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Forums :: Blog World :: Justin Lowe: Rollin' at the Wrong Time
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Scott1977
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Yorkville, IL
Joined: 08.30.2012

Mar 18 @ 4:36 PM ET
You're predicting they trade pick 12-15 plus what to move up to pick 6? They can't get the 6th pick any other way besides a trade.
- tvetter

How the lottery balls fall carolina went from 12 to the 2nd overall pick.
mohel
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 02.08.2013

Mar 18 @ 4:39 PM ET
How the lottery balls fall carolina went from 12 to the 2nd overall pick.
- Scott1977


Teams in the 8-10 range can't be 6 after the lottery.
TrueGrit
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: FL
Joined: 07.19.2011

Mar 18 @ 4:41 PM ET
8th seed in the West the past few years.

2018 - 95 points
2017 - 94
2016 - 87
2015 - 99
2014 - 91.

Pretty spread out. Glad it's not the past couple of years.

- mohel


What you really need to look at is the standings at the bottom of the conference. I have not, but would bet you a couple third round picks that there were more teams with BAD records the last few years, as opposed to many teams with MEDIOCRE records...= PARITY = greater spread of points and lower threshold.
mohel
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 02.08.2013

Mar 18 @ 4:43 PM ET
What you really need to look at is the standings at the bottom of the conference. I have not, but would bet you a couple third round picks that there were more teams with BAD records the last few years, as opposed to many teams with MEDIOCRE records...= PARITY = greater spread of points and lower threshold.
- TrueGrit


Well, sure.
tvetter
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Burkesville, KY
Joined: 12.16.2015

Mar 18 @ 5:13 PM ET
How the lottery balls fall carolina went from 12 to the 2nd overall pick.
- Scott1977

The lottery is only for the top 3. Right now, we have pick 11. This means we can get picks 1,2,3,11,12,13 or 14.
EbonyRaptor
Joined: 03.28.2013

Mar 18 @ 5:16 PM ET
How the lottery balls fall carolina went from 12 to the 2nd overall pick.
- Scott1977


Only the top 3 spots are chosen by the ping pong ball lottery. Any non-playoff team can move into the top-3 spots if their ping pong ball is selected. After the top-3 spots are determined via the lottery the remaining draft order is determined by worst->best record. For every team in the 4->15 range that moves into the top-3 - the top-3 teams move down a spot. In other words, the team with the worst record can't do worse than 4th and only then if it was displaced by 3 teams that "won the lottery" and moved up in the draft.
TrueGrit
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: FL
Joined: 07.19.2011

Mar 18 @ 5:16 PM ET
Well, sure.
- mohel



EbonyRaptor
Joined: 03.28.2013

Mar 18 @ 5:17 PM ET
The lottery is only for the top 3. Right now, we have pick 11. This means we can get picks 1,2,3,11,12,13 or 14.
- tvetter


And picks we can't get are 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 or 15.
Spec41971
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Rolling meadows, IL
Joined: 03.04.2017

Mar 18 @ 5:28 PM ET
Earlier in the year, Crawford was back, played decently well, but the team was giving up chances like a bunch of backyard kids who didn't know what defensive coverage means. It's no wonder that now that things are a bit more stable on the defensive side that their GAA takes an jump getting their #1 goalie back in the crease.
- breadbag[b[No offense to Ward or Delia, but Crawford is the best goalie the Hawks have still. Despite the injuries, he doesn't look to be losing his game and might be the Hawks goalie for a while yet. If the Hawks can shore up a bit more and keep his bell from getting rung, we could see a real jump year over year in GAA and the win column.

Even that win against the Habs, Crawford had to make 48 saves and played great, but I feel like that was one of the easiest looking 40+ save shutouts. The team has an uphill battle and still probably won't make it, but still fun to watch.


No defense either!
tvetter
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Burkesville, KY
Joined: 12.16.2015

Mar 18 @ 5:41 PM ET
And picks we can't get are 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 or 15.
- EbonyRaptor

You forgot picks 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30 and 31
BetweenTheDots
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 06.13.2015

Mar 18 @ 5:42 PM ET
Check out @NHLBlackhawks’s Tweet: https://twitter.com/NHLBl.../1107670171165036550?s=01
I Am The Breadman
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Richton Park, IL
Joined: 09.16.2018

Mar 18 @ 5:42 PM ET
You forgot picks 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30 and 31
- tvetter


That was my question ..... thanks for clearing that up.
BetweenTheDots
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 06.13.2015

Mar 18 @ 5:48 PM ET
Sounds like Caggiula is working out, but not skating yet. Hopefully it's behind him
Tyler Cameron
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 10.31.2017

Mar 18 @ 5:54 PM ET
Currently the Hawks have a 11.7% chance at making the playoffs (as per Hockey Reference):

According to The Athletic this morning, the Hawks playoff probability is 20%.
Plus, 6% to make the 2nd round, 2% to make round 3, 1% to make the SCF, and 0.2% to win the whole darn thing.

