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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Ghofrani: Sabres Off-Season Blueprint: Making the Cut UFA Edition
Author Message
Michael Ghofrani
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 01.14.2020

Mar 28 @ 5:27 PM ET
This is all assuming he doesn't want to just leave the organization on his own and go somewhere else.
- kingcong39



Also true
Sir Tindoom
Buffalo Sabres
Location: NY
Joined: 12.27.2019

Mar 28 @ 5:32 PM ET
Saying that & calling it the “4th line” shows u don’t value:
-the great job they do
-against the other teams’ top lines
-in the toughest situations

U can’t just plug in rookies like Asplund & expect that line to as effective

- jdfitz77


Then I guess I don't value them because I would absolutely take Lazar at under a million over 6 million dollar Okposo.

IMO, if you are not a scoring line you are the 4th line. Would you like me to call it the checking line? OK. It's semantics. But you shouldn't presume. I do value a good checking line. But at what cost? If that 1 million or 6 million can help me get and pay for a top six forward, then I will take my chances with Lazar over Okposo or Girgs.
Sir Tindoom
Buffalo Sabres
Location: NY
Joined: 12.27.2019

Mar 28 @ 5:34 PM ET
You also don’t have unlimited assets to fill in around them either though
- jdfitz77




EXACTLY MY POINT!!!!!!!!!

PICK A LANE!!!!!!!!!!

AM I DOING THIS WRITE??????
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Mar 28 @ 5:41 PM ET
I honestly don't know what Larsson's market value is so you may very well be right. In the make believe roster im building, i've done a 180 on the scheme/tactics.

I want them playing high event hockey, which means running three scoring lines that can play an uptempo game. not just in terms of speed but quick transition, passing etc.

Unfortunately, that would default the log line to line 4. I dont deny how good they are together, but if im playing a high tempo scheme, I cant be paying 10+ million for a defensive line to play 10 mins a night

In an alternate world where the core players on this team have great low event/defensive upside, Id be more inclined to keep that line. But I just cant find much room for them in my vision for the team.

- Michael Ghofrani


A defensive line that plays against other teams’ top lines & flips the ice is EXTREMELY VALUABLE

A hell of a lot more valuable than a 3rd scoring line (which we could still have with them)

Determining Larsson & Girgs value should not be based off the sh!tty contract GMTM signed Okposo to
He’s not gonna be here forever

Don’t let one mistake convince u to make further

To have 3 scoring lines, you NEED a 4th line that can handle tough defensive responsibility
Like Pitt with Cullen when their last couple Cups
Like Boston’s 4th line when they win the Cup
Pegullaville
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Toronto
Joined: 03.16.2011

Mar 28 @ 5:41 PM ET
You also don’t have unlimited assets to fill in around them either though
- jdfitz77


Ask Pittsburgh what’s it like to have two dominant centers and rotate wingers as often as I change my underwear
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Mar 28 @ 5:45 PM ET
A defensive line that plays against other teams’ top lines & flips the ice is EXTREMELY VALUABLE

A hell of a lot more valuable than a 3rd scoring line (which we could still have with them)

Determining Larsson & Girgs value should not be based off the sh!tty contract GMTM signed Okposo to
He’s not gonna be here forever

Don’t let one mistake convince u to make further

To have 3 scoring lines, you NEED a 4th line that can handle tough defensive responsibility
Like Pitt with Cullen when their last couple Cups
Like Boston’s 4th line when they win the Cup

- jdfitz77

how many playoff games have we won with larsson and girgens?


jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Mar 28 @ 5:45 PM ET
Then I guess I don't value them because I would absolutely take Lazar at under a million over 6 million dollar Okposo.

IMO, if you are not a scoring line you are the 4th line. Would you like me to call it the checking line? OK. It's semantics. But you shouldn't presume. I do value a good checking line. But at what cost? If that 1 million or 6 million can help me get and pay for a top six forward, then I will take my chances with Lazar over Okposo or Girgs.

- Sir Tindoom


Of course everyone would take Lazar over Okposo
His contract sucks, so we are stuck with him
The question is do u replace Girgs or Larsson,
who will NOT be expensive...
for someone who would be a complete UNKNOWN (in that role) for a modestly cheaper amount

U really think there’s a difference between the LOG line making 9mil or 10mil?
I don’t
However,
I do think it’s a big risk to try & replace Girgs or Larsson with Lazar or Asplund so u can save 1mil

What they do is much too important to risk that
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Mar 28 @ 5:47 PM ET
I see a lot of ppl that are “ok” letting Girgs &/or Larsson walk

Don’t think they realize what a good job those 2 have done together in a VERY tough role

I’m not gonna let one walk to save 1mil? bc i “think” someone can perform as well as them getting all that defensive responsibility
Bad idea imo

- jdfitz77


One of those people is me, and I still stand by it. It's quite easy to figure out.

