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Forums :: Blog World :: Carol Schram: Vancouver Canucks embedded in dark, old-school January after loss to Caps
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neem55
Vancouver Canucks
Joined: 02.02.2012

Jan 11 @ 7:04 PM ET
Almost 75% of all the current starting goalies began as backups and averaged 2.2 years in the AHL before coming up. Do you think they all just walked into ideal situations with great defence and excellent back checking forwards to shelter them? He's not a child, at some point he gotta come up and play, we cant hide him down there until everything is rainbows. If by your logic we have to keep all of our prospects in Utica until its the right time then why is Boeser playing this year, and why was Horvat thrown into the sh&t show the year before? At some point you gotta trust that our prospects are ready and they help us get better.
- Brooks_Light


Where are you getting this data?

I did a little digging of my own. The average time spent in development, regardless of league, from draft day is 4-6 years, and there are way more outliers above that range than below. Look up any of the best goalies in the show right now, you will see this. Demko is in his 4th year of development, so given this range it's likely for him to get NHL starts next year, and also very likely he splits his time between the NHL/AHL.
Pres.cup
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Making the most of the worst situation... Canuck fan 4life , BC
Joined: 12.23.2014

Jan 11 @ 7:05 PM ET
lol we could easily pick up the remainder of Dipetro's 17 year contract!!

#Milburyisanidiot

- LordHumungous


Lol.... then we'd have two American goalies named Dipietro, that's the only reason i oppose this.

#Milburyisanidiot
Pres.cup
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Making the most of the worst situation... Canuck fan 4life , BC
Joined: 12.23.2014

Jan 11 @ 7:06 PM ET
Where are you getting this data?

I did a little digging of my own. The average time spent in development, regardless of league, from draft day is 4-6 years, and there are way more outliers above that range than below. Look up any of the best goalies in the show right now, you will see this. Demko is in his 4th year of development, so given this range it's likely for him to get NHL starts next year, and also very likely he splits his time between the NHL/AHL.

- neem55


#facts
neem55
Vancouver Canucks
Joined: 02.02.2012

Jan 11 @ 7:11 PM ET
lol we could easily pick up the remainder of Dipetro's 17 year contract!!

#Milburyisanidiot

- LordHumungous


If it gets us a draftpick, I'd consider it! Canucks management needs to look at some of the capdump trades to see if they can pick up some picks/prospects. I've been saying this for a few years, Leaves did this. Arizona and Vegas even more recently. Leverage that cap space!
dbot
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Auckland -Burn it all down
Joined: 10.22.2008

Jan 11 @ 7:14 PM ET
Where are you getting this data?

I did a little digging of my own. The average time spent in development, regardless of league, from draft day is 4-6 years, and there are way more outliers above that range than below. Look up any of the best goalies in the show right now, you will see this. Demko is in his 4th year of development, so given this range it's likely for him to get NHL starts next year, and also very likely he splits his time between the NHL/AHL.

- neem55


Seems likely, given the contacts on Vancouver.
Someone will get injured at some point, bring up Demko to backup, maybe slot him in when either goalie let's in their patented couple softies, or for a scheduled start.

f/t backup the next year when Nilsson's contract is up.
starter the year after, if he doesn't wrestle it from Marky beforehand.
neem55
Vancouver Canucks
Joined: 02.02.2012

Jan 11 @ 7:17 PM ET
Seems likely, given the contacts on Vancouver.
Someone will get injured at some point, bring up Demko to backup, maybe slot him in when either goalie let's in their patented couple softies, or for a scheduled start.

f/t backup the next year when Nilsson's contract is up.
starter the year after, if he doesn't wrestle it from Marky beforehand.

- dbot


Which, and give JB credit here, looks to be exactly the plan given Nilsson's contract. Maybe even sell Nilsson off next TDL and let Demko and whoever split second half. Dipietro is three years behind, enter new goalie tandem at the end of Marky's contract.
dbot
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Auckland -Burn it all down
Joined: 10.22.2008

Jan 11 @ 7:24 PM ET
Which, and give JB credit here, looks to be exactly the plan given Nilsson's contract. Maybe even sell Nilsson off next TDL and let Demko and whoever split second half. Dipietro is three years behind, enter new goalie tandem at the end of Marky's contract.
- neem55


Yup.
All part of the plan.
except for how weak Marky/Nilsson have been this year.
Brooks_Light
Joined: 08.13.2015

Jan 11 @ 7:28 PM ET
Where are you getting this data?

