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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Leafs sign Ceci, Kerfoot to contract extensions
Author Message
bixll
Location: New Glasgow, NS
Joined: 09.04.2008

Jul 5 @ 7:48 AM ET
Ceci is better than what is projected by people. He played on a bad team and played tough minutes and lots of them.
I think people will be pleasantly surprised with his play this year.

- TOGENIUS



Unpossible, he is a Leaf now.. Fans will run him out of town.
MaximusAurelius
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: #FireDubas
Joined: 04.23.2012

Jul 5 @ 7:49 AM ET
Ceci is better than what is projected by people. He played on a bad team and played tough minutes and lots of them.
I think people will be pleasantly surprised with his play this year.

- TOGENIUS


Ceci sucks.
The same as those who actually watch hockey knew before start of last season that Sparks sucks.
Ceci = Marincin level (different skill set, yes); and most people in here hate him.
Only place for Ceci on this roster would be 3rd pairing - Toronto desperately still needs a guy to play with Rielly, unless they expect that they can get enough points with player x in top 4 before Dermott is back. (after which top4 is Dermott-Muzzin-Rielly-Barrie).

bixll
Location: New Glasgow, NS
Joined: 09.04.2008

Jul 5 @ 7:57 AM ET
Ceci sucks.
The same as those who actually watch hockey knew before start of last season that Sparks sucks.
Ceci = Marincin level (different skill set, yes); and most people in here hate him.
Only place for Ceci on this roster would be 3rd pairing - Toronto desperately still needs a guy to play with Rielly, unless they expect that they can get enough points with player x in top 4 before Dermott is back. (after which top4 is Dermott-Muzzin-Rielly-Barrie).

- MaximusAurelius



Holy (frank) you are a negative SOB.


JMO, Leafs have a good team, you should try to enjoy the fact.

Maybe chat with you boys in the fall.

Cheers
Nighthawk
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Canuckville, BC
Joined: 01.09.2015

Jul 5 @ 8:03 AM ET
Ceci sucks.
The same as those who actually watch hockey knew before start of last season that Sparks sucks.
Ceci = Marincin level (different skill set, yes); and most people in here hate him.
Only place for Ceci on this roster would be 3rd pairing - Toronto desperately still needs a guy to play with Rielly, unless they expect that they can get enough points with player x in top 4 before Dermott is back. (after which top4 is Dermott-Muzzin-Rielly-Barrie).

- MaximusAurelius


It’s a tough go of it getting Reilly a partner. The guy is a stud & could use one.
MaximusAurelius
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: #FireDubas
Joined: 04.23.2012

Jul 5 @ 8:08 AM ET
Holy (frank) you are a negative SOB.


JMO, Leafs have a good team, you should try to enjoy the fact.

Maybe chat with you boys in the fall.

Cheers

- bixll


it's not negative - it's being realistic.
same with the kadri vs. kerfoot discussions ('kerfoot is a great PK'er!!').

Dubas made some moves - which is great.
we'll have to see how they pan out.
we all hope they pan out great.
but anytime someone actually says that player X might not be a topline performer, it's just stupid to react 'hater!! you're not a leafs fan!' etc.

some people want to discuss hockey.
others are just here to be fanboys and say 'leafs are the bestests'.
the problem is if people of these two categories start responding to eachoter.
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Jul 5 @ 8:12 AM ET
Holy (frank) you are a negative SOB.


JMO, Leafs have a good team, you should try to enjoy the fact.

Maybe chat with you boys in the fall.

Cheers

- bixll


As much as I agree that he's typically negative, he's not wrong here.

All measures - objective and otherwise - point to the fact that Ceci is a terrible defenseman. When Ottawa is bad, Ceci is in the bottom 5 (not like bottom quarter, or bottom 40, bottom FIVE) in pretty much all posession, play driving, and goal prevention metrics. When Ottawa has been good, Ceci is in the bottom 5 (not like bottom quarter, or bottom 40, bottom FIVE) in pretty much all posession, play driving, and goal prevention metrics.

