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Forums :: Blog World :: Adam French: Advanced Stats : Dumbing Down Hockey's Discourse?
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geta02it
Calgary Flames
Location: AB
Joined: 11.10.2007

Aug 31 @ 12:19 PM ET
It is not even remotely difficult to come up with a scenario where a team can have much more actual possession of the puck and much fewer shots.

Beyond that, even if I accept shots towards the goal as a proxy for possession (and I actually do accept this over a large enough sample size), then I am still not convinced that we are measuring something that is as valuable as some make it out to be and I certainly don't think we can come up with numbers to tenths (I've even seen hundreths !!) of a percent accuracy and use that to compare players.

CF%, 2015-2016, players with over 1000 minutes...

Seguin - 31
Kucherov - 37
Crosby - 39
Benn - 49
Burns - 54
Tarasenko - 55
Ovechkin - 57
P. Kane - 96
Karlsson - 101
Tavares - 103
Toews - 113
Ekman-Larsson - 145


... but yeah, we shouldn't be questioning how useful these stats are right? It would be narrow-minded of us to do so.

How can anyone take a stat seriously that ranks players like that.

- Aetherial


Who was the top ten CF%?
BetweenTheDots
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 06.13.2015

Aug 31 @ 12:22 PM ET
Outstanding blog,

Considering how young those advanced stats are I don't understand how people can't see there's flaws in them.

Anyone who thinks Rundblad is a good defenseman has bad eyes or is blind, but you know having a hall of fame coach putting him in a place to succeed during the regular season has nothing to do with the players success

Just like Pietrangelo, I think he lead the NHL in defensive end draws, both regular season and playoffs, why because Hitchcock knows how good defensively he is compared to Parayko and Shattenkirk and what a team player probably why he's getting the C this year, do you think that had an affect on his scoring,
MaximumBone
Edmonton Oilers
Joined: 06.15.2012

Aug 31 @ 12:51 PM ET
I'm too lazy to do the research.

I can only assume one day people will be discussing this Magic Stat that really seems to assess and rank players in a way that makes at least some sense.

- Aetherial

Okay, therein lies the issue. If you're not willing to research and understand both sides to a debate, expect that your opinion won't be taken as seriously.
Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Aug 31 @ 12:58 PM ET
Okay, therein lies the issue. If you're not willing to research and understand both sides to a debate, expect that your opinion won't be taken as seriously.
- MaximumBone


Therein does not lie the issue.

I picked a specific point and I made my case.

Why would I bother to debate any other crap I don't care about. If there is more to it than Corsi then let's stop talking about Corsi.

Advanced stat proponents don't take dissenting opinions seriously.

prock
Vegas Golden Knights
Location: Bobby Ryan + 1st rounder for Clarkson, ON
Joined: 08.30.2007

Aug 31 @ 1:00 PM ET
Advanced stats > the average fans eye test.
- daeth



The problem is, there are piles of different stats to choose from, and when combined, they can be interpreted in many different ways.

On top of that, there is a degree of subjectivity in stats, advanced stats, all of them.
BestRapperAlive
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: OEL is one of the greatest players of his generation - James Tanner
Joined: 06.21.2012

Aug 31 @ 1:01 PM ET
In the NHL, EA Sports and things announcers on TV say shape how almost all people see things
-Tanner


It's really not worth reading the rest of your essay.

Hockey fans don't form their own opinions, they just regurgitate what they hear on tv .................except you right?
laughs2907
Edmonton Oilers
Location: Wuhan, China
Joined: 07.18.2006

Aug 31 @ 1:04 PM ET
Search "hope solo nephew"
- lumlums


They seem like a well-balanced family.
laughs2907
Edmonton Oilers
Location: Wuhan, China
Joined: 07.18.2006

Aug 31 @ 1:07 PM ET
That one in Norway is DELICIOUS

You can make a variation of it using a soft wrap (not corn) and put potato salad and dried onions in the wrap with mustard topping. Sounds crazy... but it's delicious.

- mlindsay


I made half of them last night... Tonight I hope to finish off the second half of the menu... Can't wait to try the Norway
MaximumBone
Edmonton Oilers
Joined: 06.15.2012

Aug 31 @ 1:22 PM ET
Therein does not lie the issue.

I picked a specific point and I made my case.

Why would I bother to debate any other crap I don't care about. If there is more to it than Corsi then let's stop talking about Corsi.

Advanced stat proponents don't take dissenting opinions seriously.

- Aetherial

Why would you stop discussing one thing simply because there's more to it? Most of these stats have correlation to one another and are typically best utilized when presented together. That's a big reason why those HERO charts skyrocketed in popularity. They aggregate information from multiple stats and present it in a simple (albeit flawed) graph that's easy to read.

