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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Pachla: Sabres sweep through western Canada
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jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Jan 27 @ 10:33 PM ET
The leading scorer in the league wasn't even a first round pick.

6 of the top 10 were drafted out of the top 5, some not even in the first round.

- Powerslave


Maybe u just don’t understand what “success rate” means?

If 4 out of the 10 are #1 picks,
that’s not a 40% success rate & 60% fail rate

That means 4 of the let’s say last 16 #1 picks are top10 scorers
So that’s a 25% success rate

2 of the top10 weren’t drafted in the first round...
that’s not a 20% success rate
That’s 2 out of over 3,000 players that were drafted after the 1st round were a “top10 success”

Even if u just go by all the guys picked in round 2 for those 16 seasons...
that’s 1 out of almost 500

#math
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Jan 27 @ 10:34 PM ET
Pick one to stay long term.

Nylander or Asplund

- sbroads24



Can we see them play for the Sabres first?

Although Nylander is struggling,
one would assume he’s still got the higher ceiling

No need to rush one out the door

Unless we think Nylander can’t rebound & we just wanna get whatever value we can for him
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jan 27 @ 10:39 PM ET
Pick one to stay long term.

Nylander or Asplund

- sbroads24


Did you ever give up on Armia at any point during his development?
Der Kaiser
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I Know Nothink ... NOTHINK!
Joined: 07.27.2007

Jan 27 @ 10:45 PM ET
Did you ever give up on Armia at any point during his development?
- kingcong39

0.33 ppg career fwiw.
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Jan 27 @ 10:46 PM ET
Did you ever give up on Armia at any point during his development?
- kingcong39


I’m not giving up on Nylander yet...
but there is cause for concern
Powerslave
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Arriving Somewhere But Not Here
Joined: 02.10.2011

Jan 27 @ 10:47 PM ET
Maybe u just don’t understand what “success rate” means?

If 4 out of the 10 are #1 picks,
that’s not a 40% success rate & 60% fail rate

That means 4 of the let’s say last 16 #1 picks are top10 scorers
So that’s a 25% success rate

2 of the top10 weren’t drafted in the first round...
that’s not a 20% success rate
That’s 2 out of over 3,000 players that were drafted after the 1st round were a “top10 success”

Even if u just go by all the guys picked in round 2 for those 16 seasons...
that’s 1 out of almost 500

#math

- jdfitz77


Grigorenko, Girgensons, Hodgson (traded for), Kassian, Armia, Pysyk, Persson, Zagrapan, Paille, Ballard, Novotny, Kryukov, Heisten, Noronen, Rasmussen and Wayne (frank)ing Primeau all say "hi".

Identify, draft and develop. Beyond the first round.

Maybe you don't know what organizational depth means.

Keep praying they lose. And while you're at it, pray it doesn't embed itself into the psyche of your high draft picks.
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 27 @ 10:48 PM ET
Did you ever give up on Armia at any point during his development?
- kingcong39

It was a general question.

Safer bet in Asplund, higher ceiling in Nylander
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Jan 27 @ 10:50 PM ET
Grigorenko, Girgensons, Hodgson (traded for), Kassian, Armia, Pysyk, Persson, Zagrapan, Paille, Ballard, Novotny, Kryukov, Heisten, Noronen, Rasmussen and Wayne (frank)ing Primeau all say "hi".

Identify, draft and develop. Beyond the first round.

Maybe you don't know what organizational depth means.

Keep praying they lose. And while you're at it, pray it doesn't embed itself into the psyche of your high draft picks.

- Powerslave


AGAIN...
when did i say to not do that?

And you still haven’t answered...
how will finishing 6th last prevent the embedding of a losing psyche into our young players any less than finishing 2nd last?
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 27 @ 10:51 PM ET
0.33 ppg career fwiw.
- Der Kaiser

Honest question.

Would he not be a very good player to have on our 3rd line?

He’s on pace for 17 goals 35 ish points playing 3rd line minutes.

I was wrong about him being a “stud”
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jan 27 @ 10:51 PM ET
It was a general question.

Safer bet in Asplund, higher ceiling in Nylander

- sbroads24


I get it.

I only asked as I looked up both this morning and paralleled their seasons of development, which was interesting, especially with Armia hitting his presumed 'peak' in his 7th season of development.
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Jan 27 @ 10:51 PM ET
It was a general question.

Safer bet in Asplund, higher ceiling in Nylander

- sbroads24


It’ll really suck if Nylander doesn’t work out
Especially since we passed on Sergachev & Chychrun in that spot
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Jan 27 @ 10:53 PM ET
Honest question.

Would he not be a very good player to have on our 3rd line?

He’s on pace for 17 goals 35 ish points playing 3rd line minutes.

I was wrong about him being a “stud”

- sbroads24


I’m surprised too
That shot of his is nasty
Is it skating that’s holding him back?
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 27 @ 10:54 PM ET
I get it.

I only asked as I looked up both this morning and paralleled their seasons of development, which was interesting, especially with Armia hitting his presumed 'peak' in his 7th season of development.

