Wanna blog? Start your own hockey blog with My HockeyBuzz. Register for free today!
 
Forums :: Blog World :: Hank Balling: Buy Low on Luukkonen
Author Message
Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Aug 9 @ 8:06 PM ET
Michael houser doesn’t approve this message. His nhl record and save percentage are actually the top for Sabres goalies the last two seasons. But it’s only 6 games. And he got lit up in one of them.
- IndianaSabresFan

Be something to actually see the team that finished the year and see how he could do with them.
Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Aug 9 @ 8:09 PM ET
Funny thing arguing over goaltending that probably wouldn't even be here if the Sabres were not in full development mode.
IndianaSabresFan
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Matt FRICKIN ELLIS, IN
Joined: 01.17.2007

Aug 9 @ 8:11 PM ET
Funny thing arguing over goaltending that probably wouldn't even be here if the Sabres were not in full development mode.
- Buff36

I’m curious to see how Comrie handles the reins. I have high hopes. But I can’t say I have ever watched a game I knew he was playing in.
Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Aug 9 @ 8:19 PM ET
I’m curious to see how Comrie handles the reins. I have high hopes. But I can’t say I have ever watched a game I knew he was playing in.
- IndianaSabresFan

I do to, but still a lot to ask of him to go from 19gms to hopefully starting 35-40gms for you and hopefully keep those same numbers from last year or atleast in the ballpark.
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Aug 9 @ 8:22 PM ET
I’m curious to see how Comrie handles the reins. I have high hopes. But I can’t say I have ever watched a game I knew he was playing in.
- IndianaSabresFan


He's interesting. 19 games last year got him this deal. He didn't play much hockey the previous 2 seasons. Could easily go either way. No clue what they'll get out of the goalies this year. Lot of risk.
IndianaSabresFan
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Matt FRICKIN ELLIS, IN
Joined: 01.17.2007

Aug 9 @ 8:35 PM ET
He's interesting. 19 games last year got him this deal. He didn't play much hockey the previous 2 seasons. Could easily go either way. No clue what they'll get out of the goalies this year. Lot of risk.
- Lunaion

Hank Balling
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 05.18.2021

Aug 9 @ 8:52 PM ET
I do to, but still a lot to ask of him to go from 19gms to hopefully starting 35-40gms for you and hopefully keep those same numbers from last year or atleast in the ballpark.
- Buff36


If they can get 45 games from Comrie at a .910 save percentage, they'll be in decent shape to make a jump to 80-85 points as a team. Anderson can put up a .900 in 20ish contests and UPL will get mop up duty.

If Comrie can't competently play more than half their games, I could see the whole thing falling apart due to Anderson's age and UPL's injury history
IndianaSabresFan
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Matt FRICKIN ELLIS, IN
Joined: 01.17.2007

Aug 9 @ 8:58 PM ET
If they can get 45 games from Comrie at a .910 save percentage, they'll be in decent shape to make a jump to 80-85 points as a team. Anderson can put up a .900 in 20ish contests and UPL will get mop up duty.

If Comrie can't competently play more than half their games, I could see the whole thing falling apart due to Anderson's age and UPL's injury history

- Hank Balling

I agree with your take. Toks, subban and houser aren’t getting us .910.
Hank Balling
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 05.18.2021

Aug 9 @ 9:00 PM ET
Upl might feel like he's being treated poorly, not sure if I feel like the Sabres are treating him poorly though.

Guy can't stay healthy.

Anderson regardless of age, earned his contract.

That's his #1 spot, and comrie's signing shouldn't scare a top prospect .

I think we can agree on the non 4 year deal though 🤝

- Boss34


The best thing about Anderson is that he's a gamer, even at Methuselah's age. Yeah the save percentage wasn't good last year but he kept his guys in games and very rarely was he the reason for a loss. His winning percentage last year speaks to that
Hank Balling
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 05.18.2021

Aug 9 @ 9:06 PM ET
I agree with your take. Toks, subban and houser aren’t getting us .910.
- IndianaSabresFan


Not over half a season. The fun thing about Comrie is that he's a total unknown. It's like when Tyrod beat out EJ and Matt Cassel for the starting job years ago. At least we didnt know for sure that TT was as bad as EJ and Cassel so there was a reason to at least hope things could be better.

It would have been a brutal offseason if they had brought in Thomas Greiss instead of Comrie
IndianaSabresFan
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Matt FRICKIN ELLIS, IN
Joined: 01.17.2007

Aug 9 @ 9:09 PM ET
The best thing about Anderson is that he's a gamer, even at Methuselah's age. Yeah the save percentage wasn't good last year but he kept his guys in games and very rarely was he the reason for a loss. His winning percentage last year speaks to that
- Hank Balling

Sometimes a better goalie actually can hurt his own stats. The team feels more comfortable taking chances knowing their goalie has their backs. This leads to higher quality chances and worse stats. I don’t look into fancy stats, how does Craig look in those?
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Aug 9 @ 9:09 PM ET
If they can get 45 games from Comrie at a .910 save percentage, they'll be in decent shape to make a jump to 80-85 points as a team. Anderson can put up a .900 in 20ish contests and UPL will get mop up duty.

