That was last year?
- DirtyDan

yeah

model takes players at face value, so teams that roll a lot of young players without an established (veteran) goalie is going to get poop on.

As you can see from above, this is what happened last year. And it's happening this year. And once again, the Sabres will take a poop on this model.

Similar to next seasons point projection for the Sabres:

https://twitter.com/JFres.../1681692527026483200?s=20

Follow up tweet:

https://twitter.com/JFres.../1681697535847460865?s=20

BUF: not a fan of greenway and krebs, HATES their PK, they also do not have a goalie that doesn't project at roughly replacement level
TB: age curve hittin, projects very poor depth
LA: it never really likes LA but goalies main reason
VAN: carried by special teams
- washedup20

top 5 gm

That whole article is from last year.

And boy they got it wrong.
- DirtyDan

It ranks up there with people bringing fantasy football magazines to their drafts

Calgary Flames were ranked 2nd, Vegas was 15th and NJ was 19th.

again throwing 6k out there


there was 3 stinky goalies for us, not 1
- homiedclown

2 - UPL and Comrie

yeah

model takes players at face value, so teams that roll a lot of young players without an established (veteran) goalie is going to get poop on.

As you can see from above, this is what happened last year. And it's happening this year. And once again, the Sabres will take a poop on this model.
- TheSabresTaco

There are enough questions around the Sabres, especially how the goaltending will perform and hold up, that I could see them ending up the season with three less wins then the 22-23 season, which would mean 85 points.

It's not an outlandish prediction.

2 - UPL and Comrie
- Hank Balling

anderson in his 8 starts in feb and march during the playoff push

2-6


3.82 gaa
.88 save percentage

3 stinky goalies

There are enough questions around the Sabres, especially how the goaltending will perform and hold up, that I could see them ending up the season with three less wins then the 22-23 season, which would mean 85 points.

It's not an outlandish prediction.
- kingcong39

It's not a prediction, it's a model. I can also predict they have 5 more wins than this. Maybe 8.

Also not outlandish.

There are enough questions around the Sabres, especially how the goaltending will perform and hold up, that I could see them ending up the season with three less wins then the 22-23 season, which would mean 85 points.

It's not an outlandish prediction.
- kingcong39

Especially if some regress shooting % wise. Hoping some of the youngins pick up that slack a bit. Quinn's injury hurts. Athletic had a article on this awhile back.

There are enough questions around the Sabres, especially how the goaltending will perform and hold up, that I could see them ending up the season with three less wins then the 22-23 season, which would mean 85 points.

It's not an outlandish prediction.
- kingcong39

team had 63 pp goals last season

that could also take a dip this season

team had 63 pp goals last season

that could also take a dip this season
- homiedclown

Especially without all-star pp player Vic Goalofsson

Especially if some regress shooting % wise. Hoping some of the youngins pick up that slack a bit. Quinn's injury hurts. Athletic had a article on this awhile back.
- Buff36

I can fix that.

I can fix that.



- DirtyDan

He would help

Especially without all-star pp player Vic Goalofsson
- DirtyDan

nah

adams is gonna extend him

I can fix that.



- DirtyDan

spector said Teravainen may be on the trade block

Will gladly eat a large slice of crow pie
- Hank Balling

Don't worry, won't be a lot to share, only so many crows and lots of slices to dole out.

anderson in his 8 starts in feb and march during the playoff push

2-6


3.82 gaa
.88 save percentage

3 stinky goalies
- homiedclown

So his worst stretch was comparable to Luukkonen’s whole season

So his worst stretch was comparable to Luukkonen’s whole season
- Hank Balling

Meh, UPL's inconsistency is the issue. The TO, Boston and Tampa games ruined him. Subtract those three and he's at .913. He wasn't bad all season, heck he's a big reason we got close as Andy et al weren't getting wins.

So his worst stretch was comparable to Luukkonen’s whole season
- Hank Balling

bryson factor


you are as objective on this topic as boss is on reinhart's game or girgens

I expect more from a former blogger, that was respected on this site

Meh, UPL's inconsistency is the issue. The TO, Boston and Tampa games ruined him. Subtract those three and he's at .913. He wasn't bad all season, heck he's a big reason we got close as Andy et al weren't getting wins.
- QuinnFan

stop it


6k sucked

he is why we missed the playoffs

It's not a prediction, it's a model. I can also predict they have 5 more wins than this. Maybe 8.

Also not outlandish.
- TheSabresTaco

It's a predictive model.

Based on the bad past performance, or very little performance history of their collective goaltending, it should not be a surprise that the prediction is mid-80's points.

Meh, UPL's inconsistency is the issue. The TO, Boston and Tampa games ruined him. Subtract those three and he's at .913. He wasn't bad all season, heck he's a big reason we got close as Andy et al weren't getting wins.
- QuinnFan

He was pretty consistent: he let in at least 2 goals in every game he started

stop it


6k sucked

he is why we missed the playoffs



- homiedclown

He is if you put stock in the WAR model

Victor Olofsson+Comrie for Logan Thompson and Martinez
- Buff36

What do you see in this from the Vegas side?

stop it


6k sucked

he is why we missed the playoffs



- homiedclown

You get it.