Ristolainen, by definition of his defense statistics, is at most an average defenseman that should be defending average to below average talent.

Put him on the powerplay if you want him to score points.

The end.
- TheSabresTaco

We need something to happen.

Either the Prospects challenge to bring out the Cozen's debates, Risto to be traded, or Sobotka sent to the sun.

Ristolainen, by definition of his defense statistics, is at most an average defenseman that should be defending average to below average talent.

Put him on the powerplay if you want him to score points.

The end.
- TheSabresTaco

Risto - a quality #4 dman who generates points on the power play on a decent contract.

A Guy who can help you. If used right. Blame Buffalo for continuing to put him out as a #1 d-man

He’s not as good as some say, he’s also not as bad as others make him out to be.

We need something to happen.

Either the Prospects challenge to bring out the Cozen's debates, Risto to be traded, or Sobotka sent to the sun.
- thatsapickle

This team is 99% set, IMO.

Moves will be made that people won’t be happy about just due to number of players here.

People will be sent down because there just is not enough room, IMO

In hockey yes because I know he won’t fight ..

If it was outside it be over
- gerbe75pts

PM him with a time and a place to meet up and fight. I'll be wearing a sabres sombrero that's hollowed out to accommodate the recording equipment

Said the 60 something who just had a stroke. Give me a (frank)ing break. Both would kill you, both would kill me, both would kill every last mother(frank)er on this board. Talk about fake tough guys, JFC!
- Wetbandit1

Over react much, oh mighty one?

Yo that Jared goff contract is Insane Patrick Mahomes is probably going to get 200 million guaranteed
- gerbe75pts

Yup. You are probly right. Which is insane

PM him with a time and a place to meet up and fight. I'll be wearing a sabres sombrero that's hollowed out to accommodate the recording equipment
- jcragcrumple

Here's a sneak preview

How so? And no, results are wins, the only way to win is to score goals. Goals are what result from a combination of skill and luck.

Are you really going to try and tell me a shot from the point is the same amount of danger regardless of traffic? How about one 2' out? I can think of many much more dangerous shots from 2' out that aren't rebound opportunities, yet, they're considered less dangerous. Like a nice backdoor pass to a wide open net, or a sleeping goalie getting caught on a wrap around, but no, the stats say that just a poopty clean shot with nothing on it that bounced off the goalie's pads and gets shot right back into his crest is more dangerous, and that's just plain stupid.
- Wetbandit1

What? I’m talking about scoring chances. The things that lead to goals. Shots from the point aren’t scoring chances. Shots from the point that end up goals are FAR more lucky than in close scoring chances becoming goals

It’s really simple man, and doesn’t need to really be analyzed further.

Nikita Kucherov DOUBLED his season average of individual scoring chances per game against the Sabres. Doubled. Had 10 in one game.

We had 1 solid game against him, and even in that game, the great Ristolainen wasn’t even 50% in shot share, and was exactly 50% in scoring chances. His best performance was average

Here's a sneak preview


- Chris16

Yo that Jared goff contract is Insane Patrick Mahomes is probably going to get 200 million guaranteed
- gerbe75pts

In terms of total dollars it is pretty lucrative, at 8th highest.
In terms of average salary per year, it positions him as 13th highest paid QB, right at Flacco and Foles level. In that respect, it isn't that bad.

But you are right, good young QBs who produce are going to get paid massive bucks.

Here's a sneak preview


- Chris16

Is that Risto beating the crap out of Housley for playing him incorrectly?

What? I’m talking about scoring chances. The things that lead to goals. Shots from the point aren’t scoring chances. Shots from the point that end up goals are FAR more lucky than in close scoring chances becoming goals

It’s really simple man, and doesn’t need to really be analyzed further.

Nikita Kucherov DOUBLED his season average of individual scoring chances per game against the Sabres. Doubled. Had 10 in one game.

We had 1 solid game against him, and even in that game, the great Ristolainen wasn’t even 50% in shot share, and was exactly 50% in scoring chances. His best performance was average
- OneKaneOneCup

I love those that use stats to support their position that proclaims stats are useless in developing a better understanding of teams, players etc.

