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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Differing Opinions Of Defensive Prospects On Leafs Radar
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sloppyseconds2
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: cambridge, ON
Joined: 01.02.2012

Jun 19 @ 4:14 PM ET
? 1st, JVR and a 3rd is fine for Tavares
- the_eye



Keep the 1st, 3rd, and JVR, and get Tavares in two years.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jun 19 @ 4:15 PM ET
From the Islanders Blog...enjoy

"Honestly im starting to concede that Snow will not be able to get it done and JT will leave, so on that, I'd rather trade JT now to TOR for the #1 pick/JVR/3rd rd pick....
Rather get Mathews now when JT will leave in 2yrs...... "


- steve362


Huh.
the_eye
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 07.22.2012

Jun 19 @ 4:22 PM ET
Keep the 1st, 3rd, and JVR, and get Tavares in two years.
- sloppyseconds2

Or keep the 1st ,JVR, the 3rd and sign Stamkos.
BetterCallSaul
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Captain Morgan Rielly
Joined: 05.07.2013

Jun 19 @ 4:25 PM ET
Or keep the 1st ,JVR, the 3rd and sign Stamkos.
- the_eye

I do wonder where Stamps will sign.
daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005

Jun 19 @ 4:28 PM ET
I do wonder where Stamps will sign.
- BetterCallSaul

Carolina or Arizona.
MCharisma91
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto
Joined: 07.10.2010

Jun 19 @ 4:30 PM ET
1st overall alone would get Tavares plus.
- the_eye


yup, no doubt..

but might as well wait to see if we can get him via FA in a couple yrs.
BetterCallSaul
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Captain Morgan Rielly
Joined: 05.07.2013

Jun 19 @ 4:34 PM ET
yup, no doubt..

but might as well wait to see if we can get him via FA in a couple yrs.

- MCharisma91

It's funny that Stamkos is considered too old for a long term imvestment by some, yet Tavares will be two years older when he hits UFA and that would be a good move.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jun 19 @ 4:34 PM ET
Played golf with a guy playing with a hockey stick putter.
BetterCallSaul
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Captain Morgan Rielly
Joined: 05.07.2013

Jun 19 @ 4:37 PM ET
Played golf with a guy playing with a hockey stick putter.
- burn

No you didn't, that was a movie.
daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005

Jun 19 @ 4:39 PM ET
It's funny that Stamkos is considered too old for a long term imvestment by some, yet Tavares will be two years older when he hits UFA and that would be a good move.
- BetterCallSaul

I said it was fair value, not that Toronto should do it. There's a difference.

Tavares is 25, one year removed from finishing 2nd in points, and he has the best value cap hit in the entire league. If you want a guy like that you have to pay a massive amount. If the Islanders were desperate to move him sure his value would be lower but they aren't.
BetterCallSaul
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Captain Morgan Rielly
Joined: 05.07.2013

Jun 19 @ 4:40 PM ET
I said it was fair value, not that Toronto should do it. There's a difference.

Tavares is 25, one year removed from finishing 2nd in points, and he has the best value cap hit in the entire league. If you want a guy like that you have to pay a massive amount. If the Islanders were desperate to move him sure his value would be lower but they aren't.

- daeth

Wasn't towards you, stop being so self centred.
sloppyseconds2
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: cambridge, ON
Joined: 01.02.2012

Jun 19 @ 4:42 PM ET
It's funny that Stamkos is considered too old for a long term imvestment by some, yet Tavares will be two years older when he hits UFA and that would be a good move.
- BetterCallSaul



Sign both.
daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005

Jun 19 @ 4:42 PM ET
Wasn't towards you, stop being so self centred.
- BetterCallSaul

k
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Jun 19 @ 4:46 PM ET
I said it was fair value, not that Toronto should do it. There's a difference.

Tavares is 25, one year removed from finishing 2nd in points, and he has the best value cap hit in the entire league. If you want a guy like that you have to pay a massive amount. If the Islanders were desperate to move him sure his value would be lower but they aren't.

