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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Toronto targeting Dumba for defensive help?; Leafs vs. Stars
Author Message
zazzle
Joined: 01.19.2013

Jan 30 @ 11:43 AM ET
I know your take on Ceci, but honestly, if the Leafs were so inclined, he'd be movable at the TDL for a mid-round pick. His salary is basically a $1.1m cap hit at the TDL and by now with injuries or various other callups and so on, will have some wiggle room there.

The Marleau deal sucked, but it has left us in the position Roger likes to gloat about.

- Monkeypunk



being bent over

Hey don't look at my man boobs.
RogerRoeper
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 03.27.2007

Jan 30 @ 11:44 AM ET
Ceci.

And Marleau was a bitter pill to swallow.

But I still like your post.

- Atomic Wedgie


Ceci can 100% be moved. He's UFA,

And Marleau was because of Lou who loves overpaying aging supporting guys.
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Jan 30 @ 11:45 AM ET
that we are minus a 1st?
- Tumbleweed


That we have no untradeable contracts.

Would you rather be minus a first or minus Johnsson and Kapanen?

Because to fit the contracts in with Marner's new deal, $6m needed to be cleared up.

Even if we all agree that Marner's contract is high and Matthews' is as well, it doesn't matter that under realistic dollars if Marleau had stayed, those two would have been gone.

The Law
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 01.29.2008

Jan 30 @ 11:49 AM ET
willy has talent.

it's not a question on whether the deal will be good value. that's likely.

it's will it ever be great value like huberdeau is this year? doubtful.

- Tumbleweed


Damn, that measuring stick keeps moving.
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Jan 30 @ 11:50 AM ET
The problem is that to get great value in the future, the guy had to not be great at the time more often than not.
- AdamFrench


huberdeau put up some decent seasons before signing is long-term contract.
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Jan 30 @ 11:51 AM ET
willy has talent.

it's not a question on whether the deal will be good value. that's likely.

it's will it ever be great value like huberdeau is this year? doubtful.

- Tumbleweed


This ignores the situation. Huberdeau when he signed his contract, signed at 8.08% of the cap, but he had 15 goal and 20 goal seasons under his belt, with point totals in 54 and 59 range. His first year was pretty unspectacular.

Nylander signed his at 8.76%, but he had a 22 goal and 20 goal season, both @ 61pts. His first year was also unremarkable, really. Overall, though, his numbers were a bit better than Huberdeau's.

Barkov had 1 good year under his belt when he signed his deal.

Nylander's deal is perfectly fine - maybe a couple hundred thousand on the higher side of his peers at the time. You can say that both Marner and Matthews are over, but there's really nothing off with Willy's.
TheMussel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 09.24.2013

Jan 30 @ 11:51 AM ET
That we have no untradeable contracts.

Would you rather be minus a first or minus Johnsson and Kapanen?

Because to fit the contracts in with Marner's new deal, $6m needed to be cleared up.

Even if we all agree that Marner's contract is high and Matthews' is as well, it doesn't matter that under realistic dollars if Marleau had stayed, those two would have been gone.

- Monkeypunk


Matthews on pace for just short of 60 goals and Marner playing at a 100 point pace.

Doesn't seem so bad anymore
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Jan 30 @ 11:53 AM ET
Damn, that measuring stick keeps moving.
- The Law


He also won't be as good as Point, McDavid, Eichel . . . also, you know what? He's a garbage goalie! Probably only marginally better than Hutchinson; why is he making more than $700k?
Adam French
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: Isn't Cooley 5"11? You know who else is 5"11? Sydney Crosby. - Scabeh
Joined: 04.06.2011

Jan 30 @ 11:55 AM ET
huberdeau put up some decent seasons before signing is long-term contract.
- Tumbleweed

He had a bridge deal and he never hit 60 points until after his now amazing deal. Again I would love to have some sweet ass deals, but unfourtunately Nylander had his disastrous Huberdeau style season the year he had already signed instead of before it.
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Jan 30 @ 11:55 AM ET
Damn, that measuring stick keeps moving.
- The Law


maybe there is reason we are out of the playoffs behind Bos, TB and Fla. hmmmm....

projected cost/per point over 82 games for top 4 Atlantic teams highest paid forwards.