I did a little digging of my own. The average time spent in development, regardless of league, from draft day is 4-6 years, and there are way more outliers above that range than below. Look up any of the best goalies in the show right now, you will see this. Demko is in his 4th year of development, so given this range it's likely for him to get NHL starts next year, and also very likely he splits his time between the NHL/AHL.

- neem55


I did the research myself - i took every teams current starting goalie (most games played) got their time spent in the AHL, as most had, almost 75% began as a backup and overall the average was 2.2 years spent in the AHL. I didnt go from draft day bcus when we started chatting about this, we were focussed on Demko and his time in the AHL.
Pres.cup
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Making the most of the worst situation... Canuck fan 4life , BC
Joined: 12.23.2014

Jan 11 @ 7:48 PM ET
Carol?
Marwood
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Cumberland, BC
Joined: 03.18.2010

Jan 11 @ 7:50 PM ET
Carol?
- Pres.cup

A well deserved day off I'm sure.
neem55
Vancouver Canucks
Joined: 02.02.2012

Jan 11 @ 7:58 PM ET
I did the research myself - i took every teams current starting goalie (most games played) got their time spent in the AHL, as most had, almost 75% began as a backup and overall the average was 2.2 years spent in the AHL. I didnt go from draft day bcus when we started chatting about this, we were focussed on Demko and his time in the AHL.
- Brooks_Light


You didn't focus on draft day because you don't have a leg to stand on if you do. splitting time between the AHL/NHL is very likely. Development happens is several levels of developmental leagues, to dismiss them because you want to focus on one because it suites your argument defeats the purpose of what we are trying to predict. Were trying to predict if Demko should be full-time backup next year, based on the current starting goalies in the NHL right now he will be splitting time.
Nucker101
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Vancouver, BC
Joined: 09.26.2010

Jan 11 @ 7:59 PM ET
Carol?
- Pres.cup


Serenity
A_SteamingLombardi
Location: Systemic failure / Slurptastic
Joined: 10.12.2008

Jan 11 @ 8:02 PM ET
A_SteamingLombardi
Location: Systemic failure / Slurptastic
Joined: 10.12.2008

Jan 11 @ 8:02 PM ET
VANTEL
Joined: 07.03.2010

Jan 11 @ 8:11 PM ET
I will start off by saying this is not aimed at any one in particular just a few thoughts.

The term sh1t show has been used a few times in the last little while when talking about bringing prospects in . Most commonly referred to Demko and Gaudette.

If you keep bringing back the same players year after year you will still have the same sh1t show.

Players like Boeser Vessey Boucher Kerrfoot all seem to be doing good. Players should not be held off the team because Canucks have a lousy team , the lousy team should be changed. Both Gaudette and Demko have had 3 years pro.
Nucker101
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Vancouver, BC
Joined: 09.26.2010

Jan 11 @ 8:12 PM ET
I will start off by saying this is not aimed at any one in particular just a few thoughts.

The term sh1t show has been used a few times in the last little while when talking about bringing prospects in . Most commonly referred to Demko and Gaudette.

If you keep bringing back the same players year after year you will still have the same sh1t show.

Players like Boeser Vessey Boucher Kerrfoot all seem to be doing good. Players should not be held off the team because Canucks have a lousy team , the lousy team should be changed. Both Gaudette and Demko have had 3 years pro.

- VANTEL

true
dbot
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Auckland -Burn it all down
Joined: 10.22.2008

Jan 11 @ 8:18 PM ET
I will start off by saying this is not aimed at any one in particular just a few thoughts.

The term sh1t show has been used a few times in the last little while when talking about bringing prospects in . Most commonly referred to Demko and Gaudette.

