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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Ghofrani: Top 10 Sabres Prospects Part 1 #10-6
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IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Mar 15 @ 9:35 AM ET
I have always, and continue to find it curious that rakings and reviews of defensemen rely very heavily on offensive production... then we see these players struggle with the defensive aspect of their game.

I'd suggest that sound defensive skills and traits take precedence over points. Yes, skating, 1st pass and other transitional aspects factor into defensive play...that is fine.

Samuelsson and Johnson were drafted for their defensive and transition capabilities with the hope they can improve their offensive capabilities as well, not the other way around. Laaksonen was drafted more for his offensive capabilities, so I get the evaluation there.

Sabres have Dahlin, Montour, Risto, Pilut who all play the same game...solid transition and a threat in the offensive zone...all who struggle with the defensive responsibilities.

There needs to be a balance of both types on your roster.
robz228
Buffalo Sabres
Location: NY
Joined: 07.07.2010

Mar 15 @ 9:39 AM ET
I have always, and continue to find it curious that rakings and reviews of defensemen rely very heavily on offensive production... then we see these players struggle with the defensive aspect of their game.

I'd suggest that sound defensive skills and traits take precedence over points. Yes, skating, 1st pass and other transitional aspects factor into defensive play...that is fine.

Samuelsson and Johnson were drafted for their defensive and transition capabilities with the hope they can improve their offensive capabilities as well, not the other way around. Laaksonen was drafted more for his offensive capabilities, so I get the evaluation there.

Sabres have Dahlin, Montour, Risto, Pilut who all play the same game...solid transition and a threat in the offensive zone...all who struggle with the defensive responsibilities.

There needs to be a balance of both types on your roster.

- IonSabres


I think the most defensive of defensemen should be putting up massive amounts of points in junior because they should just be completely better than the opposition.
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Mar 15 @ 9:53 AM ET
Interesting listen to Chris Wallace's show this morning...I thought the guests including Dr Fauci (sp?) really put the human health and economic issues of this pandemic into perspective.

Paraphrasing...
There has been a severe hit to the investment community for sure...we have seen "one side of the V" with a fast and relatively deep plunge. What the other side of the V will look like will depend on the human health condition over the next several weeks. Will it be a weak long climb back, or can it bounce back relatively quickly and enjoy a nice bounce once the pandemic is under better control.

The best case scenario is people take the preventative measures seriously like social distancing, voluntary isolation/quarantine if you suspect you or close ones have been exposed, not overrunning hospitals unnecessarily, etc.

You want to see the economy and investments rebound...pay attention and don't be friggin stupid.

IDIOTS!!!
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Mar 15 @ 9:54 AM ET
I think the most defensive of defensemen should be putting up massive amounts of points in junior because they should just be completely better than the opposition.
- robz228


Ok
robz228
Buffalo Sabres
Location: NY
Joined: 07.07.2010

Mar 15 @ 10:14 AM ET
Ok

- IonSabres


Since i can't even rattle off big name stay at home defensemen i'll use this list

https://www.thesportster....-stay-at-home-defensemen/

all draft year + 1
Foote: 55pts in 61
Daneyko: 60 in 69
White: 16 in 53
Scuderi: 10 in 41 (college)
Volchenkov: 19 in 47 (KHL)
Warrener: 39 in 66
McKee: 46 in 64
Luckowich: 45 in 63
Lilja: 36 in 61 (AHL)
Stuart: 15 in 37 (college)
Boughner: 30 in 49
Hnidy: 53 in 58
Komisarek: 30 in 39 (college)
Jackman: 36 in 43
Murray: 18 in 25 (college)

Compared to johnson: 8 in 37 (college)
Samuelsson: 12 in 35 (college)

Samuelsson also has 0 points in 12 games across 2 years of world juniors

Honestly not that bad. Although college is a higher scoring game now. Colin White had terrible numbers for canadian junior, and Rob Scuderi is the only other one who looks like these two.

I just don't know what they're offering in todays game if they can't put up points in amateur hockey.
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Mar 15 @ 10:30 AM ET

I just don't know what they're offering in todays game if they can't put up points in amateur hockey.

- robz228

sandpaper and synergy

Pairo11
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Cancel my subscription to the resurrection.
Joined: 10.15.2007

Mar 15 @ 10:31 AM ET
Really nice write-up !

IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Mar 15 @ 10:37 AM ET
Since i can't even rattle off big name stay at home defensemen i'll use this list

https://www.thesportster....-stay-at-home-defensemen/

all draft year + 1
Foote: 55pts in 61
Daneyko: 60 in 69
White: 16 in 53
Scuderi: 10 in 41 (college)
Volchenkov: 19 in 47 (KHL)
Warrener: 39 in 66
McKee: 46 in 64
Luckowich: 45 in 63
Lilja: 36 in 61 (AHL)
Stuart: 15 in 37 (college)
Boughner: 30 in 49
Hnidy: 53 in 58
Komisarek: 30 in 39 (college)
Jackman: 36 in 43
Murray: 18 in 25 (college)

Compared to johnson: 8 in 37 (college)
Samuelsson: 12 in 35 (college)

Samuelsson also has 0 points in 12 games across 2 years of world juniors

Honestly not that bad. Although college is a higher scoring game now. Colin White had terrible numbers for canadian junior, and Rob Scuderi is the only other one who looks like these two.

