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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: Improving on Last Season's Benchmarks, Quick Hits
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mickel25
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Morgantown, PA
Joined: 01.21.2011

Sep 11 @ 10:16 AM ET
Trade everyone.
- jmatchett383


That is one way to change it up.
NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:16 AM ET
Ah, gotcha.

Basketball, or actually the NBA, is just such a weird game now. It used to be about skill, defense, positioning passing, and scoring touch. Now it's about being a thug and "posterising" a guy so you can get on SportsCenter. Not to mention the insane talent dilution that seems rampant, and the fact that you can pick one out of 5 teams in the summer and have one of them win the championship.

- jmatchett383


That era of the NBA being more of a show than a sport is starting to end, partly because of guys like Hinkie. After the Heat went 2-4 in Championships-Final appearances after adding the "Big 3", teams are realizing that only having star players isn't enough. The team has to be good as a whole like the 2011 Mavs and 2014 Spurs. Both had the star power (less than the Heat for sure) but were better teams.
NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:20 AM ET
But why use them at all if they cannot point out a specific reason as to why the Flyers are not good 5 on 5 for example?

Ok so in your scenario Berube used analytics to figure out that the Flyers are not great 5 on 5. What is the solution to the problem based on the data you were given?

- mickel25


Berube ain't gonna use analytics. He plays Grossmann 20 mins a game...

Let's say he does though. Now that he knows their not great 5-v-5, he can make adjustments i.e. change lines or, more likely, his system to try and fix the problem. He's an NHL coach after all. If you don't see that they struggle 5-v-5, it might be that the coach will just tell them to "work harder" or whatever adage you want without truly addressing the problem.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:21 AM ET
That era of the NBA being more of a show than a sport is starting to end, partly because of guys like Hinkie. After the Heat went 2-4 in Championships-Final appearances after adding the "Big 3", teams are realizing that only having star players isn't enough. The team has to be good as a whole like the 2011 Mavs and 2014 Spurs. Both had the star power (less than the Heat for sure) but were better teams.
- NickTheKid87


I don't think we'll ever see a team as good/fun as the Jordan-era Bulls. Those teams were stacked and good, top to bottom. That's the era of basketball I enjoyed the most.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:23 AM ET
Berube ain't gonna use analytics. He plays Grossmann 20 mins a game...

Let's say he does though. Now that he knows their not great 5-v-5, he can make adjustments i.e. change lines or, more likely, his system to try and fix the problem. He's an NHL coach after all. If you don't see that they struggle 5-v-5, it might be that the coach will just tell them to "work harder" or whatever adage you want without truly addressing the problem.

- NickTheKid87


I think his system is definitely better than Lavi's. Lavi's system worked really well with the team he inherited, but not so much the team he left with. When you're asking Grossmann to pinch at the point, you're misusing player.

Berube's system seems more team-oriented with neutral zone movement and pressure, and it's up to the players to execute it. It seems like a much simpler system, which fits the makeup of the team much better than the Lavi constant pressure tactic.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Sep 11 @ 10:26 AM ET
I don't think we'll ever see a team as good/fun as the Jordan-era Bulls. Those teams were stacked and good, top to bottom. That's the era of basketball I enjoyed the most.
- jmatchett383


I don't think anything will help until players are forced to spend 3 years in college before entering the nba. Guys from that era played mutltiple seasons in college and understood the basic fundamentals of the game like how to defend a pick and roll and floor spacing
mickel25
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Morgantown, PA
Joined: 01.21.2011

Sep 11 @ 10:27 AM ET
Berube ain't gonna use analytics. He plays Grossmann 20 mins a game...

Let's say he does though. Now that he knows their not great 5-v-5, he can make adjustments i.e. change lines or, more likely, his system to try and fix the problem. He's an NHL coach after all. If you don't see that they struggle 5-v-5, it might be that the coach will just tell them to "work harder" or whatever adage you want without truly addressing the problem.

- NickTheKid87


So you really don't have an answer. While I agree with Berube not using analytics. It seems to me that he did not need the data in this specific example. He preached from day one that they needed to play the game "quicker" and be better 5 on 5.

Outside of having numbers to reference during a specific discussion I do not see how the use of analytics makes you a better talent evaluator. Which teams use it specifically to there advantage?
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:29 AM ET
So you really don't have an answer. While I agree with Berube not using analytics. It seems to me that he did not need the data in this specific example. He preached from day one that they needed to play the game "quicker" and be better 5 on 5.

Outside of having numbers to reference during a specific discussion I do not see how the use of analytics makes you a better talent evaluator. Which teams use it specifically to there advantage?

- mickel25


The Oakland Athletics. That's why they were able to win when Jason Giambi left.
MBFlyerfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Be nice from now on, NJ
Joined: 03.17.2006

Sep 11 @ 10:30 AM ET
Well I didnt invent the term. Maybe I should say they get their panties in a wad??
- GOA88


Uh oh, then someone else may get offended. When did we become this?
mickel25
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Morgantown, PA
Joined: 01.21.2011

Sep 11 @ 10:31 AM ET
The Oakland Athletics. That's why they were able to win when Jason Giambi left.
- jmatchett383


Different sport. Analytics also apply much more literally to baseball than hockey. Baseball is a series of one on one battles encased within a team game.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:33 AM ET
Different sport. Analytics also apply much more literally to baseball than hockey. Baseball is a series of one on one battles encased within a team game.
- mickel25


That was...a joke???
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:34 AM ET
Uh oh, then someone else may get offended. When did we become this?

