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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Matthews late heroics salvages point, Report Card Part II – Centers
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Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Jan 10 @ 12:43 PM ET
Shooting at 25%
- AdamFrench


lol

waited one year too long to cash in on that career year

i wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't score another goal all year.
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Jan 10 @ 12:44 PM ET
pasta?
- Tumbleweed


8
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Jan 10 @ 12:44 PM ET
Noel Acciari?
- RickJames77


it he
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Jan 10 @ 12:44 PM ET
Eichel?
- PatC80


8
RickJames77
Boston Bruins
Location: We’re Too Old, Boston
Joined: 04.03.2013

Jan 10 @ 12:47 PM ET
lol

waited one year too long to cash in on that career year

i wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't score another goal all year.

- Tumbleweed

The guy is such a great player to have on your team. Works his ass off, kills PP, great 4th liner you can plug up your lineup if you have to and clearly has some offense to his game. I was sad to see him leave the Bruins, but he priced himself out of here.
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Jan 10 @ 12:47 PM ET
Disagree - decent coach, goalie has been solid, they have a really good forward group, Schiefele, Wheeler, Connor, Ehlers are all studs, Laine is a terrific talent with one on the best shots in hockey. No one said much but Laine's shootout goal against Freddy was really amazing. For me, the Jets are in.
- winsix


their defense is pretty crap.

but the pacific is a poop division. jets should squeak into the playoffs with a WC.
Adam French
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: Isn't Cooley 5"11? You know who else is 5"11? Sydney Crosby. - Scabeh
Joined: 04.06.2011

Jan 10 @ 12:48 PM ET
Good call Rick
- winsix

Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Jan 10 @ 12:52 PM ET
https://www.sportsnet.ca/shows/tim-and-sid-show/brian-burke-ways-change-3-3-ot-canadian-stanley-cup-contending-teams/

So Jets have the best cup hopes in Canada.

Funny how Leafs' D is so bad they'll nevers niff a cup, but Winnipeg can win it this year with that D>

BTW Burkie, the Jets won't make the playoffs.

- RogerRoeper


Is

Rielly-Barrie
Muzzin-Holl
Dermott-Ceci

That bad ? I think it’s better than a lot of blue lines.

If they upgrade Ceci with a top 4 D I think it’ll help a lot.
RickJames77
Boston Bruins
Location: We’re Too Old, Boston
Joined: 04.03.2013

Jan 10 @ 12:54 PM ET
Good call Rick
- winsix

Thanks

I still haven't gotten my damn cookie though
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Jan 10 @ 12:55 PM ET
their defense is pretty crap.

but the pacific is a poop division. jets should squeak into the playoffs with a WC.

- Tumbleweed


I don't think the Jets displace any of St. Louis, Colorado or Dallas.

They're going to be in the wild card fight with Edmonton, Calgary and Vancouver. One of those guys should get 3rd in the division. I'd probably put Winnipeg and Vancouver over Calgary and Edmonton this year. If I had to pick one of those 4 to miss, I think Edmonton is fragile enough that it might happen to them. Calgary is also getting better goaltending than Edmonton.
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Jan 10 @ 12:59 PM ET
Is

Rielly-Barrie
Muzzin-Holl
Dermott-Ceci

That bad ? I think it’s better than a lot of blue lines.

If they upgrade Ceci with a top 4 D I think it’ll help a lot.

- Santo_44


If Ceci were more physical and capable (and if I could read the future, I'd be a professional lottery winner . . . ), then it would be a decent group, I'd agree. Holl and Dermott are certainly prone to errors - but we've seen Holl buoyed by Muzzin's presence. Again, from previous conversations, it's doable, but I don't know what we have to give up to get what we want. I agree that Ceci could be a throw in to offset the cap, but whether it's a Martinez or a Manson or, or, or . . .there's going to be a cost that *I* think is a lot higher than Bracco and a 2nd.

We'll see. They've made some nice deft moves before. I'm sure they have irons in the fire.
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Jan 10 @ 1:02 PM ET
I don't think the Jets displace any of St. Louis, Colorado or Dallas.

They're going to be in the wild card fight with Edmonton, Calgary and Vancouver. One of those guys should get 3rd in the division. I'd probably put Winnipeg and Vancouver over Calgary and Edmonton this year. If I had to pick one of those 4 to miss, I think Edmonton is fragile enough that it might happen to them. Calgary is also getting better goaltending than Edmonton.

