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Forums :: Blog World :: Brad Lohr: 13 is the Magic Number..
Author Message
Michael Ghofrani
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 01.14.2020

Jun 17 @ 5:27 PM ET
On the bold, I can only pay for and expend time into so many analytics sites, especially when my day job is data science, and I'm currently helping build an entirely new, multi functionality database 😂😆
- kingcong39


lmao yeah fair enough, i wouldnt want too much of that both in and out of my day job either.
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jun 17 @ 5:29 PM ET
lmao yeah fair enough, i wouldnt want too much of that both in and out of my day job either.
- Michael Ghofrani


It's bad enough having to do analysis and design for 10 to 12 hours a day for work.

It is often the last thing I want to do 'off hours'.
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Jun 17 @ 5:30 PM ET
He's already had 4 qualifying seasons, so 3 more would walk him to UFA status.

Has he played anything more than bottom pair minutes so far?

- kingcong39


Those Covid seasons are so hard to figure out. He looks borderline on both of them. I wouldn't even want to guess on them.
Michael Ghofrani
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 01.14.2020

Jun 17 @ 5:33 PM ET
It's bad enough having to do analysis and design for 10 to 12 hours a day for work.

It is often the last thing I want to do 'off hours'.

- kingcong39


yeah its just too much at once. Someone will ask me to look into like historical draft patterns and im like "I barely want to do this for the people that pay me, im gunna do it for you? "
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jun 17 @ 5:42 PM ET
Those Covid seasons are so hard to figure out. He looks borderline on both of them. I wouldn't even want to guess on them.
- Lunaion


I know they prorated both the 19-20 and 20-21 seasons.

It's normally 40 games in a full 82 game season to qualify, which is just under half, but it's not games played. It is games on an active roster, which makes it more difficult to find out.

I don't think there's a question on the 20-21 season as the league only played 56 games, and he played in 30.

The 19-20 season is the question, but using the normal rule, he played in 31 of the teams 70 games.

He would need to be on the active roster for 3 or 4 more.

I'd be surprised if he wasn't, but who knows, and is the league really keeping close track of that?
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jun 17 @ 5:50 PM ET
Goaltending RFA options.

Swayman is the MOTO choice, but feels like you'd have to venture to the next tier to get Boston to maybe think twice, and that would cost a 3rd and a 1st.

kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jun 17 @ 5:51 PM ET
yeah its just too much at once. Someone will ask me to look into like historical draft patterns and im like "I barely want to do this for the people that pay me, im gunna do it for you? "
- Michael Ghofrani


My general motto:

Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Jun 17 @ 5:55 PM ET
Some good Convo going. Definitely some decent RFA's to think about Offer sheeting. To bad it hardly happens. Adams would put a Bullseye on his back!!
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Jun 17 @ 5:56 PM ET
I know they prorated both the 19-20 and 20-21 seasons.

It's normally 40 games in a full 82 game season to qualify, which is just under half, but it's not games played. It is games on an active roster, which makes it more difficult to find out.

I don't think there's a question on the 20-21 season as the league only played 56 games, and he played in 30.

The 19-20 season is the question, but using the normal rule, he played in 31 of the teams 70 games.

He would need to be on the active roster for 3 or 4 more.

I'd be surprised if he wasn't, but who knows, and is the league really keeping close track of that?

- kingcong39


That's the catch. He bounced around on the taxi squad, which makes it even tougher to figure out.

I assume they prorated, but still not 100% on that and have never seen exactly how. Do wish CF would tell us which years count, if they know. Still have questions on several Sabres.
Michael Ghofrani
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 01.14.2020

Jun 17 @ 5:58 PM ET
That's the catch. He bounced around on the taxi squad, which makes it even tougher to figure out.

I assume they prorated, but still not 100% on that and have never seen exactly how. Do wish CF would tell us which years count, if they know. Still have questions on several Sabres.

- Lunaion


Is the calculation for years accrued to arbitration eligibility the same as it is for years to UFA?

