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Forums :: Blog World :: Ryan Wilson: Toronto leaves Pittsburgh with no points
Author Message
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Oct 19 @ 5:46 PM ET
So Tanger was all over him & Murray basically sat in front of him when he flubbed his shot - or got the only shot possible, was a high danger shot?

I strongly disagree with your interpretation of 'high danger'.

That means Horny slapping the puck into the pads of a goalie with zero chance of scoring is also 'high danger'?

- Aussiepenguin


Cool. We disagree. Imagine that. Who woulda thought we disagreed in something? (frank) me Sally.
Aussiepenguin
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Sydney
Joined: 08.02.2014

Oct 19 @ 5:54 PM ET
Cool. We disagree. Imagine that. Who woulda thought we disagreed in something? (frank) me Sally.
- j.boyd919


My opinion of high danger has no merit?
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Oct 19 @ 5:59 PM ET
My opinion of high danger has no merit?
- Aussiepenguin


Not to me it doesn’t.
Aussiepenguin
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Sydney
Joined: 08.02.2014

Oct 19 @ 6:13 PM ET
Not to me it doesn’t.
- j.boyd919


So just because the location is close it's 'high danger' regardless of what the conditions of the actual shot are? Ok.

That sort of eliminates your opinion on hockey in regards to what you were discussing earlier.
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Oct 19 @ 6:14 PM ET
So just because the location is close it's 'high danger' regardless of what the conditions of the actual shot are? Ok.

That sort of eliminates your opinion on hockey in regards to what you were discussing earlier.

- Aussiepenguin


Cool. Good talk.
pensfan024
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: somewhere in, VA
Joined: 09.25.2012

Oct 19 @ 6:35 PM ET
Is constant pessimisim a liberal thing?
Aussiepenguin
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Sydney
Joined: 08.02.2014

Oct 19 @ 6:39 PM ET
Cool. Good talk.
- j.boyd919

MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Oct 19 @ 8:13 PM ET

- j.boyd919


Pens had 22 blocked shots to Leafs 7 I beleive. All of those are included in this and those blocks make huge a difference.

Does a block always negate a scoring chance, or is it still a chance even if a defending player gets in the way?... How about if their own teamate gets in the way blocking it?
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Oct 19 @ 8:30 PM ET
So Tanger was all over him & Murray basically sat in front of him when he flubbed his shot - or got the only shot possible, was a high danger shot?

I strongly disagree with your interpretation of 'high danger'.

That means Horny slapping the puck into the pads of a goalie with zero chance of scoring is also 'high danger'?

- Aussiepenguin

It is based on the much higher probability that it goes in.
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Oct 19 @ 8:37 PM ET
Pens had 22 blocked shots to Leafs 7 I beleive. All of those are included in this and those blocks make huge a difference.

Does a block always negate a scoring chance, or is it still a chance even if a defending player gets in the way?... How about if their own teamate gets in the way blocking it?

- MattStrat


That heat map is unblocked shots.
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Oct 19 @ 8:42 PM ET
Pens had 22 blocked shots to Leafs 7 I beleive. All of those are included in this and those blocks make huge a difference.

Does a block always negate a scoring chance, or is it still a chance even if a defending player gets in the way?... How about if their own teamate gets in the way blocking it?

- MattStrat


The Penguins had 6 unblocked, shots on goal from the net out to the high slot between the dots.

The Leafs had 14 unblocked, shots on goal from the net out to the high slot between the dots.
all-pgh
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: PA
Joined: 05.14.2014

Oct 19 @ 9:30 PM ET
Definitely. Horny looks lost out there. Seems like every time he has the puck it's a turnover 2 seconds later
- Thorny87
I couldn't believe they didn't let him walk in the first place. This is gonna be painful to watch.
sammy87
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: CO
Joined: 05.05.2011

Oct 19 @ 9:39 PM ET
nerds
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Oct 19 @ 9:39 PM ET
That heat map is unblocked shots.
- j.boyd919


I thought it was shot attempts.
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Oct 19 @ 9:41 PM ET
I thought it was shot attempts.
- MattStrat


Says at the top of it “offensive zone unblocked shots heatmap”

I’ll shoot them a tweet to try and get some clarification though.

Edit: they are unblocked shot attempts per NST twitter.
Aussiepenguin
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Sydney
Joined: 08.02.2014

Oct 19 @ 10:57 PM ET
It is based on the much higher probability that it goes in.
- Feds91Stammer


Well, if they count on that they won't have accurate data to formulate too much.