If Comrie can't competently play more than half their games, I could see the whole thing falling apart due to Anderson's age and UPL's injury history

- Hank Balling


For all the UPL injury talk, he played 44 games last season. Anderson only played 31, Comrie 19, and Subban 9. Scary to write that.

Fun Comrie fact: he's been claimed off waivers 4 times.
IndianaSabresFan
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Matt FRICKIN ELLIS, IN
Joined: 01.17.2007

Aug 9 @ 9:14 PM ET
For all the UPL injury talk, he played 44 games last season. Anderson only played 31, Comrie 19, and Subban 9. Scary to write that.

Fun Comrie fact: he's been claimed off waivers 4 times.

- Lunaion

Was comrie injured last season? Or was it the jets leaning on hellubuck (or however you spell it)?

But yes the others all have injury issues too.
Hank Balling
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 05.18.2021

Aug 9 @ 9:16 PM ET
Sometimes a better goalie actually can hurt his own stats. The team feels more comfortable taking chances knowing their goalie has their backs. This leads to higher quality chances and worse stats. I don’t look into fancy stats, how does Craig look in those?
- IndianaSabresFan


His goals above replacement was pretty much neutral, meaning he stopped the majority of shots he was expected to. Wins above replacement was similar. He's essentially the Mendoza line replacement-level goalie.
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Aug 9 @ 9:19 PM ET
Sometimes a better goalie actually can hurt his own stats. The team feels more comfortable taking chances knowing their goalie has their backs. This leads to higher quality chances and worse stats. I don’t look into fancy stats, how does Craig look in those?
- IndianaSabresFan


His High Danger SV% was .806. Tokarski was .805 and they both faced a similar amount per game.
Boss34
Buffalo Sabres
Location: BUFFALO , NY
Joined: 12.03.2015

Aug 9 @ 9:22 PM ET
He's the perfect guy to cheekily hand UPL 20+ games at the NHL level this season (due to inevitable injury) while playing a respectable brand of hockey in his own starts (probably around 20 games for Andy).

It works out well for the Sabres to find out what UPL can do

- Hank Balling


I agree Baller.

Keep the good vibes going with the respected veteran leading the way.

41 years old = upl opportunity

I actually talked myself into liking the goalie rotation. Don't tell lunaion 😉
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Aug 9 @ 9:25 PM ET
His goals above replacement was pretty much neutral, meaning he stopped the majority of shots he was expected to. Wins above replacement was similar. He's essentially the Mendoza line replacement-level goalie.
- Hank Balling


Anderson's goals saved above expected was negative ten.

A positive number is good, and to be in the top ten, you had to have a goals saved above expected of at least plus 10.

Anderson's GAR was -3, good for roughly 60th in the league.
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Aug 9 @ 9:25 PM ET
His goals above replacement was pretty much neutral, meaning he stopped the majority of shots he was expected to. Wins above replacement was similar. He's essentially the Mendoza line replacement-level goalie.
- Hank Balling


Replacement value is well below average. His GSAA was -9.1. Tokarski was -7.3. Both below average.
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Aug 9 @ 9:27 PM ET
I agree Baller.

Keep the good vibes going with the respected veteran leading the way.

41 years old = upl opportunity

I actually talked myself into liking the goalie rotation. Don't tell lunaion 😉

- Boss34


I'm rooting for Comrie. Nervous about him though.
Boss34
Buffalo Sabres
Location: BUFFALO , NY
Joined: 12.03.2015

Aug 9 @ 9:29 PM ET
His High Danger SV% was .806. Tokarski was .805 and they both faced a similar amount per game.
- Lunaion


I thought you were ready to move on from tokarski?

But here we are again 👀
Hank Balling
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 05.18.2021

Aug 9 @ 9:29 PM ET
Anderson's goals saved above expected was negative ten.

A positive number is good, and to be in the top ten, you had to have a goals saved above expected of at least plus 10.

- kingcong39


It definitely was not negative 10 the last time I looked on evolving hockey. It may have changed but it was like -.6 or -.9 last I looked in April
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Aug 9 @ 9:30 PM ET
I thought you were ready to move on from tokarski?

But here we are again 👀

- Boss34


How do you look at last year and not compare the two?
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Aug 9 @ 9:33 PM ET
It definitely was not negative 10 the last time I looked on evolving hockey. It may have changed but it was like -.6 or -.9 last I looked in April
- Hank Balling


Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Aug 9 @ 9:35 PM ET
Well Adams better hope his goaltending squad can atleast keep it above water, cause if they can't it could really hurt all the development they hope for this year.
Hank Balling
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 05.18.2021

Aug 9 @ 9:46 PM ET

- kingcong39


I thought we were talking about GAR/WAR, although my evolving hockey membership is messed up so I can't post those numbers.

Point taken, the numbers aren't going to look great on Andy
Page: Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31  Next