I would *love* for the Leaf Management to somehow figure out something for him. Maybe with different utilization, different responsibilities, being away from the pressures of home . . .maybe a different scene / change - or the realization that this is now his career on the line - I don't know, MAYBE, he becomes a different player.

But for all of our sake, it's best to think of Cody Ceci as someone who is terrible, and give him a chance to surprise us, rather than think he's decent - which he has literally never proven he is - and have him let us down.

The Leafs are a good team. Barrie is an upgrade and will help drive the play from the back-end. But Ceci is objectively worse than Zaitsev, but not by much, since Zaitsev was pretty useless, too. A full year of Muzzin will help, too.
Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Jul 5 @ 8:14 AM ET
Capriendly doesn’t lie. Pridhams word means nada.
- Nighthawk


No, it doesn't lie.

It also, at first glance, doesn't say what you think it does. I will leave it up to you to figure it out.

If you think you know more than the Dubas, Pridham, and TSN then you go right ahead believing what you want.
Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Jul 5 @ 8:17 AM ET
Ok kiddo

Run it by anyone using your intentional unheard of masterstroke of using a 21 man roster.

Go ahead & find support for that 😂😂

I know how the cap works but try again

Not very hard if you try or keep digging a deeper hole idc lol

- Nighthawk


MLSE definitely needs to hire you.

How could Dubas and Pridham get it so wrong.
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Jul 5 @ 8:18 AM ET
It’s a tough go of it getting Reilly a partner. The guy is a stud & could use one.
- Nighthawk


By the way, for all of your cap speculation at 1:40AM, go read a post I put up on page 1 of this blog. It contains a breakdown of the cap situation, and shows that while capfriendly outlines some data, it's including information that it shouldn't. The Leafs can afford Marner up to $9m if they don't use any LTIR. Horton's $5.3m gives them a fair bit of additional flexibility. Hyman will likely go on LTIR to start the year, and if he's not back until December, that's probably 45% of the season, or another $1m in cap room for the year.

Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Jul 5 @ 8:19 AM ET
Hold on? You think 13 + 7 + 2 is 21?
- walshyleafsfan


yeah I saw that also

But he isn't trolling, he is just curious.

MaximusAurelius
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: #FireDubas
Joined: 04.23.2012

Jul 5 @ 8:22 AM ET
By the way, for all of your cap speculation at 1:40AM, go read a post I put up on page 1 of this blog. It contains a breakdown of the cap situation, and shows that while capfriendly outlines some data, it's including information that it shouldn't. The Leafs can afford Marner up to $9m if they don't use any LTIR. Horton's $5.3m gives them a fair bit of additional flexibility. Hyman will likely go on LTIR to start the year, and if he's not back until December, that's probably 45% of the season, or another $1m in cap room for the year.
- Monkeypunk


people underestimate how much Leafs will miss Hyman.
I could see Leafs struggling first half of season, in particular with Hyman + Dermott out in combination with the difficult schedule first 3 months (lots of away games first 5 weeks of season).
Nighthawk
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Canuckville, BC
Joined: 01.09.2015

Jul 5 @ 8:25 AM ET
No, it doesn't lie.

It also, at first glance, doesn't say what you think it does. I will leave it up to you to figure it out.

If you think you know more than the Dubas, Pridham, and TSN then you go right ahead believing what you want.

- Aetherial


I can do the math & add LTIR from Horton & Hyman & Dermott & demotions. Talk to your buddy who thinks running a 21 player roster is a solution lol
RedRevenge
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 04.18.2017

Jul 5 @ 8:25 AM ET
Ceci sucks.
The same as those who actually watch hockey knew before start of last season that Sparks sucks.
Ceci = Marincin level (different skill set, yes); and most people in here hate him.
Only place for Ceci on this roster would be 3rd pairing - Toronto desperately still needs a guy to play with Rielly, unless they expect that they can get enough points with player x in top 4 before Dermott is back. (after which top4 is Dermott-Muzzin-Rielly-Barrie).