It actually sounds like that looking at the 2 points of view. Hence Boyd relying on high danger shot data to form his arguèrent against data that actually considers the shot quality & actual attempt. I'll take the latter every time - Tavares shot a perfect example.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Oct 20 @ 1:01 AM ET
Well, if they count on that they won't have accurate data to formulate too much.

It actually sounds like that looking at the 2 points of view. Hence Boyd relying on high danger shot data to form his arguèrent against data that actually considers the shot quality & actual attempt. I'll take the latter every time - Tavares shot a perfect example.

- Aussiepenguin

You actually have no idea what you’re talking about. Not a surprise though.
Aussiepenguin
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Sydney
Joined: 08.02.2014

Oct 20 @ 1:38 AM ET
You actually have no idea what you’re talking about. Not a surprise though.
- Feds91Stammer


Funilly enough, I know exactly what I'm talking about. It just shows up another flaw in the analytics you guys relying on to tell you how a game was played.

The Tavares shot attempt you would say was high danger so count that as 1, meanwhile those of us that looks at the shot & analyses the environment would say it was a poor shot as he was under pressure & the goalie blocking him - so not really a high danger shot at all. Mark that as 0.

See, now the Leafs have 1 In your book, but in reality it's still 0-0 in the book of hockey - real hockey.

It's no surprise about 1 thing, you're right about that!
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Oct 20 @ 6:07 AM ET
Says at the top of it “offensive zone unblocked shots heatmap”

I’ll shoot them a tweet to try and get some clarification though.

Edit: they are unblocked shot attempts per NST twitter.

- j.boyd919


So missed shots are here then, they'd have to be because the Pens outshot the Leafs by one shot but the Leafs map looks much... Warmer? Haha

So I asked questions about players blocking shots and if it negated scoring chances, you didn't answer and perhaps you're not sure. I honestly have no clue and that's why I'm asking.

So what about missed shots?... If a players is on a HDSC area but misses the net or hits the post (still considered missed net), is it counted as a scoring chance still?
Aussiepenguin
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Sydney
Joined: 08.02.2014

Oct 20 @ 6:11 AM ET
So missed shots are here then, they'd have to be because the Pens outshot the Leafs by one shot but the Leafs map looks much... Warmer? Haha

So I asked questions about players blocking shots and if it negated scoring chances, you didn't answer and perhaps you're not sure. I honestly have no clue and that's why I'm asking.

So what about missed shots?... If a players is on a HDSC area but misses the net or hits the post (still considered missed net), is it counted as a scoring chance still?

- MattStrat


If Horny wacks at a puck 5 times into the goalies pad with zero chance of scoring in the 1 attacking sequence, îs that considered 5 HDSC?
VeryModernMan
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Munich
Joined: 06.06.2017

Oct 20 @ 7:24 AM ET
My opinion of high danger has no merit?
- Aussiepenguin


Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Oct 20 @ 8:01 AM ET
Funilly enough, I know exactly what I'm talking about. It just shows up another flaw in the analytics you guys relying on to tell you how a game was played.

The Tavares shot attempt you would say was high danger so count that as 1, meanwhile those of us that looks at the shot & analyses the environment would say it was a poor shot as he was under pressure & the goalie blocking him - so not really a high danger shot at all. Mark that as 0.

See, now the Leafs have 1 In your book, but in reality it's still 0-0 in the book of hockey - real hockey.

It's no surprise about 1 thing, you're right about that!

- Aussiepenguin

Look at you having a different conversation with yourself.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Oct 20 @ 8:03 AM ET
So missed shots are here then, they'd have to be because the Pens outshot the Leafs by one shot but the Leafs map looks much... Warmer? Haha

So I asked questions about players blocking shots and if it negated scoring chances, you didn't answer and perhaps you're not sure. I honestly have no clue and that's why I'm asking.

So what about missed shots?... If a players is on a HDSC area but misses the net or hits the post (still considered missed net), is it counted as a scoring chance still?

- MattStrat

Missed shots are still considered chances. They are considered scoring chances or high danger chances based on the higher probability of a goal based on shot location.
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Oct 20 @ 8:07 AM ET
Missed shots are still considered chances. They are considered scoring chances or high danger chances based on the higher probability of a goal based on shot location.
- Feds91Stammer


OK thanks. What about blocked shots by other team players or by your own teamates?
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Oct 20 @ 8:09 AM ET
If Horny wacks at a puck 5 times into the goalies pad with zero chance of scoring in the 1 attacking sequence, îs that considered 5 HDSC?
- Aussiepenguin


Or is that whole scenario, becuase its the same player in same place with puck in same general area, all considered just 1 HDSC?
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