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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Quick Hits and Musings: Frost, Flyers Training Center, Clarke Turns 69
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flyer_nutter
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Unleash the Peanuts, MB
Joined: 10.16.2008

Aug 13 @ 9:09 PM ET
By surprise, I’m assuming you mean he’ll stay off IR until Halloween?
- BiggE


In a sick way I kind of hope the injuries do happen.

Want Lyon/Stolarz to get some games before they just give it to Hart. You've put time into developing these guys, lets see what they've got.
rinaldo
Joined: 05.10.2011

Aug 13 @ 9:13 PM ET
I have full confidence in Elliott to be the goalie he was brought here to be.
- MJL

Which is what?
Mordecai
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: not very poggers
Joined: 08.27.2015

Aug 13 @ 10:27 PM ET
Lööps, bröther
- Giroux_Is_God

we control the lööps, brøther
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Aug 14 @ 6:46 AM ET
we control the lööps, brøther
- Mordecai

I thought that was Toucan Sam’s gig.
MBFlyerfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Be nice from now on, NJ
Joined: 03.17.2006

Aug 14 @ 8:07 AM ET
Which is what?
- rinaldo



Probably the same steady guy he was last season before getting hurt.


BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Aug 14 @ 8:37 AM ET
One day closer to the season. Sorry, that's all I got.
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Aug 14 @ 8:39 AM ET
Probably the same steady guy he was last season before getting hurt.
- MBFlyerfan


I hope so, last year was the first time he was ever seriously injured and/or had surgery in his career. I have to wonder if, at age 33, he will be the same player he was before the surgery.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Aug 14 @ 8:51 AM ET
I hope so, last year was the first time he was ever seriously injured and/or had surgery in his career. I have to wonder if, at age 33, he will be the same player he was before the surgery.
- BiggE


For the first time in a long time, I'm not worried about our defense, and even the 3C spot isn't a big concern. But the goalie situation is definitely cause for concern based on uncertainty. If Elliott can give them a full season close to where he was before the injury, they'll challenge for the top spot in the division. If he and/or whoever give them subpar goaltending, they'll be fighting for a Wild Card.
J35Bacher
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 04.03.2014

Aug 14 @ 9:02 AM ET
I hope so, last year was the first time he was ever seriously injured and/or had surgery in his career. I have to wonder if, at age 33, he will be the same player he was before the surgery.
- BiggE



Not saying you but it's funny everyone seems to worry about our goalies coming back ok because of the injuries but i get a sense more people think Simmonds will be ok after going through multiple injures this past year.

BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Aug 14 @ 9:15 AM ET
For the first time in a long time, I'm not worried about our defense, and even the 3C spot isn't a big concern. But the goalie situation is definitely cause for concern based on uncertainty. If Elliott can give them a full season close to where he was before the injury, they'll challenge for the top spot in the division. If he and/or whoever give them subpar goaltending, they'll be fighting for a Wild Card.
- jmatchett383


Agreed. Here is how I see their 5 pro goalies in regards to this upcoming season.

Elliott
Best case: Bounces back like he was never injured, stays healthy all season, starts 50-55 games and puts up a sv % of .915 or better.
worst case: suffers from recurring abdominal injuries and only suits up for less than 20 games.
likely case: is solid, but unspectacular, Stays relatively healthy and starts 45-50 games finishing with a sv % around .910

Neuvirth
Best case: makes it through an entire season without a trip to IR. Takes the starting spot, plays 50 or so games and puts up a sv% of .920
worst case: breaks both legs stepping out of his car on the first day of camp.
likely case: Has at least one trip to the IR, starts 20 or so games by the all star break. Gets traded to a playoff team with injury issues desperate to get a goalie on the cheap.