- MaximusAurelius


Exactly this. ^^
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Jul 5 @ 8:28 AM ET
people underestimate how much Leafs will miss Hyman.
I could see Leafs struggling first half of season, in particular with Hyman + Dermott out in combination with the difficult schedule first 3 months (lots of away games first 5 weeks of season).

- MaximusAurelius


They will definitely miss him. He plays where a lot of our players don't like to. It's an opportunity for guys like Moore to elevate their game and show that they are capable of. What Hyman does, I think, probably better than anyone is forecheck effectively. He doesn't just fly-by, or come in with speed and hook, he comes at them with speed and engages, which causes turnovers.

Babs would talk about his puck retrieval ability, but with his hands (which are basically average), he doesn't seem to win most of his board battles. But he pops the puck free. He causes it to happen. He disturbs the defense and that's a skill that when employed well - especially with guys on the line who can capitalize - is extremely useful.
Fakepartofme
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Living rent free... in your head, ON
Joined: 09.20.2010

Jul 5 @ 8:30 AM ET
I’m starting to think Babs will play Muzz/Barrie.

Who the hell does Rielly get to start the season? Barring a miracle Ceci can handle it I could see Lil getting it...

Liljegren hasn’t progressed at all offensively but defensively he’s made massive strides.

- Santo_44

Good.
It will be nice to have a dman who's good at defense. Dont need them all to score.
Stop the rush, defend the net and get the puck out.
MaximusAurelius
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: #FireDubas
Joined: 04.23.2012

Jul 5 @ 8:36 AM ET
I can do the math & add LTIR from Horton & Hyman & Dermott & demotions. Talk to your buddy who thinks running a 21 player roster is a solution lol
- Nighthawk


Toronto will easily run a 20/21 roster, in particular when stretches with lots of home games.
They can just call up Marlies (Borgman, Liljegren, a few other FWs).

The only 'risk' they run is losing guys on waivers - Sparks/Holl/Gravel etc.
Leafs43
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 06.16.2010

Jul 5 @ 8:36 AM ET
As much as I agree that he's typically negative, he's not wrong here.

All measures - objective and otherwise - point to the fact that Ceci is a terrible defenseman. When Ottawa is bad, Ceci is in the bottom 5 (not like bottom quarter, or bottom 40, bottom FIVE) in pretty much all posession, play driving, and goal prevention metrics. When Ottawa has been good, Ceci is in the bottom 5 (not like bottom quarter, or bottom 40, bottom FIVE) in pretty much all posession, play driving, and goal prevention metrics.

I would *love* for the Leaf Management to somehow figure out something for him. Maybe with different utilization, different responsibilities, being away from the pressures of home . . .maybe a different scene / change - or the realization that this is now his career on the line - I don't know, MAYBE, he becomes a different player.

But for all of our sake, it's best to think of Cody Ceci as someone who is terrible, and give him a chance to surprise us, rather than think he's decent - which he has literally never proven he is - and have him let us down.

The Leafs are a good team. Barrie is an upgrade and will help drive the play from the back-end. But Ceci is objectively worse than Zaitsev, but not by much, since Zaitsev was pretty useless, too. A full year of Muzzin will help, too.

- Monkeypunk


People keep telling me this.

I refuse to believe it until I see it. (frank) I hated Zaitsev.

The Law
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 01.29.2008

Jul 5 @ 8:38 AM ET
Only $9m once Horton is on the LTIR.
Signing Marner is getting tight with only 1 F to be demoted. Trade is looming me thinks but who?

- Nighthawk


Why? Gotta think 9.7 or less gets MM done if he wants a 5 yr deal.

mcleafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 10.01.2013

Jul 5 @ 8:39 AM ET
Ceci sucks.
The same as those who actually watch hockey knew before start of last season that Sparks sucks.
Ceci = Marincin level (different skill set, yes); and most people in here hate him.
Only place for Ceci on this roster would be 3rd pairing - Toronto desperately still needs a guy to play with Rielly, unless they expect that they can get enough points with player x in top 4 before Dermott is back. (after which top4 is Dermott-Muzzin-Rielly-Barrie).