- daeth


As good as Tavares contract is though, the cost control of a first overall on an entry level deal is significant. And Tavares will likely be getting a mega contract two years from now. It's hard to think of any team that gets a first overall that would trade it for Tavares, unless it was something like a team finished just outside of the playoffs and won the lottery. If it's something that realistically no team would do, then it's not really market value.
the_eye
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 07.22.2012

Jun 19 @ 4:46 PM ET
Sign both.
- sloppyseconds2

And play him on the wing...
the_eye
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 07.22.2012

Jun 19 @ 4:48 PM ET
As good as Tavares contract is though, the cost control of a first overall on an entry level deal is significant. And Tavares will likely be getting a mega contract two years from now. It's hard to think of any team that gets a first overall that would trade it for Tavares, unless it was something like a team finished just outside of the playoffs and won the lottery. If it's something that realistically no team would do, then it's not really market value.
- Zezel

Nobody trades a 1st overall for Tavares.
daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005

Jun 19 @ 4:48 PM ET
There's a reason only Boston trades star centers when they are still young. The price would be more than anyone can stomach.
systemtool
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Real men always have to poo, ON
Joined: 09.12.2007

Jun 19 @ 4:57 PM ET
There's a reason only Boston trades star centers when they are still young. The price would be more than anyone can stomach.
- daeth



And came out losers (in the player swaps) in both deals. Never got "fair value" for Thornton or Seguin. The price was pretty cheap.
daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005

Jun 19 @ 4:58 PM ET
Nobody trades a 1st overall for Tavares.
- the_eye

Tavares is worth four 2nds, two 3rds, Christian Thomas, Scott Valentine, and Michael Zador.

Source: Generals trade in 2009
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Jun 19 @ 4:58 PM ET
Nobody trades a 1st overall for Tavares.
- the_eye


I could imagine if it's a legit contender that just missed the playoffs, like when LA missed, and then they won they lottery. They might say okay, the first overall can play right away, but we need to go for it right now with a guy who's experienced and in his prime. But obviously this is an extremely unlikely, reach of a scenario, so basically I agree with you.
daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005

Jun 19 @ 5:03 PM ET
And came out losers (in the player swaps) in both deals. Never got "fair value" for Thornton or Seguin. The price was pretty cheap.
- systemtool

Yeah.

Other teams seemingly (and understandably) want more if they're to part with their star centers otherwise we'd see them moved more often imo. They probably have the most value in the NHL. There's really no motivation to move them.
daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005

Jun 19 @ 5:10 PM ET
I could imagine if it's a legit contender that just missed the playoffs, like when LA missed, and then they won they lottery. They might say okay, the first overall can play right away, but we need to go for it right now with a guy who's experienced and in his prime. But obviously this is an extremely unlikely, reach of a scenario, so basically I agree with you.
- Zezel

You're not wrong. A team with a 1st overall pick would value the entry level deal and elite potential more than anything. The odds of a rebuilding team wanting to move the 1st overall pick in a strong draft like this is low.

Look at it from the Islanders perspective though. They've been a 100 point team a couple years in a row and playoff money is probably pretty important. Tavares right now is cheap and a top center. He gives them the best shot at making the playoffs and maybe winning a round or two. Assuming they have no reason to suspect he wants out what is their motivation to trade him for Matthews who best case scenario is a couple years away from reaching a Tavares type level? You'd have to sweeten the deal for them imo.

It's a trade that'd never happen lol.
Steven_Dean
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: KL
Joined: 07.10.2012

Jun 19 @ 5:14 PM ET
I could imagine if it's a legit contender that just missed the playoffs, like when LA missed, and then they won they lottery. They might say okay, the first overall can play right away, but we need to go for it right now with a guy who's experienced and in his prime. But obviously this is an extremely unlikely, reach of a scenario, so basically I agree with you.
- Zezel



Even then it doesn't work. A ligitimate contender would likely prefer the guy who is salary controlled for 6 years. The difference in skill would likely be minimal (in this case it is a good comparison, both are top centres), so getting a contract with a cap hit of half or less would be better.

While there are exceptions, in this case Matthews is much more preferred.
lumlums
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 06.25.2011

Jun 19 @ 5:20 PM ET
1st overall alone would get Tavares plus.
- the_eye


Yeah, I mean if we were talking Pitts first, plus JvR plus a third then you're much more in the ballpark...
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Jun 19 @ 5:22 PM ET
So basically we agree nobody trades first overalls, and none of us would bet our left nut that it would ever happen.
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