Doppleganger
Ottawa Senators |
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Location: Reality Joined: 08.25.2006
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HB77
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: PC is a genius for drafting mcdavid Joined: 02.20.2007
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daeth
Colorado Avalanche |
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Location: 43 points, ON Joined: 09.15.2005
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Canada has less than a 50% chance of winning the tournament I'd say. It's so hard to win single game elimination tournaments like that even when you're the best team by a decent margin like Canada will be. |
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HB77
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: PC is a genius for drafting mcdavid Joined: 02.20.2007
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HB77
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: PC is a genius for drafting mcdavid Joined: 02.20.2007
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Canada has less than a 50% chance of winning the tournament I'd say. It's so hard to win single game elimination tournaments like that even when you're the best team by a decent margin like Canada will be. - daeth
Absolutely.
Id say
3.5 to 1 - canada
5 to 1 - sweden
8 to 1 - russia
10 to 1 - usa
20 to 1 czechs/fins
30 to 1- swiss/slovaks
I gave russia the better odds than the states due to home ice.
Dopple keeps goin on about the odds, as if those guys are the end all hockey minds.
Far from it.
Its based on trends |
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Doppleganger
Ottawa Senators |
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Location: Reality Joined: 08.25.2006
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Absolutely.
Id say
3.5 to 1 - canada
5 to 1 - sweden
8 to 1 - russia
10 to 1 - usa
20 to 1 czechs/fins
30 to 1- swiss/slovaks
I gave russia the better odds than the states due to home ice.
Dopple keeps goin on about the odds, as if those guys are the end all hockey minds.
Far from it.
Its based on trends - hugefemale dog77
May I remind you that the last time Canada won Olympic hockey gold outside of North America was 1952. |
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HB77
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: PC is a genius for drafting mcdavid Joined: 02.20.2007
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May I remind you that the last time Canada won Olympic hockey gold outside of North America was 1952. - Doppleganger
U dont need to. Before the pros were allowed to play in 98, i find any argument against to be relatively moot.
And that still goes along with the theme of my point too. Canada probably NEVER had the best roster on paper pre 98. So they had to overcome foreign ice, the big ice-which ive conceded from the start can be a factor- ANNND having an inferior team.
Nowadays they dont have to overcome the last, which is also the biggest of the three.
And even the 2 olympics that they havent medaled we've talked about ad nauseum.
06 is the only real debacle imo. |
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UPDATE:
Tavares-Crosby-Giroux
Hall-Toews-Stamkos
Staal-Getzlaf-Perry
Richards-Bergeron-Carter
(Eberle, Nash)
Keith-Seabrook
Weber-Doughty
Subban-Bouwmeester
Pietrangelo
Luongo
Crawford
Price |
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HB77
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: PC is a genius for drafting mcdavid Joined: 02.20.2007
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UPDATE:
Tavares-Crosby-Giroux
Hall-Toews-Stamkos
Staal-Getzlaf-Perry
Richards-Bergeron-Carter
(Eberle, Nash)
Keith-Seabrook
Weber-Doughty
Subban-Bouwmeester
Pietrangelo
Luongo
Crawford
Price - Cape Breton Bruins
No carter.
Not sure about richards either although hes got a better shot than jc.
Id take couture over either of em.
And Nash gonna make that team. Not only cause hes still elite, but hes been a dominant player for canada on the small and big ice |
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laughs2907
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: Wuhan, China Joined: 07.18.2006
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UPDATE:
Tavares-Crosby-Giroux
Hall-Toews-Stamkos
Staal-Getzlaf-Perry
Richards-Bergeron-Carter
(Eberle, Nash)
Keith-Seabrook
Weber-Doughty
Subban-Bouwmeester
Pietrangelo
Luongo
Crawford
Price - Cape Breton Bruins
More like...
Hall - RNH - Eberle
Perron - Gagner - Smyth
Jones - Gordon - Stamkos
Tavares - Crosby - Giroux
Ference - J. Schultz
N. Schultz - Nurse
Weber - Seabrook
Dubnyk
LaBarbera
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HB77
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: PC is a genius for drafting mcdavid Joined: 02.20.2007
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More like...
Hall - RNH - Eberle
Perron - Gagner - Smyth
Jones - Gordon - Stamkos
Tavares - Crosby - Giroux
Ference - J. Schultz
N. Schultz - Nurse
Weber - Seabrook
Dubnyk
LaBarbera - laughs2907
Crosby ?? No thanks. Lander getting canadian citizenship and will center brown and joensuu.(who will also be switching to canada) |
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laughs2907
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: Wuhan, China Joined: 07.18.2006
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Crosby ?? No thanks. Lander getting canadian citizenship and will center brown and joensuu.(who will also be switching to canada) - hugefemale dog77
If Lander became Canadian, it's just as well for the other teams to forfeit immediately. |
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Doppleganger
Ottawa Senators |
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Location: Reality Joined: 08.25.2006
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U dont need to. Before the pros were allowed to play in 98, i find any argument against to be relatively moot.
And that still goes along with the theme of my point too. Canada probably NEVER had the best roster on paper pre 98. So they had to overcome foreign ice, the big ice-which ive conceded from the start can be a factor- ANNND having an inferior team.
Nowadays they dont have to overcome the last, which is also the biggest of the three.
And even the 2 olympics that they havent medaled we've talked about ad nauseum.
06 is the only real debacle imo. - hugefemale dog77
Do I need to remind that no other country were allowed to send their best pro players prior to 1998 either?
