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Forums :: Blog World :: Carol Schram: Sizing up Andrei Svechnikov as a contract comparable for Elias Pettersson
Author Message
VANTEL
Joined: 07.03.2010

Aug 28 @ 12:10 AM ET
As you say, it really doesn’t matter. I don’t believe they can afford to go long term on either deal right now, at least not without moving out Myers. Two bridge deals, hopefully that expire in different years so we don’t have to do this same thing again in 3 years:
- 1970vintage

They can afford it but they are putting a choke hold on the team if the cap crawls up year to year or stays flat.

I think teams like Oilers Avs and about another eight to ten teams have crippled their future .
1970vintage
Seattle Kraken
Location: BC
Joined: 11.11.2010

Aug 28 @ 1:02 AM ET
They can afford it but they are putting a choke hold on the team if the cap crawls up year to year or stays flat.

I think teams like Oilers Avs and about another eight to ten teams have crippled their future .

- VANTEL


I don’t believe they can afford 6+ year deals. It would take them past the $16m they have to spend. I guess we’ll see.
boonerbuck
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Not Quesnel, BC
Joined: 10.11.2005

Aug 28 @ 1:24 AM ET
Remember the good ol' days when the annual average salary came down in a long term deal? Now it significantly goes up for term...
joegreif17
Location: Hockeyville, BC
Joined: 05.10.2009

Aug 28 @ 1:51 AM ET
I love the narrative that Pettersson “isn’t durable”. It’s just as good as “Benning is a good General Manager”
- 1970vintage


Personally I like Jim Benning but honestly he is not a great GM imo. He has his moments and he did good this offseason. Fans are going to love Garland who is super nifty with a nose for the net. OEL hopefully gets new life because he has not been anything special the last couple years. As for Petey the guy has skill coming out of his butt but man I worry about him getting killed out there. He really needs to add some pounds and strength or he will continue to get manhandled and hurt. Petey is no Svechnikov physically and despite OVI knocking his lights out early on in his career he will always be tougher than Petey. Hoping for the best for the Nucks, like 47 days till puck drop.
joegreif17
Location: Hockeyville, BC
Joined: 05.10.2009

Aug 28 @ 1:53 AM ET
Great blog as usual Carol, we are very lucky to have a blogger as dedicated and right on top of the facts the way you are. Much appreciated.
NewYorkNuck
Vancouver Canucks
Location: New York, NY
Joined: 07.11.2015

Aug 28 @ 3:56 AM ET
Remember the good ol' days when the annual average salary came down in a long term deal? Now it significantly goes up for term...
- boonerbuck




Goes up for young players (you're buying their "prime" years and their UFA years).

Goes down for older players (usually signing as a UFA) as you're buying into their downtrend and offsetting that against their last few good years.
neem55
Vancouver Canucks
Joined: 02.02.2012

Aug 28 @ 5:58 AM ET
I love the narrative that Pettersson “isn’t durable”. It’s just as good as “Benning is a good General Manager”
- 1970vintage

There will tears abd complaining no matter whaf anybody does, bank on it!
LordHumungous
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Greetings from the Humungous. Ayatollah of rock and rolla!
Joined: 08.15.2014

Aug 28 @ 10:37 AM ET
There will tears abd complaining no matter whaf anybody does, bank on it!
- neem55



After Petey signs his long-term deal...

lol
1970vintage
Seattle Kraken
Location: BC
Joined: 11.11.2010

Aug 28 @ 10:44 AM ET
Personally I like Jim Benning but honestly he is not a great GM imo. He has his moments and he did good this offseason. Fans are going to love Garland who is super nifty with a nose for the net. OEL hopefully gets new life because he has not been anything special the last couple years. As for Petey the guy has skill coming out of his butt but man I worry about him getting killed out there. He really needs to add some pounds and strength or he will continue to get manhandled and hurt. Petey is no Svechnikov physically and despite OVI knocking his lights out early on in his career he will always be tougher than Petey. Hoping for the best for the Nucks, like 47 days till puck drop.
- joegreif17


Not that I’m saying one is the other, but Mikko Rantanen is “big” and has never played a full season but I don’t read a lot of fans complaining about his salary/durability.

I for one am not the least bit worried about Pettersson’s injury prospects.
1970vintage
Seattle Kraken
Location: BC
Joined: 11.11.2010

Aug 28 @ 10:50 AM ET


Goes up for young players (you're buying their "prime" years and their UFA years).

Goes down for older players (usually signing as a UFA) as you're buying into their downtrend and offsetting that against their last few good years.

- NewYorkNuck


Generally true, except for the Flyers.

But I think Booner is referring to deals like Rick DiPietro or Ilya Kovalchuk or Suter/Parise (yes, I understand they were UFA’s) where the term went really long to get the average down. I mean, at 26 Suter would probably have gotten $10 per on a five year deal.
dozerD10
Anaheim Ducks
Location: long beach, CA
Joined: 01.29.2014

Aug 28 @ 12:05 PM ET
Because he's the best player the franchise has had since the Sedins
- NorthNuck



I would go even further than that... Bure.
Codes1087
Vancouver Canucks
Joined: 09.24.2014

Aug 28 @ 12:28 PM ET


After Petey signs his long-term deal...

lol

- LordHumungous


I would be ecstatic of petey signed a max 8x8.5 deal.
LordHumungous
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Greetings from the Humungous. Ayatollah of rock and rolla!
Joined: 08.15.2014

Aug 28 @ 12:33 PM ET
I would be ecstatic of petey signed a max 8x8.5 deal.
- Codes1087

It will end up being a bargain like the Draisaitl deal. Remember how many scoffed at that contract lol
Shuswap Wap
Location: BC
Joined: 02.07.2018

Aug 28 @ 12:46 PM ET
NewYorkNuck
Vancouver Canucks
Location: New York, NY
Joined: 07.11.2015

Aug 28 @ 12:57 PM ET
I would be ecstatic of petey signed a max 8x8.5 deal.
- Codes1087


Pretty much. In year 3 forward that deal would be a steal.
LordHumungous
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Greetings from the Humungous. Ayatollah of rock and rolla!
Joined: 08.15.2014

Aug 28 @ 1:01 PM ET

- Shuswap Wap

lol hopefully that me betting Woodbine today...

