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Forums :: Blog World :: Hank Balling: History Suggests Sabres Could Land Quality Players at Picks 9, 16
Author Message
hehateme
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 04.11.2017

May 11 @ 11:24 AM ET
Let's say Kane changes his mind and decides he's willing to come here.

Hank's proposal:

Vegas 1st, Mittelstadt and Laaksonen for Kane.

Yes or no?

- buffalofan19


Yes but I would offer Florida's pick first, then if I have to go to the 16th, but only if PK88 signs and extension for 2 years or maybe 3
Hank Balling
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 05.18.2021

May 11 @ 11:25 AM ET
https://morehockeystats.com/teams/en
- Lunaion


Thank you, that's awesome. -14 on EN against differential compared to the best teams being even. The way I look it is once you're good you're going to have more EN situations for and fewer against.

The best teams are scoring 17-21 EN goals-for compared to the Sabres 12.

So we're talking a 20 GF/GA total differential that is essentially a "penalty" for being bad during the rest of the game.
DirtyDan
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Why aren't more people interrigent? Rike Me? , ON
Joined: 02.03.2021

May 11 @ 11:25 AM ET
Cody Eakids
- ImThatGuy


He is a 4th line guy... If you add a 30 goal score that pushes down another player and another player taking away minute from other players.

Something something number 1 doesn't show number 2 how to do the doodadoo
lulags
Buffalo Sabres
Location: St Louis
Joined: 02.24.2007

May 11 @ 11:26 AM ET
The leap from where we are to playoff team this year Is a huge jump. I think we continue to develop Krebs, Cozens, Quinn, JJ, Power, Rusto, trade Mitts for a goalie, get a solid defensive partner for Power, improve greatly again, maybe fringe wildcard team this year, don’t gut Rochester, don’t trade away all our assets, futures
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

May 11 @ 11:26 AM ET
Exactly, why way overpriced pay for him when we can wait until he wants to come here
- lulags


Idk?
I guess ppl are tired of the losing & wanna speed up the rebuild
That’s not necessarily me

If a reasonable trade fits our timeline, then OK
Just don’t think that’s Pk88
He turns 34 early next season
And he’d turn 35 early on in his next contract
I just don’t think he’s a great fit for us,
even IF he’d change his mind & wanna come here
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

May 11 @ 11:27 AM ET
Because like others have mentioned, you get a full year of showing him whats its like here, and he may take a hometown discount to resign after.

Or you wait a year and are bidding against 15 other teams.

- ImThatGuy


Wishful thinking dude
lulags
Buffalo Sabres
Location: St Louis
Joined: 02.24.2007

May 11 @ 11:27 AM ET
Because like others have mentioned, you get a full year of showing him whats its like here, and he may take a hometown discount to resign after.

Or you wait a year and are bidding against 15 other teams.

- ImThatGuy

Or we look elsewhere and save our assets and get a goalie and a top 4 D, 2 way center that can win faceoffs. Need all of those more than a rental Kane
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

May 11 @ 11:28 AM ET
If you add a 30 goal scorer you also have to take away whatever player he is replacing.

So its really like a 22ish goal differential.

something something vacuum

- DirtyDan

Youre 100-% right
Powerslave
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Arriving Somewhere But Not Here
Joined: 02.10.2011

May 11 @ 11:28 AM ET
I would do that in a second, but a lot of that is because I really have no use for Mittelstadt anymore. I think it would depend on what the rest of the league actually thinks of him at this point.
- buffalofan19



I think Mitts was one of their best players down the stretch.
lulags
Buffalo Sabres
Location: St Louis
Joined: 02.24.2007

May 11 @ 11:29 AM ET
Idk?
I guess ppl are tired of the losing & wanna speed up the rebuild
That’s not necessarily me

If a reasonable trade fits our timeline, then I’m
Just don’t think that’s Pk88
He turns 34 early next season
And he’d turn 35 early on in his next contract
I just don’t think he’s a great fit for us,
even IF he’d change his mind & wanna come here

- jdfitz77

I’m all for PK88 if the price is right. I’m not for giving a 16th and a real player for a 33 soon to be 34 year old
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

May 11 @ 11:29 AM ET
Thank you, that's awesome. -14 on EN differential compared to the best teams being even. The way I look it is once you're good you're going to have more EN situations for and fewer against.

The best teams are scoring 17-21 goals for compared to the Sabres 12.

So we're talking a 20 GA total differential that is essentially a "penalty" for being bad during the rest of the game.

- Hank Balling


Was a little slow on my edit.

"17 allowed, 12 scored. Expected a bigger difference."

