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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Goalie Roulette: Is John Gibson available and worth the price?
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joel878
Joined: 06.13.2009

Jun 14 @ 11:41 AM ET
I see a lot of hand wringing over Gibson here..

You guys are looking at all wrong.. trust me on this..Looking at his #'s the past 3 seasons is meaningless.

He's had to carry a pretty crappy Ducks squad solo for 4 yrs.. that would crush anyone... winning games 2-1 or shutout facing 40+ shots ..literally a lot of nights. D men making boneheaded plays etc...

The Leafs score goals in bunches... his workload and having to be damn near perfect every time out would vanish... He'd be totally rejuvenated... There is very limited downside here for Leafs...

If we don't trade him you'll see a very different goalie with the Ducks getting much better this yr... growth from all the kids and the FA adds along with some trades and the hammer Mason McTavish coming on board... The best player not in the NHL right now...

- dozerD10


The problem is there's been a lot worse goalies who also play for bad teams who have been way better then Gibson who has become dependably bad.
Fakepartofme
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Living rent free... in your head, ON
Joined: 09.20.2010

Jun 14 @ 11:42 AM ET
I see a lot of hand wringing over Gibson here..

You guys are looking at all wrong.. trust me on this..Looking at his #'s the past 3 seasons is meaningless.

He's had to carry a pretty crappy Ducks squad solo for 4 yrs.. that would crush anyone... winning games 2-1 or shutout facing 40+ shots ..literally a lot of nights. D men making boneheaded plays etc...

The Leafs score goals in bunches... his workload and having to be damn near perfect every time out would vanish... He'd be totally rejuvenated... There is very limited downside here for Leafs...

If we don't trade him you'll see a very different goalie with the Ducks getting much better this yr... growth from all the kids and the FA adds along with some trades and the hammer Mason McTavish coming on board... The best player not in the NHL right now...

- dozerD10

The back up goalies seemed to have done better with the same anaheim team in front of them.
winsix
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Henry Hudson's Fairchild 24 South Porcupine
Joined: 04.03.2016

Jun 14 @ 11:42 AM ET
I see a lot of hand wringing over Gibson here..

You guys are looking at all wrong.. trust me on this..Looking at his #'s the past 3 seasons is meaningless.

He's had to carry a pretty crappy Ducks squad solo for 4 yrs.. that would crush anyone... winning games 2-1 or shutout facing 40+ shots ..literally a lot of nights. D men making boneheaded plays etc...

The Leafs score goals in bunches... his workload and having to be damn near perfect every time out would vanish... He'd be totally rejuvenated... There is very limited downside here for Leafs...

If we don't trade him you'll see a very different goalie with the Ducks getting much better this yr... growth from all the kids and the FA adds along with some trades and the hammer Mason McTavish coming on board... The best player not in the NHL right now...

- dozerD10


If the Ducks would retain (which I am not convinced they would) It might work out. Apart from the Campbell and Andersen trades, Leafs track record on goalie trades is not stellar.
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Jun 14 @ 11:43 AM ET
I see a lot of hand wringing over Gibson here..

You guys are looking at all wrong.. trust me on this..Looking at his #'s the past 3 seasons is meaningless.

He's had to carry a pretty crappy Ducks squad solo for 4 yrs.. that would crush anyone... winning games 2-1 or shutout facing 40+ shots ..literally a lot of nights. D men making boneheaded plays etc...


The Leafs score goals in bunches... his workload and having to be damn near perfect every time out would vanish... He'd be totally rejuvenated... There is very limited downside here for Leafs...

If we don't trade him you'll see a very different goalie with the Ducks getting much better this yr... growth from all the kids and the FA adds along with some trades and the hammer Mason McTavish coming on board... The best player not in the NHL right now...

- dozerD10


iv seen a lot of statsy analysis ..danger this, gsaa that.. expected vs saved
adjusted for bad team etc etc

they all looks pretty bad overall



PatC80
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: 1st rd exit is the new normal, ON
Joined: 08.11.2011

Jun 14 @ 11:47 AM ET
I see a lot of hand wringing over Gibson here..

You guys are looking at all wrong.. trust me on this..Looking at his #'s the past 3 seasons is meaningless.

He's had to carry a pretty crappy Ducks squad solo for 4 yrs.. that would crush anyone... winning games 2-1 or shutout facing 40+ shots ..literally a lot of nights. D men making boneheaded plays etc...

The Leafs score goals in bunches... his workload and having to be damn near perfect every time out would vanish... He'd be totally rejuvenated... There is very limited downside here for Leafs...

If we don't trade him you'll see a very different goalie with the Ducks getting much better this yr... growth from all the kids and the FA adds along with some trades and the hammer Mason McTavish coming on board... The best player not in the NHL right now...

