Sabresfan-365
Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: Lockport, NY Joined: 12.09.2012
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I wonder if we'll be involved in any of these "trades in que." Any of our insiders hearing anything? - Cup Crazy '07
might not be smith specifically, but i think they trade for someones rights. just a hunch |
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HonkFortheGoose
Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: "___________ stinks."-Sabres89, NY Joined: 07.26.2008
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I repeatedly said *tonight* that he's not top 5-10, also not bottom 5-10. He's average.
My point, is I wouldn't sign him long term until we see him under this coaching - sbroads24
I'm not saying they should either. The debate was whether he was worth $4MM a year. And I'd be perfectly fine with paying him that for 2-3 years. |
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Wetbandit1
Vegas Golden Knights |
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Location: Hail Satan Joined: 10.07.2010
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No, no, that's not right. They're taking Grubauer! |
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might not be smith specifically, but i think they trade for someones rights. just a hunch - Sabresfan-365
I really hope we trade for Smith's rights. More often than not lately they end up signing |
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BigStew
Buffalo Sabres |
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Joined: 05.09.2007
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It doesn't have to be misleading.
Bylsma had a system that allowed a ton of easy shots. Lehner had it easy for the most part.
He had some good games, but I would bet $$ his Sv% is closer to Rinne's next year - sbroads24
The other way to look at it is he saved a higher percentage of softer shots than his counterparts and in most games those easy shots outweigh the "danger area shots " by a large margin, so who is better off? I'm not sure but I think Lehner behind a good defence can be a good goalie. |
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Sabresfan-365
Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: Lockport, NY Joined: 12.09.2012
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I really hope we trade for Smith's rights. More often than not lately they end up signing - chilliard77
its a little trickier now that theres a "negotiation window" but generally speaking you can avoid bidding wars by trying to get out in front of it with some exclusive negotiating. |
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jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: buffalo, NY Joined: 05.21.2007
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Vegas did some really dumb things IMO |
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its a little trickier now that theres a "negotiation window" but generally speaking you can avoid bidding wars by trying to get out in front of it with some exclusive negotiating. - Sabresfan-365
Was bummed when Yandle and Goligoski both signed before FA last year |
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HonkFortheGoose
Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: "___________ stinks."-Sabres89, NY Joined: 07.26.2008
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Vegas did some really dumb things IMO - jdfitz77
We still don't have the full details though. I'd say wait and reserve judgement for sometime later on tomorrow |
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Sabresfan-365
Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: Lockport, NY Joined: 12.09.2012
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Was bummed when Yandle and Goligoski both signed before FA last year - chilliard77
back when bogo had value (and i use that term loosely) i wanted us to trade him and sign demers. Bummed me out |
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JetpackJesus
Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: Honolulu, HI Joined: 08.27.2007
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At one point close to the end of the year, we were giving up the 9th *least* 5 on 5 scoring chances in the league.
Which means more of Lehner's saves were actually easy.
That's the point 365 was making with Housley.
More active D = more chances against = a greater % of Lehners shots against will come where he struggles - sbroads24
I question the value and legitimacy of the HDSV%. But assuming it's legit and valid, I can see the concern. In theory, under a Housley style defense, "high-danger" shots will comprise a much larger share of the total shots Lehner faces than over the past two seasons. So, If he's below average at stopping "high-danger" shots, then he will do much worse if "high-danger" shots make up a much greater share of the shots he faces.
I think the overly simplified examples below illustrate the concern (I have no idea if LDSV% is a thing, but I need another constant to establish the overall SV%):
Take a goalie that faces 200 total shots with an HDSV% of .900 and a low-danger SV% ("LDSV%") of .950.
Scenario A: 25% of shots are high danger and 75% are low danger. Goalie will have an overall SV% of .937 (187.5 goals allowed on 200 shots).
Scenario B: 75% of shots are HD and 25% are LD. Goalie will have an overall SV% of .9125 (182.5 goals allowed on 200 shots).
Of course, you're only going to buy into the argument if you buy into the HDSV% stat. |
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jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: buffalo, NY Joined: 05.21.2007
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We still don't have the full details though. I'd say wait and reserve judgement for sometime later on tomorrow - HonkFortheGoose
As of now... they really blew it
They could've put together a team that would have at least challenged for a playoff spot next year
And they've only gotten two extra 1st round picks
There's gonna have to be A LOT still to come to them to change my mind
Epic failure (so far) imo |
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Sabresfan-365
Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: Lockport, NY Joined: 12.09.2012
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I question the value and legitimacy of the HDSV%. But assuming it's legit and valid, I can see the concern. In theory, under a Housley style defense, "high-danger" shots will comprise a much larger share of the total shots Lehner faces than over the past two seasons. So, If he's below average at stopping "high-danger" shots, then he will do much worse if "high-danger" shots make up a much greater share of the shots he faces.
I think the overly simplified examples below illustrate the concern (I have no idea if LDSV% is a thing, but I need another constant to establish the overall SV%):
Take a goalie that faces 200 total shots with an HDSV% of .900 and a low-danger SV% ("LDSV%") of .950.
