The estimates for hospitalization and death rate have continually been revised down substantially. We also don’t know if some sort of antibody test will be available soon. There’s still a lot of unknown to say with certainty to say at this point to say there won’t be a season again or this fall until the risk factor of this comes into better clarity.
- Sublime55
A - Flyers kick the Pens a$$ in 5. No question.
B - you're right about the estimates. We don't really have accurate data. There could be millions that have had this and have no symptoms or effects and don't know it. Right now, the country has been run by models (predominantly the IHME models) that are continually being proven wrong. Is the Wuhan Virus bad? Yes. But we have to base decisions based on FACTS and data. With the restrictions on testing, we really don't have accurate data. Shutting down the economy based on models that prove to be wrong is ludicrous. Far more people die of drug overdose and suicide in America every year (roughly 130,000 plus) than die from this Wuhan Virus.
Re: antibody test, from what I've heard we're 10 - 14 days away from having it proven. The challenge is making 330 million of them and having them available for testing widely, and then implementing it logistically. It's a problem, but not one we cannot solve and overcome.