I just don't know what they're offering in todays game if they can't put up points in amateur hockey.

- robz228


I'm not begrudging points, nor suggesting they should be 0 as a preferred production level.

I'm challenging the notion an entire evaluation is based on points metric.
How about focusing on defensive statistics, meaning on-ice offence against, individual plays that gain or remove possession from opponents or defend the offensive zone, and puck management as the primary basis...then through on the offensive measures as well for a well-rounded evaluation.

It isn't just this blog, it is prevalent in many other evaluations and comments.
robz228
Buffalo Sabres
Location: NY
Joined: 07.07.2010

Mar 15 @ 10:48 AM ET
I'm not begrudging points, nor suggesting they should be 0 as a preferred production level.

I'm challenging the notion an entire evaluation is based on points metric.
How about focusing on defensive statistics, meaning on-ice offence against, individual plays that gain or remove possession from opponents or defend the offensive zone, and puck management as the primary basis...then through on the offensive measures as well for a well-rounded evaluation.

It isn't just this blog, it is prevalent in many other evaluations and comments.

- IonSabres


Tbh they're never going to be judged fairly because it was asinine to spend those picks on defensemen when forwards are a dire need.

Much like lehner was always hated because of the first round pick.
Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Mar 15 @ 10:51 AM ET
I have always, and continue to find it curious that rakings and reviews of defensemen rely very heavily on offensive production... then we see these players struggle with the defensive aspect of their game.

I'd suggest that sound defensive skills and traits take precedence over points. Yes, skating, 1st pass and other transitional aspects factor into defensive play...that is fine.

Samuelsson and Johnson were drafted for their defensive and transition capabilities with the hope they can improve their offensive capabilities as well, not the other way around. Laaksonen was drafted more for his offensive capabilities, so I get the evaluation there.

Sabres have Dahlin, Montour, Risto, Pilut who all play the same game...solid transition and a threat in the offensive zone...all who struggle with the defensive responsibilities.

There needs to be a balance of both types on your roster.

- IonSabres

I agree very much, Samuelsson Borgen and Johnson will bring a defensive side. With a bunch of sandpaper to with Samuelsson and Borgen.
gerbe75pts
Anaheim Ducks
Location: DRAFT COLE CAUFIELD AT 7!!!, CA
Joined: 09.03.2009

Mar 15 @ 10:54 AM ET
Johnson is Jordan Leopold 2.0
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Mar 15 @ 11:03 AM ET
When Victor Olofsson was drafted, he proceeded to get 10 goals in the next season

now in the nhl he is scoring at a .367 goal per game clip


so there is that
Da_Cashman
Buffalo Sabres
Location: London, ON
Joined: 04.18.2011

Mar 15 @ 11:04 AM ET
I'm assuming you're on a long investment horizon since you're buying stocks for the first time, and you're beginning with a modest (sub 50k) investment. I don't know, however, if you actively watch the market and read quarterly earnings reports. TBH, watching CNBC for all of your news is a great way to learn about stocks and get rid of 90% of political talk. All they really talk about is the market 90% of the time. It's quite edifying once you know what to listen for. They interview CEOs on a daily basis. It's by far and away the best cable news in America IMO and has been for years. I never read earnings reports before I watched CNBC. Now, I read them for any company I own. Most people care to stay uniformed in the market, however, and invest passively (if at all), but you said you want to buy stocks (that means stocks and not index funds to me) so you should take the time to become informed because ALL STOCKS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED UPON COMPANY MANAGEMENT. Or, as we see with the hospitality and transport industries right now, Black Swan events. Externalities that are unforeseen and catastrophic. Just as the Financial Crisis took down Lehman Bros and Bear Stearns, expect a cruise line and/or an airline to fall now before the economic impact of Covid 19 is done.

With those assumptions in mind, my advice is to pick one or both of the following companies and dump all of you money into them. You then take the dividends from these companies and reinvest them right back into those companies as they accrue. If you're going to become and active trader of stocks, then my advice is to educate yourself and from there you will be able to pick your own. To start with though pick one of these two or both of them:

Apple and Microsoft

I prefer Microsoft, but Apple has about $100 billion more cash on hand than Microsoft. Both of these companies have the best leadership in the corporate world, and - in the case of MSFT - the entire world. CEO Nadella and CFO Hood are IMO the best leadership duo on planet earth. That's not an overstatement. They generate over 1 million dollars of revenue per employee per year, and they employ 110,000 people. You think the average American generates a mil of revenue per year? Not even close.