If you keep bringing back the same players year after year you will still have the same sh1t show.

Players like Boeser Vessey Boucher Kerrfoot all seem to be doing good. Players should not be held off the team because Canucks have a lousy team , the lousy team should be changed. Both Gaudette and Demko have had 3 years pro.

- VANTEL


Where does Guadette play? University?
Is that considered pro?
honest question.
I know nothing of the guy tbh.
VANTEL
Joined: 07.03.2010

Jan 11 @ 8:22 PM ET
Where does Guadette play? University?
Is that considered pro?
honest question.
I know nothing of the guy tbh.

- dbot


The US have a very good program . I would rate it just below college football and basketball. I would rate it below AHL but above Finish Elite and SEL

He plays Northeastern which is an average team
VANTEL
Joined: 07.03.2010

Jan 11 @ 8:25 PM ET
I also heard on the radio today that Holm may get a shot with the Canucks once Gudbrandson is gone which makes sense.
dbot
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Auckland -Burn it all down
Joined: 10.22.2008

Jan 11 @ 8:26 PM ET
The US have a very good program . I would rate it just below college football and basketball. I would rate it below AHL but above Finish Elite and SEL

He plays Northeastern which is an average team

- VANTEL


Interesting.

Side question.
Are university players eligible for the olympics?
VANTEL
Joined: 07.03.2010

Jan 11 @ 8:28 PM ET
Interesting.

Side question.
Are university players eligible for the olympics?

- dbot



Yes they are eligible
Brooks_Light
Joined: 08.13.2015

Jan 11 @ 8:33 PM ET
You didn't focus on draft day because you don't have a leg to stand on if you do. splitting time between the AHL/NHL is very likely. Development happens is several levels of developmental leagues, to dismiss them because you want to focus on one because it suites your argument defeats the purpose of what we are trying to predict. Were trying to predict if Demko should be full-time backup next year, based on the current starting goalies in the NHL right now he will be splitting time.
- neem55


You're the one that pulled out the draft day stat suddenly/recently - I wasnt trying to stand on those legs in the first place!!

I agree development happens at all different levels, I didnt dismiss anything, the basis of the argument when we started talking about it, was Demko's time in the AHL. If we follow your "draft day" metric, compared it with the top goalies currently in the league that you mentioned - they still average about 2-2.5 years in the AHL before successfully making the jump to the NHL in a backup role - so Demko's development is right on par with your argument and mine.
LET THE KID PLAY!!
Brooks_Light
Joined: 08.13.2015

Jan 11 @ 8:36 PM ET
I will start off by saying this is not aimed at any one in particular just a few thoughts.

The term sh1t show has been used a few times in the last little while when talking about bringing prospects in . Most commonly referred to Demko and Gaudette.

If you keep bringing back the same players year after year you will still have the same sh1t show.

Players like Boeser Vessey Boucher Kerrfoot all seem to be doing good. Players should not be held off the team because Canucks have a lousy team , the lousy team should be changed. Both Gaudette and Demko have had 3 years pro.

- VANTEL


agree with all this - off to hockey - have fun boys
VANTEL
Joined: 07.03.2010

Jan 11 @ 8:52 PM ET
My thoughts on our D.

I thought Tanev should have stayed but with his history of injuries I think you should now trade him for a first and a prospect.

Gudbrandson seems to be a foregone conclusion that he will be traded for a second. That is fine.

Hutton has had three fights for the Canucks and has done very well in all three scraps. That was a nice hit from Hutton also. Need to see more of that and less of the goofball . Maybe that was a wake up call.

Stecher gives you a good effort and is learning. Sorry Makita

Biega . I like him I hope they bring him back.

OJ. I think he will be a Canuck next year for many reasons. (Sergachev)

Edler: Most nights I want to strangle him but I realize his value and look forward to seeing him gone in two years.

Pouliot average .

Holm looking forward to seeing him try again soon.
Pres.cup
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Making the most of the worst situation... Canuck fan 4life , BC
Joined: 12.23.2014

Jan 11 @ 8:53 PM ET
Serenity
- Nucker101


Wood pile
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