Because CF does tell you that.
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jun 17 @ 5:59 PM ET
That's the catch. He bounced around on the taxi squad, which makes it even tougher to figure out.

I assume they prorated, but still not 100% on that and have never seen exactly how. Do wish CF would tell us which years count, if they know. Still have questions on several Sabres.

- Lunaion


There was news that they prorated, but little detail was given aside from the logic followed the normal full season rule, which would be 34 games in 19-20 and 27 games in 20-21.
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jun 17 @ 6:00 PM ET
Is the calculation for years accrued to arbitration eligibility the same as it is for years to UFA?

Because CF does tell you that.

- Michael Ghofrani


No, it is different:

Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Jun 17 @ 6:01 PM ET
Is the calculation for years accrued to arbitration eligibility the same as it is for years to UFA?

Because CF does tell you that.

- Michael Ghofrani


Why would things ever be that simple?

It's a different calc, arb eligible years are very low bar and just pro years.
Michael Ghofrani
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 01.14.2020

Jun 17 @ 6:02 PM ET
No, it is different:

https://www.capfriendly.com/arbitration/2024

- kingcong39



ahh well thats a wrinkle
Michael Ghofrani
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 01.14.2020

Jun 17 @ 6:02 PM ET
Why would things ever be that simple?

It's a different calc, arb eligible years are very low bar and just pro years.

- Lunaion


Yeah good point. Although, still a far cry from the davinci code that is the NBA salary cap
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jun 17 @ 6:04 PM ET
ahh well thats a wrinkle
- Michael Ghofrani


The link I shared sucked.

Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Jun 17 @ 6:05 PM ET
There was news that they prorated, but little detail was given aside from the logic followed the normal full season rule, which would be 34 games in 19-20 and 27 games in 20-21.
- kingcong39


I remember hearing that, but when I look, I can't find anything. The fact that CF doesn't mention it anywhere (that I've seen) makes me a little suspicious.

Teams didn't play equal games, odd games mean some kind of rounding, players got traded, there was a play in round that maybe counts. Some of the guys we've talked about come down to that margin.
Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Jun 17 @ 6:08 PM ET
https://nhlrumors.com/nhl...his-offseason/2023/06/17/
A few there that could fit
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jun 17 @ 6:09 PM ET
I remember hearing that, but when I look, I can't find anything. The fact that CF doesn't mention it anywhere (that I've seen) makes me a little suspicious.

Teams didn't play equal games, odd games mean some kind of rounding, players got traded, there was a play in round that maybe counts. Some of the guys we've talked about come down to that margin.

- Lunaion


You're talking 19-20 only there.

20-21 isn't a question in my mind.
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Jun 17 @ 6:12 PM ET
You're talking 19-20 only there.

20-21 isn't a question in my mind.

- kingcong39


Just talking generally. I'm sure there's someone on the bubble in 20/21. 19/20 is extra difficult.
Michael Ghofrani
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 01.14.2020

Jun 17 @ 6:14 PM ET
Just talking generally. I'm sure there's someone on the bubble in 20/21. 19/20 is extra difficult.
- Lunaion


which sabres are you on the fence about, eligibility wise?
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Jun 17 @ 6:17 PM ET
which sabres are you on the fence about, eligibility wise?
- Michael Ghofrani


Mitts.

95% sure Joker's 1st year didn't count, but that 5% bothers me.
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jun 17 @ 6:22 PM ET
Mitts.

95% sure Joker's 1st year didn't count, but that 5% bothers me.

- Lunaion


I think Jokiharju's first season (38 games played, only need 2 more on the active roster to count) and Casey's 19-20 COVID season both count.
Michael Ghofrani
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 01.14.2020

Jun 17 @ 6:25 PM ET
Mitts.

95% sure Joker's 1st year didn't count, but that 5% bothers me.

- Lunaion


If it's the covid season for mitts im fairly certain that one counts.

kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Jun 17 @ 6:28 PM ET
If it's the covid season for mitts im fairly certain that one counts.
- Michael Ghofrani


It is. He played in 31 games, like Brannstrom did, that season.
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