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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Quick Hits: HHOF, Pirri, Latta, Prospects, Alumni and More
Author Message
rinaldo
Joined: 05.10.2011

Jun 28 @ 11:33 AM ET
thats part of the fun
- YuenglingJagr

not bad
AllInForFlyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Call Me Sweetcheeks
Joined: 03.18.2013

Jun 28 @ 11:33 AM ET
Bridge deal (frank).

One breakout year of generally consistent effort after previous seasons of looking invisible for long stretches.

End this damn trend of paying guys too soon.

- flyer_nutter


Agreed; you don't have to ignore the previous seasons, and you shouldn't

I'd take him to arbitration in a heartbeat
rinaldo
Joined: 05.10.2011

Jun 28 @ 11:35 AM ET
people really think he will take under 5mm? damn
Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

Jun 28 @ 11:36 AM ET
Offer sheet breakdown:

Less than $1,239,226 Nothing
Over $1,239,226 to $1,877,615 Third-round pick
Over $1,877,615 to $3,755,233 Second-round pick
Over $3,755,233 to $5,632,847 First and third-round picks
Over $5,632,847 to $7,510,464 First, second and third-round picks
Over $7,510,464 to $9,388,080 Two firsts, a second and third-round picks
Over $9,388,080 Four first-round picks


Any interest in an OS to Trouba? Does WPG definitely match if its 7 years at the highest value in the bolded part?

- J35Bacher


For offer sheets you divide the total salary by 5, if it's 5 or more years. So a 7 year offer sheet with an AAV of $5,632,847 would be worth Two firsts, a 2nd and a 3rd.
Baxter27
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 12.03.2007

Jun 28 @ 11:36 AM ET
I'm alarmed at the thought of Schenn with a cap hit over 4mil, let alone 5mil.

He has not done enough to warrant that amount. Paying players based on projected expectations is a recipe for disaster.

I can't see Hexy giving him a long contract at a cap # being discussed.

2-4 year deal at 3.9mil at the most. If we are going to keep him I would rather not have the burden of a large cap hit weighing him down and hampering his development.

- MikesPillBottle


If you want to sign Schenn to 3.9 million 1 year deal you will have to take your chances in arbitration. What if he continues to develop next season and scores 30 goals 70 points? Now you're looking at a long term deal in the 6-7 million range.

5 x 5 is fair for both sides and is what I'm hoping for.
J35Bacher
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 04.03.2014

Jun 28 @ 11:37 AM ET
people really think he will take under 5mm? damn
- rinaldo



Not me.

I think they are starting at 6.(Schenns Camp).

I have a feeling they are looking in the 5.5-5.75 range.


If he was looking at less than 5 I think he would already be signed.
Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

Jun 28 @ 11:37 AM ET
I'm alarmed at the thought of Schenn with a cap hit over 4mil, let alone 5mil.

He has not done enough to warrant that amount. Paying players based on projected expectations is a recipe for disaster.

I can't see Hexy giving him a long contract at a cap # being discussed.

2-4 year deal at 3.9mil at the most. If we are going to keep him I would rather not have the burden of a large cap hit weighing him down and hampering his development.

- MikesPillBottle


You're living in fantasy land. Shaw just got 6 years at $3.9m with numbers nowhere near Schenn's.
Scoob
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: love is love
Joined: 06.29.2006

Jun 28 @ 11:37 AM ET
Bridge deal (frank).

One breakout year of generally consistent effort after previous seasons of looking invisible for long stretches.

End this damn trend of paying guys too soon.

- flyer_nutter


If they don't, you might as well start the countdown clock to the next lockout.
MikesPillBottle
Joined: 07.01.2015

Jun 28 @ 11:38 AM ET
It isn't paying him based on projected expectations. His production in recent seasons is worth more than 4M a year.
- MJL


I think "worth" is relative. Umberger was getting 4.5mil and Hartnell as well.

Wayne Simmonds is a better hockey player so far in his career than Schenn has shown, but Simmonds only got 3.9mil a year.

Simmons last 5 Seasons:
60 Points
50
60
32
49

Schenn last 5 Seasons:
59
47
41
26
18

Schenn's numbers are surely trending upward, but I can't fathom paying him more than Simmonds.
YuenglingJagr
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: under the bridge
Joined: 10.05.2015

Jun 28 @ 11:38 AM ET
i would offer sheet seth jones 1000 times before i thought about offer sheeting trouba
Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

Jun 28 @ 11:39 AM ET
Bridge deal (frank).

One breakout year of generally consistent effort after previous seasons of looking invisible for long stretches.

End this damn trend of paying guys too soon.

- flyer_nutter


He's already had a two bridge deal and will be a UFA in two more years. The only bridge deal possible now would be for one year, possibly via arbitration.
MikesPillBottle
Joined: 07.01.2015

Jun 28 @ 11:40 AM ET
If they don't, you might as well start the countdown clock to the next lockout.
- Scoob


The owners love the lockouts. They get to impose a bunch of new rules on the rest of the league and close loop holes while creating new ones to abuse for the next decade.

