The chances are higher, but the odds are the same as picking 1 time. You just have a 30% chance 3 times instead of once.
- jcragcrumple

This is true, but a 30% chance taken 3 times moves it to a probability of like 66% or so I think.

Been a long time since I did probabilities.

Additionally, most 1st round picks at least end up playing in the league. You're, at minimum, gaining cost controlled depth.

You mean us sucking for 10 years, and then Botterill has to give a press conference where he urges people to have Darcy-Regier brand Patience?
- jcragcrumple

Theres a kid coming in the 2031 draft theyre really banking on landing...stay the course.

First round pick + for Kane = Gone in 3 years
First round pick for Lehner = gone in 3 years
32nd overall pick + for Oreilly = gone in 3 years

2nd + 3rd rounder + mediocre prospect for Skinner = about to sign extension after career year.

I’ll take the way JB seems to want to do it, which isn’t trading first rounders
- sbroads24

People will only bring up old regimes lack of drafting success when proving their point but not our prior trading success involving first rounders. Nothing to see here Sbroads. But every hypothetical trade proposal for a player will be for someone who was drafted once upon a time last time I checked.

0 people would say the first rounders are guaranteed to work out.

The point is we need a few of them to. It’s a must.

You can’t build this team with more high priced vets.

You need cheap, young skill
- sbroads24

Exactly.

Cap era. Need to take your chances or simply accept that your franchise will never be better than middling.

This is true, but a 30% chance taken 3 times moves it to a probability of like 66% or so I think.

Been a long time since I did probabilities.
- RhinoFan

There was only a 20-% chance at Dahlin right?

Man we shoulda moved that puck man, could’ve been Patrik Stefan!

we're about to get -52 wind chills.
- Khmylev

A friend of mine suggests you hunker down, gather up a glass of milk and a bag of ginger snaps, get LOOSE, and get through it.

There was only a 20-% chance at Dahlin right?

Man we shoulda moved that puck man, could’ve been Patrik Stefan!
- sbroads24

not one time did I say trade a lottery pick. not once. but that 23rd overall....hang on to that....it might be Tom Brady.

The funny thing is they want to trade for guys who were first rounders.

Like how about we take our shot at drafting a Couturier instead of giving up 3-4 assets for one halfway through his career already?
- sbroads24

If you want a 2C. Don’t win more then 10 games the rest of the way and pick top 10. Problem solved. While that guy is developing sign a stop gap in Nyquist, Hayes, or someone that can contribute on the cheap. Or put the hog down on the table and get in the bidding for Duchene. Costs zero assets other then cap space.

There was only a 20-% chance at Dahlin right?

Man we shoulda moved that puck man, could’ve been Patrik Stefan!
- sbroads24

Where would have we been all those years if We didn't get Tyler Ennis and Zemgus Girgensons late in the first round.

No offense, but that is absurd.
- RhinoFan

let me clarify, i would not give up all three picks for just 1 player.

If you want a 2C. Don’t win more then 10 games the rest of the way and pick top 10. Problem solved. While that guy is developing sign a stop gap in Nyquist, Hayes, or someone that can contribute on the cheap. Or put the hog down on the table and get in the bidding for Duchene. Costs zero assets other then cap space.
- Pegullaville

now youre talking...

0 people would say the first rounders are guaranteed to work out.

The point is we need a few of them to. It’s a must.

You can’t build this team with more high priced vets.

You need cheap, young skill
- sbroads24

As it stands now, we have 6 picks in the first 3 rounds over the next two years. That abundance of picks should be used to make a run at the playoffs. JB's shown that he's a risk taker, willing to overpay to get his guy, and probably drunk.

let me clarify, i would not give up all three picks for just 1 player.
- hehateme

I misunderstood.

Apologies.

I don't think that's absurd at all....to get a true scoring center... 24-28 years old. A REAL #2 center...id make that trade too.

Id trade all three for a resigned Matt Duschene
- RippedFuel

And you'll be sitting at the corner of the bar at Osteria with Whaley and Murray crying in your beers about what raw deals you all got.

3 first round picks for Duchene? C'mon.

What has Duchene won that you'd think he'll come in here and fix our problems? Who's playing on his wings, Thompson and Sheary? 😂😂😂 Yeah, great line.

This isn't Xbox.

but a ufa in 17 months
- homiedclown

Reed more, post less, or have you hit the bottle already today?

If you want a 2C. Don’t win more then 10 games the rest of the way and pick top 10. Problem solved. While that guy is developing sign a stop gap in Nyquist, Hayes, or someone that can contribute on the cheap. Or put the hog down on the table and get in the bidding for Duchene. Costs zero assets other then cap space.
- Pegullaville

So we're packing it up on Mitts 50 games into his career?

Where would have we been all those years if We didn't get Tyler Ennis and Zemgus Girgensons late in the first round.
- RippedFuel

If only the Canucks traded Brock Boeser for Brayden Schenn...... If only the Sabres traded Colin White/Travis Konecny/or Brock Boeser for Robin Lehner

Where would have we been all those years if We didn't get Tyler Ennis and Zemgus Girgensons late in the first round.
- RippedFuel

Not much different.

However, if the Sabres had any draft skills and had taken John Carlsson (the next pick after Ennis) we'd be better off.

If we'd have taken Teravainen, Vasilevskiy, Wilson or Hertl instead of Zemgus (the next 4 picks) we'd have been better off.

You're telling me the Sabres weren't good at drafting. I already know this.

So we're packing it up on Mitts 50 games into his career?
- jcragcrumple

Did having Crosby and Malkin stop the Pens from selecting Jorden Staal ? Why can’t we have 3 centres down the middle ? Leafs have Kadri on the third line. Bolts have Point, Stammer, Johnson/Gourde.

So we're packing it up on Mitts 50 games into his career?
- jcragcrumple

Not this guy. I'm still on the bandwagon. He's going to be fine.

Not much different.

However, if the Sabres had any draft skills and had taken John Carlsson (the next pick after Ennis) we'd be better off.

If we'd have taken Teravainen, Vasilevskiy, Wilson or Hertl instead of Zemgus (the next 4 picks) we'd have been better off.

You're telling me the Sabres weren't good at drafting. I already know this.
- RhinoFan

Jets, Leafs, Lightning have drafted extremely well and sit where they do becuase of it.

Not much different.

However, if the Sabres had any draft skills and had taken John Carlsson (the next pick after Ennis) we'd be better off.

If we'd have taken Teravainen, Vasilevskiy, Wilson or Hertl instead of Zemgus (the next 4 picks) we'd have been better off.

You're telling me the Sabres weren't good at drafting. I already know this.
- RhinoFan

Let's clarify.

Darcy and his cronies weren't good at the drafting, if we're picking on that specific year.

The jury is still out on Botts.

Another path....to get some depth.....offer sheets...Im not talking Mariner, Laine or Matthews...but I could see some depth guys that might be worth over paying a little...

Winnipeg has Ehlers, Scheffle, Little, Wheeler, Bfuglien and soon to be Laine...all on big money deals...Id cherry pick Connor, Tanev or Trouba….

Calgary...lotta big long term money there too....Bennett??? why not take a shot at Tkachuk?

Vrana from Washington..

Jets, Leafs, Lightning have drafted extremely well and sit where they do becuase of it.
- Pegullaville

Can add Colorado and Toronto to that list as well.

So we're packing it up on Mitts 50 games into his career?
- jcragcrumple

NO...I just don't want 3 more