I think you're being generous in predicting 2 goal for the BlueJackets. Most of the game will be played in our D-zone, so not much time, or energy, left for offense. Tampa's D is stronger than Washington's, and their goalie is better.
And only giving Tampa 4 goals is short. Our defense closer to AHL than NHL. It will be at least a 3 goal differential, probably 4.
I'm hoping we could surprise and show some game, like vs Washington. But I don't believe we can control play against Tampa like we did for much of the Capitals game.