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Morris
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: Hall looks disengaged, NS Joined: 07.18.2007
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Do I need to remind that no other country were allowed to send their best pro players prior to 1998 either? - Doppleganger
Here are some stats about when professional leagues were founded in various countries (from Wikipedia):
Czechoslovakia - 1930
Finland - 1975
Germany - 1958
Soviet Union - 1992
Sweden - 1975
Switzerland - 1916
NHL - 1917, binational since 1924
First thing to bear in mind is this is when professional hockey started in these countries, and doesn't necessarily account for players going to play overseas.
In any case, the big glaring one worth pointing out is the Soviet Union:
From wiki:
The highest league in the Soviet Union was the Soviet Championship League, founded in 1946. This evolved into an elite league with a talent level comparable to the NHL. However, it was always considered an "amateur" league, rather than professional. This was because all elite athletes in the Soviet Union were conscripted into the Red Army, Red Air Force or other national institutions. Technically they were paid for their military service, and not for their play as athletes. This allowed them compete at the Olympic games without violating the International Olympic Committee's amateur-only rules.
After the communist era ended, the league became explicitly professional.
It's no wonder that a nation with that kind of talent and no professional league would win so many gold medals. The ban on pro players effected each nation quite differently. |
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Doppleganger
Ottawa Senators |
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Location: Reality Joined: 08.25.2006
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Here are some stats about when professional leagues were founded in various countries (from Wikipedia):
Czechoslovakia - 1930
Finland - 1975
Germany - 1958
Soviet Union - 1992
Sweden - 1975
Switzerland - 1916
NHL - 1917, binational since 1924
First thing to bear in mind is this is when professional hockey started in these countries, and doesn't necessarily account for players going to play overseas.
In any case, the big glaring one worth pointing out is the Soviet Union:
From wiki:
The highest league in the Soviet Union was the Soviet Championship League, founded in 1946. This evolved into an elite league with a talent level comparable to the NHL. However, it was always considered an "amateur" league, rather than professional. This was because all elite athletes in the Soviet Union were conscripted into the Red Army, Red Air Force or other national institutions. Technically they were paid for their military service, and not for their play as athletes. This allowed them compete at the Olympic games without violating the International Olympic Committee's amateur-only rules.
After the communist era ended, the league became explicitly professional.
It's no wonder that a nation with that kind of talent and no professional league would win so many gold medals. The ban on pro players effected each nation quite differently. - Morris
And ever since the "playing field" was levelled in 1998, Canada has NOT medaled anywhere else except on the smaller ice in North America. |
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Morris
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: Hall looks disengaged, NS Joined: 07.18.2007
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And ever since the "playing field" was levelled in 1998, Canada has NOT medaled anywhere else except on the smaller ice in North America. - Doppleganger
yeah I know that, was just commenting on the fact that not allowing professionals didn't effect each nation the same way, especially as the Soviets had a loophole. |
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HB77
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: PC is a genius for drafting mcdavid Joined: 02.20.2007
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Do I need to remind that no other country were allowed to send their best pro players prior to 1998 either? - Doppleganger
No
And they were the still the best team in 98 imo, and ran into a hot goalie.
Which russia did too. Luck of the draw and nothing more meant russia got to face them in the finals instead of the semis and get a guaranteed medal. |
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Morris
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: Hall looks disengaged, NS Joined: 07.18.2007
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Also can we stop talking about 1998 as some mythic bygone era as if Canada isn't 2/4 in gold medals during that stretch?
We should be better on bigger ice, but again I'm reserving my judgement that this will be another "international ice meltdown" until we've picked a squad. |
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Doppleganger
Ottawa Senators |
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Location: Reality Joined: 08.25.2006
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No
And they were the still the best team in 98 imo, and ran into a hot goalie.
Which russia did too. Luck of the draw and nothing more meant russia got to face them in the finals instead of the semis and get a guaranteed medal. - hugefemale dog77
Being the best team, and that's your opinion as a fan I might add, does not necessarily translate into bringing home a medal.
I'm quite sure there is a Russian hockey forum website with your Russian counterpart (Большие собаки-женщин) who sees the Russians the same way you see the Canadian team. That's because it's really hard to take off your respective "Fan Hats" and look unbiased at the teams. |
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HB77
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: PC is a genius for drafting mcdavid Joined: 02.20.2007
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Being the best team, and that's your opinion as a fan I might add, does not necessarily translate into bringing home a medal. - Doppleganger
It is my opinion. Pretty tough to argue on paper though..
But ill agree that it absolutely does not neccassarily translates into bringin home a medal. Just makes you the favourites.
But the point was that i reject this notion that they cant win on big ice.
They outplayed them and got stonewalled. And so did russia. ( russia didnt really outplay the czechs in the finals tho)
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daeth
Colorado Avalanche |
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Location: 43 points, ON Joined: 09.15.2005
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Canada didn't win the two times they played on the big ice. Obviously that means they aren't the favourite this year.
Dopps logic.
[edit]technically it's not *this* year lol |
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HB77
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: PC is a genius for drafting mcdavid Joined: 02.20.2007
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Canada didn't win the two times they played on the big ice. Obviously that means they aren't the favourite this year.
Dopps logic. - daeth
Its silly really.
As if having the best team isnt the most important factor.
I believe the russians will win because ilya nikulin is more used to playing on the big ice than duncan keith is... |
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daeth
Colorado Avalanche |
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Location: 43 points, ON Joined: 09.15.2005
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Its silly really.
As if having the best team isnt the most important factor.
I believe the russians will win because ilya nikulin is more used to playing on the big ice than duncan keith is... - hugefemale dog77
Canada is better from top to bottom on any projected roster. |
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My Team Canada is da best
yessssssssssssssssssssssssssssss |
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HB77
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: PC is a genius for drafting mcdavid Joined: 02.20.2007
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My Team Canada is da best
yessssssssssssssssssssssssssssss - Cape Breton Bruins
No. Mine is |
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