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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Musings and Quick Hits: A Serious Look at Silly Season, Good Luck to Blues
Author Message
ClaudeFather
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: west haven, CT
Joined: 08.14.2015

Jun 12 @ 3:37 PM ET
Doesn't matter. The point was there are players to be found in the late rounds.
- PLindbergh31

Then Start Looking brother!
Bill Meltzer
Editor
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 07.13.2006

Jun 12 @ 3:38 PM ET
Doesn't matter. The point was there are players to be found in the late rounds.
- PLindbergh31


It takes a stroke of good luck. It does happen, yes, but not often enough that it should create second thoughts about an NHL-level move.
Flyers1218
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: New York, NY
Joined: 06.28.2007

Jun 12 @ 3:39 PM ET
The statistical odds of a 5th round pick ever playing a single game in the NHL are less than 10 percent. The odds of the player becoming an NHL regular are a fraction of that, and the odds of him becoming an impact player are statistically less than 1 percent.
- bmeltzer

I think what’s bothering people is that:

1. It’s not for a player they wanted

2. It very well could be a pick traded for absolutely nothing.

I’m not going to debate if I think Hayes is the right fit, it’s been beat like a dead horse. But I will say I commend them for being aggressive to try to get the player they targeted.
ClaudeFather
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: west haven, CT
Joined: 08.14.2015

Jun 12 @ 3:41 PM ET
I think what’s bothering people is that:

1. It’s not for a player they wanted

2. It very well could be a pick traded for absolutely nothing.

I’m not going to debate if I think Hayes is the right fit, it’s been beat like a dead horse. But I will say I commend them for being aggressive to try to get the player they targeted.

- Flyers1218

1 - He 100% helps in the short to mid term, right player or not.
2 - Bills explanation renders a fifth round pick to nothing.
PLindbergh31
Location: NJ
Joined: 02.01.2008

Jun 12 @ 3:42 PM ET
It takes a stroke of good luck. It does happen, yes, but not often enough that it should create second thoughts about an NHL-level move.
- bmeltzer


Of course. I get it. The way I'd equate it would be buying a ticket for the 500 million dollar lottery, and losing your ticket before the drawing.
Bill Meltzer
Editor
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 07.13.2006

Jun 12 @ 3:43 PM ET
https://www.nhl.com/news/...elphia-flyers/c-307815424

Sent with @NHL
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jun 12 @ 3:46 PM ET
1 - He 100% helps in the short to mid term, right player or not.
2 - Bills explanation renders a fifth round pick to nothing.

- ClaudeFather


It's not nothing, it's a long shot. I would have preferred it to be a conditional pick, but whatever.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jun 12 @ 3:50 PM ET
https://www.nhl.com/news/meltzers-411-drafting-the-trade-winds--philadelphia-flyers/c-307815424

Sent with @NHL

- bmeltzer


"2018: The Flyers discussed various trade ideas with other teams at the 2018 Draft in Dallas but ultimately stood pat except for a 7th round pick swap. "

I mean, I'm sure there's a reason, but why would teams even do 1-for-1 swaps of 7th round picks? That seems like making a trade for the sake of making a trade. I guess I could see where none of the remaining players were scouted, so you move on until next year, but 7th rounders have to be extreme long shots to ever even play one game in the NHL.
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Jun 12 @ 3:53 PM ET
Giving up draft picks and overpaying for players like Kevin Hayes is bad business.
July 1 should be a real hoot.

- PLindbergh31

dont worry we only gave up a chance to get a player like Pavelski, Benn, Timonen, Bondra, Tocchet to get the rights to a guy that doesn't seem like he wants to be here
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jun 12 @ 3:55 PM ET
dont worry we only gave up a chance to get a player like Pavelski, Benn, Timonen, Bondra, Tocchet to get the rights to a guy that doesn't seem like he wants to be here
- 2Real


You know when you see an advertisement for a casino, and they have a picture of a guy winning money? That's false advertising, because that happens the least. That's like if you're advertising a hamburger, they could show a guy choking. "This is what happened once."
arichardson22
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philly, PA
Joined: 06.10.2013

Jun 12 @ 3:56 PM ET
The tweet doesn’t worry me. Arizona is pretty set at Center and if CLB loses Panarin, Bob and even Duchene, he’s better off playing with Flyers if we wants a shot at winning. Negotiation tactics imo
PLindbergh31
Location: NJ
Joined: 02.01.2008

Jun 12 @ 3:56 PM ET
dont worry we only gave up a chance to get a player like Pavelski, Benn, Timonen, Bondra, Tocchet to get the rights to a guy that doesn't seem like he wants to be here
- 2Real