Lyon
Best case: Beats out the oft injured Neuvirth who gets traded during camp. Is a solid 1B and starts 30 or so games with a sv% at or better than .910
worst case: has a mediocre camp and goes on to have a so-so season at LHV
likely case: Starts the season at LHV sharing the crease mainly with Carter Hart. After Neuvirth is traded, he gets first shot at backing up Elliott down the stretch

Stolarz
Best case: Bounces back like he was never injured last year. Clearly outplays Lyon and when Neuvirth inevitably gets injured, he gets the call up to tandem with Elliott.
worst case: can't stay healthy, spends most of the season on IR
likely case: makes it through camp and it's obvious that he needs to play to work off the rust. Gets lent to another team until Neuvirth gets hurt or someone is moved. At that point he finishes the season with the Phantoms.

Hart
best case: Comes out and just blows away every other pro goalie during preseason. Starts the season in tandem with Elliott and by Christmas, he is clearly the Flyers number one goalie.
worst case: he gets injured and misses most of the season. If healthy, at worst, he probably has a very good season in LHV
likely case: quickly establishes himself as the Phantoms #1. When Neuvirth gets hurt or traded, Lyon probably still gets the first shot to come up, but, if he struggles, the Flyers turn to Hart.


jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Aug 14 @ 9:15 AM ET
Not saying you but it's funny everyone seems to worry about our goalies coming back ok because of the injuries but i get a sense more people think Simmonds will be ok after going through multiple injures this past year.
- J35Bacher


True. However, we saw both Giroux and Ghost bounce back last year after going through similar injuries. As much as lower body injuries can set a skater back, they're far more critical for goalies.
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Aug 14 @ 9:16 AM ET
Not saying you but it's funny everyone seems to worry about our goalies coming back ok because of the injuries but i get a sense more people think Simmonds will be ok after going through multiple injures this past year.
- J35Bacher


Yeah, I'm worried about Simmonds too. I just a little more worried about Elliott who is 3 years older and coming off the first major surgery of his career. Having healthy abdominal muscles is critical for any athlete, but especially for a goaltender. If his mobility is hampered in any way, he's really going to struggle.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Aug 14 @ 9:17 AM ET
Agreed. Here is how I see their 5 pro goalies in regards to this upcoming season.

Elliott
Best case: Bounces back like he was never injured, stays healthy all season, starts 50-55 games and puts up a sv % of .915 or better.
worst case: suffers from recurring abdominal injuries and only suits up for less than 20 games.
likely case: is solid, but unspectacular, Stays relatively healthy and starts 45-50 games finishing with a sv % around .910

Neuvirth
Best case: makes it through an entire season without a trip to IR. Takes the starting spot, plays 50 or so games and puts up a sv% of .920
worst case: breaks both legs stepping out of his car on the first day of camp.
likely case: Has at least one trip to the IR, starts 20 or so games by the all star break. Gets traded to a playoff team with injury issues desperate to get a goalie on the cheap.

Lyon
Best case: Beats out the oft injured Neuvirth who gets traded during camp. Is a solid 1B and starts 30 or so games with a sv% at or better than .910
worst case: has a mediocre camp and goes on to have a so-so season at LHV
likely case: Starts the season at LHV sharing the crease mainly with Carter Hart. After Neuvirth is traded, he gets first shot at backing up Elliott down the stretch

Stolarz
Best case: Bounces back like he was never injured last year. Clearly outplays Lyon and when Neuvirth inevitably gets injured, he gets the call up to tandem with Elliott.
worst case: can't stay healthy, spends most of the season on IR
likely case: makes it through camp and it's obvious that he needs to play to work off the rust. Gets lent to another team until Neuvirth gets hurt or someone is moved. At that point he finishes the season with the Phantoms.

Hart
best case: Comes out and just blows away every other pro goalie during preseason. Starts the season in tandem with Elliott and by Christmas, he is clearly the Flyers number one goalie.
worst case: he gets injured and misses most of the season. If healthy, at worst, he probably has a very good season in LHV
likely case: quickly establishes himself as the Phantoms #1. When Neuvirth gets hurt or traded, Lyon probably still gets the first shot to come up, but, if he struggles, the Flyers turn to Hart.

- BiggE


Couldn't Neuvirth's "worst case" also be his "likely case?"