The fact that the Wild scored 18 goals with their goalie pulled is nuts.
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

May 11 @ 11:29 AM ET
Or we look elsewhere and save our assets and get a goalie and a top 4 D, 2 way center that can win faceoffs. Need all of those more than a rental Kane
- lulags


👏👏👏

Good post
Boss34
Buffalo Sabres
Location: BUFFALO , NY
Joined: 12.03.2015

May 11 @ 11:30 AM ET
Pretending that it's as simple as 'the number 1 will always come before the number 2 and nothing will ever change' is not the approach you should be taking in your analysis. There's far too many dynamics to simply say, we get a better goalie and that's that.
- TheSabresTaco


Hockey player opinion vs. Engineering guy opinion


I'm going with DD on this one
gerbe75pts
Anaheim Ducks
Location: DRAFT COLE CAUFIELD AT 7!!!, CA
Joined: 09.03.2009

May 11 @ 11:31 AM ET
If the pick is not moved ostlund is on the radar


hehateme
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 04.11.2017

May 11 @ 11:31 AM ET
Idk?
I guess ppl are tired of the losing & wanna speed up the rebuild
That’s not necessarily me

If a reasonable trade fits our timeline, then OK
Just don’t think that’s Pk88
He turns 34 early next season
And he’d turn 35 early on in his next contract
I just don’t think he’s a great fit for us,
even IF he’d change his mind & wanna come here

- jdfitz77


How is the best American born player in the history of the NHL not a good fit? I get that he is on the down side of his career but he still lights the lamp and a lot. IMO we have a very young team, he can take over Okposo spot as being he Dad of the team and contribute way more then Okposo
Hank Balling
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 05.18.2021

May 11 @ 11:32 AM ET
Was a little slow on my edit.

"17 allowed, 12 scored. Expected a bigger difference."

You have to switch to 'playing against an empty net' to get both sides.

The fact that the Wild scored 18 goals with their goalie pulled is nuts.

- Lunaion


Yeah, I swapped it out as well. That's a great tool.

Dallas was 13 for and 10 against with the other team's goalie pulled. Turrible
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

May 11 @ 11:32 AM ET
I’m all for PK88 if the price is right. I’m not for giving a 16th and a real player for a 33 soon to be 34 year old
- lulags


In the dream “Buffalo fan scenario” that he wants to come home….

Ok, wait till he’s a UFA & wants to give us that “hometown discount”

Waiting 1 extra year to get Kane won’t kill us


And even then, only if it’s a short contract since it’ll start just before he turns 35
TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

May 11 @ 11:32 AM ET
This should be said with everything here then


My god you guys are full of yourselves

- DirtyDan


Not sure that's fair to say. If you're going to make a point on here, you're going to receive a counterpoint.
ImThatGuy
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I AM MY OWN DAMN SOURCE!, NY
Joined: 11.04.2010

May 11 @ 11:33 AM ET
He is a 4th line guy... If you add a 30 goal score that pushes down another player and another player taking away minute from other players.

Something something number 1 doesn't show number 2 how to do the doodadoo

- DirtyDan

Anders Bjork, Eatkids, Jankowski.

Adding Quinn and say Kane. 15 for Quinn and 30 for Kane. 45 goals for. subtract the 8 those guys above scored.
ImThatGuy
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I AM MY OWN DAMN SOURCE!, NY
Joined: 11.04.2010

May 11 @ 11:33 AM ET
Or we look elsewhere and save our assets and get a goalie and a top 4 D, 2 way center that can win faceoffs. Need all of those more than a rental Kane
- lulags

all though UFA?
lulags
Buffalo Sabres
Location: St Louis
Joined: 02.24.2007

May 11 @ 11:35 AM ET
all though UFA?
- ImThatGuy

UFA and trades that are needed now, as opposed to overpaying to lure PK88 to play in Buffalo when he does not want to, yet
ImThatGuy
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I AM MY OWN DAMN SOURCE!, NY
Joined: 11.04.2010

May 11 @ 11:36 AM ET
UFA and trades that are needed now, as opposed to overpaying to lure PK88 to play in Buffalo when he does not want to, yet
- lulags

Based on?
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

May 11 @ 11:37 AM ET
How is the best American born player in the history of the NHL not a good fit? I get that he is on the down side of his career but he still lights the lamp and a lot. IMO we have a very young team, he can take over Okposo spot as being he Dad of the team and contribute way more then Okposo
- hehateme


He’s only signed for 1 year
At a big cap hit
And is about to turn 34

And oh yeah…. Doesn’t wanna come here

I know u guys all think he does, just bc he was born here
But he cares more about going to a place he thinks he can win another Cup at
And there’s many better options than us
We just aren’t there yet

If we take a leap forward this season, then maybe,
MAYBE, he reconsiders & we make a run at him next offseason when he’s a UFA
Then we don’t give up the assets it would take to get him now
And he’d be much more likely to consider us as a destination if he actually sees us winning & in the playoffs
DirtyDan
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Why aren't more people interrigent? Rike Me? , ON
Joined: 02.03.2021

May 11 @ 11:38 AM ET
Anders Bjork, Eatkids, Jankowski.

Adding Quinn and say Kane. 15 for Quinn and 30 for Kane. 45 goals for. subtract the 8 those guys above scored.

- ImThatGuy


Quinn easily out scores Kane since Kane would be feeding him the puck
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

May 11 @ 11:38 AM ET
Based on?
- ImThatGuy


Info i got directly from his sister
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