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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Ghofrani: Buffalo Sabres Vs. Dallas Stars Preview
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buffalofan19
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Wonderful things can happen when you sow seeds of distrust in a garden full of (bum)holes
Joined: 07.01.2007

Jan 17 @ 11:03 AM ET
In your opinion, what is he worth at say 6 years?
- IonSabres


$6-7 million.
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Jan 17 @ 11:04 AM ET
Keep going back to a time before Botts was looking for a 2C to fit your narrative

ONE has moved since the end of last year,
ONE

- jdfitz77


Samp,e size too small.
Everyone, well the majority know this.

17 of them 17...not even close to the narrative that none move that you like to propogate.
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Jan 17 @ 11:06 AM ET
That can't be true 77, just stop it's easy to trade that for 2C
- Buff36


Average of 4 per year move based o. 4 year sample size.
But Fitz only wants to look at 239 days worth, lol.
But hey, don't let the facts get in the way of a good false narrative.
17, not 0
hubie
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Matt Ellis is my patronus, NY
Joined: 06.28.2011

Jan 17 @ 11:07 AM ET
Average of 4 per year move based o. 4 year sample size.
But Fitz only wants to look at 239 days worth, lol.
But hey, don't let the facts get in the way of a good false narrative.
17, not 0

- IonSabres


In his defense it is a leap year so its one more day this year without one being dealt.......
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Jan 17 @ 11:10 AM ET
$6-7 million.
- buffalofan19


Wow.
Nylander got $6.9 for 6 2 years ago, before last years RFA crop set the contracting world on its ears. It is turning to pay for future production, versus pay for past production.
6 years buys some UFA years, which currently causes the out years to go up in value. Sam's agent will take advantage of that.
But we shall see.
TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

Jan 17 @ 11:12 AM ET
Wow.
Nylander got $6.9 for 6 2 years ago, before last years RFA crop set the contracting world on its ears. It is turning to pay for future production, versus pay for past production.
6 years buys some UFA years, which currently causes the out years to go up in value. Sam's agent will take advantage of that.
But we shall see.

- IonSabres


Take a look at my comparables post.
TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

Jan 17 @ 11:17 AM ET
This blog is used up
Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Jan 17 @ 11:21 AM ET
Average of 4 per year move based o. 4 year sample size.
But Fitz only wants to look at 239 days worth, lol.
But hey, don't let the facts get in the way of a good false narrative.
17, not 0

- IonSabres

Which ones were worth trading for and giving up what it would have taken to get them. Botts screwed up with Mitts, but go back and do some research in that 4- 5 year window and see what Centers were drafted and look at picks that's were traded that could have been that 2C for the Sabres. Sabres could have been a very good hockey team right now if the rebuild was not woefully mishandled. Know we are paying for it
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Jan 17 @ 11:23 AM ET
Take a look at my comparables post.
- TheSabresTaco


I'm thinking Sam will believe he was under paid for the last 2 years by taking the bridge deal, there are few option for a 1RW, and Botts has to sign him sort of like Skinner, but less intense.
Those 2 years cost him 3-4M..over 6 year term that is 500-700k per on new contract.
I don't think he signs for less than $7 short term, mid 7's longer term.
But we shall see.

If your emp,iyer said Taco, we like you but we think you deserve a lot less until you prove it to us...then if you prove it we'll pay. Would you go mambe pambe, or would you say...proved it, pay up...alot.
adambuffalo
Buffalo Sabres
Location: United States, NY
Joined: 01.30.2007

Jan 17 @ 11:35 AM ET
Not how itll work.

Reinhart will ask for 8, team will ask for 5, he'll get 6.75.

Look at similar RFAs.

Point gets 6.75 for 3
Konecny and Horvat gets 5.5 for 6
Laine gets 6.75 for 2
Boeser gets 5.875 for 3
Guentzel gets 6 for 5
Teravainen gets 5.4 for 5
Gaudreau gets 6.75 by 6 (older contract, can probably prorate that to 7.5, and he's the best player here)

Save this post, Sam Reinhart's getting close to 6.75x5

If we buy UFA years, he gets upwards of 7.5

- TheSabresTaco


Most of those contracts were signed after Sam and will be RFAs when they expire. When you start paying for UFA years the price goes up quite a bit. However, the guys you mentioned (most likely all will be $9m+ on their next deals) produce at a higher rate than Sam.

Here are some comparables that I believe Sam lines up with better:

Sam 379 gm 245p, 24yo
Konecny 278 gm 164p, 22 yo, signed in '19, 6y $5.5m
Zucker 448 gm 238p, 26yo, signed in '18, 5y $5.5m
Teräväinen 407gp, 270p, 25yo, signed in '19 5y $5.4m (signed offer sheet and matched)
Keller 217 gm 146p, 21yo, signed in '19, 8y $7.15m


These players all signed as RFAs and will be UFAs when they expire. Numbers are current, not their numbers at signing.

Realistically, I think 7x7 would be more than fair. Higher than some of the comparables, but nearly double his current contract. Front load with bonuses or whatever (that's what the GM gets paid for, to negotiate), and get a deal done. The sooner the better.
lulags
Buffalo Sabres
Location: St Louis
Joined: 02.24.2007

Jan 17 @ 11:41 AM ET
jack is a top 3 center this season


the one good story this season

- homiedclown

Imagine Jack on Matthews line and Matthews on Jacks line. Imagine Jack on Washington’s PP. imagine Jack with Drisaitel. We won’t know jacks true potential until he is surrounded with real NHL players
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Jan 17 @ 12:10 PM ET
that's just it, the bar has been so low over the years for this team


players love him, but for so many years, the lack of work ethic in game has been a huge issue with this team and still is

the games are more fun to watch so there is that


but under no circumstance should dahlin be playing under 20 minutes a night in year 2

- homiedclown


Why?
He was playing pretty poopty for a good part of this year
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Jan 17 @ 12:11 PM ET
Average of 4 per year move based o. 4 year sample size.
But Fitz only wants to look at 239 days worth, lol.
But hey, don't let the facts get in the way of a good false narrative.
17, not 0

- IonSabres


Yeah,
And let’s list guys that are t 2Cs
And some that even play winger
Gtfoh
Gr8daygo
Joined: 04.23.2014

Jan 17 @ 12:17 PM ET
I'd put a 8 year 7 mil per on the table

and a 5 year 7.5 mil per on the table


see what happens

- homiedclown


And I’d do it yesterday!
Fattony1187
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 02.12.2015

Jan 17 @ 1:08 PM ET
That's the Okposo deal all over again. That's a contract that bad teams give out in UFA.
- buffalofan19



No that’s Jeff Skinner contract. Actually starting off at a lower point per game than Okposos first two years too 🤢🤢
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