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Forums :: Blog World :: Ryan Wilson: Penguins ride and Penguins die with Tristan Jarry, season over
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Victoro311
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: San Diego, CA
Joined: 06.17.2014

May 27 @ 10:16 AM ET
I recall quite clearly that around mid season quite a few of you here thought next season had more potential than this one...why was that?
- MattStrat

I think it takes a new FO about a year to really settle in, evaluate, and figure out what he wants to do to make an impact on the roster. With Matheson having a really good season, we really don't have any extremely scary contracts and there will be a chance to dump at least one of our bigger money contracts in the Seattle draft.

Maybe Hextall takes this team in an awful direction and it sucks. But maybe he makes some good moves this offseason, and he'll have the opportunity to do that in a way that I don't think Rutherford really did last off season. Ruth's only avenue for making an impact roster move without blowing it all up was to dump Hornqvist for minimal cap return which he either couldn't or didn't want to do because he really loved Matheson (which I guess was the impact move). This year Hextall can move Zuker, Matheson, and/or Pettersson and have cap space to do stuff, or get players back he sees as contributors for them. It'll be interesting to see what we do.
MacPatty
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 05.21.2015

May 27 @ 10:19 AM ET
Malkin for Doughty.
- Blackstrom2


Only if you can free up a spot for him by sending Letang to the Flames for Lucic.
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

May 27 @ 10:25 AM ET
I think it takes a new FO about a year to really settle in, evaluate, and figure out what he wants to do to make an impact on the roster. With Matheson having a really good season, we really don't have any extremely scary contracts and there will be a chance to dump at least one of our bigger money contracts in the Seattle draft.

Maybe Hextall takes this team in an awful direction and it sucks. But maybe he makes some good moves this offseason, and he'll have the opportunity to do that in a way that I don't think Rutherford really did last off season. Ruth's only avenue for making an impact roster move without blowing it all up was to dump Hornqvist for minimal cap return which he either couldn't or didn't want to do because he really loved Matheson (which I guess was the impact move). This year Hextall can move Zuker, Matheson, and/or Pettersson and have cap space to do stuff, or get players back he sees as contributors for them. It'll be interesting to see what we do.

- Victoro311



Yeah I'm excited to see what unfolds this offseason. Goaltending has to be addressed. Its been a major, major factor, albeit not the only one just the biggest, the past 4 seasons. You really should win playoff games if you score 3 goals IMO.

Sid is getting sh!t on a bit because of those glaring two gaffes last night, which really stand out for him, but his underlyings were pretty damn good this series. Remember that fluky toe save Sorokin made on the deflect in game 1? That crossbar in the opening of the 3rd last night? Those go in and who knows what we're talking about today.

Geno got his conditioning and prowess back right before that injury. I dont think he had enough time to get it back in this series. I felt the longer the Pens stayed in playoffs, the better he'd get.

Letang was one of the best D-men in the league this year.

Yes, these 3 will be another year older (actually only 4ish months older in October) next season but I dont see an astronomical drop in their play this coming season, especially if they get a proper training camp and offseason.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

May 27 @ 10:27 AM ET
I think if you're not going to be against it you need to really understand what it is you're ok with doing. In the three year sample between Guentzel's first full season in 2017-2018 and last season, Guentzel's been the 5th highest wing in 5v5 pts/60, and the 10th highest wing in 5v5 goals/60 after filtering out for players that played less than 1000 minutes over that time frame. For those three years, he was literally a top 10 offensive winger in terms of production on an eventual $5.5 mil contract.

This season, Guentzel dropped to the 58th wing in 5v5 pts/60 after filtering out for players with less than 400 minutes TOI and lower than that for goal scoring which I don't feel like manually counting out.

This season is a huge outlier in terms of production for Guentzel. Not only that, but pretty much all of his underlying numbers tanked as well. Both in raw percentages and relative to teammates. So that's the context: a pretty bad age 26 season by his standards where he was still pretty much earning his keep at $5.5 mil. If you're considering trading Guentzel, it's basically because you're betting that the aging curve has already started to hit him at age 26, and it hit HARD. Like disproportionately hard to what we should be seeing at age 26. Sure, 27 is at the end of the scoring prime, so it's pretty reasonable to predict that Guentzel will never be a top 10 offensive wing again, but at $5.5 he doesn't have to be. Any kind of regression to the mean, even a moderate one, makes him a huge bargain. That's not the player you trade to change the team dynamic. But if you're positive that this season is indicative of Guentzel's play moving forward and he's just an average top 6 forward now making about market value, then being ok with moving him for a change of identity is more understandable.

- Victoro311


I think you're digging too deep into my statement. I'm really just saying to be open to the idea if there is a move or series of moves that makes sense. If there isn't, then you don't it. I'm not saying it's easy. Just saying it's something you look at.

MacPatty
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 05.21.2015

May 27 @ 10:29 AM ET
Most of your opinions are brutal. It’s well known around here.
- j.boyd919


I mean, at least you know where I stand. You just come through here like an angry teenager/hipster who poop talks everyone but never has anything productive to say. That is also well known around here.

It's ok though, I enjoy your keyboard warrior spirit! Keep on keeping on!
HolyDiver83
New York Islanders
Location: UBS Arena, NY
Joined: 08.05.2014

May 27 @ 10:30 AM ET


j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

May 27 @ 10:31 AM ET
I mean, at least you know where I stand. You just come through here like an angry teenager/hipster who poop talks everyone but never has anything productive to say. That is also well known around here.