Scenario A: 25% of shots are high danger and 75% are low danger. Goalie will have an overall SV% of .937 (187.5 goals allowed on 200 shots).
Scenario B:75% of shots are HD and 25% are LD. Goalie will have an overall SV% of .9125 (182.5 goals allowed on 200 shots).
Of course, you're only going to buy into the argument if you buy into the HDSV% stat. - JetpackJesus
curious why it is you dont buy into it? but yes you're right thats generally how i see it. simplest form as the underlying numbers for goaltenders is just a different animal altogether and its a position i admit im not overly familiar with. |
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SABRES 89
Season Ticket Holder Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: I'm very Happy to be here. Las Vegas Via Buffalo N.Y. Joined: 02.17.2007
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As of now... they really blew it
They could've put together a team that would have at least challenged for a playoff spot next year
And they've only gotten two extra 1st round picks
There's gonna have to be A LOT still to come to them to change my mind
Epic failure (so far) imo - jdfitz77
They did exactly what they said they were gonna due, put together a good team not a cup team but a good team or playoff team and get draft picks. |
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back when bogo had value (and i use that term loosely) i wanted us to trade him and sign demers. Bummed me out - Sabresfan-365
I was so mad when Demers was just sitting in free agency last year for weeks and we didn't sign him |
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GERBE!!!75PTS
San Jose Sharks |
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Location: Show me a good loser, and I'll show you a loser." - Jack Eichel-, CA Joined: 02.11.2009
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that Vegas team is holy poop bad
How can the NHL let them put out a team like that there is zero chance they win eight games next year |
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SABRES 89
Season Ticket Holder Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: I'm very Happy to be here. Las Vegas Via Buffalo N.Y. Joined: 02.17.2007
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that Vegas team is holy poop bad
How can the NHL let them put out a team like that there is zero chance they win eight games next year - GERBE!!!75PTS
Jesus Christ |
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sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY Joined: 02.12.2012
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They did exactly what they said they were gonna due, put together a good team not a cup team but a good team or playoff team and get draft picks. - SABRES 89
They didn't do as bad as it was looking like |
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SABRES 89
Season Ticket Holder Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: I'm very Happy to be here. Las Vegas Via Buffalo N.Y. Joined: 02.17.2007
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They didn't do as bad as it was looking like - sbroads24
Besides MAF, they blew it in the goal tending area |
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sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY Joined: 02.12.2012
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I question the value and legitimacy of the HDSV%. But assuming it's legit and valid, I can see the concern. In theory, under a Housley style defense, "high-danger" shots will comprise a much larger share of the total shots Lehner faces than over the past two seasons. So, If he's below average at stopping "high-danger" shots, then he will do much worse if "high-danger" shots make up a much greater share of the shots he faces.
I think the overly simplified examples below illustrate the concern (I have no idea if LDSV% is a thing, but I need another constant to establish the overall SV%):
Take a goalie that faces 200 total shots with an HDSV% of .900 and a low-danger SV% ("LDSV%") of .950.
Scenario A: 25% of shots are high danger and 75% are low danger. Goalie will have an overall SV% of .937 (187.5 goals allowed on 200 shots).
Scenario B: 75% of shots are HD and 25% are LD. Goalie will have an overall SV% of .9125 (182.5 goals allowed on 200 shots).
Of course, you're only going to buy into the argument if you buy into the HDSV% stat. - JetpackJesus
Pretty much.
I don't think he's garbage. I think he's a middle of the road starter who will probably get around the league during his career |
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that Vegas team is holy poop bad
How can the NHL let them put out a team like that there is zero chance they win eight games next year - GERBE!!!75PTS
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jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: buffalo, NY Joined: 05.21.2007
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They did exactly what they said they were gonna due, put together a good team not a cup team but a good team or playoff team and get draft picks. - SABRES 89
I don't think it's a good team, they look pretty sucky
And they only acquired 2 picks in the 1st
They failed on both accounts imo |
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SABRES 89
Season Ticket Holder Buffalo Sabres |
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Location: I'm very Happy to be here. Las Vegas Via Buffalo N.Y. Joined: 02.17.2007
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I don't think it's a good team, they look pretty sucky
And they only acquired 2 picks in the 1st
They failed on both accounts imo - jdfitz77
3 picks in the 1st round this year and they failed ? |
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I'd take Mrazek over Hosek, and Dumba over Tuch, probably Poirier or Shinkaruk over Engelland |
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I don't think it's a good team, they look pretty sucky
And they only acquired 2 picks in the 1st
They failed on both accounts imo - jdfitz77
There was talk of them having up to 6 1st rounders. Unfortunately for them. Not everybody was as stupid as garth snow. Still, they have a ton of dmen and a lot of teams need dmen. Don't be surprised if buffalo grabs one of them. Gmtm won't go big but - Theodore and Neil for kane, faeshing and a 2nd? |
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