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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: Improving on Last Season's Benchmarks, Quick Hits
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BulliesPhan87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the lone wolf of hockeybuzz
Joined: 07.31.2009

Sep 11 @ 9:54 AM ET
Good points all. I still think there are more valuable players to be had at the same price as Rinaldo that would be better for the 4th line. Same with an NHL filler like White.

I think part of me is paranoid as well as spoiled when it comes to GMs saying they'll use analytics. On one hand, Ruben Amaro Jr. said he'd start using them (also without specifying which) yet continues to make moves that are indicative of the non-use of these stats. He won't even look at OBP.

On the flip side, Sam Hinkie has come into the Sixers front office with the advanced stats approach and completely flipped the team without wasting any time.

Time will tell with Hextall but given that Snider, who is the puppet master, still seems to want to play in a line with tradition, I don't think we'll see as much analytics as Hextall says/wants.

- NickTheKid87

What has Hinkie done aside from tear down the team and tank? Not to say I think it's the wrong course of action, but you don't need statistics to blow it up. I also don't follow the Sixers, so maybe I'm missing something.
mmcclatchy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Asheville, NC
Joined: 06.13.2014

Sep 11 @ 9:55 AM ET
Jfc
- Giroux_Is_God


That phase should have died the day it was born
GOA88
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 08.02.2013

Sep 11 @ 9:56 AM ET
That doesn't answer the question.
- jmatchett383

Butthurt means someone that gets offended or upset about ones comments or actions. Usually it means youre being overractive or a baby about it.
NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Sep 11 @ 9:57 AM ET
Not to get too off topic, but this recent surge of Sixers love is truly perplexing to me. This team basically tore itself apart, traded it best players, tied the record for longest losing streak ever, is most likely going to be the worst team in the league this year, has long-term injuries to its 2 most promising players (neither of which have played an NBA game yet), and people are automatically stating they'll be a championship contender in 3-4 years.

I just don't get it. I'd like to see some evidence of success before people call Sam Hinkie some miracle worker genius. It may be that Noel can't hack it in the NBA, MCW is nothing but a supporting role player, and Embiid never recovers from his crippled state.

- jmatchett383


The NBA is a league in which you can only compete with at least 2-3 stars. The Sixers were in purgatory: finishing 7-10 and getting the mid-round picks. Since no stars seem to want to sign here, Hinkie saw that he had to dismantle the team and basically suck to get high draft picks. Not to mention he's made some great trades and stockpiled young talent. Embiid, Noel, Saric, MCW, etc. plus future 1st round picks he acquired in addition to the high picks they'll get for the next 1-4 seasons. Some of these players will have to pan out. More likely than not, at least one will become a star. He's basically seeing the NBA for what it is and exploited it by sucking on purpose to get the high level prospects.
MBFlyerfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Be nice from now on, NJ
Joined: 03.17.2006

Sep 11 @ 9:59 AM ET
Butthurt means someone that gets offended or upset about ones comments or actions. Usually it means youre being overractive or a baby about it.
- GOA88



NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Sep 11 @ 9:59 AM ET
What has Hinkie done aside from tear down the team and tank? Not to say I think it's the wrong course of action, but you don't need statistics to blow it up. I also don't follow the Sixers, so maybe I'm missing something.
- BulliesPhan87


He uses analytics in his drafting and personnel decisions. In addition, he has made some great trades. He turned the 10th overall pick into the 12th and a future first rounder. He moved Thad Young for a 1st rounder. He's getting so much bang for his buck in order to stockpile young talent essentially.
BulliesPhan87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the lone wolf of hockeybuzz
Joined: 07.31.2009

Sep 11 @ 10:01 AM ET
He uses analytics in his drafting and personnel decisions. In addition, he has made some great trades. He turned the 10th overall pick into the 12th and a future first rounder. He moved Thad Young for a 1st rounder. He's getting so much bang for his buck in order to stockpile young talent essentially.
- NickTheKid87

Those are smart moves, but they don't really indicate use of analytics to me.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:04 AM ET
He uses analytics in his drafting and personnel decisions. In addition, he has made some great trades. He turned the 10th overall pick into the 12th and a future first rounder. He moved Thad Young for a 1st rounder. He's getting so much bang for his buck in order to stockpile young talent essentially.
- NickTheKid87


Without knowing anything about basketball analytics, those seem like no-brainer moves from someone who knows next to nothing about the NBA.
hereticpride
New Jersey Devils
Location: HEY. Does this pole still work?, NJ
Joined: 01.14.2011

Sep 11 @ 10:05 AM ET
Careful, people get butthurt when you complain about topics of discussion. lol
- GOA88

Butthurt is a banable word.

If that isnt irony then I dont know what is.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:05 AM ET
Butthurt means someone that gets offended or upset about ones comments or actions. Usually it means youre being overractive or a baby about it.
- GOA88


Then it makes no sense. That's like saying the term "hookerpunch" means to drink some water. For some reason, the term just irritates me.
NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:05 AM ET
Those are smart moves, but they don't really indicate use of analytics to me.
- BulliesPhan87


Here's a good article from the New Yorker on his approach: http://www.newyorker.com/...-revolution-in-basketball
NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:07 AM ET
Without knowing anything about basketball analytics, those seem like no-brainer moves from someone who knows next to nothing about the NBA.
- jmatchett383


I'm citing the moves as another reason why he's positioning the Sixers for success, not to say he uses analytics.
mickel25
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Morgantown, PA
Joined: 01.21.2011

Sep 11 @ 10:07 AM ET
My analytics on this trade was that Berube was tired of Hartnell playing an undisciplined game, and felt Hartnell was never going to make an effort to change this.