- Monkeypunk



the Jets man...been bad all season...really cratering now...but Hell-a-buck

Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Jan 10 @ 1:08 PM ET
If Ceci were more physical and capable (and if I could read the future, I'd be a professional lottery winner . . . ), then it would be a decent group, I'd agree. Holl and Dermott are certainly prone to errors - but we've seen Holl buoyed by Muzzin's presence. Again, from previous conversations, it's doable, but I don't know what we have to give up to get what we want. I agree that Ceci could be a throw in to offset the cap, but whether it's a Martinez or a Manson or, or, or . . .there's going to be a cost that *I* think is a lot higher than Bracco and a 2nd.

We'll see. They've made some nice deft moves before. I'm sure they have irons in the fire.

- Monkeypunk


To me Bracco Mirrors a value of a late first round pick.

Do you give up a first + for Martinez? I don’t unless LA retains salary so they have him for less next year.

Manson? He has been pretty meh the past few years but maybe he does better here idk...

I think Muzzin has much better stats than the names you listed. They wouldn’t cost more than he did last year.

Another guy is Brodin...

Brodie as well based on the fact Dubas had a deal to acquire him that Kadri blocked.

Plenty of options.
bryant
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 06.28.2011

Jan 10 @ 1:10 PM ET
Since Keefe leefs, Matthews in 2nd in the NHL in 5v5 goals (11)

Can you name who us #1 with 12? no looking it up
first to post gets a cookie

others

Makinnon 10
Panarin/kuch/connor/killorn 9

- senstroll

Anthony duchlair?
jimbri
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 09.12.2006

Jan 10 @ 1:14 PM ET
"The Toronto Maple Leafs never held the lead against the Winnipeg Jets, mostly due to some glaring defensive errors..."

Umm no...it was mostly due to poor goaltending. Way too many softies getting by Andersen lately....or as someone on twitter cleverly posted, Freddie Anditsin
LeafGuy89
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 05.13.2017

Jan 10 @ 1:18 PM ET
"The Toronto Maple Leafs never held the lead against the Winnipeg Jets, mostly due to some glaring defensive errors..."

Umm no...it was mostly due to poor goaltending. Way too many softies getting by Andersen lately....or as someone on twitter cleverly posted, Freddie Anditsin

- jimbri




I will admit I got a good laugh from that.

Pretty clever indeed.

Freddy is a great goalie though and I'm thankful we have him.
jimbri
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 09.12.2006

Jan 10 @ 1:21 PM ET
I do think we need to find a stronger backup - not just to upgrade from Hutchinson but also to push Freddie a little more. I think he's feeling too safe as the #1 with no real threat. A stronger backup I think helps Freddie mentally which will then help him be even better on the ice




I will admit I got a good laugh from that.

Pretty clever indeed.

Freddy is a great goalie though and I'm thankful we have him.

- LeafGuy89

Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Jan 10 @ 1:30 PM ET
the Jets man...been bad all season...really cratering now...but Hell-a-buck


- senstroll


40 points in 37 games...should be enough in the west for a WC.

they have a lot of talented forwards.
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Jan 10 @ 1:30 PM ET
Anthony duchlair?
- bryant


he was one that popped to mind before I looked it up
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Jan 10 @ 1:32 PM ET


I will admit I got a good laugh from that.

Pretty clever indeed.

Freddy is a great goalie though and I'm thankful we have him.

- LeafGuy89


He's been very hot and cold for someone we've already anointed our MVP.

The league average for Low Danger Save Percentage is .972.
The league average for Medium Danger Save Percentage is .902
The league average for High Danger Save Percentage is .817

In order of LDSV, MDSV, and HDSV month-over-month, Andersen has been sporadic.

In October, he posted .954, .959 and .708; he was above average in medium danger chances, but well below average in the others.
In November, he posted .992, .957, .873; he was well above average in all categories
In December, he posted .992, .816, .875; his medium danger save percentage is well below the league average, allowing an extra goal per 10 shots.
So far in January he has posted .952, .750, 1.000; again, his medium danger save percentage is significantly below the league average. His low danger is also below.

If I get more dorky than just playing with colour codes, and I contextualize this, you can set a base average that there are around 14 Low Danger Shots, and 7 each of Medium and High Danger shots per game. Obviously some teams give up more, some teams give up fewer, and some teams vary in the permissiveness of their High Danger chances, but using a rough outline, you can say that the league average for a goalie 5v5 is 2.36 GAA.