Can someone please tell me if Ristolainen is good. Please.

Can someone please tell me if Ristolainen is good. Please.
- TheSabresTaco

Wanna drive people nuts?

Put up Risto and Larsson’s RAPM charts

I love those that use stats to support their position that proclaims stats are useless in developing a better understanding of teams, players etc.
- IonSabres

Yeah that was confusing

This team is 99% set, IMO.

Moves will be made that people won’t be happy about just due to number of players here.

People will be sent down because there just is not enough room, IMO
- ImThatGuy

I agree, but until those moves are made, we get to sit around and yell at the wall.

Post of the day I laughed so hard
- gerbe75pts

LOL

I can't wait for Laine or Marner to be traded so we can all complain that the Sabres didn't do it, or that the price was too high and we are glad they didn't.

Wanna drive people nuts?

Put up Risto and Larsson’s RAPM charts
- OneKaneOneCup

https://hockey-graphs.com...ed-plus-minus-for-hockey/

Knowing that, we can say that an increase in Engine Displacement by 1 liter decreases the mean of the target variable by 1.889 miles per gallon. If the car is a Compact Car, it increases the mean of the target variable by 4.226 miles per gallon. If a car is a 12-cylinder car, it decreases the mean of the target variable by 10.741 miles per gallon, etc. All of this is true with the other respective variables held constant. This is the fundamental aspect of linear regression that allows us to isolate each predictor variable and determine the overall impact each has on the target variable.

Before getting into the methodology of RAPM for hockey, it is important to explain how linear regression works – specifically how the coefficients from a linear regression are interpreted (as these are the player ratings that are produced from this model). While the RAPM method does not employ ordinary least squares regression (OLS, or what is often referred to as “linear regression”), the technique is quite similar. We are going to use a completely different problem to demonstrate this as we feel a smaller/simpler dataset allows for a better explanation.

I'll take your word for it

6. Fans who think Risto totally blows but want a #2 center for him because they know more than NHL scouts and GM's who can be fleeced.
- GilPerreault11

7. Fans that think risto sucks , but expect a 2c in return.
Basically the most clueless fans that make no sense

Wanna drive people nuts?

Put up Risto and Larsson’s RAPM charts
- OneKaneOneCup

Ah yes, the all definitive charts to tell if a player is definitely good or definitely bad. Few too many people saying poop like "Colin Miller is elite because look at this RAPM". I like analytics, I don't like people assuming one chart makes a player "good" or "bad".

Not saying you're doing this at all btw, just venting.

Can someone please tell me if Ristolainen is good. Please.
- TheSabresTaco

By this time of the summer ...... every Sabres player at one point in the summer has been considered a bust, sucks, or is overpaid.

Or ** fat **

Can someone please tell me if Ristolainen is good. Please.
- TheSabresTaco

He IS!

Good as gone, eventually.

Can someone please tell me if Ristolainen is good. Please.
- TheSabresTaco

cv.glmnet(x = RAPM_CF, y = CF60, weights = length_shift, alpha = 0, nfolds = 10, standardize = FALSE, parallel = TRUE)
“RAPM_CF” is a table that contains all of the predictor variables (traditionally called the “design matrix”), “CF60” is a vector that contains the target variable for each shift, “length_shift” is a vector that contains the length of each shift (in seconds), “alpha = 0” specifies that we are using ridge regularization, and “nfolds = 10” specifies that we want to run “10-fold” cross validation to determine the lambda value (our shrinkage/penalty parameter) for the ridge regression (“standardize = FALSE” specifies that we do not want the function to standardize the predictor variables / “parallel = TRUE” specifies that we are using parallel processing to speed things up). This is a much different process than what we did with the lm() function earlier – this is because glmnet()/cv.glmnet() requires us to feed the design matrix (x), target variable (y), and weights separately.

I've run the numbers, and it turns out Gerbe could beat him up

7. Fans that think risto sucks , but expect a 2c in return.
Basically the most clueless fans that make no sense
- Boss34

8. Fans that will complain about the return that a Risto trade yields, stating:
He is young, big, physical, skates fast and scores 40+ pts per year.