Corsi isn't the be all end all, but there's merit in reviewing the raw shot attempt numbers that it provides. Fenwick is an extension of Corsi that tracks high-value scoring chances (from the slot). By finding the outliers between those two groups you can typically find the players and/or systems that "cheat" the numbers and shoot from the outside.

There are certainly those who don't take dissenting opinions the way they ought to, but can you blame them when that opinion is coming from someone who actively admits to not being willing to take the time to understand their side?
Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Aug 31 @ 1:34 PM ET
Why would you stop discussing one thing simply because there's more to it? Most of these stats have correlation to one another and are typically best utilized when presented together. That's a big reason why those HERO charts skyrocketed in popularity. They aggregate information from multiple stats and present it in a simple (albeit flawed) graph that's easy to read.

Corsi isn't the be all end all, but there's merit in reviewing the raw shot attempt numbers that it provides. Fenwick is an extension of Corsi that tracks high-value scoring chances (from the slot). By finding the outliers between those two groups you can typically find the players and/or systems that "cheat" the numbers and shoot from the outside.

There are certainly those who don't take dissenting opinions the way they ought to, but can you blame them when that opinion is coming from someone who actively admits to not being willing to take the time to understand their side?

- MaximumBone


LOL, I think you are confusing my willingness to waste my time on this thread with caring about a debate on the issue. I gave up on the advanced stats proponents years ago.








MaximumBone
Edmonton Oilers
Joined: 06.15.2012

Aug 31 @ 1:38 PM ET
LOL, I think you are confusing my willingness to waste my time on this thread with caring about a debate on the issue. I gave up on the advanced stats proponents years ago.
- Aetherial

Okay, I can agree some of those who follow it religiously (Tanner) can be annoying, but you and I have had reasonable discourse before, right? Yet I'm a proponent of those same stats.
Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Aug 31 @ 1:47 PM ET
Okay, I can agree some of those who follow it religiously (Tanner) can be annoying, but you and I have had reasonable discourse before, right? Yet I'm a proponent of those same stats.
- MaximumBone


and there are others who I don't mind talking to about it, like Senstroll on the Leafs threads.

It was really just Yost (and a bunch of Ottawa fans), Mirtle (the worst of the bunch) and Tanner, who seems to go out of his way to purposely be obnoxious.

daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005

Aug 31 @ 1:48 PM ET
and there are others who I don't mind talking to about it, like Senstroll on the Leafs threads.

It was really just Yost (and a bunch of Ottawa fans), Mirtle (the worst of the bunch) and Tanner, who seems to go out of his way to purposely be obnoxious.

- Aetherial

I go out of my way to be obnoxious.
Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Aug 31 @ 1:53 PM ET
I go out of my way to be obnoxious.
- daeth


You have seniority over me here.

1979AD
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: "I'm a Sens Fan!" -Kaptaan
Joined: 09.08.2010

Aug 31 @ 1:56 PM ET
I go out of my way to be obnoxious.
- daeth


It comes to me naturally.
Garnie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 11.30.2009

Aug 31 @ 2:36 PM ET
It comes to me naturally.
- 1979AD

Garnie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 11.30.2009

Aug 31 @ 2:37 PM ET
I go out of my way to be obnoxious.
- daeth

RonPielep
Location: "Welcome to HockeyBuzz. Come for the rumors. Stay for the idiots." - Feds91Stammer
Joined: 08.21.2014

Aug 31 @ 3:13 PM ET
Great blog Frenchy.

Couldn't help but read this as a James Tanner vs. John Jaeckel perspective.

Tanner argues like his chosen statistics are the written word of god and JJ thinks every top Hawks player is the top in their position league-wide because... 3 cups...
daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005

Aug 31 @ 3:16 PM ET
It comes to me naturally.
- 1979AD

You are my sensei.
BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes
Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK
Joined: 09.21.2009

Aug 31 @ 3:52 PM ET
I go out of my way to be obnoxious.
- daeth


lol you cuck
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Aug 31 @ 3:55 PM ET
lol you cuck
- BINGO!


daeth
Colorado Avalanche
Location: 43 points, ON
Joined: 09.15.2005

Aug 31 @ 3:56 PM ET
lol you cuck
- BINGO!

stop calling yourself names
BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes
Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK
Joined: 09.21.2009

Aug 31 @ 4:00 PM ET
stop calling yourself names
- daeth


I deserve it.

Probably.
laughs2907
Edmonton Oilers
Location: Wuhan, China
Joined: 07.18.2006

Aug 31 @ 4:06 PM ET
Shut up... You're all cucks.
BestRapperAlive
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: OEL is one of the greatest players of his generation - James Tanner
Joined: 06.21.2012

Aug 31 @ 4:07 PM ET
Shut up... You're all cucks.
- laughs2907


go cuck yourself
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