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Forums :: Blog World :: Jan Levine: NYR face DET, Kravtsov/Leschyshyn scratched for cap creation purposes
Author Message
Slimtj100
New York Rangers
Location: Panarins NYC apt
Joined: 03.04.2013

Feb 24 @ 9:13 AM ET
Eh, not like those points could be valuable in the standings.
- tomburton99

Everyone should be fired. Water boys. Hotdog cookers. Beer pourers. Dump them all
JRR1285
New York Rangers
Location: Coach's decision, PEI
Joined: 02.21.2008

Feb 24 @ 9:16 AM ET
The stats are skewed by volume, primarily from the 2nd period, and not quality. As someone that values the nerd stats they tend to overvalue the cumulative value of high volume low quality chances.
- Feds91Stammer



Yeah, I get it. I'm sure more games are won by shot volume over shot quality but it shows that the current model simply won't always lineup with observing the actual game. In fact with regards to the Rangers, it often does not.
JRR1285
New York Rangers
Location: Coach's decision, PEI
Joined: 02.21.2008

Feb 24 @ 9:17 AM ET
Everyone should be fired. Water boys. Hotdog cookers. Beer pourers. Dump them all
- Slimtj100



You gonna have a semi for a whole week waiting for the trade to break?
Cptmjl
New York Islanders
Joined: 11.05.2011

Feb 24 @ 9:19 AM ET
For the haters, the believers and all those wh0 have doubted me. It's that time of the day folks!





- tomburton99

“Deserve to Win O’Meter”

Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 24 @ 9:20 AM ET
Yeah, I get it. I'm sure more games are won by shot volume over shot quality but it shows that the current model simply won't always lineup with observing the actual game. In fact with regards to the Rangers, it often does not.
- JRR1285

Yeah there are still too many unfactored variables to reliably just go off of shot location data. I think most of us can give a pretty accurate eye test determination on deserving to win.
Tonybere
New York Rangers
Location: ON
Joined: 02.04.2016

Feb 24 @ 9:25 AM ET
Yeah there are still too many unfactored variables to reliably just go off of shot location data. I think most of us can give a pretty accurate eye test determination on deserving to win.
- Feds91Stammer


Yeah, pretty much every time Tom posts those charts they all line up reasonably well with what I saw. Except that Deserve to Win crap-o-meter. It's usually flipped exactly opposite.
Last night may have been a harder one to read, though. Detroit blocked so many shots AND passes that NY looked worse than they probably were.
Essentially never having the same line mates probably hampered our guys a little, too. They're pro's, but I know that playing rec hockey that way it never feels as good as set lines.
TPC
New York Rangers
Location: Bucks County, PA
Joined: 01.18.2008

Feb 24 @ 9:27 AM ET
“Deserve to Win O’Meter”


- Cptmjl

Wish in college they had a “deserved to get laid O’Meter”
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 24 @ 9:28 AM ET
Wish in college they had a “deserved to get laid O’Meter”
- TPC

That would heavily rely on shots per 60
TPC
New York Rangers
Location: Bucks County, PA
Joined: 01.18.2008

Feb 24 @ 9:28 AM ET
That would heavily rely on shots per 60
- Feds91Stammer

Lol
Slimtj100
New York Rangers
Location: Panarins NYC apt
Joined: 03.04.2013

Feb 24 @ 9:30 AM ET
You gonna have a semi for a whole week waiting for the trade to break?
- JRR1285

I’ve waited this long. I can do another few days. But I think it’s gets announced today 🤞
JRR1285
New York Rangers
Location: Coach's decision, PEI
Joined: 02.21.2008

Feb 24 @ 9:31 AM ET
Wish in college they had a “deserved to get laid O’Meter”
- TPC



xPPW% (Expected penetrations per week)
Slimtj100
New York Rangers
Location: Panarins NYC apt
Joined: 03.04.2013

Feb 24 @ 9:33 AM ET
xPPW% (Expected penetrations per week)
- JRR1285

I’m usually around 4
JRR1285
New York Rangers
Location: Coach's decision, PEI
Joined: 02.21.2008

Feb 24 @ 9:33 AM ET
I’m usually around 4
- Slimtj100



Your hand doesn't count.
TPC
New York Rangers
Location: Bucks County, PA
Joined: 01.18.2008

Feb 24 @ 9:35 AM ET
I’ve waited this long. I can do another few days. But I think it’s gets announced today 🤞
- Slimtj100

I think for cap reasons the earliest this can get done is Sunday I was reading
TPC
New York Rangers
Location: Bucks County, PA
Joined: 01.18.2008

Feb 24 @ 9:37 AM ET
xPPW% (Expected penetrations per week)
- JRR1285

My charts would have sucked
Slimtj100
New York Rangers
Location: Panarins NYC apt
Joined: 03.04.2013

Feb 24 @ 9:39 AM ET
I think for cap reasons the earliest this can get done is Sunday I was reading
- TPC

Who knows. It’s so complicated with this stuff. The masses may have to cope with a weird lineup for a couple more games. Like Leschysyn brought anything but agita anyway
eichiefs9
New York Islanders
Location: NY
Joined: 11.03.2008

Feb 24 @ 9:41 AM ET
That would heavily rely on shots per 60
- Feds91Stammer

xFZ% is a big indicator

Which is, of course, "Expected Friend Zone percentage"
eichiefs9
New York Islanders
Location: NY
Joined: 11.03.2008

Feb 24 @ 9:42 AM ET
xPPW% (Expected penetrations per week)
- JRR1285

Ah, gay. You beat me to the expected stats.
eichiefs9
New York Islanders
Location: NY
Joined: 11.03.2008

Feb 24 @ 9:42 AM ET
xPPW% (Expected penetrations per week)
- JRR1285

And my second double-post of the morning. Shaping up to be a stellar day.

Instead of attempting deletion, you get this:

Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 24 @ 9:43 AM ET
xFZ% is a big indicator

Which is, of course, "Expected Friend Zone percentage"

- eichiefs9

Really comes down to a willingness to get into the dirty areas and grind away.

Has a major impact on xGF%
eichiefs9
New York Islanders
Location: NY
Joined: 11.03.2008

Feb 24 @ 9:44 AM ET
Really comes down to a willingness to get into the dirty areas and grind away.

Has a major impact on xGF%

- Feds91Stammer

xAE/60

I'll let you figure that one out for yourself
Slimtj100
New York Rangers
Location: Panarins NYC apt
Joined: 03.04.2013

Feb 24 @ 9:47 AM ET
xAE/60

I'll let you figure that one out for yourself

- eichiefs9

xATM/365
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 24 @ 9:47 AM ET
xAE/60

I'll let you figure that one out for yourself

- eichiefs9

That's how you get pink eye
JRR1285
New York Rangers
Location: Coach's decision, PEI
Joined: 02.21.2008

Feb 24 @ 9:49 AM ET
And my second double-post of the morning. Shaping up to be a stellar day.

Instead of attempting deletion, you get this:


- eichiefs9


Isn't attempting to delete a post fun?
nyrangers9479
New York Rangers
Joined: 11.08.2013

Feb 24 @ 9:50 AM ET
Everyone should be fired. Water boys. Hotdog cookers. Beer pourers. Dump them all
- Slimtj100

No, that should be done after we get Kane
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