Player Project points cost/point
Huberdeau 109 $54,099
Marchand 104 $58,815
Pastrnak 112 $59,344
Barkov 90 $65,410
Bergeron 80 $85,553
Point 77 $87,571
Stamkos 93 $91,733
Nylander 74 $94,341
Kucherov 97 $98,181
Marner 103 $106,273
Krejci 66 $109,154
Matthews 97 $120,236
Tavares 76 $144,243
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Jan 30 @ 11:58 AM ET
Matthews on pace for just short of 60 goals and Marner playing at a 100 point pace.

Doesn't seem so bad anymore

- TheMussel


It feels great that they're producing, but the contracts are still high compared to the historical performance of their peers. If I took other guys who had produced the same way, I could probably find citations to say that Eichel signing 8x10 should have put Matthews in the 8x11 conversation, but reasonably the 5x10 conversation if you shorten term. Maybe 5x10.5.

Marner is great at what he does and is an elite point producer, there's no doubt. He fits really well into the Eichel comparable as well. So if Eichel gets 8x10, and Marner is at a 6 year term, should he be at 10.9 or perhaps closer to 9.8?
The Law
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 01.29.2008

Jan 30 @ 11:59 AM ET
huberdeau put up some decent seasons before signing is long-term contract.
- Tumbleweed


Agreed ....his deal was 8.1% of Cap.

Willies' was 8.75% ....

Not bad.
Hockey_Reverend
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 06.21.2012

Jan 30 @ 12:01 PM ET
But its okay for Quinn Hughes?

Also, we already burned a year off his ELC.

- LeafGuy89


We just did this. This is an important consideration in this cap era. The clock starts ticking now... Sandin is smooth and can help us for sure...
RogerRoeper
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 03.27.2007

Jan 30 @ 12:01 PM ET
It feels great that they're producing, but the contracts are still high compared to the historical performance of their peers. If I took other guys who had produced the same way, I could probably find citations to say that Eichel signing 8x10 should have put Matthews in the 8x11 conversation, but reasonably the 5x10 conversation if you shorten term. Maybe 5x10.5.

Marner is great at what he does and is an elite point producer, there's no doubt. He fits really well into the Eichel comparable as well. So if Eichel gets 8x10, and Marner is at a 6 year term, should he be at 10.9 or perhaps closer to 9.8?

- Monkeypunk


The issue is, going forward all stars will get more than them. This includes the guys who signed 2-3 year deals that people only compared cap hits and ignored term.

Leafs have 2 22 year-old superstars locked-up.

And don't forget, If Eichel signed 2 years alter would he have still gotten 10 million per? Unlikely. % of cap is much more important stat to look at.
The Law
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 01.29.2008

Jan 30 @ 12:02 PM ET
maybe there is reason we are out of the playoffs behind Bos, TB and Fla. hmmmm....

projected cost/per point over 82 games for top 4 Atlantic teams highest paid forwards.

Player Project points cost/point
Huberdeau 109 $54,099
Marchand 104 $58,815
Pastrnak 112 $59,344
Barkov 90 $65,410
Bergeron 80 $85,553
Point 77 $87,571
Stamkos 93 $91,733
Nylander 74 $94,341
Kucherov 97 $98,181
Marner 103 $106,273
Krejci 66 $109,154
Matthews 97 $120,236
Tavares 76 $144,243

- Tumbleweed


Barkov is a stoopid good contract. He shouldn't be the measuring stick for all other contracts. The PA probably has his face on their clubhouse dart board ...right beside McDavid and Pasternak.

Huberdeaus having a season. Measure over the whole and it'll flatten out. There are reasons that you're ignoring.

Point signed a 3 yr deal ...it'll cost them more one day.