I'm joking, but jfc, it's ridiculous.
Ftown19125
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 09.17.2013

Aug 14 @ 9:18 AM ET
Both of them had Ghost ranked. Daneyko had Ghost at #18, and Provorov in his top 25. To be honest I really couldn't disagree with any of who were included.
- MBFlyerfan


I think Daneyko had Provy at 15.
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Aug 14 @ 9:19 AM ET
Couldn't Neuvirth's "worst case" also be his "likely case?"

I'm joking, but jfc, it's ridiculous.

- jmatchett383


Well, yeah, pretty much. Though I think it's at least likely that he does survive getting out of his car.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Aug 14 @ 9:20 AM ET
Yeah, I'm worried about Simmonds too. I just a little more worried about Elliott who is 3 years older and coming off the first major surgery of his career. Having healthy abdominal muscles is critical for any athlete, but especially for a goaltender. If his mobility is hampered in any way, he's really going to struggle.
- BiggE


Best example may be Ray Emery. In the 2014 NYR series, he was fine if he could square up to the shooter. But if he had to quickly move side-to-side, there was no shot. Granted, he had no hip to speak of, but still an example of how extremely critical LBI's are for goalies.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Aug 14 @ 9:20 AM ET
Well, yeah, pretty much. Though I think it's at least likely that he does survive getting out of his car.
- BiggE


I see you're a high-stakes gambler.
wcorvette
Season Ticket Holder
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Boynton Beach, FL
Joined: 10.03.2010

Aug 14 @ 9:25 AM ET
By surprise, I’m assuming you mean he’ll stay off IR until Halloween?
- BiggE



knew you would respond, I actually think he will have a solid season
Scoob
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: love is love
Joined: 06.29.2006

Aug 14 @ 9:29 AM ET
Not saying you but it's funny everyone seems to worry about our goalies coming back ok because of the injuries but i get a sense more people think Simmonds will be ok after going through multiple injures this past year.
- J35Bacher



less critical position
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Aug 14 @ 9:32 AM ET
knew you would respond, I actually think he will have a solid season
- wcorvette


Hope you're right. Not really sure why you're mad at me, it's not my fault the guy is injury prone.
wcorvette
Season Ticket Holder
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Boynton Beach, FL
Joined: 10.03.2010

Aug 14 @ 9:43 AM ET
well we cracked 100 comments yesterday...

the top 20 D, seems like reputation is a big part of it. Burns at a -16 and Werenski is good but doesnt jump off the page at you, plus he plays with Jones.

other thoughts?
wcorvette
Season Ticket Holder
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Boynton Beach, FL
Joined: 10.03.2010

Aug 14 @ 9:44 AM ET
Hope you're right. Not really sure why you're mad at me, it's not my fault the guy is injury prone.
- BiggE



LOL, we need some piss and vinegar today... or scotch in your case...


I think the only way the Flyers win 2 rounds is if Nuevy has a contract season. Elliot at best will be Elliot.

BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Aug 14 @ 9:45 AM ET
LOL, we need some piss and vinegar today... or scotch in your case...


I think the only way the Flyers win 2 rounds is if Nuevy has a contract season. Elliot at best will be Elliot.

- wcorvette


Maybe. lots of things can happen between now and April though.
Scoob
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: love is love
Joined: 06.29.2006

Aug 14 @ 9:46 AM ET
well we cracked 100 comments yesterday...

the top 20 D, seems like reputation is a big part of it. Burns at a -16 and Werenski is good but doesnt jump off the page at you, plus he plays with Jones.

other thoughts?

- wcorvette


I'd rank Provorov higher than Ghost
wcorvette
Season Ticket Holder
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Boynton Beach, FL
Joined: 10.03.2010

Aug 14 @ 9:53 AM ET
Maybe. lots of things can happen between now and April though.
- BiggE



for sure , a trade being the most likely, even if Nuevy is somehow vertical and plays well, he probably gets traded. Only way he wouldn't is if he was the Flyers best option to compete.
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