https://dobberprospects.c...draft-pick-probabilities/

Article about draft round in relation to NHL career.

My percentages were off. I am sorry, my mistake, wanted to correct it

Have to disagree 100% there. Pionk only wishes he was Seth Jones IMO. But each to their own.
- grahamzky

https://twitter.com/jfres.../1275094950913486849?s=21

I wish it weren’t true

https://dobberprospects.com/2020/05/16/nhl-draft-pick-probabilities/

Article about draft round in relation to NHL career.

My percentages were off. I am sorry, my mistake, wanted to correct it
- Ross77

Small brain: 1st overall pick. Get one NHL player.
Big brain: get 30 7th round picks. 3 NHL players.

If drafting isn’t voodo and it’s an easy Formula then explain why less than 15% after round 2 have significant careers?

Logan Stanly is low hanging fruit. I haven’t seen luke Green lighting it up yet. But I’m sure you’ll have some excuses for him.

Do you know how many D drafted after Logan Stanly I the ENTIRE draft that year have played more than 70 games thus far in the NHL? 6. In a 7 round draft 5 years ago, 6 D drafted after Stanly have played over 70 NHL games.

And 5th and round 6th round picks have the same odds of making it, next to none.
- Ross77

A: Luke Green has looked great for the Moose when healthy. He’s also never healthy. He was a steal at the draft, looked god tier in his last playoff run in junior, then promptly died to death in the AHL.

B: Stanley is a low hanging fruit. But we’ve been seeing this behaviour out of the Jets often enough I don’t even need to cherry pick. Lukas Sutter, anyone?

C: that draft was weird for defencemen, but Stanley pales in comparison to all of his non-full tinder peers. Bean, Cholowski, Joulevi, Johansen, Peeke, Hajek, Lindgren, and even Mahura are all players either about to make the jump, have already been in use, or have dominated the A. Some of them are all 3.
Stanley is not.

Small brain: 1st overall pick. Get one NHL player.
Big brain: get 30 7th round picks. 3 NHL players.
- Rexypoo

I’ll take the one first line player over your 4th line thank you very much

Stastny to Jets to be announced later tonight or in the morning. Seems to be done

A: Luke Green has looked great for the Moose when healthy. He’s also never healthy. He was a steal at the draft, looked god tier in his last playoff run in junior, then promptly died to death in the AHL.

B: Stanley is a low hanging fruit. But we’ve been seeing this behaviour out of the Jets often enough I don’t even need to cherry pick. Lukas Sutter, anyone?

C: that draft was weird for defencemen, but Stanley pales in comparison to all of his non-full tinder peers. Bean, Cholowski, Joulevi, Johansen, Peeke, Hajek, Lindgren, and even Mahura are all players either about to make the jump, have already been in use, or have dominated the A. Some of them are all 3.
Stanley is not.
- Rexypoo

Let’s just stop. I can go back and name all the small skilled guys we drafted that are also not making it....cough cough petan.
I’m sorry, low blow, I still route for petan to.

Let’s just stop. I can go back and name all the small skilled guys we drafted that are also not making it....cough cough petan.
I’m sorry, low blow, I still route for petan to.
- Ross77

Honestly, having read up on what Stastny might still bring to the table (and the bounce back potential), I literally couldn’t have asked for a better week as a Jets fan.

Let’s see what tomorrow brings

If drafting isn’t voodo and it’s an easy Formula then explain why less than 15% after round 2 have significant careers?

Logan Stanly is low hanging fruit. I haven’t seen luke Green lighting it up yet. But I’m sure you’ll have some excuses for him.

Do you know how many D drafted after Logan Stanly I the ENTIRE draft that year have played more than 70 games thus far in the NHL? 6. In a 7 round draft 5 years ago, 6 D drafted after Stanly have played over 70 NHL games.

And 5th and round 6th round picks have the same odds of making it, next to none.
- Ross77

Luke Green has been injured a lot, pretty sure he missed the majority of his last year of junior due to injuries and his bad injury luck has followed him to the AHL as well, too bad, he has looked good in any Moose games I've watched.
I refuse to call guys busts who's careers have been derailed by injuries, not saying Green would of made it if not for the injuries but it's just not a fair judgement imo.

Idk how anyone could've saw anything in Stanley that would of made them want to use a 1st round pick on him nevermind trade up to select him, after watching him for one shift I could of told you his skating just isn't good enough for the NHL, maybe as a project you grab him in round 3 at the earliest and see if you can get his skating worked on and turn him into something in time but using a 1st on him was crazy, what a blown pick, there's two top 4 dman taken in the 2nd round of that draft, it doesn't take any kind of stats, analytics or detailed scouting report for someone to see that Stanley's skating was a serious issue.

Niku was a 7th round pick and he's already played more NHL games then the zero Stanley has, I get it can be a real guessing game when selecting a bunch of kids at the draft but I can easily see why they took a chance on Niku in round 7, really he could of been selected in round 2 or 3 and it would of been understandable but I can't for the life of me understand how anyone could of thought using an 18th overall pick on Logan Stanley was a risk worth taking.

I hope the leafs sign Wayne Simmonds. He’s possibly 4 years past what should have been his retirement date
- Ross77

Clarkson was great for us Darren. Frig Off.

