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Forums :: Blog World :: Trevor Shackles: Tkachuk and Lajoie Keep the Good Times Rolling
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senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Oct 16 @ 11:21 AM ET
ofcourse not....right now it's a great thing

but like he said to us...enjoy it while it lasts, because the chances of them all being there next season is slim to none

- sensarmy_11


I would put the chances of the leafs signing Matthews, Marner and Nylander as very good.

slim to none is laughable
DDM-Coga
Colorado Avalanche
Location: If Chabot is not in the NHL, Ill revoke my account - AlfiesSald, AB
Joined: 07.24.2009

Oct 16 @ 11:25 AM ET
I think a big question is what happens next year and beyond. So many people are focused on this year due to the lottery pick.

You play the young guys sure, but the question of where that leaves the team bares asking.

- david22


youth movement is one thing, I agree, if you unload the clip and play 75% of your prospects, it could be damaging long term when injuries happen, or guys dont pan out etc, you are left in this wasteland of development system.

sensarmy_11
Location: NS
Joined: 06.01.2009

Oct 16 @ 11:41 AM ET
I would put the chances of the leafs signing Matthews, Marner and Nylander as very good.

slim to none is laughable

- senstroll


how is it laughable?

assume the cap is 80 (likely will be less)

leafs already have 50 mil committed for next year

you need to re-sign:

Matthews - probably going to get atleast the same 11mil Tavares got, if not more
marner - likely to get 9 or 10 mil
Nylander - seems pretty set on that 8 mil number, but let's just say 6.5 for arguments sake
gardiner - he'll get at least 6
kapanen - if he keeps it up can see him getting about 4-5
Leivo - let's say 2-3 mil
sparks - who knows, let's say 2

total is about 40-45 mil added on to the 50 mil already committed.

I know my math isn't great, but that's 10 + million more than the cap.......unless they plan on playing with only 9 forwards and 5 dmen
david22
Ottawa Senators
Joined: 04.15.2008

Oct 16 @ 11:49 AM ET
how is it laughable?

assume the cap is 80 (likely will be less)

leafs already have 50 mil committed for next year

you need to re-sign:

Matthews - probably going to get atleast the same 11mil Tavares got, if not more
marner - likely to get 9 or 10 mil
Nylander - seems pretty set on that 8 mil number, but let's just say 6.5 for arguments sake
gardiner - he'll get at least 6
kapanen - if he keeps it up can see him getting about 4-5
Leivo - let's say 2-3 mil
sparks - who knows, let's say 2

total is about 40-45 mil added on to the 50 mil already committed.

I know my math isn't great, but that's 10 + million more than the cap.......unless they plan on playing with only 9 forwards and 5 dmen

- sensarmy_11


Gardiner should be as good as gone I think.
Brandon
Ottawa Senators
Location: ON
Joined: 09.29.2005

Oct 16 @ 11:50 AM ET
how is it laughable?

assume the cap is 80 (likely will be less)

leafs already have 50 mil committed for next year

you need to re-sign:

Matthews - probably going to get atleast the same 11mil Tavares got, if not more
marner - likely to get 9 or 10 mil
Nylander - seems pretty set on that 8 mil number, but let's just say 6.5 for arguments sake
gardiner - he'll get at least 6
kapanen - if he keeps it up can see him getting about 4-5
Leivo - let's say 2-3 mil
sparks - who knows, let's say 2

total is about 40-45 mil added on to the 50 mil already committed.

I know my math isn't great, but that's 10 + million more than the cap.......unless they plan on playing with only 9 forwards and 5 dmen

- sensarmy_11


As long as they can sign Matthews and Marner, the other guys are replaceable/trade candidates.
BorjeFan4Ever
Season Ticket Holder
Location: not the BigSmoke anymore
Joined: 10.29.2007

Oct 16 @ 12:02 PM ET
how is it laughable?

assume the cap is 80 (likely will be less)

leafs already have 50 mil committed for next year

you need to re-sign:

Matthews - probably going to get atleast the same 11mil Tavares got, if not more
marner - likely to get 9 or 10 mil
Nylander - seems pretty set on that 8 mil number, but let's just say 6.5 for arguments sake
gardiner - he'll get at least 6
kapanen - if he keeps it up can see him getting about 4-5
Leivo - let's say 2-3 mil
sparks - who knows, let's say 2

total is about 40-45 mil added on to the 50 mil already committed.