Skinner is already overpaid by $1.0 - $1.5m , coupled with Okposso overpaid now by +/-$4.0m; and Mojo by say another $1.0m they simply should not overpay 2 more 4th liners.
Lazar is perfect there for 4C, better on the dot, faster, more physical, more truculence, more offensive upside.

Bad, very bad decision to do so.
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Mar 28 @ 5:47 PM ET
I guess at one point the regulars pulled money together and paid the rears.

A bar owner I know was asked to invest in it and that is the issue

- dadeadhead


Wow
That’s too bad
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Mar 28 @ 5:50 PM ET
On the bolded above, wouldn't a 3 year deal for each of Girgensons and Larsson mean that entire line would be off the books at the same time, in 3 years, when Okposo's deal is done?
- kingcong39


Well then let’s say we keep them even longer
They still will cost about 50% less than now when u replace Okposo with a 1mil guy

Why is it ok to replace Okposo,
and not Larsson & Girgs?

Bc they’ve been the backbone of that checking unit for over 2 seasons now and have done it with various players slotted in with them
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Mar 28 @ 5:52 PM ET
how many playoff games have we won with larsson and girgens?
- homiedclown


How many have we won with Jack?

You’re making the same bad argument that ppl made when trying to justify trading ROR

It doesn’t correlate
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Mar 28 @ 5:54 PM ET
One of those people is me, and I still stand by it. It's quite easy to figure out.

Skinner is already overpaid by $1.0 - $1.5m , coupled with Okposso overpaid now by +/-$4.0m; and Mojo by say another $1.0m they simply should not overpay 2 more 4th liners.
Lazar is perfect there for 4C, better on the dot, faster, more physical, more truculence, more offensive upside.

Bad, very bad decision to do so.

- IonSabres


And how’s he performed with 80% defensive zone starts against other teams’ top offensive talent?

I’ll answer for you...
You don’t know
Bc Larsson & Girgs have been doing such a good job in that role
And expecting Lazar to do as good a job is purely a guess
Pegullaville
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Toronto
Joined: 03.16.2011

Mar 28 @ 6:02 PM ET
How many have we won with Jack?

You’re making the same bad argument that ppl made when trying to justify trading ROR

It doesn’t correlate

- jdfitz77


I agree with trading ROR, as time goes on though we can see that return was not adequate though.

However thanks to losing that trade we ended up sucking enough to get Cozens and another top 10 pick. So I’m more then ok with the outcome.

The Sabres long term success has nothing to do with St. Louis’ success
Sir Tindoom
Buffalo Sabres
Location: NY
Joined: 12.27.2019

Mar 28 @ 6:02 PM ET
And how’s he performed with 80% defensive zone starts against other teams’ top offensive talent?

I’ll answer for you...
You don’t know
Bc Larsson & Girgs have been doing such a good job in that role
And expecting Lazar to do as good a job is purely a guess

- jdfitz77



Putting Larson in a checking line center role was a good guess.
Putting Girgs in a checking line winger role was a good guess.
Putting Okposo in a checking line winger role was a good guess.
They worked out. What makes you think Lazar won't? Serious question. I've seen enough of Lazar to believe he can do an adequate Girgs impression at less than half the cost. He may even be better. Won't know til you try though.
Michael Ghofrani
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 01.14.2020

Mar 28 @ 6:03 PM ET
A defensive line that plays against other teams’ top lines & flips the ice is EXTREMELY VALUABLE

A hell of a lot more valuable than a 3rd scoring line (which we could still have with them)

Determining Larsson & Girgs value should not be based off the sh!tty contract GMTM signed Okposo to
He’s not gonna be here forever

Don’t let one mistake convince u to make further

To have 3 scoring lines, you NEED a 4th line that can handle tough defensive responsibility
Like Pitt with Cullen when their last couple Cups
Like Boston’s 4th line when they win the Cup

- jdfitz77


1)I don't base anything I do off Tim Murray's tenure

2) Am of the opinion that, in a high tempo set up, a 3rd scoring line is more important

Pegullaville
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Toronto
Joined: 03.16.2011

Mar 28 @ 6:05 PM ET
Putting Larson in a checking line center role was a good guess.
Putting Girgs in a checking line winger role was a good guess.
Putting Okposo in a checking line winger role was a good guess.
They worked out. What makes you think Lazar won't? Serious question. I've seen enough of Lazar to believe he can do an adequate Girgs impression at less than half the cost. He may even be better. Won't know til you try though.

