Then explain why so few picks make nhl. I listed facts you just say no. Thats not an argument.
Looking back at 2010 draft. There were 4 players out of 30 picks that are nhl regulars
Khunhackl
Donskoi
Grubauer
Hankaapaa
Only Donskoi was taken in the first 15 picks. If its not all luck, why did so many teams pass on these guys for players who were busts?
I chose 2010 because its a year where if a player drafted then isnt here now, they never will be.
Lets look at shesterkins draft now
Husso
Wallmark
D.Toews
Arvidsson
Shesterkin
Kahkonen
Bunting
Heinen
This is a more successful year. 8/30 picks.
Shesterkin and Toews obviously stick out.
Husso is having his 1st good season this year. Kahkonen is still backup stuck behind Talbot.
Rest are not big names. Bunting is having success with Matthews and Marner but who wouldnt?
These are needles in a haystack. If Isles or Rangers knew what they were getting why did they draft the likes of
Keegar Iverson
Brandon Halverson
Ho Sang
Dal Colle
Ahead of them?
- xShoot4WarAmpsx
Here is an example:
Two teams, say Flyers and Tampa (Percentages randomly chosen to make a point).
% of scouting skill responsible for producing NHL regulars:
Flyers 50%, Tampa 60%
Later rounds: Flyers 10%, Tampa: 20%
The following statements can all be simultaneously true:
1. Getting a late round NHL regular is MOSTLY but NOT all luck for either club.
2. Getting a late round NHL regular and a 1st round bust DOES NOT PROVE that the late round pick success was ONLY luck for either cub
3. Even though its mostly luck, Tampa needs LESS OF IT to get a NHL regular in the late rounds than the Flyers do.
If you still don't get the point, your issues are far larger than this discussion.