I know my math isn't great, but that's 10 + million more than the cap.......unless they plan on playing with only 9 forwards and 5 dmen

- sensarmy_11


Gardiner will be gone... he's not signing with the Leafs for 6M+
Kapanen isn't getting more than about 2.5
Leivo will get 1.2 max
its doubtful whether Nylander gets more than Pastrnak (in my mind)...
Marner should see 7.5 - 8.5 (I'm guessing)
Matthews gets either a slightly lower annual on a bridge 5 year deal OR gets exactly what Tavares got

Hainsey's 3M goes away

I'm not sure where all the CAP concern comes from... I believe what Dubas is concerned about is an offer sheet for either Matthews or Marner should he not sign them by July 1st...
sensarmy_11
Location: NS
Joined: 06.01.2009

Oct 16 @ 12:05 PM ET
Gardiner should be as good as gone I think.
- david22


sure, and then their already bad D gets even worse, with no money to fix it.

and even if you remove gardiner, there are still going to be comfortably over the cap
sensarmy_11
Location: NS
Joined: 06.01.2009

Oct 16 @ 12:10 PM ET
Gardiner will be gone... he's not signing with the Leafs for 6M+
Kapanen isn't getting more than about 2.5
Leivo will get 1.2 max
its doubtful whether Nylander gets more than Pastrnak (in my mind)...
Marner should see 7.5 - 8.5 (I'm guessing)
Matthews gets either a slightly lower annual on a bridge 5 year deal OR gets exactly what Tavares got

Hainsey's 3M goes away

I'm not sure where all the CAP concern comes from... I believe what Dubas is concerned about is an offer sheet for either Matthews or Marner should he not sign them by July 1st...

- BorjeFan4Ever


there is a poop TON of wishful thinking in there.

basically every expert is saying Marner will be a 10 million dollar player if he continues the way he's going

if kapanen continues on this pace, there is ZERO chance you get him under contract for 2.5 mil. he's on pace for about 90 pts, even if he slows down and ends up with 50 or 55 he's gonna want atleast 4-5 mil.

whether you think nylander deserves 8 mil or not is irrelevant.....he's holding out for that, and doesn't seem to be wavering.

and you're beyond insane if you think Matthews is signing a bridge deal.
sensarmy_11
Location: NS
Joined: 06.01.2009

Oct 16 @ 12:16 PM ET
anyways, I'm done talking about the leafs

this thread should be about Ottawa and how well they played yesterday
david22
Ottawa Senators
Joined: 04.15.2008

Oct 16 @ 12:30 PM ET
anyways, I'm done talking about the leafs

this thread should be about Ottawa and how well they played yesterday

- sensarmy_11


Lajoie is the one player who I find most surprising. Chabot and Tkachuck were expected to make an impact, but Lajoie was a 5th round pick from two years ago. His numbers in hte ahl weren't close to this (so far).
Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Oct 16 @ 12:31 PM ET
we can say the same to you, considering your team is about to experience a Chicago level cap disaster......without having won 3 cups
- sensarmy_11


Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Oct 16 @ 12:32 PM ET
True, the shots are concerning. Hopefully they can start to address that as the season goes forward.

At this point though as fans all we can really do is enjoy the wins and hockey, and development of the young players.

- david22


Lajoie
Tkachuk
Chabot

david22
Ottawa Senators
Joined: 04.15.2008

Oct 16 @ 12:38 PM ET
Lajoie
Tkachuk
Chabot


- Aetherial


I picked up Lajoie in my pool as my 4th Defenseman.

Why not.
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Oct 16 @ 12:38 PM ET
how is it laughable?

assume the cap is 80 (likely will be less)

leafs already have 50 mil committed for next year

you need to re-sign:

Matthews - probably going to get atleast the same 11mil Tavares got, if not more
marner - likely to get 9 or 10 mil
Nylander - seems pretty set on that 8 mil number, but let's just say 6.5 for arguments sake
gardiner - he'll get at least 6
kapanen - if he keeps it up can see him getting about 4-5
Leivo - let's say 2-3 mil
sparks - who knows, let's say 2

total is about 40-45 mil added on to the 50 mil already committed.

I know my math isn't great, but that's 10 + million more than the cap.......unless they plan on playing with only 9 forwards and 5 dmen

- sensarmy_11


you sign the star players who are the difference makers (the ones I mentined), you then have to make decisions on other players, like Gardiner and Marleau.

At the same time you keep drafting and developing players who are continually ready to slide in each year to reaplace aging over paid contracts (Marleau) and soon to be Gardiner. Sandin and Liljegren will work their way in over the next 2 seasons.

the point is for the Leafs to keep a very strong pipeline of developed players..so they can keep replacing the middling lower level ones who start to get to costly.