- kingcong39

The caveat is that if we traded Nylander as a throw in for two short term players that would never see a playoff game as a Sabre.....I’d be pissed

Edit- Before we ever saw what Nylander could do in the NHL
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jan 27 @ 10:54 PM ET
Honest question.

Would he not be a very good player to have on our 3rd line?

He’s on pace for 17 goals 35 ish points playing 3rd line minutes.

I was wrong about him being a “stud”

- sbroads24


Was his reputation as some kind of hoped for high end player more on Sabres fans, scouts, or both?

Also, does the overall high quality of his top 6 and his team overall help make it easier for him to produce?
Powerslave
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Arriving Somewhere But Not Here
Joined: 02.10.2011

Jan 27 @ 10:56 PM ET
AGAIN...
when did i say to not do that?

And you still haven’t answered...
how will finishing 6th last prevent the embedding of a losing psyche into our young players any less than finishing 2nd last?

- jdfitz77


Here. I'll spell it out.

It's called "winning games". Finishing 6th last as opposed to 2nd last, with regard to where they are now in the standings, means they are winning more. That changes a player's perspective. Why is that so hard to understand?
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 27 @ 10:56 PM ET
Was his reputation as some kind of hoped for high end player more on Sabres fans, scouts, or both?

Also, does the overall high quality of his top 6 and his team overall help make it easier for him to produce?

- kingcong39

His line mates are guys like Shawn Matthias and Brandon Tanev.

Play him with Wheeler and Scheifele and he’s a 20 goal 50 point player IMO
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jan 27 @ 10:57 PM ET
The caveat is that if we traded Nylander as a throw in for two short term players that would never see a playoff game as a Sabre.....I’d be pissed

Edit- Before we ever saw what Nylander could do in the NHL

- sbroads24


Again, I get it.

In general, I don't lament those that are shown the door via trade, unless they're moronic deals like Chia for example, and I this one doesn't fit that category IMO.
Pegullaville
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Toronto
Joined: 03.16.2011

Jan 27 @ 10:58 PM ET
His line mates are guys like Shawn Matthias and Brandon Tanev.

Play him with Wheeler and Scheifele and he’s a 20 goal 50 point player IMO

- sbroads24

I’m sure if he were good enough he would be
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jan 27 @ 11:00 PM ET
His line mates are guys like Shawn Matthias and Brandon Tanev.

Play him with Wheeler and Scheifele and he’s a 20 goal 50 point player IMO

- sbroads24


If he is, than that'll not be know until next season, potentially, which will be his 8th season post draft.

Guys develop at different paces, often regardless of what we often perceive they're development should be.

Does he get the easier matchups on their 3rd line?

This will be a great example of a guy who produces in lesser minutes being assumed he'll produce more with more minutes.
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 27 @ 11:01 PM ET
Again, I get it.

In general, I don't lament those that are shown the door via trade, unless they're moronic deals like Chia for example, and I this one doesn't fit that category IMO.

- kingcong39

IMO it’s moronic.

In a month we literally have nothing from that deal.

They have a #3 D man on pace for 40 points
A 3rd line winger who’s producing and is a key defensive player for them
Roslovic who’s one of the leading AHL scorers and is now in the NHL
And Lemieux who’s doing very well in the A.

Not to mention the difference between the two teams in the standings
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 27 @ 11:02 PM ET
I’m sure if he were good enough he would be
- Pegullaville

Well he ain’t Nik Ehlers or Laine so he isn’t getting that opportunity in Winnipeg
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 27 @ 11:03 PM ET
Armia isn’t great

But acting like he wouldn’t be useful here while Scott Wilson plays in our top 9 is hilarious
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jan 27 @ 11:06 PM ET
IMO it’s moronic.

In a month we literally have nothing from that deal.

They have a #3 D man on pace for 40 points
A 3rd line winger who’s producing and is a key defensive player for them
Roslovic who’s one of the leading AHL scorers and is now in the NHL
And Lemieux who’s doing very well in the A.

Not to mention the difference between the two teams in the standings

- sbroads24


We clearly have different definitions of moronic as moronic to me is dealing a superstar like Hall, not a collection of nice pieces, but reality is it's been years now since this deal happened, and at this point, it should be in the category of who gives a $hit as all that can be done is to move forward with hopes the current GM is great at his job.

It's either that, cry to sleep at night, or just go become a Jets fan.
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jan 27 @ 11:09 PM ET
Armia isn’t great

But acting like he wouldn’t be useful here while Scott Wilson plays in our top 9 is hilarious

- sbroads24


He would be an upgrade obviously, but I have serious doubts he'd be producing nearly as well on the Sabres with their roster.
sskkoo1
Buffalo Sabres
Location: You are all Weirdos, NY
Joined: 06.06.2012

Jan 27 @ 11:09 PM ET
IMO it’s moronic.

In a month we literally have nothing from that deal.

They have a #3 D man on pace for 40 points
A 3rd line winger who’s producing and is a key defensive player for them
Roslovic who’s one of the leading AHL scorers and is now in the NHL
And Lemieux who’s doing very well in the A.

Not to mention the difference between the two teams in the standings

- sbroads24



So in a month you plan on Kane being traded for no return?
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