- scottak


Even better. I've been quoting Hockey Reference all along so thought I'd keep it consistent.
pdx2ord
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Portland, OR
Joined: 09.02.2015

Mar 18 @ 6:11 PM ET
Wow

https://twitter.com/goali.../1106586454409531394?s=21

You’d have to be a real diehard.
Budi1782
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Chicago, IL
Joined: 08.06.2013

Mar 18 @ 6:11 PM ET
Well it could be an interesting race to the end of the regular season!

FE65-DDFF-5482-47-DC-BFAB-58-EF2-D03-EAEA



465-CCDC9-6-E43-4993-9-E59-A4-E287-E54142


- walleyeb1


None of those teams seem to have an easy schedule. The issue is going to be all the head to head matchups the teams they are chasing have against each other. When you have Min/Dal/Az/Col all playing each other a couple times, somebody is going to get 2 points, and god forbid we get the dreaded 3 point game. I've said it before, and I'll say it again, before the Hawks won in MTL, I estimated they will need to go 9-3 to make the playoffs, if AZ goes 6-5 down the stretch. They got the 9th win out of the way, so they need to go 8-3, with hopefully some of those 3 losses maybe being an OTL.
I Am The Breadman
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Richton Park, IL
Joined: 09.16.2018

Mar 18 @ 6:15 PM ET
Wow

https://twitter.com/goali.../1106586454409531394?s=21

You’d have to be a real diehard.

- pdx2ord


Rinne in peace (rip)
CanOCorn
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: The OP, IL
Joined: 04.03.2013

Mar 18 @ 6:18 PM ET
Sounds like Caggiula is working out, but not skating yet. Hopefully it's behind him
- BetweenTheDots


Buuuut...he hit his head....
walleyeb1
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Petersburg, IL
Joined: 09.25.2014

Mar 18 @ 6:25 PM ET
Hawks are 70.2% probability to beat the Canucks tonight. Vancouver on the 2nd of a back to back.

And, The Athletic has ARI getting the final spot with 88 points. So the Hawks need to get to 88 and let the ROW decide it, or get to 89.

- scottak



I threw this together this morning after looking at the schedules:

CHI 8-3 = 16 + 73 = 89
ARI 5-5 = 10 + 78 = 88
MIN 5-4 = 10 + 77 = 87
COL 3-7 = 6 + 74 = 80
mrpaulish
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Itasca, IL
Joined: 01.18.2010

Mar 18 @ 6:33 PM ET
I threw this together this morning after looking at the schedules:

CHI 8-3 = 16 + 73 = 89
ARI 5-5 = 10 + 78 = 88
MIN 5-4 = 10 + 77 = 87
COL 3-7 = 6 + 74 = 80

- walleyeb1



Going to be close but its possible.
mike7076
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Chicago, IL
Joined: 11.11.2018

Mar 18 @ 7:02 PM ET
Regardless if they make the playoffs or not they at least have been enjoyable to watch...
That stretch after they fired Q was just plain dismal (thanks management)!!!
Think the forward they should go for is Kappanen...
Maybe Forsling and our 2019 2nd????
Just not sure whom they can target on D.....
2,7,5,56 Joki will have spots.....
Is the answer Jesus?
Elbows15
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: I was going to do the math on this but I don't think it will help., IL
Joined: 08.04.2013

Mar 18 @ 7:04 PM ET
Wow

https://twitter.com/goali.../1106586454409531394?s=21

You’d have to be a real diehard.

- pdx2ord

ohh, nicely done ma'am. nicely done, indeed
Elbows15
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: I was going to do the math on this but I don't think it will help., IL
Joined: 08.04.2013

Mar 18 @ 7:05 PM ET
That was my question ..... thanks for clearing that up.
- I Am The Breadman

walleyeb1
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Petersburg, IL
Joined: 09.25.2014

Mar 18 @ 7:18 PM ET
Going to be close but its possible.
- mrpaulish


One can hope, we could just as easily go 3-8.
I Am The Breadman
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Richton Park, IL
Joined: 09.16.2018

Mar 18 @ 7:20 PM ET

- Elbows15


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