It's a stupid cycle.
J35Bacher
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 04.03.2014

Jun 28 @ 11:40 AM ET
i would offer sheet seth jones 1000 times before i thought about offer sheeting trouba
- YuenglingJagr



I wonder if someone will. Columbus has a lot of deals they would have to move to fit a big offer sheet to Jones
Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

Jun 28 @ 11:41 AM ET
I think "worth" is relative. Umberger was getting 4.5mil and Hartnell as well.

Wayne Simmonds is a better hockey player so far in his career than Schenn has shown, but Simmonds only got 3.9mil a year.

- MikesPillBottle


Simmonds best seasons came after signing the extension. If Holmgren bridged him for 13-14 (the season he first hit 60 points) his subsequent contract would have been much more expensive.
Baxter27
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 12.03.2007

Jun 28 @ 11:42 AM ET
I think "worth" is relative. Umberger was getting 4.5mil and Hartnell as well.

Wayne Simmonds is a better hockey player so far in his career than Schenn has shown, but Simmonds only got 3.9mil a year.

Simmons last 5 Seasons:
60 Points
50
60
32
49

Schenn last 5 Seasons:
59
47
41
26
18

Schenn's numbers are surely trending upward, but I can't fathom paying him more than Simmonds.

- MikesPillBottle


Simmonds contract is a bargain because Holmgren signed him long term at the right time. He hasn't been a drastically better hockey player than Schenn either. His numbers are inflated because he's been a mainstay on the top power player unit for the last 3 years. This was the first year Schenn was consistently used on the top PP and his numbers reflect that.
YuenglingJagr
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: under the bridge
Joined: 10.05.2015

Jun 28 @ 11:42 AM ET
Simmonds best seasons came after signing the extension. If Holmgren bridged him for 13-14 (the season he first hit 60 points) his subsequent contract would have been much more expensive.
- Feanor


This...timing is everything on contracts
MikesPillBottle
Joined: 07.01.2015

Jun 28 @ 11:43 AM ET
You're living in fantasy land. Shaw just got 6 years at $3.9m with numbers nowhere near Schenn's.
- Feanor


At least contracts make sense in my fantasy land. Elisha Cuthbert is massaging my shoulders right now, butt ass naked.

My fantasy land is heaven.
J35Bacher
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 04.03.2014

Jun 28 @ 11:43 AM ET
Simmonds best seasons came after signing the extension. If Holmgren bridged him for 13-14 (the season he first hit 60 points) his subsequent contract would have been much more expensive.
- Feanor



Yeah.

They got lucky with that deal in a way. Got him cheap and long term and then he flourished.
Glak18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "It's pretty big loogie on my face, so I was pretty psssted".", PA
Joined: 06.26.2007

Jun 28 @ 11:43 AM ET
OK now its confirmed.

Schenn ONLY got a qualifying offer. Means Flyers and Schenn were not close to money and/or terms. I don't see how Schenn isn't traded at some point. He is 24, not sure how many games are needed, but he can at least become a UFA at 26.

Flyers still need 1 more defenseman for the Flyers All-HOF team (Players I consider Flyers, not just played here briefly)

Owner - Ed Snider
GM - Keith Allen
Coach - Shero
Coach - Neilson
Coach - Quinn

G - Parent
D -
D - Howe
LW - Barber
C - Clarke
RW - Lindros

Pretty damn looking team!
Baxter27
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 12.03.2007

Jun 28 @ 11:44 AM ET
i would offer sheet seth jones 1000 times before i thought about offer sheeting trouba
- YuenglingJagr


I'd be staying away from throwing offer sheet stones with the glass house of prospects Hextall is building.
MikesPillBottle
Joined: 07.01.2015

Jun 28 @ 11:46 AM ET
Simmonds best seasons came after signing the extension. If Holmgren bridged him for 13-14 (the season he first hit 60 points) his subsequent contract would have been much more expensive.
- Feanor


Using his point totals from the lock out year would put him over 60 points in a full season.

You make valid points, however. I do not want imply that they are not.

Contracts in the NHL are unpredictable. We should create an environment of equality and just pay them all the same. 1 mil a year. That way they can all feed their starving families.
YuenglingJagr
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: under the bridge
Joined: 10.05.2015

Jun 28 @ 11:46 AM ET
I'd be staying away from throwing offer sheet stones with the glass house of prospects Hextall is building.
- Baxter27


are you saying that you think offer sheeting jones would make all of the Flyers prospects vulnerable?

to that I say the Flyers are in a much different salary cap situation
Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

Jun 28 @ 11:47 AM ET
OK now its confirmed.

Schenn ONLY got a qualifying offer. Means Flyers and Schenn were not close to money and/or terms. I don't see how Schenn isn't traded at some point.

- Glak18


Yup, just like they traded MDZ after he only got a QO this time last year.
rinaldo
Joined: 05.10.2011

Jun 28 @ 11:47 AM ET
Not me.

I think they are starting at 6.(Schenns Camp).

I have a feeling they are looking in the 5.5-5.75 range.


If he was looking at less than 5 I think he would already be signed.

- J35Bacher

agree
Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

Jun 28 @ 11:48 AM ET
Using his point totals from the lock out year would put him over 60 points in a full season.
- MikesPillBottle


Nope, 32 points in 45 games pro rates to 58 over 82 games. And he signed in August 2012, before the 12-13 season happened.

Holmgren gambled he would get better, and he did.
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