- Sir Tindoom


Lazar’s possession numbers are brutal which means any offence driven by the line isn’t a result of him.

Nor has he proven he can defend at a Selkie Level like Larsson can.

Lazar is an AHL’er but he’s the new toy we haven’t grown to hate yet and throws a few hits every so often so he’s likeable.
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Mar 28 @ 6:08 PM ET
Well then let’s say we keep them even longer
They still will cost about 50% less than now when u replace Okposo with a 1mil guy

Why is it ok to replace Okposo,
and not Larsson & Girgs?

Bc they’ve been the backbone of that checking unit for over 2 seasons now and have done it with various players slotted in with them

- jdfitz77


Why would you sign either of Girgensons or Larsson to deals longer than 3 years considering the roles they play and the fact that they will be 27 and 28 respectively next season and before next season?

Signing either to a 4 or 5 year deal does not sound like a good idea.
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Mar 28 @ 6:11 PM ET
Lazar’s possession numbers are brutal which means any offence driven by the line isn’t a result of him.

Nor has he proven he can defend at a Selkie Level like Larsson can.

Lazar is an AHL’er but he’s the new toy we haven’t grown to hate yet and throws a few hits every so often so he’s likeable.

- Pegullaville


While I like Lazar, he's realistically nothing more than a 12th or 13th cheap forward.
Sir Tindoom
Buffalo Sabres
Location: NY
Joined: 12.27.2019

Mar 28 @ 6:12 PM ET
Lazar’s possession numbers are brutal which means any offence driven by the line isn’t a result of him.

Nor has he proven he can defend at a Selkie Level like Larsson can.

Lazar is an AHL’er but he’s the new toy we haven’t grown to hate yet and throws a few hits every so often so he’s likeable.

- Pegullaville



I'd keep Larson. Lazar is replacing Girgs. I don't get the Girgensons love. He's OK. But replaceable. I don't have numbers. If Asplund will be better, no problem here.
Pegullaville
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Toronto
Joined: 03.16.2011

Mar 28 @ 6:12 PM ET
While I like Lazar, he's realistically nothing more than a 12th or 13th cheap forward.
- kingcong39


Works with me.
Sir Tindoom
Buffalo Sabres
Location: NY
Joined: 12.27.2019

Mar 28 @ 6:13 PM ET
While I like Lazar, he's realistically nothing more than a 12th or 13th cheap forward.
- kingcong39



Correct. So is Girgensons.
Pegullaville
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Toronto
Joined: 03.16.2011

Mar 28 @ 6:15 PM ET
I'd keep Larson. Lazar is replacing Girgs. I don't get the Girgensons love. He's OK. But replaceable. I don't have numbers. If Asplund will be better, no problem here.
- Sir Tindoom


I agree with you. I never said anything about keeping Girgensons. I just said personally I would like Larsson retained. If Larsson doesn’t want to be here or the cap hit doesn’t make sense then so be it.
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Mar 28 @ 6:17 PM ET
I agree with trading ROR, as time goes on though we can see that return was not adequate though.

However thanks to losing that trade we ended up sucking enough to get Cozens and another top 10 pick. So I’m more then ok with the outcome.

The Sabres long term success has nothing to do with St. Louis’ success

- Pegullaville


You’ve totally missed the point

It was that just bc we haven’t won with Larsson & Girgs doesn’t mean they can’t be productive pieces to a winning team
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Mar 28 @ 6:19 PM ET
Putting Larson in a checking line center role was a good guess.
Putting Girgs in a checking line winger role was a good guess.
Putting Okposo in a checking line winger role was a good guess.
They worked out. What makes you think Lazar won't? Serious question. I've seen enough of Lazar to believe he can do an adequate Girgs impression at less than half the cost. He may even be better. Won't know til you try though.

- Sir Tindoom


Don’t need to try it when u already have the sure thing
The extra $$ Girgs will cost over Lazar will not hurt Botts in building this team

But if Lazar doesn’t work out in that role,
that will hurt us

U think it’s ok to take the chance for a 1mil savings?
I don’t. I think that’s a dumb risk to take
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Mar 28 @ 6:21 PM ET
1)I don't base anything I do off Tim Murray's tenure

2) Am of the opinion that, in a high tempo set up, a 3rd scoring line is more important

- Michael Ghofrani


Couldn’t disagree more on #2
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