Both of these companies have enough cash on hand to buy Ford multiple times over. Either one could buy Tesla tomorrow. As of right now, Apple could buy Exxon Mobil and have almost $100 billion in cash left over. What that tells me, is both of these companies are going to go shopping for other companies in their industries to ensure they remain the dominant behemoths they are as the world moves to 5G, the cloud, AI, robotics, block chain security, quantum computing, and all that other fun stuff science fiction tells us we'll have in the future.

They both pay dividends. They both buy back their own stock. They both print money like they're the Treasury.

10 years from now MSFT will trade at or above $1,000 as will AAPL, I have very little doubt of that. And, they will both pay you dividends too for the honor of owning their stock along the way.

- lacaprup


Cool, thanks. And the ETFs? Which one is tech heavy then?
jcragcrumple
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Reluctant bridge jumper; 6th round OHL draft pick, YT
Joined: 04.04.2016

Mar 15 @ 11:17 AM ET
I agree very much, Samuelsson Borgen and Johnson will bring a defensive side. With a bunch of sandpaper to with Samuelsson and Borgen.
- Buff36


He finally got his first goal of the year. I guess he's not eligible for this list at 23 y/o

The sabres are going to need to move him while he still has value or move 2 current RHD to give him playing time with the Sabres next year
lacaprup
Buffalo Sabres
Location: NY
Joined: 07.23.2006

Mar 15 @ 11:24 AM ET
Cool, thanks. And the ETFs? Which one is tech heavy then?
- Da_Cashman


XLK would probably be your best bet there. It's the sector spdr fund for the tech sector. You can google sector spdr funds for any sector of the economy. My problem with ETFs in general is that you're always going to be paying an Expense Ratio in the case of XLK it's a very small 0.13%, but I don't like them at all. Simply owning the best in class stocks of a given sector is the best option in my opinion.

SOXX is the symbol for the iShares Philadelphia Semiconductor Index etf. This is another solid way to track technology via an etf, but you're paying a 0.46% expense ratio here. Again, not worth it in my opinion.
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Mar 15 @ 11:28 AM ET
Johnson is Jordan Leopold 2.0
- gerbe75pts

Brady Skjei 2.0
dadeadhead
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I don't want to say Greztky was a dude when I was watching. Mentalorgasm5 , NY
Joined: 07.16.2006

Mar 15 @ 11:39 AM ET
When Victor Olofsson was drafted, he proceeded to get 10 goals in the next season

now in the nhl he is scoring at a .367 goal per game clip


so there is that

- homiedclown



Be gone with you and your facts.....

Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Mar 15 @ 11:42 AM ET
He finally got his first goal of the year. I guess he's not eligible for this list at 23 y/o

The sabres are going to need to move him while he still has value or move 2 current RHD to give him playing time with the Sabres next year

- jcragcrumple

We shall see what happens, he could be a piece used in a trade, I wouldn't mind a Jay McKee type Dman patrolling the blue line.
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Mar 15 @ 11:48 AM ET
Be gone with you and your facts.....
- dadeadhead

BeadyEyedDouche
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Rustmine Ramsum most exciting Sabres klugdragger since Taro Tsujimoto
Joined: 07.01.2016

Mar 15 @ 11:49 AM ET
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Af6b_wyiwI
dadeadhead
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I don't want to say Greztky was a dude when I was watching. Mentalorgasm5 , NY
Joined: 07.16.2006

Mar 15 @ 11:54 AM ET

- homiedclown



https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Kn66deEvUW8
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Mar 15 @ 11:56 AM ET
Ryan Johnson sounds like Pysyk part deux
- jcragcrumple


For what it’s worth,
Kris Baker from SabresProspects.com likes Johnson more than any of our young defensemen/prospects
Even more than Joker & Pilut
jcragcrumple
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Reluctant bridge jumper; 6th round OHL draft pick, YT
Joined: 04.04.2016

Mar 15 @ 12:00 PM ET
For what it’s worth,
Kris Baker from SabresProspects.com likes Johnson more than any of our young defensemen/prospects
Even more than Joker & Pilut

- jdfitz77


I'm just saying when hear smooth skating, limited offense and good analytics, I think Mark Pysyk
Der Kaiser
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I Know Nothink ... NOTHINK!
Joined: 07.27.2007

Mar 15 @ 12:23 PM ET
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Af6b_wyiwI
- BeadyEyedDouche



I cant listen to a man in a pink sweater.
Der Kaiser
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I Know Nothink ... NOTHINK!
Joined: 07.27.2007

Mar 15 @ 12:24 PM ET
I'm just saying when hear smooth skating, limited offense and good analytics, I think Mark Pysyk
- jcragcrumple



Off to the Gulch I go.
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