It's ok though, I enjoy your keyboard warrior spirit! Keep on keeping on!

- MacPatty


Yeah I know, I never, ever give my opinions on anything.
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

May 27 @ 10:32 AM ET
I mean, at least you know where I stand. You just come through here like an angry teenager/hipster who poop talks everyone but never has anything productive to say. That is also well known around here.

It's ok though, I enjoy your keyboard warrior spirit! Keep on keeping on!

- MacPatty



This isn't good sport material....
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

May 27 @ 10:33 AM ET

- HolyDiver83


The man, the myth, the legend...
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

May 27 @ 10:34 AM ET
The man, the myth, the legend...
- MattStrat

Just some random goalie
PittsPens
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Westernport, MD
Joined: 01.06.2012

May 27 @ 10:35 AM ET
Hexy is going to be hard pressed to make meaningful change. We have no cap space, no draft picks and outside of Guentzel, McCann and maybe Zucker very little tradeable assets. I don't think you can get proper value for Guentzel.
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

May 27 @ 10:36 AM ET
Just some random goalie
- Feds91Stammer


hahaha
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

May 27 @ 10:41 AM ET
Hexy is going to be hard pressed to make meaningful change. We have no cap space, no draft picks and outside of Guentzel, McCann and maybe Zucker very little tradeable assets. I don't think you can get proper value for Guentzel.
- PittsPens


I think we have tons of tradable assets. Matheson is probably the only difficult contract to move.

Rust, Zucker, Kapenan, McCann, Blueger are all tradable.

On the backend, Pettersson and Marino could be traded for the right price but even with the poop contract Matheson has, he had a solid season and MIGHT be moveable but I doubt it.

The good thing about this off seasons is Hextall and Burke have no ties to these players having come in mid-season so we don't have to worry about any GMJR hard on-prove people wrong poop.
MacPatty
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 05.21.2015

May 27 @ 10:41 AM ET
Yeah I know, I never, ever give my opinions on anything.
- j.boyd919



Tell me what the Pens should do this offseason to get in position to win the cup.
NJPensfan
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 10.25.2006

May 27 @ 10:42 AM ET
Can a player with a full no movement clause be made available to the expansion draft?
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

May 27 @ 10:43 AM ET
Hexy is going to be hard pressed to make meaningful change. We have no cap space, no draft picks and outside of Guentzel, McCann and maybe Zucker very little tradeable assets. I don't think you can get proper value for Guentzel.
- PittsPens

Zucker to Seattle.

Pettersson for Crouse and Fischer

McCann and Blueger to Calgary
Monahan to Detroit
Bertuzzi to Pittsburgh

Sign Saad

Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

May 27 @ 10:43 AM ET
Can a player with a full no movement clause be made available to the expansion draft?
- NJPensfan

If they waive said NMC
sammy87
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: CO
Joined: 05.05.2011

May 27 @ 10:46 AM ET
Yeah over 11% of the cap dedicated to Malkin and coming back at age 35 isnt a good recipe for next year. When he did play this year he was trash. Carter is a better C than Malkin at this point.

They really need to go in a new direction.

MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

May 27 @ 10:47 AM ET
Yeah over 11% of the cap dedicated to Malkin and coming back at age 35 isnt a good recipe for next year. When he did play this year he was trash. Carter is a better C than Malkin at this point.

They really need to go in a new direction.

- sammy87


hahaha right on que...
NJPensfan
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 10.25.2006

May 27 @ 10:48 AM ET
If they waive said NMC
- Feds91Stammer


I was wondering if expansion rules would override. What if every player on a team had NMC's? Hypothetically, that team would be exempt from the expansion draft.





MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

May 27 @ 10:48 AM ET
Zucker to Seattle.

Pettersson for Crouse and Fischer

McCann and Blueger to Calgary
Monahan to Detroit
Bertuzzi to Pittsburgh

Sign Saad

- Feds91Stammer


I like this but 3 ways are rare and would the Flames really want to rid of Monahan?
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

May 27 @ 10:49 AM ET
hahaha right on que...
- MattStrat

Best part is Malkin hit 70 points last season. Carter last hit 70 points in 2008-09.
NJPensfan
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 10.25.2006

May 27 @ 10:50 AM ET
Yeah over 11% of the cap dedicated to Malkin and coming back at age 35 isnt a good recipe for next year. When he did play this year he was trash. Carter is a better C than Malkin at this point.

They really need to go in a new direction.

- sammy87


A GM can do some shopping with $10 million. Could get goalie, a power forward and a nice suit.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

May 27 @ 10:50 AM ET
I was wondering if expansion rules would override. What if every player on a team had NMC's? Hypothetically, that team would be exempt from the expansion draft.
- NJPensfan

A GM would be fired long before they had a roster full of NMCs
MacPatty
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 05.21.2015

May 27 @ 10:51 AM ET
Zucker to Seattle.

Pettersson for Crouse and Fischer

McCann and Blueger to Calgary
Monahan to Detroit
Bertuzzi to Pittsburgh

Sign Saad

- Feds91Stammer


I can't imagine the Flames doing it but even if they did, why wouldn't the Pens just take Monahan? Don't get me wrong, I like Bertuzzi too but I think I'd prefer Monahan over him.

I'm torn on Zucker. I think he is still a solid player who has some value, but then again with a surpressed FA market, what can you get for that free and clear $5.5M in space? To your point, Saad would be a good pickup... can we get him for less than $5.5M?
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