Bergeron and Marchand signed their deals in what year?
RogerRoeper
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 03.27.2007

Jan 30 @ 12:03 PM ET
Don't worry about our stars having big cap hits guys. Dubas will never do something far dumber like giving Kassian a deal like Holland just did.

DO NOT overpay supporting guys. Dubas is lights-out on this. Jason Spezza at the NHl minimum is amazing.
RogerRoeper
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 03.27.2007

Jan 30 @ 12:05 PM ET
maybe there is reason we are out of the playoffs behind Bos, TB and Fla. hmmmm....

projected cost/per point over 82 games for top 4 Atlantic teams highest paid forwards.

Player Project points cost/point
Huberdeau 109 $54,099
Marchand 104 $58,815
Pastrnak 112 $59,344
Barkov 90 $65,410
Bergeron 80 $85,553
Point 77 $87,571
Stamkos 93 $91,733
Nylander 74 $94,341
Kucherov 97 $98,181
Marner 103 $106,273
Krejci 66 $109,154
Matthews 97 $120,236
Tavares 76 $144,243

- Tumbleweed



Now do bottom 6 on all those teams....Boston and Tampa are spending significantly more $ for less production.

People only care about "Stars" cap hits, but it's the bottom 6 that's a killer.

If Leafs had Keefe all year they'd be ahead of Boston and Tampa.

BTW, how's that 10 million per for Babrovsky looking for Florida? They could get a 3 million per goalie with better numbers. Did you know Florida has no state taxes?
RogerRoeper
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 03.27.2007

Jan 30 @ 12:09 PM ET
Boston undid a lot of their good with contracts with that horrific Charlie Coyle deal.
RickJames77
Boston Bruins
Location: We’re Too Old, Boston
Joined: 04.03.2013

Jan 30 @ 12:10 PM ET
Now do bottom 6 on all those teams....Boston and Tampa are spending significantly more $ for less production.

People only care about "Stars" cap hits, but it's the bottom 6 that's a killer.

If Leafs had Keefe all year they'd be ahead of Boston and Tampa.

BTW, how's that 10 million per for Babrovsky looking for Florida? They could get a 3 million per goalie with better numbers. Did you know Florida has no state taxes?

- RogerRoeper

I was going to ask how in the world could you know that, but then I realized it was you Roger.
Adam French
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: Isn't Cooley 5"11? You know who else is 5"11? Sydney Crosby. - Scabeh
Joined: 04.06.2011

Jan 30 @ 12:11 PM ET
Boston undid a lot of their good with contracts with that horrific Charlie Coyle deal.
- RogerRoeper

Coyle's the one you have a problem with? I'd go 1. Backes 2. 2015 draft
RickJames77
Boston Bruins
Location: We’re Too Old, Boston
Joined: 04.03.2013

Jan 30 @ 12:11 PM ET
Boston undid a lot of their good with contracts with that horrific Charlie Coyle deal.
- RogerRoeper

?

He got one less year and 2 million less that Kevin Hayes for the same production and a year later. He was going to be a UFA you know. Comparing RFA and UFA is not appropriate.
RogerRoeper
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 03.27.2007

Jan 30 @ 12:11 PM ET
I was going to ask how in the world could you know that, but then I realized it was you Roger.
- RickJames77


117 point pace under Keefe.
RogerRoeper
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 03.27.2007

Jan 30 @ 12:12 PM ET
?

He got one less year and 2 million less that Kevin Hayes for the same production and a year later.

- RickJames77


So you are using Kevin Hayes as a comparable to say it's not too bad? We all know Kevin Hayes' contract was a shocking joke.
RickJames77
Boston Bruins
Location: We’re Too Old, Boston
Joined: 04.03.2013

Jan 30 @ 12:12 PM ET
117 point pace under Keefe.
- RogerRoeper

Yes and past results are indicative of future ones?
RogerRoeper
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 03.27.2007

Jan 30 @ 12:12 PM ET
Coyle's the one you have a problem with? I'd go 1. Backes 2. 2015 draft
- AdamFrench


Well yes, Backes too.

The 2015 draft cost them cups. What a disaster.
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