- dozerD10

Maybe I'm wrong, but I think he's the best available goalie.. Any word on what teams are on that 10 team no trade list of his?

TurdFergeson
Vegas Golden Knights
Location: On the road again
Joined: 01.04.2021

Jun 14 @ 11:49 AM ET
My favourite thing about Griffin Reinhart is that he's one more thing I can rile up my Oiler-fan friend about. They gave up a 1st and a 2nd for him. Matt Barzal and Mitchell Stephens. Mitchell Stephens was picked 2 spots ahead of Carolina's Aho. Imagine if in one draft the Oilers had scooped McDavid, Barzal and Aho.

Ah. Peter Chiarelli. The michelin chef of f'n over his own team. He's so awful you'd think Mike Milbury planted him so we could forget about him.

- Monkeypunk


Bob Green also played a big role in that trade. I’m not sure how he is still the oilers head of scouting. That team needs to purge everyone from the poho to the stick boys.
PatC80
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: 1st rd exit is the new normal, ON
Joined: 08.11.2011

Jun 14 @ 11:49 AM ET
The back up goalies seemed to have done better with the same anaheim team in front of them.
- Fakepartofme


Meh, Kallgren played better than Campbell did in the Game 5 loss to Tampa Bay.
Aaron_85
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 04.22.2014

Jun 14 @ 11:51 AM ET
Maybe I'm wrong, but I think he's the best available goalie.. Any word on what teams are on that 10 team no trade list of his?
- PatC80


He's the biggest name. I wouldn't say he's the best. Like the rest of the goalie market, there's at least one question mark on him and then there's the addition of paying assets to get him and a large portion of the cap.

Cap is less meaningful as I do think if the Ducks retained 25% that would give a 4.8 million cap hit, get a back up for 1 million or less and you're in the same goalie cap amount as last year with Mrazek and Campbell. I think a pair of goalies for 6 million or less would be fine for the leafs.
PatC80
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: 1st rd exit is the new normal, ON
Joined: 08.11.2011

Jun 14 @ 11:53 AM ET
He's the biggest name. I wouldn't say he's the best. Like the rest of the goalie market, there's at least one question mark on him and then there's the addition of paying assets to get him and a large portion of the cap.

Cap is less meaningful as I do think if the Ducks retained 25% that would give a 4.8 million cap hit, get a back up for 1 million or less and you're in the same goalie cap amount as last year with Mrazek and Campbell. I think a pair of goalies for 6 million or less would be fine for the leafs.

- Aaron_85


If Anaheim retains, and the Leafs are a team he is willing to be traded to, than it's a win/win..

MAF would be a decent secondary option, but he'll be 38 in November, can he handle the workload?
TurdFergeson
Vegas Golden Knights
Location: On the road again
Joined: 01.04.2021

Jun 14 @ 11:57 AM ET
If Anaheim retains, and the Leafs are a team he is willing to be traded to, than it's a win/win..

MAF would be a decent secondary option, but he'll be 38 in November, can he handle the workload?

- PatC80

Anaheim will easily find takers for Gibson with no retention.
Fakepartofme
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Living rent free... in your head, ON
Joined: 09.20.2010

Jun 14 @ 11:58 AM ET
Meh, Kallgren played better than Campbell did in the Game 5 loss to Tampa Bay.
- PatC80

Ok sure.
Comparing 1 half game to over 25 games seems legit.
Aaron_85
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 04.22.2014

Jun 14 @ 12:03 PM ET
If Anaheim retains, and the Leafs are a team he is willing to be traded to, than it's a win/win..

MAF would be a decent secondary option, but he'll be 38 in November, can he handle the workload?

- PatC80


MAF would be part of a tandem I would think but he didn't want to be traded here so I don't think he's an option for FA.
Canada Cup
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Macrodata Refinement , ON
Joined: 07.06.2007

Jun 14 @ 12:04 PM ET
Murray as the #1 guy here?


- PatC80


No, as one guy competing for a spot who could be moved to Marlies or traded with no cap impact. Bring in 2 or 3 guys - throwing out names, say Murray, Comrie and Holtby as a veteran presence - and hope you catch lightning in a bottle.

If there’s no one guy who stands out that you’re willing to pay for, bring in a few and let them compete for the net.
Aaron_85
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 04.22.2014

Jun 14 @ 12:09 PM ET
Anaheim will easily find takers for Gibson with no retention.
- TurdFergeson


Disagree. There's very few teams in need of a goalie with cap space.
winsix
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Henry Hudson's Fairchild 24 South Porcupine
Joined: 04.03.2016

Jun 14 @ 12:12 PM ET
Try to follow along or even better, don’t even bother
- Canada Cup

dozerD10
Anaheim Ducks
Location: long beach, CA
Joined: 01.29.2014

Jun 14 @ 12:16 PM ET
The back up goalies seemed to have done better with the same anaheim team in front of them.
- Fakepartofme


True... playing was less games... and not having had the burden of being the primary goalie for said # of yrs. ... that matters.