Now people will say, well then why did they sign Rinaldo? I will say it is because Rinaldo is a 4th liner who can be sent to Allentown if he doesn't get it under control.

- MBFlyerfan


Using analytics in hockey is so tough. A players performance depends a lot on the guys on the ice with him. It's not like baseball. Baseball has one pitcher pitching to one batter. The batter can either hit lefties or they can't. I agree you have a variety of variables that come into play like runners on base, game score and a thousand others. But really it comes down to can the batter hit against a lefty or righty or against a specific pitcher.

In hockey you have a small amount of players that make other players better. I believe current line chemistry and solid defenseman that move the puck weigh a lot more on an individual players advanced stats than his individual abilities for a vast majority of NHL players. The player is only as strong as the group he is with. So to me it is more about a specific for each player. I do not need any stats to know that Streit and MDZ are not good defensive pairing.

Advanced can be used to figure how the team is performing in certain situations. I do not see how they could be used to come up with a solution to said problem or if the solution is available internally.
GOA88
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 08.02.2013

Sep 11 @ 10:08 AM ET
Then it makes no sense. That's like saying the term "hookerpunch" means to drink some water. For some reason, the term just irritates me.
- jmatchett383

Well I didnt invent the term. Maybe I should say they get their panties in a wad??
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:09 AM ET
Well I didnt invent the term. Maybe I should say they get their panties in a wad??
- GOA88


Well, I know that I get angry/irritated when my panties get all wadded up. Very uncomfortable for me. Don't you?
BulliesPhan87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the lone wolf of hockeybuzz
Joined: 07.31.2009

Sep 11 @ 10:10 AM ET
the term "butthurt" is kind of played out tbh
AGL_91
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: ON
Joined: 06.29.2013

Sep 11 @ 10:10 AM ET
Wow does are schedule really suck for the start of the year. I hope that mason gets the first back to back bcuz NJ may be only team that we are better than IMO
NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:11 AM ET
Using analytics in hockey is so tough. A players performance depends a lot on the guys on the ice with him. It's not like baseball. Baseball has one pitcher pitching to one batter. The batter can either hit lefties or they can't. I agree you have a variety of variables that come into play like runners on base, game score and a thousand others. But really it comes down to can the batter hit against a lefty or righty or against a specific pitcher.

In hockey you have a small amount of players that make other players better. I believe current line chemistry and solid defenseman that move the puck weigh a lot more on an individual players advanced stats than his individual abilities for a vast majority of NHL players. The player is only as strong as the group he is with. So to me it is more about a specific for each player. I do not need any stats to know that Streit and MDZ are not good defensive pairing.

Advanced can be used to figure how the team is performing in certain situations. I do not see how they could be used to come up with a solution to said problem or if the solution is available internally.

- mickel25


Advanced stats aren't really for solving problems as much as they are for pointing them out. If what you see doesn't match up with the numbers, an intelligent person would ask why and try to figure it out. This is what would lead to a solution.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:11 AM ET
I'm citing the moves as another reason why he's positioning the Sixers for success, not to say he uses analytics.
- NickTheKid87


Ah, gotcha.

Basketball, or actually the NBA, is just such a weird game now. It used to be about skill, defense, positioning passing, and scoring touch. Now it's about being a thug and "posterising" a guy so you can get on SportsCenter. Not to mention the insane talent dilution that seems rampant, and the fact that you can pick one out of 5 teams in the summer and have one of them win the championship.
GOA88
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 08.02.2013

Sep 11 @ 10:11 AM ET
Well, I know that I get angry/irritated when my panties get all wadded up. Very uncomfortable for me. Don't you?
- jmatchett383

Especially when they run up and give me a wedgie....
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:11 AM ET
Wow does are schedule really suck for the start of the year. I hope that mason gets the first back to back bcuz NJ may be only team that we are better than IMO
- AGL_91


It's September.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:11 AM ET
Especially when they run up and give me a wedgie....
- GOA88


Actually, I kinda like that feeling...
mickel25
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Morgantown, PA
Joined: 01.21.2011

Sep 11 @ 10:15 AM ET
Advanced stats aren't really for solving problems as much as they are for pointing them out. If what you see doesn't match up with the numbers, an intelligent person would ask why and try to figure it out. This is what would lead to a solution.
- NickTheKid87


But why use them at all if they cannot point out a specific reason as to why the Flyers are not good 5 on 5 for example?

Ok so in your scenario Berube used analytics to figure out that the Flyers are not great 5 on 5. What is the solution to the problem based on the data you were given?
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:16 AM ET
But why use them at all if they cannot point out a specific reason as to why the Flyers are not good 5 on 5 for example?

Ok so in your scenario Berube used analytics to figure out that the Flyers are not great 5 on 5. What is the solution to the problem based on the data you were given?

- mickel25


Trade everyone.
coffee junkie
Joined: 02.25.2007

Sep 11 @ 10:16 AM ET
Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: Improving on Last Season's Benchmarks, Quick Hits
- bmeltzer

Happy Birthday to the best blogger I know! Hope it's a good one!
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