Stastny to Jets to be announced later tonight or in the morning. Seems to be done
- Ross77

It’s Done.

It’s a good move IMO. Little bit retained for a couple meh picks.

Luke Green has been injured a lot, pretty sure he missed the majority of his last year of junior due to injuries and his bad injury luck has followed him to the AHL as well, too bad, he has looked good in any Moose games I've watched.
I refuse to call guys busts who's careers have been derailed by injuries, not saying Green would of made it if not for the injuries but it's just not a fair judgement imo.

Idk how anyone could've saw anything in Stanley that would of made them want to use a 1st round pick on him nevermind trade up to select him, after watching him for one shift I could of told you his skating just isn't good enough for the NHL, maybe as a project you grab him in round 3 at the earliest and see if you can get his skating worked on and turn him into something in time but using a 1st on him was crazy, what a blown pick, there's two top 4 dman taken in the 2nd round of that draft, it doesn't take any kind of stats, analytics or detailed scouting report for someone to see that Stanley's skating was a serious issue.

Niku was a 7th round pick and he's already played more NHL games then the zero Stanley has, I get it can be a real guessing game when selecting a bunch of kids at the draft but I can easily see why they took a chance on Niku in round 7, really he could of been selected in round 2 or 3 and it would of been understandable but I can't for the life of me understand how anyone could of thought using an 18th overall pick on Logan Stanley was a risk worth taking.
- JetFuel

I agree

Clarkson was great for us Darren. Frig Off.
- Byfuglien Ate Me

Hahahahaha
Hey pal, hope things are well!!!

It’s Done.

It’s a good move IMO. Little bit retained for a couple meh picks.
- Byfuglien Ate Me

For what’s it worth I was hoping The jets would trade down in the 2nd to acquire a couple more picks, then the Leafs did, and took both Fins I liked. it pissed me off lol.

It’s Done.

It’s a good move IMO. Little bit retained for a couple meh picks.
- Byfuglien Ate Me

What are the picks?

Unbe(frank)inglievable the amount of draft picks the Jets have wasted on Paul Stastny, they've pretty much used an entire round of draft picks on this guy.

For what’s it worth I was hoping The jets would trade down in the 2nd to acquire a couple more picks, then the Leafs did, and took both Fins I liked. it pissed me off lol.
- Ross77

Hey buddy. You’re not the only one the Leafs picks pissed off

Twitter murdered Dubas.

Hey buddy. You’re not the only one the Leafs picks pissed off

Twitter murdered Dubas.
- Byfuglien Ate Me

Leafs fan are weird. I’d take Dubas in a heartbeat

What are the picks?

Unbe(frank)inglievable the amount of draft picks the Jets have wasted on Paul Stastny, they've pretty much used an entire round of draft picks on this guy.
- JetFuel

Not done yet

What are the picks?

Unbe(frank)inglievable the amount of draft picks the Jets have wasted on Paul Stastny, they've pretty much used an entire round of draft picks on this guy.
- JetFuel

We would be doing Vegas a favor in helping them unload Statsny's salary. Either Vegas eats some salary or we get something more.,,,,maybe a pick. Much like when we traded Mason.

We would be doing Vegas a favor in helping them unload Statsny's salary. Either Vegas eats some salary or we get something more.,,,,maybe a pick. Much like when we traded Mason.
- jetsnation

Seriously this is done?

Any rumours of complete deal?

Good move for Jets, one and done, or extension next year, depending on Perfetti? I would think we would get a decent player/pick thrown in. Or perhaps I should say "hope"

We would be doing Vegas a favor in helping them unload Statsny's salary. Either Vegas eats some salary or we get something more.,,,,maybe a pick. Much like when we traded Mason.
- jetsnation

That's what it should be, would be great if they could squeeze Whitecloud or Hague out of Vegas instead of picks.

That's what it should be, would be great if they could squeeze Whitecloud or Hague out of Vegas instead of picks.
- JetFuel

I assume Fleury will be dealt as well. If both Statsny and Fleury are gone it will free up lots of cap for Vegas, retaining some salary makes the most sense for them for both players. If players were to be dealt it could be anyone on the roster not named Krebs or Dugan. Pick also possible. Could be some combination of the above or even a bigger deal with one of the Jets unneeded prospects.

I assume Fleury will be dealt as well. If both Statsny and Fleury are gone it will free up lots of cap for Vegas, retaining some salary makes the most sense for them for both players. If players were to be dealt it could be anyone on the roster not named Krebs or Dugan. Pick also possible. Could be some combination of the above or even a bigger deal with one of the Jets unneeded prospects.
- jetsnation

Ek is saying Stastny deal done. Radio station 1290 says that they're hearing only one pick involved.
Any guess as to what this pick might be?

Ek is saying Stastny deal done. Radio station 1290 says that they're hearing only one pick involved.
Any guess as to what this pick might be?
- grahamzky

I'd bet 3rd round but it depends on the amount of retained salary

After bringing back Stastny. Chevy's next big move is going to be to bring back Andrew Ladd!

Furthermore Stastny is now on his 5th team. Something much be wrong with this guy!