Feb 24 @ 11:40 AM ET
Thought this was funny. From Pens blog. For people that think Hartnell will get this great return. Seems other teams have same view on Hartnell as hextall did.

*Pittsburgh and Scott Hartnell? Seems weird to even type that, but there have been some people linking the two together this trade deadline season.

I’ll keep this one simple. That contract. He makes 4.75M for three more years after the 2015-16 season. He will turn 34 years young in April. Scott Hartnell is still a good hockey player and the Blue Jackets would probably give him away but you can’t invest in physical players at that age who have that much term left on their contracts.

The other reason to not acquire Scott Hartnell? They already have him.

Kunitz only has one more year left on his deal and it is 1M cheaper than Hartnell.

No need to help a divisional rival get a bad contract off their books.
J35Bacher
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 04.03.2014

Feb 24 @ 11:41 AM ET
Depends on how much he wants.
- jmatchett383



I understand Hextalls plan but I think he would be worth it for the Flyers. He is still young to be part of rebuild.

I have come down from Boedker. I really looked into him and he is more of a high priced Read.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Feb 24 @ 11:43 AM ET
I understand Hextalls plan but I think he would be worth it for the Flyers. He is still young to be part of rebuild.

I have come down from Boedker. I really looked into him and he is more of a high priced Read.

- J35Bacher


He's also 2 inches and 15 pounds heavier.
mayorofangrytown
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Downingtown, PA
Joined: 08.16.2006

Feb 24 @ 11:43 AM ET
They've got 4. Not exactly a lot, but a fair amount.
- jmatchett383

They have the equivalent of 8 if you consider it winning the conference and going to the Cup.

Wonder if any other team has lost 6 straight SCF appearances. Scared to look it up.
Doc_Sarcasm
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Should of studied Geometry
Joined: 04.28.2013

Feb 24 @ 11:45 AM ET
Thought this was funny. From Pens blog. For people that think Hartnell will get this great return. Seems other teams have same view on Hartnell as hextall did.

*Pittsburgh and Scott Hartnell? Seems weird to even type that, but there have been some people linking the two together this trade deadline season.

I’ll keep this one simple. That contract. He makes 4.75M for three more years after the 2015-16 season. He will turn 34 years young in April. Scott Hartnell is still a good hockey player and the Blue Jackets would probably give him away but you can’t invest in physical players at that age who have that much term left on their contracts.

The other reason to not acquire Scott Hartnell? They already have him.

Kunitz only has one more year left on his deal and it is 1M cheaper than Hartnell.

No need to help a divisional rival get a bad contract off their books.

- J35Bacher


The reason that I liked the Hartnell/Umberger trade at the time (and I still do) is precisely because of the length of that contract and the age that Hartnell will be at the end of it. That, and I really didnt expect the Flyers to make the playoffs the last couple of seasons. So, my thinking went... why not clear space for the time when you will need it most?

Having said that, watching Umberger be a shadow of the player he once was has been absolutely brutal.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Feb 24 @ 11:46 AM ET
They have the equivalent of 8 if you consider it winning the conference and going to the Cup.

Wonder if any other team has lost 6 straight SCF appearances. Scared to look it up.

- mayorofangrytown


No. Considering only 8 teams have that many appearances is impressive.

Next highest are St. Louis and Vancouver, who are both 0-3 all time.
J35Bacher
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 04.03.2014

Feb 24 @ 11:47 AM ET
The reason that I liked the Hartnell/Umberger trade at the time (and I still do) is precisely because of the length of that contract and the age that Hartnell will be at the end of it. That, and I really didnt expect the Flyers to make the playoffs the last couple of seasons. So, my thinking went... why not clear space for the time when you will need it most?

Having said that, watching Umberger be a shadow of the player he once was has been absolutely brutal.

- Doc_Sarcasm



Agree on that part.

I thought Umberger would be better. I just think it's funny that a Pens blogger thinks the same thing as hextall did. People always assume hextall could have gotten better value. I am not sure Hartnell had a ton of value at that contract and NTC and age.
mayorofangrytown
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Downingtown, PA
Joined: 08.16.2006

Feb 24 @ 11:47 AM ET
No. Considering only 8 teams have that many appearances is impressive.

