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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Ghofrani: Buffalo Sabres Vs. Dallas Stars Preview
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IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Jan 16 @ 3:59 PM ET
Sabres PK on the season is 74.8% with only three teams being worse. In four games with Frolik it's 81.8% which would tie us for 12th in the league. Not saying it will hold up, but three of those games were against 4th, 6th and 9th best power plays in the league.

So adding the improved PP numbers with the improved PK numbers should mean absolutely nothing because special teams don't matter.
- adambuffalo



You knew it was coming...

Over the last 10 games, going back to the Ottawa game before Xmas break, the Sabres were 4-6; with having taken 36 penalties, and allowed 7 PP goals against. I used 10 games as a reasonable sample size for this discussion...I did not consult a PhD in Statistics to see if my back of the envelop would stand up to Supreme Court levels of inquisitions.
(I felt this disclaimer was necessary after yesterday's challenge on looking back over 4 years to find a decent number of potential C's were moved that could reasonably step into a 2C position).

Anyway, the additional 7% of PK efficiency you cited, when you look at the 6 losses over those 10 games could have mattered in 1 game that was decided by 1 Goal with enough
a) penalties taken (7+) to generate 1/2 goal less than actually scored
B) goals scored (1+) by the opponent to be able to reduce the goals scored

So, I still say that spending the 4th on Frolik with the justification that he'll help with the PK enough to matter is, well good posturing...that is it.
Also, if the same personnel produced a PK rate of 80.93 while league average was 80.22 last year, they should be in that league average this year except for the PK system used this season.
Bufsaints8
Season Ticket Holder
Buffalo Sabres
Location: TN
Joined: 07.20.2012

Jan 16 @ 4:04 PM ET
I think he is planning on waiting for Cozens and Mittelstadt to fill the center position and waiting for UPL to fill the goalie position. I think he sees us as being two or three years away from being good.

I think he will bring back almost the same exact team.

- Beethoven



With all of the expiring contracts????? Why would he not try to make at least a few upgrades?
jcragcrumple
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Reluctant bridge jumper; 6th round OHL draft pick, YT
Joined: 04.04.2016

Jan 16 @ 4:05 PM ET
I think he feels Mitzy is his 2C and Cozens is his RW.
- PrinceChill


Rochester's green jacket leader at -7
PrinceChill
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.06.2014

Jan 16 @ 4:11 PM ET
Rochester's green jacket leader at -7
- jcragcrumple

He’s got 3 goals in 11 games though.
PrinceChill
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.06.2014

Jan 16 @ 4:12 PM ET
With all of the expiring contracts????? Why would he not try to make at least a few upgrades?
- Bufsaints8

Don’t worry, he’ll say he “tried to make upgrades”. He likes doing that.
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Jan 16 @ 4:13 PM ET
I think he feels Mitzy is his 2C and Cozens is his RW.
- PrinceChill


Nobody can be this stupid, or think their balls are that big to trott out Plan C for a 3rd straight year.
I'd friggin absolutely love to hear the Botts-blowers try and justify that one.
Holy fvck, resign Sobotka to roll on line 1 and have Jack playing Goalie would take less sack than that.
Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Jan 16 @ 4:16 PM ET
I fully expect Botts to go for it next year, I have come to the realization that it was planned all along or he would have been fired already. I think 1 of the 2C or RW will come in FA and the other will come in a trade. He will finally have some of his draft choices entering the system. I believe the Pegula's learned from their mistake with TM of trying for the quick fix because it set this Franchise back another 6 yrs. They really are not that far off, they can play good hockey when they stay consistent on the ice, just don't get that enough.
hubie
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Matt Ellis is my patronus, NY
Joined: 06.28.2011

Jan 16 @ 4:17 PM ET
I fully expect Botts to go for it next year, I have come to the realization that it was planned all along or he would have been fired already. I think 1 of the 2C or RW will come in FA and the other will come in a trade. He will finally have some of his draft choices entering the system. I believe the Pegula's learned from their mistake with TM of trying for the quick fix because it set this Franchise back another 6 yrs. They really are not that far off, they can play good hockey when they stay consistent on the ice, just don't get that enough.
- Buff36


those guys dont hit the market
PrinceChill
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.06.2014

Jan 16 @ 4:18 PM ET
Nobody can be this stupid, or think their balls are that big to trott out Plan C for a 3rd straight year.
I'd friggin absolutely love to hear the Botts-blowers try and justify that one.
Holy fvck, resign Sobotka to roll on line 1 and have Jack playing Goalie would take less sack than that.

