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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Pachla: Beaulexit? Sabres d-man is said to want more playing time in Buffalo
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kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jan 17 @ 6:20 PM ET
Interesting stat IMO

Since 2016-17 (last 2 1/2 years) at 5 on 5

Goals

Risto 10
McCabe - 6

Primary assists

Ristolainen- 15
McCabe 14

Total points

Ristolainen - 44
McCabe - 34


Not that big of a difference, until you see the minutes played in that span

Risto - 3727
McCabe 2804

900 more minutes and just 10 more 5 on 5 points

With Dahlin and Pilut, I’m not sure Risto is even the third best offensive D man we have.

Regardless of opinion on him. We should sell high

- sbroads24


I am not counting on Pilut that much yet, but I wonder what the numbers look like at even strength instead of just 5 on 5, as I feel like even strength truly is the bulk of the play during games.
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jan 17 @ 6:22 PM ET
I think it's a myth that he plays better with fewer minutes.
- Lunaion


How is there a sample size large enough of his play at reduced minutes to know that?
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Jan 17 @ 6:27 PM ET
How is there a sample size large enough of his play at reduced minutes to know that?
- kingcong39


Just my opinion. He's played reduced minutes much of this year, and I see the same player. I'll never question his athleticism or conditioning.
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 17 @ 6:36 PM ET
I am not counting on Pilut that much yet, but I wonder what the numbers look like at even strength instead of just 5 on 5, as I feel like even strength truly is the bulk of the play during games.
- kingcong39

Problem is though is that would include all of Risto’s 3 on 3 time that McCabe never gets.

5 on 5 is really their only even playing field
seedy
Buffalo Sabres
Location: you don't need an ignore button to ignore someone., CA
Joined: 02.22.2007

Jan 17 @ 7:30 PM ET

It's not about getting the best player
It's about getting the right players for the team

- Stripes77


This is too wise and concisely stated for a place like this.
cabin
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We need a You're an Ass button, NY
Joined: 09.07.2006

Jan 17 @ 7:39 PM ET
This is too wise and concisely stated for a place like this.
- seedy

Although he is correct . I agree with your post .
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 17 @ 7:56 PM ET
The Isles have 3 goals on 5 shots because why not
jcragcrumple
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Reluctant bridge jumper; 6th round OHL draft pick, YT
Joined: 04.04.2016

Jan 17 @ 8:01 PM ET
Problem is though is that would include all of Risto’s 3 on 3 time that McCabe never gets.

5 on 5 is really their only even playing field

- sbroads24


This is where I disagree with you:

You discount PP and 3-on-3 stats as though anyone who plays it is guaranteed to perform and produce points. He-who-shall-not-be-named really wasn't replaced on the power play. Other people have gotten more time, but they aren't as good
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 17 @ 8:06 PM ET
https://twitter.com/chart.../1085951894542004224?s=21

Dahlin is unreal at 18. We have a generational player.

And here’s another example of where Ristolainen is below average
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 17 @ 8:08 PM ET
This is where I disagree with you:

You discount PP and 3-on-3 stats as though anyone who plays it is guaranteed to perform and produce points. He-who-shall-not-be-named really wasn't replaced on the power play. Other people have gotten more time, but they aren't as good

- jcragcrumple

They count, but how can you compare two players when only one person gets that time?

If Jake McCabe can score and pass just as good as Risto 5 on 5, why exactly couldn’t he cycle the puck on the PP like 55 does?

Both of them play the majority of their time 5 on 5. That’s where you compare them
cabin
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We need a You're an Ass button, NY
Joined: 09.07.2006

Jan 17 @ 8:22 PM ET
They count, but how can you compare two players when only one person gets that time?

If Jake McCabe can score and pass just as good as Risto 5 on 5, why exactly couldn’t he cycle the puck on the PP like 55 does?

Both of them play the majority of their time 5 on 5. That’s where you compare them

- sbroads24

You killed the blog ....





Again
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 17 @ 8:23 PM ET
You killed the blog ....





Again

- cabin

Psshh I revived it for a little bit
cabin
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We need a You're an Ass button, NY
Joined: 09.07.2006

Jan 17 @ 8:26 PM ET
Psshh I revived it for a little bit
- sbroads24

I admit you did. Slow night tonight. Was watching the replay of the game. Seems the lines show promise in spurts . slacking at times and the line changes, then it's on fire . and then it's ho hum
Pegullaville
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Toronto
Joined: 03.16.2011

Jan 17 @ 8:28 PM ET
https://twitter.com/chartinghockey/status/1085951894542004224?s=21

Dahlin is unreal at 18. We have a generational player.

And here’s another example of where Ristolainen is below average

- sbroads24


Imagine a Dahlin-Karlsson pairing. That would be insane.
jcragcrumple
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Reluctant bridge jumper; 6th round OHL draft pick, YT
Joined: 04.04.2016

Jan 17 @ 8:30 PM ET
They count, but how can you compare two players when only one person gets that time?