Next highest are St. Louis and Vancouver, who are both 0-3 all time.

- jmatchett383

okay... I'm sad today.

When the hell is the draft?
Doc_Sarcasm
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Should of studied Geometry
Joined: 04.28.2013

Feb 24 @ 11:48 AM ET
That USA today article made it seems it's horrendous after mid 20s. Id like to think this increases the chances of finding a "steal" I guess you could say. It's odd tho, could have sworn I read an article stating this draft class is deeper than originally expected
- arichardson22



I know that as far back as early fall, this draft was thought by some to be every bit as deep as the previous two. In any event, you probably can't tell how deep a draft is until 3-5 years after it has come and gone. Anyone remember the 1999 draft? That was supposed to be such a great draft. It wasnt.
YuenglingJagr
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: under the bridge
Joined: 10.05.2015

Feb 24 @ 11:49 AM ET
okay... I'm sad today.

When the hell is the draft?

- mayorofangrytown


My fantasy draft is April 2nd
arichardson22
Season Ticket Holder
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philly, PA
Joined: 06.10.2013

Feb 24 @ 11:53 AM ET
I know that as far back as early fall, this draft was thought by some to be every bit as deep as the previous two. In any event, you probably can't tell how deep a draft is until 3-5 years after it has come and gone. Anyone remember the 1999 draft? That was supposed to be such a great draft. It wasnt.
- Doc_Sarcasm


just confirmed: Article late Decemeber written by USA today as well saying deeper than expected. Wonder what happened over a span of 1-2 months.
Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

Feb 24 @ 11:56 AM ET
Thought this was funny. From Pens blog. For people that think Hartnell will get this great return. Seems other teams have same view on Hartnell as hextall did.

*Pittsburgh and Scott Hartnell? Seems weird to even type that, but there have been some people linking the two together this trade deadline season.

I’ll keep this one simple. That contract. He makes 4.75M for three more years after the 2015-16 season. He will turn 34 years young in April. Scott Hartnell is still a good hockey player and the Blue Jackets would probably give him away but you can’t invest in physical players at that age who have that much term left on their contracts.

The other reason to not acquire Scott Hartnell? They already have him.

Kunitz only has one more year left on his deal and it is 1M cheaper than Hartnell.

No need to help a divisional rival get a bad contract off their books.

- J35Bacher


His age/contract makes him very divisive. CBJ might be better off keeping him since he hasn't slowed down yet and trying to trade him when he has two years and change left, or one year and change left.

GMs don't get a note from god saying Player X will fall off a cliff on Y date, so it's all educated guesses and risk management.
YuenglingJagr
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: under the bridge
Joined: 10.05.2015

Feb 24 @ 12:00 PM ET
His age/contract makes him very divisive. CBJ might be better off keeping him since he hasn't slowed down yet and trying to trade him when he has two years and change left, or one year and change left.

GMs don't get a note from god saying Player X will fall off a cliff on Y date, so it's all educated guesses and risk management.

- Feanor


What is the point of keeping him though? The risk isnt worth the reward considering they should be rebuilding a bit anyway
Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

Feb 24 @ 12:01 PM ET
What is the point of keeping him though? The risk isnt worth the reward considering they should be rebuilding a bit anyway
- YuenglingJagr


They might get better offers when he has less term left, assuming he doesn't slow down.
Doc_Sarcasm
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Should of studied Geometry
Joined: 04.28.2013

Feb 24 @ 12:04 PM ET
Agree on that part.

I thought Umberger would be better. I just think it's funny that a Pens blogger thinks the same thing as hextall did. People always assume hextall could have gotten better value. I am not sure Hartnell had a ton of value at that contract and NTC and age.

- J35Bacher



I suspect most hockey insiders and Paul Holmgren specifically thought that the cap was going to go up 9-10% every year as a rule. It has turned out that that is not going to be the case, and it has changed the perspective on long-term high value contracts.