In a new environment with goals coming consistently you'd see a much better and rested goalie...
dozerD10
Anaheim Ducks
Location: long beach, CA
Joined: 01.29.2014

Jun 14 @ 12:18 PM ET
Maybe I'm wrong, but I think he's the best available goalie.. Any word on what teams are on that 10 team no trade list of his?
- PatC80


I don't and I wish I did.. from what I've heard most are in the West... being from the Burg.. I don't think he'd have a problem going East.
Canada Cup
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Macrodata Refinement , ON
Joined: 07.06.2007

Jun 14 @ 12:21 PM ET
No, as one guy competing for a spot who could be moved to Marlies or traded with no cap impact. Bring in 2 or 3 guys - throwing out names, say Murray, Comrie and Holtby as a veteran presence - and hope you catch lightning in a bottle.

If there’s no one guy who stands out that you’re willing to pay for, bring in a few and let them compete for the net.

- Canada Cup


The Athletic points out that Murray’s salary is backloaded so that the Sens would have to pay out $10M in real money to buy him out. They’d be much better off trading him. The best the Leafs could do would be to trade them Mrazek (who they could buy out more cheaply) and get Murray at 50%.

Essentially, you’re getting Murray for Mrazek at the same money.

Pass
winsix
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Henry Hudson's Fairchild 24 South Porcupine
Joined: 04.03.2016

Jun 14 @ 12:31 PM ET
The Athletic points out that Murray’s salary is backloaded so that the Sens would have to pay out $10M in real money to buy him out. They’d be much better off trading him. The best the Leafs could do would be to trade them Mrazek (who they could buy out more cheaply) and get Murray at 50%.

Essentially, you’re getting Murray for Mrazek at the same money.

Pass

- Canada Cup



Agree Murray should not be a consideration. Wonder if the Jets are interested in moving Hellebuyck
Adam French
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: Isn't Cooley 5"11? You know who else is 5"11? Sydney Crosby. - Scabeh
Joined: 04.06.2011

Jun 14 @ 12:38 PM ET
I don't think he's that desperate yet.

Allen would really help the Oilers for sure.

But we are talking about the madman who tried to win a Stanley Cup with Mike Smith.

- Scabeh

If Keith retires, the Oilers get 9mil in capspace or some poop.
TurdFergeson
Vegas Golden Knights
Location: On the road again
Joined: 01.04.2021

Jun 14 @ 12:43 PM ET
If Keith retires, the Oilers get 9mil in capspace or some poop.
- AdamFrench


I think it is 3.4 mil. But it’s very unlikely. He has said he wants to keep playing into his 40s. I am almost certain he will play and then sign a cheap vet deal ala Chara.
Scabeh
Montreal Canadiens
Location: The Slovakian Jagr, QC
Joined: 02.25.2007

Jun 14 @ 12:46 PM ET
If Keith retires, the Oilers get 9mil in capspace or some poop.
- AdamFrench


Aren't the Hawks also getting a bad cap recapture thing if he retires?
winsix
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Henry Hudson's Fairchild 24 South Porcupine
Joined: 04.03.2016

Jun 14 @ 12:53 PM ET
I think it is 3.4 mil. But it’s very unlikely. He has said he wants to keep playing into his 40s. I am almost certain he will play and then sign a cheap vet deal ala Chara.
- TurdFergeson


Correct and Agree he probably won't retire even though he's owed only $1.5M in salary this season. If he does retire, Chicago gets hit with a $7.5M salary re-capture.

If Duncan Keith retired this summer, his $5.5M cap hit would be removed for #LetsgoOilers and they would get a $3.4M recapture cap credit (negative cap hit).
#Blackhawks would have $7.5M of recapture cap hit, allocated as $5.5M in 22-23 & $2M in 23-24


Puckpedia
Scabeh
Montreal Canadiens
Location: The Slovakian Jagr, QC
Joined: 02.25.2007

Jun 14 @ 12:55 PM ET
Correct and Agree he probably won't retire even though he's owed only $1.5M in salary this season. If he does retire, Chicago gets hit with a $7.5M salary re-capture.



Puckpedia

- winsix


Ouch.

Guessing the Blackhawks hopes he learned enough from Hossa not to pull this off.
Fakepartofme
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Living rent free... in your head, ON
Joined: 09.20.2010

Jun 14 @ 1:03 PM ET
If Keith retires, the Oilers get 9mil in capspace or some poop.
- AdamFrench

Nice.
Push him for retirement and go get a legit goalie.
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