I'd rather just lose the draft pick then overpay. The loss of the draft pick is the lesser of two evils. I'm trying to figure out how this will play out.... I'm going with they overpay Hayes, he turns out to be an albatross, and the Jets end up drafting a solid NHL player with the pick. They draw to an inside straight.
bulet13
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Faceoffs, Plus/Minus, and PIMs...the Holy Trinity, TX
Joined: 03.10.2013

Jun 12 @ 3:57 PM ET
We're seriously still debating sending a 5th rounder? We have like 10 picks in the draft
bulet13
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Faceoffs, Plus/Minus, and PIMs...the Holy Trinity, TX
Joined: 03.10.2013

Jun 12 @ 4:00 PM ET
I'd rather just lose the draft pick then overpay. The loss of the draft pick is the lesser of two evils. I'm trying to figure out how this will play out.... I'm going with they overpay Hayes, he turns out to be an albatross, and the Jets end up drafting a solid NHL player with the pick. They draw to an inside straight.
- PLindbergh31


I too only view things through the lense of absolute worst case scenario. That's why I don't leave my bed. Too many bad things outside
LW2530
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Anyone have some change?, FL
Joined: 09.12.2006

Jun 12 @ 4:00 PM ET
"2018: The Flyers discussed various trade ideas with other teams at the 2018 Draft in Dallas but ultimately stood pat except for a 7th round pick swap. "

I mean, I'm sure there's a reason, but why would teams even do 1-for-1 swaps of 7th round picks? That seems like making a trade for the sake of making a trade. I guess I could see where none of the remaining players were scouted, so you move on until next year, but 7th rounders have to be extreme long shots to ever even play one game in the NHL.

- jmatchett383


Well, if the 5th round pick is worth next to nothing, then what is a 7th worth? They probably waived it in the air and asked if any other team wanted this worthless POS.
Ftown19125
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 09.17.2013

Jun 12 @ 4:00 PM ET
We're seriously still debating sending a 5th rounder? We have like 10 picks in the draft
- bulet13


have to look at who is debating it.
PLindbergh31
Location: NJ
Joined: 02.01.2008

Jun 12 @ 4:01 PM ET
I too only view things through the lense of absolute worst case scenario. That's why I don't leave my bed. Too many bad things outside
- bulet13


Hey if you just expected the worst over the last 40 years, you wouldn't be disappointed.
ClaudeFather
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: west haven, CT
Joined: 08.14.2015

Jun 12 @ 4:02 PM ET
have to look at who is debating it.
- Ftown19125

but Jamie Benn!!!
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Jun 12 @ 4:04 PM ET
We're seriously still debating sending a 5th rounder? We have like 10 picks in the draft
- bulet13

it's more concerning if a player chooses CLB or ARI over Philly
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jun 12 @ 4:04 PM ET
Well, if the 5th round pick is worth next to nothing, then what is a 7th worth? They probably waived it in the air and asked if any other team wanted this worthless POS.
- LW2530


More or less.
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Jun 12 @ 4:04 PM ET
Hey if you just expected the worst over the last 40 years, you wouldn't be disappointed.
- PLindbergh31

i don't want St. Louis to win because I don't want them to leap frog the flyers
PLindbergh31
Location: NJ
Joined: 02.01.2008

Jun 12 @ 4:06 PM ET
it's more concerning if a player chooses CLB or ARI over Philly
- 2Real


What if they choose Sunrise Florida over Philly? That hockey hotbed where not a single shuffleboard playing, farina eating, depends poopting, person gives a rat (frank) about hockey.
ClaudeFather
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: west haven, CT
Joined: 08.14.2015

Jun 12 @ 4:07 PM ET
What if they choose Sunrise Florida over Philly? That hockey hotbed where not a single shuffleboard playing, farina eating, depends poopting, person gives a rat (frank) about hockey.
- PLindbergh31

Beaches, taxes, the sun, cheap real estate...
PLindbergh31
Location: NJ
Joined: 02.01.2008

Jun 12 @ 4:07 PM ET
i don't want St. Louis to win because I don't want them to leap frog the flyers
- 2Real


They aren't winning tonight.
bulet13
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Faceoffs, Plus/Minus, and PIMs...the Holy Trinity, TX
Joined: 03.10.2013

Jun 12 @ 4:08 PM ET
it's more concerning if a player chooses CLB or ARI over Philly
- 2Real


Ah yes, because players only consider the quality of city when choosing where to play. That's why every free agent ever has gone to NYC or LA.

Edit: Don't you think Columbus interests him cause he thinks they're gonna lose Duchene and he can be a 1c there? Oh, I forgot you're allergic to critical thinking
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