VANTEL
Joined: 07.03.2010

Aug 28 @ 1:03 PM ET
I don’t believe they can afford 6+ year deals. It would take them past the $16m they have to spend. I guess we’ll see.
- 1970vintage


I guess my problem is I can't picture Hughes as an 8 million dollar player. I have trouble picturing him as a 6 mil player.

I really hope they just sign a bridge deal and see what they really have. That was the whole purpose of the NHL introducing the bridge deal so that GMs would stop making the same mistakes over and over.
Retinalz
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Vancouver, BC
Joined: 01.31.2015

Aug 28 @ 1:33 PM ET
Remember the good ol' days when the annual average salary came down in a long term deal? Now it significantly goes up for term...
- boonerbuck

Ya, I also remember the good old days where young guys would sign a 4 or 5 year deal for less, and then get their 7-8 year deal at high dollar figures and everyone is complaining after year 3 or 4. I hope the NHL goes to pay younger players and lower the amount they get as older players.
Shuswap Wap
Location: BC
Joined: 02.07.2018

Aug 28 @ 1:49 PM ET
lol hopefully that me betting Woodbine today...


- LordHumungous

I miss that atmosphere. Except for the brutally sharp turns at Hastings Park, I always enjoyed the big races.
Edit: also the greasy hamburgers with caramelized onions.
A_SteamingLombardi
Location: Systemic failure / Slurptastic
Joined: 10.12.2008

Aug 28 @ 1:53 PM ET
84.7 lbs caught and released Rivers Inlet

1970vintage
Seattle Kraken
Location: BC
Joined: 11.11.2010

Aug 28 @ 2:04 PM ET
I guess my problem is I can't picture Hughes as an 8 million dollar player. I have trouble picturing him as a 6 mil player.

I really hope they just sign a bridge deal and see what they really have. That was the whole purpose of the NHL introducing the bridge deal so that GMs would stop making the same mistakes over and over.

- VANTEL


Yeah, I get it, but going into UFA years will cost a lot more. Was listening to the guy from Puckpedia talking about Hughes (and Petey). He suggested that on a similar length deal to Makar Hughes would probably be looking at $7.5-$8.25!

I see both ends of the argument. Pay less now and see how he progresses. Lock him up long term because going short could end up costing WAY more later.

It's a risk either way.
NuckUp
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Cap Busters
Joined: 07.01.2019

Aug 28 @ 2:16 PM ET
I guess my problem is I can't picture Hughes as an 8 million dollar player. I have trouble picturing him as a 6 mil player.

I really hope they just sign a bridge deal and see what they really have. That was the whole purpose of the NHL introducing the bridge deal so that GMs would stop making the same mistakes over and over.

- VANTEL



Here's the issue. Bridge would've been done. But the Canucks want long term.

Bridge was on the table prior to the Canucks cap shuffle. Their agents were accepting of doing bridge. But as we were right about the aggressive moves and cap the Canucks 1 upped us getting rid of LE too.

All this both cleared cap while also improving the roster. This also gave a huge sell to their top players.

So with talks still on the Canucks are pushing to lock up their top 2 talents long term.
NuckUp
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Cap Busters
Joined: 07.01.2019

Aug 28 @ 2:29 PM ET
Yeah, I get it, but going into UFA years will cost a lot more. Was listening to the guy from Puckpedia talking about Hughes (and Petey). He suggested that on a similar length deal to Makar Hughes would probably be looking at $7.5-$8.25!

I see both ends of the argument. Pay less now and see how he progresses. Lock him up long term because going short could end up costing WAY more later.

It's a risk either way.

- 1970vintage


That's the play now. They can do QH at $7.5M if Petey takes no more then $8.5M. There's your 8 year deals.
DariusKnight
Vancouver Canucks
Location: "The Alien has landed in Vancouver!"
Joined: 03.09.2006

Aug 28 @ 2:31 PM ET
Yeah, I get it, but going into UFA years will cost a lot more. Was listening to the guy from Puckpedia talking about Hughes (and Petey). He suggested that on a similar length deal to Makar Hughes would probably be looking at $7.5-$8.25!

I see both ends of the argument. Pay less now and see how he progresses. Lock him up long term because going short could end up costing WAY more later.

It's a risk either way.

- 1970vintage


Or if you sign him shorter for less, you find out he's Paul Coffey-lite but is more detriment to team defense and therefore should be moved on from. A shorter, cheaper deal is easier to trade than a long term expensive deal, especially for a D-man (see OEL)
1970vintage
Seattle Kraken
Location: BC
Joined: 11.11.2010

Aug 28 @ 2:35 PM ET
Or if you sign him shorter for less, you find out he's Paul Coffey-lite but is more detriment to team defense and therefore should be moved on from. A shorter, cheaper deal is easier to trade than a long term expensive deal, especially for a D-man (see OEL)
- DariusKnight


I think you win more games with Hughes in your lineup than you do if he's gone. If the other 5 guys on the team weren't absolute garbage it wouldn't even be an issue.
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