- MaximusAurelius

I know you're young, but let me tell you, the amount of times I've heard this player or that player sucks when they're still just 25 or under, who then turn out to have a solid / great / incredible career on another team is countless.

Ceci cost us nothing. Let's see what the guy's got. Worse case, he's Z but we're out after a year. Best case? He rebounds in a big way and is a pleasant surprise for the year.

And please, enough about Sparks.
Leafs43
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 06.16.2010

Jul 5 @ 8:40 AM ET
Why? Gotta think 9.7 or less gets MM done if he wants a 5 yr deal.
- The Law


Now that Aho got like 8.5 over a five year deal, definitely.

Some people had me convinced for a while there that Marner would actually get 11+. I'm so gullible.

Nighthawk
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Canuckville, BC
Joined: 01.09.2015

Jul 5 @ 8:44 AM ET
Hyman had ACL surgery end April out 6mths taking him til the end of October.

Dermott shoulder surgery in May out a minimum 6mths.

Currently $3.7m cap space.
Take both off the cap for temporary LTIR savings of 3m.
Add Horton 5.25m & that’s 12m total.
Hyman projects at a 350k LTIR relief
Dermott at a min 150k relief

12m leaves nothing left for Hyman or Dermott when back in the ice. Marner won’t cost 12m though so it gets dicey on what Marner signs for but

Marner has to sign for 10m max for Hyman to play then Dermott later on. More if either Hyman or Dermott have more extended time off.

Hows my math?
That is also only using a 22 man roster.
winsix
Season Ticket Holder
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Henry Hudson's Fairchild 24 South Porcupine
Joined: 04.03.2016

Jul 5 @ 8:45 AM ET
No, it doesn't lie.

It also, at first glance, doesn't say what you think it does. I will leave it up to you to figure it out.

If you think you know more than the Dubas, Pridham, and TSN then you go right ahead believing what you want.

- Aetherial


Need some equipment to figure these things out. Trolls that hang around like a bad smell are generally blinded from facts by their hate.
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Jul 5 @ 8:47 AM ET
Hyman had ACL surgery end April out 6mths taking him til the end of October.

Dermott shoulder surgery in May out a minimum 6mths.

Currently $3.7m cap space.
Take both off the cap for temporary LTIR savings of 3m.
Add Horton 5.25m & that’s 12m total.
Hyman projects at a 350k LTIR relief
Dermott at a min 150k relief

12m leaves nothing left for Hyman or Dermott when back in the ice. Marner won’t cost 12m though so it gets dicey on what Marner signs for but

Marner has to sign for 10m max for Hyman to play. More if either Hyman or Dermott have more extended time off.

Hows my math?
That is also only using a 22 man roster.

- Nighthawk


We don't know, because you're not showing your math.
The Law
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 01.29.2008

Jul 5 @ 8:47 AM ET
Now that Aho got like 8.5 over a five year deal, definitely.

Some people had me convinced for a while there that Marner would actually get 11+. I'm so gullible.

- Leafs43


Even Paul Dreger confirmed weeks ago "11" was not part of the discussion.

He might get into the 10's if it's a 8 yr deal but at 5 years the battle ground is probably 8.5 - 9.5. I'm guessing the Leafs are pushing for that 6th yr.

They'll lock him up and have a few bucks left over. They'll save a few extra bucks with Hyman being replaced by a cheap Ahl'er for the first couple of months. It's tight but they'll have enough at the to grab a D rental at the deadline.
Nighthawk
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Canuckville, BC
Joined: 01.09.2015

Jul 5 @ 8:48 AM ET
Dubas or Pridham’s calculator works the same as anyone else’s. It’s not difficult.
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