- IonSabres

JB is not one to admit he was wrong. Bott blowers will cheer on whatever he does with a full and open throat.
Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Jan 16 @ 4:27 PM ET
those guys dont hit the market
- hubie

Really, there's 2 RW on the market right know supposedly.
hubie
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Matt Ellis is my patronus, NY
Joined: 06.28.2011

Jan 16 @ 4:29 PM ET
Really, there's 2 RW on the market right know supposedly.
- Buff36

and who do you think that is
Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Jan 16 @ 4:30 PM ET
and who do you think that is
- hubie

Hoffman and Toffoli
hubie
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Matt Ellis is my patronus, NY
Joined: 06.28.2011

Jan 16 @ 4:32 PM ET
Hoffman and Toffoli
- Buff36

So youre going to just over pay them?
worked well the last time and the time before that oh and the time before that one too
Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Jan 16 @ 4:35 PM ET
So youre going to just over pay them?
worked well the last time and the time before that oh and the time before that one too

- hubie

I never said to overpay for them, you said those kind of players don't come available.
hubie
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Matt Ellis is my patronus, NY
Joined: 06.28.2011

Jan 16 @ 4:36 PM ET
I never said to overpay for them, you said those kind of players don't come available.
- Buff36


Neither would be difference makers imo to overpay but thats just me
Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Jan 16 @ 4:43 PM ET
Neither would be difference makers imo to overpay but thats just me
- hubie

I would not overpay either, but both would step in and be are 2nd best RW
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Jan 16 @ 4:46 PM ET
I kinda felt that was racist and a clown question......
- dadeadhead

“I didn't hear the word 'banana' tonight.”
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Jan 16 @ 4:54 PM ET
Hoffman and Toffoli
- Buff36

hoffman is LW
Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Jan 16 @ 4:58 PM ET
hoffman is LW
- homiedclown

Not according to there Homepage, and lines
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Jan 16 @ 4:59 PM ET
skinner-eichel-olofsson
hoffman-cozens-reinhart
casey-craig smith-johansson
lazar-asplund/ruotsalainen-tage/okposo

dahlin-joker
pilut-risto
montour-miller/borgen
Pegullaville
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Toronto
Joined: 03.16.2011

Jan 16 @ 5:01 PM ET
So youre going to just over pay them?
worked well the last time and the time before that oh and the time before that one too

- hubie



Let’s just fold the franchise then. We can’t draft, can’t sign UFA’s well, can’t make trades, can’t tank properly.

Just fold it.
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Jan 16 @ 5:01 PM ET
those guys dont hit the market
- hubie


That's a false narrative, gotta stop with this BS.
On average 4-5 move annually based on recent 4 year history.
In fact, over that 4 year period 17 moved.

Some may say, "that guy isn't a 2C" ... maybe not technically, but he produced as one of the best 62 C 's .. as 62 C's are either 1st or 2nd on their team (31x 2 = 62). Some teams have 3 that are close in TOI, Pts, Fo's taken...hence why I looked at more than 62 strickly.

A guy like JT Miller technically isn't a 2C, but he has takes 500-700 FO's, plays those minutes and produces...dare say I on the Sabres he could be our 2c ...certainly better than Mojo.

Only 1 of the named guys moved last season...probably because Botts balked at the price (right, wrong or reasonable no one knows except him and the other GM)..or else that number should have been 2.
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Jan 16 @ 5:03 PM ET
Not according to there Homepage, and lines
- Buff36

they are all over the map

saw brett connolly on as a lw


Pegullaville
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Toronto
Joined: 03.16.2011

Jan 16 @ 5:04 PM ET
JB is not one to admit he was wrong. Bott blowers will cheer on whatever he does with a full and open throat.
- PrinceChill


Sure and I’ll be the first to remind everyone one here when we are winning and praising the new GM that it was because of Botts’ patience and drafting.
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Jan 16 @ 5:07 PM ET
Sure and I’ll be the first to remind everyone one here when we are winning and praising the new GM that it was because of Botts’ patience and drafting.
- Pegullaville

my biggest issues

he did nothing when the team was fading in December last season
he did nothing when the team was fading in late November this season


2 times, the team jumps out hot


then the team folds



bring in vesey and miller, but bury them

it's almost as if the coach and gm are not on the same page
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