If Jake McCabe can score and pass just as good as Risto 5 on 5, why exactly couldn’t he cycle the puck on the PP like 55 does?

Both of them play the majority of their time 5 on 5. That’s where you compare them

- sbroads24


Because equal playing time doesn't mean they'll get the same amount of production. You can't throw e-rod in Eichel's PP spot and assume they'll produce at the same rate, and you can't assume that McCabe will produce the same as Risto on the PP. Risto is actually good at it
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 17 @ 8:32 PM ET
Because equal playing time doesn't mean they'll get the same amount of production. You can't throw e-rod in Eichel's PP spot and assume they'll produce at the same rate, and you can't assume that McCabe will produce the same as Risto on the PP. Risto is actually good at it
- jcragcrumple

Right, and Eichel blows Erod out of the water 5 on 5 too. So I don’t get that point?

My point is maybe McCabe could play the PP, and be just fine
Fattony1187
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 02.12.2015

Jan 17 @ 8:47 PM ET
Use the draft picks this year. Rid yourself of the deadweight, then make that kind of decision next season. Like you said, Murray moved to fast. It’s not that the ROR trade was terrible, it was just a year early. If Murray takes another year to asses what we have then we possibly have Eichel-Matthews/Dubois-ROR down the middle right now. Or Laine/Tkchuck on Eichel’s wing.
- Pegullaville



And won’t have dahlin on the team
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Jan 17 @ 9:02 PM ET
This is where I disagree with you:

You discount PP and 3-on-3 stats as though anyone who plays it is guaranteed to perform and produce points. He-who-shall-not-be-named really wasn't replaced on the power play. Other people have gotten more time, but they aren't as good

- jcragcrumple


Dahlin replaced that other guy on the PP. He's better.

3v3 shows Risto's strengths and weaknesses very well. He's flat out won us some games, and flat out lost us some games. He's never boring. McCabe probably would be. He doesn't skate nearly as well.
Pegullaville
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Toronto
Joined: 03.16.2011

Jan 17 @ 9:18 PM ET
And won’t have dahlin on the team
- Fattony1187


That’s the only positive. Hence why I hope we miss the playoffs this year and sink closer to a top 10 pick. If we pick twice in the top 15 and have another late first in a pretty good draft then we can really set ourselves up well.
Der Kaiser
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I Know Nothink ... NOTHINK!
Joined: 07.27.2007

Jan 17 @ 9:34 PM ET
https://twitter.com/chartinghockey/status/1085951894542004224?s=21

Dahlin is unreal at 18. We have a generational player.

And here’s another example of where Ristolainen is below average

- sbroads24


I’m no wizard at reading these graphs but I’m pretty sure the “average” you're referring to on that graph is the average offensive zone entries for forwards. That’s the line depicted in the graph.

When I isolated for Dmen on Buffalo, Winnipeg, and Nashville, Risto is better than everyone other than Roman Josi, Dahlin, Dustin Byfuglien, and Matthias Ekholm.

So at least insofar as entries go, this chart says Risto is superior to Trouba, Morrissey, Yannick Weber, Ryan Ellis, PK Subban, and Tyler Myers.

The area where Dahlin exceeds forward average is in carry in percentage. He is far below forward average in Entries/60.

But maybe I’m reading the chart wrong. Maybe.


rmiethaner
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Buffalo, NY
Joined: 10.04.2006

Jan 17 @ 9:43 PM ET
Trade!!!!
seedy
Buffalo Sabres
Location: you don't need an ignore button to ignore someone., CA
Joined: 02.22.2007

Jan 17 @ 9:47 PM ET
You killed the blog ....
Again

- cabin


You don't keep score? Then, how do you measure yourself with other golfers?
....By height.
seedy
Buffalo Sabres
Location: you don't need an ignore button to ignore someone., CA
Joined: 02.22.2007

Jan 17 @ 9:49 PM ET
Trade!!!!
- rmiethaner


Adios, Justin Bailey.

sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 17 @ 9:53 PM ET
I’m no wizard at reading these graphs but I’m pretty sure the “average” you're referring to on that graph is the average offensive zone entries for forwards. That’s the line depicted in the graph.

When I isolated for Dmen on Buffalo, Winnipeg, and Nashville, Risto is better than everyone other than Roman Josi, Dahlin, Dustin Byfuglien, and Matthias Ekholm.

So at least insofar as entries go, this chart says Risto is superior to Trouba, Morrissey, Yannick Weber, Ryan Ellis, PK Subban, and Tyler Myers.

The area where Dahlin exceeds forward average is in carry in percentage. He is far below forward average in Entries/60.

But maybe I’m reading the chart wrong. Maybe.



- Der Kaiser

Maybe I’m nuts but where do you see anything for forwards?
Powerslave
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Arriving Somewhere But Not Here
Joined: 02.10.2011

Jan 17 @ 9:54 PM ET
Adios, Justin Bailey.
- seedy


Dominoes
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