- MBFlyerfan


http://www.amazon.com/Nat...aders-Great/dp/1118279050
mickel25
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Morgantown, PA
Joined: 01.21.2011

Sep 11 @ 10:35 AM ET
That was...a joke???
- jmatchett383


I see that after reading it a second time. I am just a little wound up today. My bad.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:35 AM ET
I see that after reading it a second time. I am just a little wound up today. My bad.
- mickel25


No biggie.
MBFlyerfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Be nice from now on, NJ
Joined: 03.17.2006

Sep 11 @ 10:37 AM ET
http://www.amazon.com/Nation-Wusses-Americas-Leaders-Great/dp/1118279050
- jmatchett383



I don't agree with Rendell on much, but he is right about that. I tend to call it Victimistan. With a Capital City named Offendedburgh.

We need to concentrate more on Skin Thickness.
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Sep 11 @ 10:38 AM ET
I think it's very premature to say it appears Hextall doesn't use analytics or has been misleading about them. For starters, Hextall has said he won't only use analytics, that they're only a part of his process. For secondly, I don't think he's specified exactly what analytics he'll be using and when. For thirdly, there really haven't been many moves to judge him on. And for lastly, these are truly very minor player signings, and may represent not wanting to blow assets to shore up a fourth line when he's on the record as taking the long view on building this club.
- BulliesPhan87


Pretty much this.

I don't recall Hexy ever explicitly limiting the scope of his analytics use, only that he's not going to let the tail wag the dog.

It sounds like Chief's been looking into some numbers too, with him droning on about entry %'s.
NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:41 AM ET
So you really don't have an answer. While I agree with Berube not using analytics. It seems to me that he did not need the data in this specific example. He preached from day one that they needed to play the game "quicker" and be better 5 on 5.

Outside of having numbers to reference during a specific discussion I do not see how the use of analytics makes you a better talent evaluator. Which teams use it specifically to there advantage?

- mickel25


The problem here is that Berube wants them to play a quicker game but the team is slow so he needs to adjust his system. While it's more sound than Lavy's (with this group) it's still not quite a good fit for the roster. If he were to use analytics, he'd see that Grossmann isn't nearly as good as he thinks. Grossmann should be used as a 3rd pairing dman against relatively light competition.

As for teams that have implored analytics, the Kings and Blackhawks are a couple. The mess of franchises that are the Leafs and Oilers have both recently hired analytics experts to help right the ship.
BiggE
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: SELL THE DAMN TEAM!
Joined: 04.17.2012

Sep 11 @ 10:42 AM ET
I don't agree with Rendell on much, but he is right about that. I tend to call it Victimistan. With a Capital City named Offendedburgh.

We need to concentrate more on Skin Thickness.

- MBFlyerfan

Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Sep 11 @ 10:46 AM ET
Different sport. Analytics also apply much more literally to baseball than hockey. Baseball is a series of one on one battles encased within a team game.
- mickel25



Just because baseball is a perfect fit for analytics doesn't mean hockey is relatively impenetrable. The game is still a closed system, with a set of rules, and clearly defined goals. Math can tease out the origins of the universe... I think it'll be up to the challenge of figuring out if your team is better off sinking your cap-dollars into Grabo or Bozak.

28Girouxsalem28
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Amherst, NY
Joined: 08.09.2013

Sep 11 @ 10:46 AM ET
Put nikolas aube kubel on girouxs wing lol. I know it's jr preseason but this kid looks really really good. Could be the steal of the draft
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:47 AM ET
Just because baseball is a perfect fit for analytics doesn't mean hockey is relatively impenetrable. The game is still a closed system, with a set of rules, and clearly defined goals. Math can tease out the origins of the universe... I think it'll be up to the challenge of figuring out if your team is better off sinking your cap-dollars into Grabo or Bozak.


- Tomahawk


GRABO!

Amirite?
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Sep 11 @ 10:48 AM ET
GRABO!

Amirite?

- jmatchett383


jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:50 AM ET
Put nikolas aube kubel on girouxs wing lol. I know it's jr preseason but this kid looks really really good. Could be the steal of the draft
- 28Girouxsalem28


I know you're joking, but an 18-year-old kid who rode with Anthony Mantha last year on a championship team needs to be lights out at camp to even get a sniff of a spot.
NickTheKid87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 11.19.2010

Sep 11 @ 10:50 AM ET
Just because baseball is a perfect fit for analytics doesn't mean hockey is relatively impenetrable. The game is still a closed system, with a set of rules, and clearly defined goals. Math can tease out the origins of the universe... I think it'll be up to the challenge of figuring out if your team is better off sinking your cap-dollars into Grabo or Bozak.


- Tomahawk


I love this. We've used math to figure out how large and old the universe is, how far we are from the sun, how to get a man on the moon but it's useless when applied to hockey/sports.
Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

Sep 11 @ 10:51 AM ET
The question then becomes which career AHLer/young kid you put in his place. Our forward depth is pretty unimpressive.
- jmatchett383


Bellemare, Alderson, Gordon, VdV, Jones, and Laughton are all options for the 4th line. Eventually White, Cousins and Leier will be, too.
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