In a world where the cap goes up 9-10% every year, Hartnell's expected decline probably becomes bearable for most teams. In a world where the cap stagnates or actually decreases from one year to the next, a Hartnellesque cap hit becomes painful.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Feb 24 @ 12:13 PM ET
Thought this was funny. From Pens blog. For people that think Hartnell will get this great return. Seems other teams have same view on Hartnell as hextall did.

*Pittsburgh and Scott Hartnell? Seems weird to even type that, but there have been some people linking the two together this trade deadline season.

I’ll keep this one simple. That contract. He makes 4.75M for three more years after the 2015-16 season. He will turn 34 years young in April. Scott Hartnell is still a good hockey player and the Blue Jackets would probably give him away but you can’t invest in physical players at that age who have that much term left on their contracts.

The other reason to not acquire Scott Hartnell? They already have him.

Kunitz only has one more year left on his deal and it is 1M cheaper than Hartnell.

No need to help a divisional rival get a bad contract off their books.

- J35Bacher


A lot of that has to do with the Pens cap situation. They don't have the space to take on Hartnell and they already have a ton tied up long term.
Doc_Sarcasm
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Should of studied Geometry
Joined: 04.28.2013

Feb 24 @ 12:16 PM ET
A lot of that has to do with the Pens cap situation. They don't have the space to take on Hartnell and they already have a ton tied up long term.
- PhillySportsGuy



How long before they're in the situation (or worse.. probably worse) that the Flyers are just coming out of? Where they have so much money tied up in unproductive contracts and so little room to make moves that they have to blow it up and start over?
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Feb 24 @ 12:19 PM ET
I know I'm in favor of Hextall's approach. I hope Toronto throws gigantic wads of cash at Stamkos, and a huge term too.

In fact, for me that is going to be one of the interesting little dramas of the off-season. Does Stamkos go for the money? Does Toronto stick with the sensible rebuild or do they commit an exorbitant sum of money for the shiny new toy?

Also, if this year's NHL draft is as thin as some are saying (USA Today had a column the other day on the subject) I wouldnt mind Hextall adding picks from the subsequent draft.

- Doc_Sarcasm


I haven't heard anything out of Toronto indicating that they're looking at banking on a superstar. Their actions speak otherwise. They're doing exactly what Hexy's doing, just cutting deeper.
arichardson22
Season Ticket Holder
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philly, PA
Joined: 06.10.2013

Feb 24 @ 12:22 PM ET
How long before they're in the situation (or worse.. probably worse) that the Flyers are just coming out of? Where they have so much money tied up in unproductive contracts and so little room to make moves that they have to blow it up and start over?
- Doc_Sarcasm


I think they have a better escape plan once this situation does happen: They could always trade one of their big 3 (Letang, Malkin, Sid) and the return would be great. Flyers were more capped strap bc players didn't / aren't living up to contract expectations.
TobyFlenderson
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: The Annex, Scranton, PA
Joined: 06.13.2013

Feb 24 @ 12:26 PM ET
I haven't heard anything out of Toronto indicating that they're looking at banking on a superstar. Their actions speak otherwise. They're doing exactly what Hexy's doing, just cutting deeper.
- Tomahawk

Yeah, given the way that front office has been going with Dubas and Shanahan in the fold, I wouldn't be surprised to see them pass on Stamkos if he makes it to free agency.
johndewar
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: South Jersey, NJ
Joined: 01.16.2009

Feb 24 @ 12:26 PM ET
I think they have a better escape plan once this situation does happen: They could always trade one of their big 3 (Letang, Malkin, Sid) and the return would be great. Flyers were more capped strap bc players didn't / aren't living up to contract expectations.
- arichardson22


Would it?

I mean, I'm sure they'll do well trading one of those 3, but the Pens would probably need to take some garbage in return to even out a trade, cap wise. That is, of course, unless it's a team with absolutely no cap issues. But I think most of those teams meddling with the cap floor don't want to spend the money anyway.

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