I know that is something we have never seen before with the Leafs, historically they would trade picks and prospects for the Dave Bollands of the world. but Dubas isnt as dumb
poopstash
Los Angeles Kings
Joined: 03.21.2015

Oct 16 @ 12:43 PM ET
sure, and then their already bad D gets even worse, with no money to fix it.

and even if you remove gardiner, there are still going to be comfortably over the cap

- sensarmy_11


Pretty sure losing Gardiner is addition by subtraction

They've also got several guys on the Marlies who look like they will be ready to make the jump by next year on cheap ELC's

Sorry to burst your bubble fella but the only wishful thinking I'm seeing here is you yearning for your Ontario rival to have a cap problem that doesn't exist

If the shape they are in relative to the Sens bothers you that much you can take solace in the fact that the Sens are looking like they may not hand Colorado the best odds for drafting Hughes

david22
Ottawa Senators
Joined: 04.15.2008

Oct 16 @ 12:48 PM ET
Pretty sure losing Gardiner is addition by subtraction

They've also got several guys on the Marlies who look like they will be ready to make the jump by next year on cheap ELC's

Sorry to burst your bubble fella but the only wishful thinking I'm seeing here is you yearning for your Ontario rival to have a cap problem that doesn't exist

If the shape they are in relative to the Sens bothers you that much you can take solace in the fact that the Sens are looking like they may not hand Colorado the best odds for drafting Hughes

- poopstash


Its early, but the Rangers and Wings aren't looking great.
spatso
Ottawa Senators
Location: jensen beach, FL
Joined: 02.19.2007

Oct 16 @ 12:50 PM ET
Lajoie is the one player who I find most surprising. Chabot and Tkachuck were expected to make an impact, but Lajoie was a 5th round pick from two years ago. His numbers in hte ahl weren't close to this (so far).
- david22


Last year during training camp Boucher went out of his way to rave about Lajoie. He talked about his hockey instincts. In particular, I remember his speaking about gap control and how young Dmen struggle to master that part of the NHL game. Boucher seemed to be making the case that Lajoie already understood how the game needed to be played at the NHL level.

I wonder if Lajoie's start has something to do with his playing up to the confidence that Boucher has in him? It is hard to explain how a kid has a mediocre year in the AHL and then improves when he steps up to the NHL. I don't imagine that anyone believes that he can continue at this level. There will be some levelling off. But, it sure is fun to see a 5th round pick begin to blossom.

Athrin
Joined: 07.07.2016

Oct 16 @ 12:57 PM ET
Lajoie is the one player who I find most surprising. Chabot and Tkachuck were expected to make an impact, but Lajoie was a 5th round pick from two years ago. His numbers in hte ahl weren't close to this (so far).
- david22



Mark Stone was a 6th round, 178th pick and he is now a top 10 RW in the league. It is rare but late round picks can become great players and 1st over all can become bad one (Daigle,Yakupov). OTT might have hit a jackpot with Lajoie, only time will tell but its looking good so far.
poopstash
Los Angeles Kings
Joined: 03.21.2015

Oct 16 @ 1:02 PM ET
Its early, but the Rangers and Wings aren't looking great.
- david22


No, they are most certainly not. And unless a few players in Arizona remember how to put the puck in the net they are also on a one-way trip to the basement.
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Oct 16 @ 1:40 PM ET
anyways, I'm done talking about the leafs

this thread should be about Ottawa and how well they played yesterday

- sensarmy_11


No Problem

i didn't bring up the leafs, just responding to the concerns about their cap
sportsdataguy
Ottawa Senators
Location: NS
Joined: 11.24.2014

Oct 16 @ 1:52 PM ET
enjoy it while it lasts
- senstroll


To you as well!
sportsdataguy
Ottawa Senators
Location: NS
Joined: 11.24.2014

Oct 16 @ 2:13 PM ET
No, they are most certainly not. And unless a few players in Arizona remember how to put the puck in the net they are also on a one-way trip to the basement.
- poopstash


Sounds like they could use a bonified goal-scorer. One who wears their pajamas? What beautiful, delicious irony that would be, eh?
poopstash
Los Angeles Kings
Joined: 03.21.2015

Oct 16 @ 2:58 PM ET
Sounds like they could use a bonified goal-scorer. One who wears their pajamas? What beautiful, delicious irony that would be, eh?
- sportsdataguy


It would be the biggest story in the NHL in a long time.

That said, I can't see Matthews wanting to leave Toronto anytime soon. He's going to get paid, and the Leafs have just entered what will likely be a very long cup window.

He certainly seems to be enjoying himself.
forbetterorWORSE
Ottawa Senators
Location: Riverview, NB
Joined: 06.12.2009

Oct 16 @ 8:12 PM ET
Anyone know why the Ray Emery blog was deleted??
forbetterorWORSE
Ottawa Senators
Location: Riverview, NB
Joined: 06.12.2009

Oct 16 @ 8:13 PM ET
Sounds like they could use a bonified goal-scorer. One who wears their pajamas? What beautiful, delicious irony that would be, eh?
- sportsdataguy

I wore habs pajamas ad a kid and I hate the Habs with a passion now.
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