In October, Freddy was 2.98, in November, Freddy was 1.30(!!), in December, 2.42, and so far in January 2.28.

In November Freddy was spectacular and deserved all the praise he received. Outside of that month, he's been average to below average.
Adam French
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: Isn't Cooley 5"11? You know who else is 5"11? Sydney Crosby. - Scabeh
Joined: 04.06.2011

Jan 10 @ 1:35 PM ET
He's been very hot and cold for someone we've already anointed our MVP.

The league average for Low Danger Save Percentage is .972.
The league average for Medium Danger Save Percentage is .902
The league average for High Danger Save Percentage is .817

In order of LDSV, MDSV, and HDSV month-over-month, Andersen has been sporadic.

In October, he posted

- Monkeypunk.954, .959 and .708; he was above average in medium danger chances, but well below average in the others.
In November, he posted .992, .957, .873; he was well above average in all categories
In December, he posted .992, .816, .875; his medium danger save percentage is well below the league average, allowing an extra goal per 10 shots.
So far in January he has posted .952, .750, 1.000; again, his medium danger save percentage is significantly below the league average. His low danger is also below.

If I get more dorky than just playing with colour codes, and I contextualize this, you can set a base average that there are around 14 Low Danger Shots, and 7 each of Medium and High Danger shots per game. Obviously some teams give up more, some teams give up fewer, and some teams vary in the permissiveness of their High Danger chances, but using a rough outline, you can say that the league average for a goalie 5v5 is 2.36 GAA.

In October, Freddy was 2.98, in November, Freddy was 1.30(!!), in December, 2.42, and so far in January 2.28.

In November Freddy was spectacular and deserved all the praise he received. Outside of that month, he's been average to below average.

I think it's pretty simple. Andersen is a good goalie. How do I know? I spent the last decade of my life watching the pooptiest goalies in the league in a carousel.
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Jan 10 @ 1:41 PM ET
I think it's pretty simple. Andersen is a good goalie. How do I know? I spent the last decade of my life watching the pooptiest goalies in the league in a carousel.
- AdamFrench


That's the problem. If you compare Andersen to the poopshow we've seen since the year before Belfour fell off a cliff, yeah . . He's the best ever. If you compare Andersen to the expectations that you should have for a starting goalie, where does he sit? I think he's above average, but he's not performing in that elite category that he was in.

The last two years Andersen has been fantastic. This year he has been merely good. At least that's how I see it. I think we can criticize his inconsistent play this year. If that's because of the backup situation or the coaching flux on the team or the injuries, . . . or, or, or . . . it's fine. But he just doesn't seem quite the same.
MaximusAurelius
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: #FireDubas
Joined: 04.23.2012

Jan 10 @ 1:43 PM ET
Happy New Year for all you fellow Leafs fans and good health and happiness for you and your families!

On the hockey front, I'm looking forward for the Leafs to make some nice deadline additions; I'm personally hoping for Georgiev and Toffoli (advanced stats darling, so Dubas should be interested).

Go Leafs Go!
PatC80
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: I would never let my children play hockey. The risk of getting drafted by Edmonton is too high", ON
Joined: 08.11.2011

Jan 10 @ 1:48 PM ET
That's the problem. If you compare Andersen to the poopshow we've seen since the year before Belfour fell off a cliff, yeah . . He's the best ever. If you compare Andersen to the expectations that you should have for a starting goalie, where does he sit? I think he's above average, but he's not performing in that elite category that he was in.

The last two years Andersen has been fantastic. This year he has been merely good. At least that's how I see it. I think we can criticize his inconsistent play this year. If that's because of the backup situation or the coaching flux on the team or the injuries, . . . or, or, or . . . it's fine. But he just doesn't seem quite the same.

- Monkeypunk



I think it is/was mental fatigue.. You can see that Keefe is treating Andersen differently then our former coach did. I do think that we will see a better Andersen going forward.. The 1st goal by Ehlers was just bad luck..
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Jan 10 @ 1:57 PM ET
I think it is/was mental fatigue.. You can see that Keefe is treating Andersen differently then our former coach did. I do think that we will see a better Andersen going forward.. The 1st goal by Ehlers was just bad luck..
- PatC80


Pfft. I once played net completely poopfaced and got a shutout. What's his excuse?

But, yes, I know. Arbitrarily falling over hasn't been a useful goaltending tactic since the 70s.
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